Average earnings index (horse racing)

Average earnings index (AEI) is a popular statistic used in North American Thoroughbred horse breeding, but often misunderstood. It is used to put the earnings of a breeding animal's progeny into proper perspective.[1] The average earnings index measures the earning power of a stallion or mare's offspring by comparing the average earnings of a given horse's progeny with all other runners of the same age that raced in the same country in a given period of time. The average is stated as a value of 1.00. The AEI is calculated for each year a horse has offspring racing and can be averaged for all years that horse has had first generation descendants on the track.[2] The AEI can be used for additional comparisons, such as the composite AEI of a sire or damsire based on all of his progeny. Another way it is used is to compare stallions from one generation to the next, because it compensates for the changing value of currency over time.[1] Although considered by some an industry standard,[3] the AEI is criticized as easily skewed by the influence of a single exceptional horse in a given year and favors horses that throw "durable types" of horses that have multiple starts in a given year, including at lower-level races.[4] The AEI was developed in 1948 by Joe Estes of The Blood-Horse magazine. It originally could only be used to calculate numbers for sires and, beginning in the 1950s, broodmare sires. It was only with the addition of computer power beginning in the 1970s and 1980s that a full analysis of mares could be added to the equations and determine the AEI for various crosses.[3] Some of the all time leading American sires by AEI rankings AEI are: Bold Ruler 7.73, Alydar 5.21, Nasrullah 5.16, Northern Dancer 5.14, Nijinsky II 4.74, and Danzig 4.53.

See also

References

  1. 1 2 Gillies, Scot (April 21, 2009). "The five cross files". Blood Horse.
  2. ↑ "Directory of Reference-Average Earnings Index". equineline.com. March 7, 2014.
  3. 1 2 Mitchell, Frank (2004). Racehorse Breeding Theories. The Russell Meerdink Company, Ltd. p. 69. ISBN 9780929346755.
  4. ↑ "The Language of Numbers". thoroughbredreview.com. June 22, 2014.


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