Irish Sea fixed crossing

Proposals for a fixed link between the islands of Ireland and Great Britain include an undersea tunnel, bridge, causeway, or combination of these elements, crossing the Irish Sea or one of its extremities the North Channel and St George's Channel. No proposal has progressed beyond the outline or vision stage, as the benefit–cost ratio is deemed too low.

Possible routes

Possible routes for an Irish Sea tunnel

Four possible routes have at different times been identified, the first two taken together as North Channel routes. These are:

A fifth route, via the Isle of Man, would require two tunnels, but has never been seriously considered due to length and difficult geology.

North Channel (Kintyre) route

This is the shortest route at around 19 km (12 mi), from the Mull of Kintyre to County Antrim but is very unlikely to be adopted. It would mean constructing a railway or improved roads (or both) following a roundabout route through some mountainous terrain, mainly in Scotland, but to some extent also in Northern Ireland, and also needing further undersea tunnels in Scotland. If it ever were adopted, passengers would to a high degree still use ferries and aircraft, since it would be a big detour for trains from England. Trains would have to go via Glasgow and around 155 mi (250 km) further to reach Belfast. Even if the High Speed 2 railway is fully built, the travel time London-Belfast would not be below 4 hours. Car travellers from England would have much shorter driving distance when using the traditional ferry routes.

North Channel (Galloway) route

This route has been proposed both as either a tunnel or a bridge.[1]

If a tunnel was chosen, this would mean tunnelling from near Portpatrick to a point north or south of Belfast Lough.

This would result in a shorter tunnel than the southern routes (34 km/21 mi), and one within the United Kingdom, though the Irish government and the European Union might contribute funds, nevertheless. However, because of the Beaufort's Dyke sea trench, this route would be deeper than the southern routes.

In general, travel to Belfast would benefit from this route. The London to Belfast distance would be about 466 mi (750 km) taking about 3½ hours on a high-speed train. This route would improve travel from Edinburgh, Glasgow, Liverpool, Manchester, and most English cities, to Belfast and Dublin.

The Dublin-Belfast-Glasgow-Edinburgh route would be possible. However, the route between the two capitals (London-Dublin) would be indirect. Even if a high speed Dublin-Belfast railway (160 km) is also built, this route will still take four to five hours, making it hard to compete with air travel.

It is believed that such a project was considered by railway engineer Luke Livingston Macassey in the 1890s as "a rail link using either a tunnel, a submerged "tubular bridge" or a solid causeway".[2]

Irish Mail route

This route (from Dublin to Holyhead in North Wales) would be about 100 km (62 mi) long and would provide a more direct connection between Ireland and Britain.[3] The main London-Dublin route is more direct, and high-speed trains would be more commercially viable, using the proposed High Speed 2 rail link through Birmingham and other cities along the route. The distance from London to Dublin would be 550 km (340 mi), taking 2½ hours on high-speed trains.

Currently (as of 2016), the North Wales Coast Line between Crewe and Holyhead (via Chester) is not electrified, so for any HS2 trains to use it, the line need to be electrified. Unlike the Tuskar route, there are no bottlenecks on this route as both these lines and the roads in North Wales are currently relatively underused.

Tuskar route

The Institute of Engineers of Ireland's 2004 Vision of Transport in Ireland in 2050 imagines a tunnel to be built between the ports of Fishguard and Rosslare[4] along with a new container port on the Shannon Estuary, linking a freight line to Europe. This report also includes ideas for a Belfast-Dublin-Cork high-speed train, and for a new freight line from Rosslare to Shannon.

This route would be approximately twice the distance of the English Channel Tunnel at over 100 km (roughly 60 miles long).

Although London-Dublin and London-Belfast routes would be competitive with air travel, subject to ticket prices, routes from central and northern England and Scotland to Ireland would probably not be competitive.

On the British side, a high-speed line duplicating the Great Western Main Line has been proposed.[5][6][7] However, this would be likely to be a lower priority than one running between London, Birmingham and the North West, duplicating the West Coast Main Line. Congestion through the Severn Tunnel is already so great that much freight from the Welsh ports travels a circuitous route via Gloucester; the increased traffic generated by an Irish Sea Tunnel would demand a new crossing of the Severn Estuary.

Recent proposals for a barrage across the mouth of the River Severn have included the option of running a new road and rail crossing between Cardiff and Bristol, which would help this issue.

The M4 motorway ends near Llanelli. Any motorway extension would pass through rural areas and close to the Pembrokeshire Coast National Park, which would generate opposition; however, terminals could be located further inland.

As the IEI's report notes "[This report's object] was to cast a vision, essentially an optimistic vision, of transport in Ireland in the middle of this twenty-first century". It also includes a second English Channel Tunnel.

History and politics

A 1799 description of a failed proposal for a bridge from Howth to Holyhead is a mocking metaphor for the failure of the Union Bill 1799, which succeeded next year as the Act of Union 1800.[8]

Between 1886 and 1900, proposals for a link to Scotland were "seriously explored by engineers, industrialists, and Unionist politicians".[9] In 1885, Irish Builder and Engineer said a tunnel under the Irish Sea had been discussed "for some time back".[10] In 1890, engineer Luke Livingston Macassey outlined a Stranraer–Belfast link by tunnel, submerged "tubular bridge", or solid causeway.[11] In 1897 a British firm applied for £15,000 towards the cost of carrying out borings and soundings in the North Channel to see if a tunnel between Ireland and Scotland was viable.[12] The link would have been of immense commercial benefit, was significant strategically and would have meant faster transatlantic travel from Britain, via Galway and other Irish ports. When Hugh Arnold-Foster asked in the Commons in 1897 about a North Channel tunnel, Arthur Balfour said "the financial aspects ... are not of a very promising character".[13]

In 1915, a tunnel was proposed by Gershom Stewart as a defence against a German U-boat blockade of Ireland but dismissed by H. H. Asquith as "hardly practicable in the present circumstances".[14] In 1918, Stewart proposed that German prisoners of war might dig the tunnel; Bonar Law said the Select Committee on Transport could consider the matter.[15]

The Senate of Northern Ireland debated a North Channel Tunnel on 25 May 1954.[16] In 1956 Harford Hyde, Unionist Westminster MP for North Belfast, raised a motion in the UK House of Commons for a tunnel across the North Channel.[17][18] In 1980, John Biggs-Davison suggested European Economic Community involvement in a North Channel tunnel; Philip Goodhart said no tunnel was planned.[19]

In 1994 the Channel Tunnel opened between Great Britain and France. Technical challenges of constructing a tunnel were overcome. However, the Channel Tunnel was delivered overbudget and predicted traffic levels have never materialised.

In 1988, the Irish Minister for Tourism and Transport said his department estimated an Irish Sea tunnel would cost twice as much as the Channel Tunnel and generate one fifth of the revenue, thus being economically unviable.[20] In 1997–8, the Department of Public Enterprise refused to fund a feasibility study requested by Symonds engineering to build an immersed tube tunnel.[21][22] Symonds revived the plan in 2000, with an £8m feasibility study and a £14b construction cost estimate.[21] In 2005, the Minister for Transport said he had not studied A Vision of Transport in Ireland in 2050, published in September 2004 by the Irish Academy of Engineering, a report which included a Wexford–Pembroke tunnel.[23]

Economics and politics

Half the air traffic at Dublin Airport is to Britain, with 8,300,000 passengers per annum. The Dublin to London-Heathrow air route is one of the busiest international routes with 1.974 million passengers in 2007, and there were about 12.3 million air passengers between the Republic and the United Kingdom (2007).[24]

The Channel Tunnel has failed so far to generate the original passenger numbers expected (partially because of low cost airlines – an industry which did not exist when the project was underway). It now has nine million passengers per year, more than air travel, if only counting those who have destinations near London, Paris or Brussels.

The Channel Tunnel also illustrates the funding problem that a tunnel cannot be built and funded in stages, so cost over-runs (such as experienced on the Channel Tunnel) cannot be spread over time. Construction would also take a long time to complete, so the project would be an expensive, long-term, high risk investment.

Opposition to the tunnel might be mounted by powerful corporate interests, particularly ferry companies, shipping lines and airlines. NIMBY local interest groups and environmental groups might oppose individual infrastructure changes.

Various Irish government studies have concluded that an Irish Sea tunnel is, as yet, economically unfeasible. The benefit compared to air and ferry travel does not justify the cost.

Change of gauge and electrification

One of the challenges for an Irish Sea tunnel could be the break of gauge between the 1,435 mm standard gauge in Britain and the 1,600 mm Irish broad gauge.[25][26] The problem is mainly for freight traffic, because a short standard gauge line at the Irish end would suffice to serve passengers to and from a Belfast or Dublin terminus where they could change trains. In other projects, break of gauge problems have been overcome by transshipment,[27] building new standard gauge lines, regauging part of the existing network, the use of variable gauge axles[28] and by the use of dual/mixed gauge tracks.[29] For goods sold in shops, storage facilities are needed in order to sort items per shop, when the last transport to the shops is transported on road. Standard gauge track can be built to such storages near the tunnel.

See also

References

  1. ↑ "Bridge to Northern Ireland mooted". BBC News. 22 August 2007.
  2. ↑ McKenzie, Steven (9 October 2011). "Scotland-Ireland undersea rail link plan 'a surprise'". BBC News – Highlands & Islands. Retrieved 5 February 2012.
  3. ↑
  4. ↑ A Vision of Transport in Ireland in 2050, IEI report (pdf), The Irish Academy of Engineers, 21 December 2004.
  5. ↑ First Great Western: trains, tickets, timetables for London, Bristol, Cardiff, West of England
  6. ↑ "Rail firm considers 200mph trains". BBC News. 17 October 2002. Retrieved 5 May 2010.
  7. ↑ "Cardiff to London in just over an hour". BBC News. 17 October 2002. Retrieved 5 May 2010.
  8. ↑ "Plans for a Bridge from Holy-Head to the Hill of Howth". The Anti-Union (20): 80. 9 February 1799. Retrieved 22 September 2015. (subscription required (help)).
  9. ↑ Hughes, Kyle (2013-12-01). The Scots in Victorian and Edwardian Belfast: A Study in Elite Migration. Edinburgh University Press. pp. 128, fn.39. ISBN 9780748679935. Retrieved 25 September 2015.
  10. ↑ "Tunnel Under the Irish Sea". Irish Builder and Engineer (Howard MacGarvey & Sons) 27: 197. 15 July 1885.
  11. ↑ "Scotland-Ireland undersea rail link plan 'a surprise'". BBC News. 9 October 2011.
  12. ↑ "Tunnel Under the Sea", The Washington Post, 2 May 1897 (Archive link)
  13. ↑ "TUNNEL (IRELAND AND SCOTLAND)". Hansard. 22 March 1897. pp. HC Deb vol 47 cc1125–6. Retrieved 25 September 2015.
  14. ↑ "IRISH CHANNEL TUNNEL". Hansard. 23 February 1915. pp. HC Deb vol 70 c168. Retrieved 25 September 2015.
  15. ↑ "TUNNEL TO IRELAND". HC Deb vol 110 c594. 22 October 1918. p. Hansard. Retrieved 25 September 2015.
  16. ↑ "North Channel Tunnel". Parliamentary Debates: The Senate. Vol.38. Parliament of Northern Ireland . 1955. pp. 513–531.
  17. ↑ "An Irishman's Diary" by Wesley Boyd, (Link), The Irish Times, Feb 2004 (subscription required)
  18. ↑ "IRISH CHANNEL TUNNEL". Hansard. 23 March 1956. HC Deb vol 550 cc1641–88. Retrieved 22 September 2015.
  19. ↑ "Irish Sea (Tunnel)". Hansard. 4 February 1980. pp. HC Deb vol 978 c85W. Retrieved 25 September 2015. (Link has incorrect question; correct question is on preceding page with incorrect answer)
  20. ↑ "Written Answers. - Sea Transport.". Dáil Éireann debates. 16 November 1988. pp. Vol.384 No.3 p.34. Retrieved 22 September 2015.
  21. 1 2 "Plan to build rail tunnel under sea". 7 April 2000. Retrieved 29 September 2015.
  22. ↑ authoring/debateswebpack.nsf/takes/dail2000032900066 "Written Answers — Ireland-UK Tunnel." Check |url= value (help). Dáil debates. 29 March 2000. Retrieved 22 September 2015.
  23. ↑ authoring/debateswebpack.nsf/takes/dail2005021500065 "Written Answers - Transport Projects." Check |url= value (help). Dáil Éireann debates. 15 February 2005. Retrieved 22 September 2015.
  24. ↑ Eurostat: Air passenger transport in Europe in 2007
  25. ↑ Railway Gauge in Ireland Railway Preservation Society of Ireland
  26. ↑ Railway Gauge in Great Britain Railway Regulation (Gauge) Act 1846
  27. ↑ United Nations Inland Transport Committee Paragraphs 20 – 22
  28. ↑ Gauge-changing trains ordered for Moscow – Berlin Railway Gazette
  29. ↑ Three Shinkansen extensions approved Railway Gazette

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