Belief structure

A belief structure is a distributed assessment with beliefs. It is used in the evidential reasoning (ER) approach for multi-criteria decision analysis to represent the performance of an alternative option on a criterion. For example, the quality of a car engine may be assessed to be “excellent” with a high degree of belief (e.g. 0.6) due to its low fuel consumption, low vibration and high responsiveness. At the same time, the quality may be assessed to be only “good” with a lower degree of belief (e.g. 0.4 or less) because its quietness and starting can still be improved. Such an assessment can be modeled by a belief structure: Si(engine)={(excellent, 0.6), (good, 0.4)}, where Si stands for the assessment of engine on the ith criterion (quality). In the belief structure, “excellent” and “good” are assessment standards, whilst “0.6” and “0.4” are degrees of belief.

In the ER approach, an MCDA problem is modelled by a belief decision matrix instead of a conventional decision matrix. The difference between the two is that in the former, each element is a belief structure while in the latter, each element is a single value (either numerical or textual).

References

• Shafer, G.A. (1976), Mathematical Theory of Evidence, Princeton University Press.
• J. B. Yang and D. L. Xu, “On the evidential reasoning algorithm for multiattribute decision analysis under uncertainty”, IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics - Part A: Systems and Humans, Vol.32, No.3, pp. 289–304, 2002.