Libya and weapons of mass destruction

Libya
Nuclear program start date 1969
First nuclear weapon test None
First fusion weapon test None
Last nuclear test None
Largest yield test None
Total tests None
Peak stockpile None
Current stockpile None; the program was dismantled in 2003.
Maximum missile range 300 km (Scud-B)
NPT signatory Yes

Libya possesses chemical weapons and ballistic missiles and previously pursued nuclear weapons under the leadership of Muammar Gaddafi. On 19 December 2003, Gaddafi announced that Libya would voluntarily eliminate all materials, equipment and programs that could lead to internationally proscribed weapons, including weapons of mass destruction and long-range ballistic missiles.[1][2][3] Libya signed the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) in 1968 and ratified it in 1975, and concluded a safeguards agreement with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) in 1980.[4] The United States and the United Kingdom assisted Libya in removing equipment and material from its nuclear weapons program, with independent verification by the IAEA.[3]

Libya acceded to the Chemical Weapons Convention effective 5 February 2004[5] and began destroying its chemical munitions later that year,[6] but missed the deadlines for converting one chemical weapons production facility to peaceful use and for destroying its stockpile of mustard agent.[7] In October 2014, Libya asked for foreign assistance to transport its 850 tonnes stockpile of precursor chemicals for making nerve gas out of Libya for destruction.[8] In February 2015, Libyan military sources told media that unidentified armed men have captured large amounts of Libya’s chemical weapons, including mustard gas and sarin.[9][10]

Nuclear program

Since Libya's efforts to rollback its clandestine nuclear program in late 2003, Libya had sought to nuclear weapons program, allegedly to counter the covert Israeli nuclear program.[3] In July 1968, Libya became signatory party of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) under King Idris, ratifying the NPT treaty in 1975 under Colonel Muammar Gaddafi as well as concluding the IAEA safeguards agreement with the USSR in 1980. In 1981, the Soviet Union supplied a 10 MW research reactor at Tajura.[3]

During the 1980s, Gaddafi had reportedly employed an illicit nuclear proliferation networks and various black market sources, including Swiss nuclear engineer Friedrich Tinner, to start developing the nuclear weapons.[3] However, by the time its nuclear program was roll back by Muammar Gaddafi, with an assistance from the U.S. and IAEA, Libya's nuclear program remained in very early developmental and initial stages.[3]

Foreign assistance

Despite commitment to NPT, which Libya became partied of it in 1968, Gaddafi's had ambition of possessing of nuclear weapons soon after seizing the control of Libya from King Idris.[11] The most famous buying foray was in 1970 when Libyan leaders paying a state visit to China.[12] Gaddafi and his Prime Minister Abdessalam Jalloud made an unsuccessful attempt to convince China to sell tactical nuclear weapons to Libya.[12] In a bilateral meeting with Chinese Premier Zhou Enlai, Colonel Gaddafi unsuccessful attempt to convince Enlai to sell him a nuclear bomb.[3][13] Qaddafi's justification towards the intentions for nuclear weapons were his concern over the Israeli nuclear capability, and publicly expressed his desire to obtain nuclear weapons. After being invited by Prime Minister Zulfikar Ali Bhutto to attend the 2nd OIC conference (OIC) in Lahore, Libya negotiated and was delegated to participate in its nuclear program, Project-706, in 1974.[14]

In 1977, the Libyan technicians were departed to Pakistan but by the time Libyans joined the program, the martial law was taken in effect against Bhutto in response to end the political deadlock.[14] Before Pakistan's A-bomb project succeeded, Libya had been taken out of the equation as the new President General Zia-ul-Haq had distrusted and strongly disliked Gaddafi.[14] On immediate effects, Libyans were asked to leave the country and the Libyan Intelligence made attempts to infiltrate Pakistan's high-powered research institutes, but such attempts were thwarted by ISI who intercepted and arrested these Libyan agents.[13]

With relations severed with Pakistan, Gaddafi normalized relations with India in 1978, and Gaddafi reached a mutual understanding with India for civil nuclear cooperation, as part of as part of India's Atoms for Peace program. With the Indian Prime minister Indira Gandhi visiting Libya in 1984, a nuclear energy pact was signed by Libya and India, but it is unclear how much interaction and cooperation took place.[3][15] Throughout the 1980s, Libyan efforts continue to push for acquiring nuclear weapons from various sources. In an ingenious persuasion to uranium enrichment in 1978, Libya made an effort to gain access to uranium ore, uranium conversion facilities, and enrichment techniques that together would have enabled Libya to produce weapons-grade uranium. The approach failed in 1979, and in 1980 Libya decided to pursue a plutonium-based pathway to nuclear weapons. Libya imported 1,200 tons of uranium ore concentrate from French-controlled mines in Niger without declaring it to the IAEA, as required by its safeguards agreement. In 1982, Libya attempted to enter in an agreement with Belgium for purchasing a small plant for manufacturing UF4. At the time, Libya had no declared nuclear facilities that required UF4, and the purchase was refused.[3]

In 1980, Libya began to build its nuclear infrastructure from various nuclear black market sources. The centrifuges materials and expertise were provided by Swiss national, Friedrich Tinner. Tinner's work on centrifuges took place at the TNRF aimed at producing gas centrifuges for uranium enrichment. By the late 1980s, financial constraints and economic sanctions were imposed by the United States in the 1980s, further hampering the nuclear program. Work was completed by Tinner in 1992, but Libya remained unable to produce an operating centrifuge.[3] After the end of Cold War, Gaddafi bluntly persuaded the U.S. President Bill Clinton to uplift the sanctions by allowing the disarmament of its nuclear program.[16]

In 1995, Gaddafi renewed calls for nuclear weapons and pursued new avenues for nuclear technology procurement, while publicizing the NPT.[17] In 1997, Libya received technical documentation and materials on gas centrifuges from various sources, as Libya had made a strategic decision to start the program with a new attitude.[3] Libya employed a large number of black market network, first reeving the 20 pre-assembled centrifuges and components for an additional 200 centrifuges and related parts from foreign suppliers.[15] The pre-assembled rotors for centrifuges were used to install a completed single centrifuge at the Al Hashan site, which was first successfully tested in October 2000.

In 2000, Libya accelerated its efforts, still headed by Tinner. Libya received many documents on the design and operation of centrifuges, but the program suffered many setbacks in evaluating these designs as they were too difficult to interpret and bring into operation. Libya ultimately told IAEA investigators that it had no national personnel competent to evaluate these designs at that time, and due to its extreme difficulty, Libya would have had to ask the supplier for help if it had decided to pursue a nuclear weapon.[3]

Soviet Union

In 1979, Libya pursued peaceful nuclear cooperation with the Soviet Union, under IAEA safeguards. In 1981, the Soviet Union agreed to build a 10MW research reactor at Tajoura, under IAEA safeguards. The Libyan nuclear program repeatedly suffered under mismanagement and loss of academic generation. The Tajura facility was run under the Soviet experts and staffed by a small number of inexperienced Libyan specialists and technicians. Known as the Tajura Nuclear Research Facility (TNRF), Libya conducted illegal uranium conversion experiments there. An unnamed nuclear weapon state, whose name has been kept secret by the IAEA, also allegedly assisted Libya in these experiments. Nuclear expert David Albright of the Institute for Science and International Security said the Soviet Union and China were the most likely suspects.[3]

In 1984, Libya negotiated with the Soviet Union for a supply of nuclear power plants, but its out-of-date technology dissatisfied Colonel Gaddafi. Gaddafi negotiated with Belgium but the talks failed. In 1984, Libya negotiated with Japan for a pilot-scale uranium conversion facility. A Japanese company supplied Libya with the technology, and the sale was apparently arranged directly with the Japanese instead of through middlemen.[15]

In 1991, Libya tried to exploit the chaos generated by the collapse of the Soviet Union to gain access to nuclear technology, expertise, and materials.[18] In 1992, it was reported by an official of the Kurchatov Institute in Moscow claimed that Libya had unsuccessfully tried to recruit two of his colleagues to work at the Tajoura Nuclear Research Center in Libya.[18] Other reports also suggested that Russian scientists had been hired to work on a covert Libyan nuclear program.[18] In March 1998, Russia and Libya signed a contract with the Russian consortium, the Atomenergoeksport for a partial overhaul of the Tajoura Nuclear Research Center.[19]

Dismantlement

Main article: Disarmament of Libya

The Clinton administration diplomat, Martin Indyk, maintained that the negotiations and diplomatic efforts rolling back Libyan nuclear program were started as early as Bill Clinton assuming the presidency in the 1990s.[19]

Chemical Program

Chemical weapons

The chemical weapons program was also actively maintained by Libya under the dictatorship of Muammar Gaddafi, but it was ostensibly decommissioned in the 2000s and early 2010s as Gaddafi sought to normalise relations with the Western world. Libya joined the Chemical Weapons Convention in 2004, and declared 24.7 metric tonnes of mustard gas, 1390 metric tonnes of chemical precursors for making sarin, as well as 3563 unloaded chemical weapon munitions(aerial bombs).[20][21]

The Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) supervised the destruction of Libya's chemical weapons caches through February 2011, when it was forced to suspend its operations due to the uprising against Gaddafi and the resulting deterioration of the country's stability. At this point the Libyan government had destroyed 40% of its precursor materials and 55% of its mustard gas, as well as 3500 chemical weapon munitions.[22] In early September 2011, OPCW Director-General Ahmet Üzümcü said reports he had received indicated that the remaining weapons were secure and had not fallen into the hands of militant groups.[23] A stockpile of mustard gas, which the OPCW reported the regime may have attempted to hide from inspectors overseeing the chemical weapons program's dismantlement, was reportedly found in the Jufra District by anti-Gaddafi fighters less than two weeks later.[24] In late September it was reported by the Wall Street Journal that a major ammunition complex, including chemical-weapons-capable artillery shells, was unguarded and open to looting.[25] In December 2012 a senior Spanish intelligence official said that Al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb "probably also has non-conventional arms, basically chemical, as a result of the loss of control of arsenals", with Libya the most likely source.[26]

Libya's National Transitional Council is cooperating with the OCPW regarding the destruction of all legacy chemical weapons in the country.[27] After assessing the chemical stockpiles, the Libyan government will receive a deadline from the OPCW to destroy the weapons.[28] As of September 2013, 1.6 metric tons of mustard blister agent loaded in artillery rounds, 2.5 metric tons of congealed mustard agent, and 846 metric tons of chemical weapons ingredients remain to be destroyed.[29]

According to the New York Times, on February 2014, the United States and Libya have discreetly destroyed what both sides say were the last remnants of Col. Muammar al-Qaddafi's lethal arsenal of chemical arms. They used a transportable oven technology to destroy hundreds of bombs and artillery rounds filled with deadly mustard agent.[30]

In September 2014, OPCW said Libya still has around 850 tonnes of industrial chemicals that could be used to produce chemical weapons.[31] In October 2014, Libya asked for foreign assistance to transport its 850 tonnes stockpile of raw materials for making nerve gas out of Libya for destruction.[8] In a meeting at the OPCW Headquarter on 5 February 2015, the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Libya and the Director-General of OPCW agreed on the need to complete the destruction of the remaining precursor chemicals.[32]

On 21 February 2015, Asharq Al-Awsat reported that an anonymous Libyan army official stated extremists had seized large amounts of Muammar Gaddafi’s chemical weapons from multiple locations. The official warned that the targeted caches included mustard gas and sarin.[9][33][34] The North Africa Post later reported that chemical weapons were stolen by armed men who stormed the chemical factory in the Jufra district where the weapons were stored. Military sources reportedly stated that among the chemical weapons are mustard gas and sarin.[10]

Ballistic missiles

Libyan Army forces loyal to Gaddafi reportedly fired several Scud-B surface-to-surface missiles at areas in revolt against the regime, including Misrata and Ajdabiya, during the Libyan Civil War, but the weapons missed their targets.[35][36][37] Several more Scuds, with launchers, were found by anti-Gaddafi fighters near Tripoli and Sirte.[38][39]

References

  1. ↑ Chronology of Libya's Disarmament and Relations with the United States, Arms Control Association.
  2. ↑ News Update on IAEA & Libya, Chronology of Key Events, (December 2003 - September 2008), International Atomic Energy Agency.
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Rohlfing, Joan. "Libya: Nuclear Programme Overview". Nuclear Threat Initiative. Nuclear Threat Initiative. Retrieved 11 August 2011.
  4. ↑ GOV/2004/12, Implementation of the NPT Safeguards Agreement of the Socialist People's Libyan Arab Jamahiriya, Report by the Director General, International Atomic Energy Agency, 20 February 2004.
  5. ↑ The Chemical Weapons Convention Enters Into Force in Libya, Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons, 2 February 2004.
  6. ↑ Zanders, Jean Pascal (19 May 2011). "Destroying Libya's Chemical Weapons: Deadlines and Delays". James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies (CNS). Retrieved 13 August 2011.
  7. ↑ Zanders, Jean Pascal (May 19, 2011). "Uprising in Libya: The False Specter of Chemical Warfare". James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies (CNS). Retrieved 13 August 2011.
  8. 1 2 "NBC Weapons: Libya Needs Help To Be Gas Free". StrategyPage.com. 30 October 2014.
  9. 1 2 "Libya militias capture chemical weapons: army official". Asharq Al-Awsat. 21 February 2015.
  10. 1 2 "Libya: Unidentified armed men attack chemical factory, flee with chemical weapons". The North Africa Post. 23 February 2015.
  11. ↑ et. al. "The Program begins: 1968". NTI 2003. Retrieved 24 April 2013.
  12. 1 2 The Risk Report Volume 1 Number 10 (December 1995) Page 1, 3-4. "Libya Has Trouble Building the Most Deadly Weapons". The Risk Report Volume 1 Number 10 (December 1995) Page 1, 3-4. Wisconsin Project reports. Retrieved 24 April 2013.
  13. 1 2 Nazi, Nazir Naji (2010). "Colonel Gaddafi's Libya and his Nuclear ambitions". Nazir Nazi and Jang Group of Media.
  14. 1 2 3 Stengel, Richard (3 June 1985). "Who has the Bomb?". Time (magazine). pp. 7/13. Archived from the original on 3 June 1985. Retrieved 23 February 2011.
  15. 1 2 3 Pike, John E. "Libyan nuclear programme". Global Security. Retrieved 8 December 2011.
  16. ↑ The Iraq War did not Force Gadaffi's Hand | Brookings Institution
  17. ↑ Joshua Sinai, "Libya's Pursuit of Weapons of Mass Destruction," Nonproliferation Review 4, Spring-Summer 1997, p. 97.
  18. 1 2 3 jack Kelley, "Russian Nuke Experts Wooed," USA Today, 8 January 1992; "Libya Denies Offers to Soviets," Washington Post, 11 January 1992.
  19. 1 2 Joseph Cirincione with Jon B. Wolfsthal and Miriam Rajkumar, Deadly Arsenals: Tracking Weapons of Mass Destruction (Washington, DC: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 2002), p. 307.
  20. ↑ OPCW, Libya: Facts and Figures
  21. ↑ "Libya's CW Capabilities" (PDF). June 2011.
  22. ↑ Nuclear Threat Initiative, 30 September 2011, Senate Delegation Positive About Security of Libyan WMD Materials
  23. ↑ "Libya: Chemical Weapons Secure According To U.N. Watchdog". The Huffington Post. 7 September 2011. Retrieved 25 September 2011.
  24. ↑ Black, Ian (22 September 2011). "Libyan rebels discover Gaddafi's chemical weapons". The Guardian (London). Retrieved 25 September 2011.
  25. ↑ Nuclear Threat Initiative, 3 October 2011, Libyan Weapons Depot Unguarded, Open to Looters
  26. ↑ Daily Telegraph, 10 December 2012, Al Qaeda may have chemical weapons, Spain's counter-terror chief warns
  27. ↑ Libya's NTC pledges to destroy chemical weapons: OPCW
  28. ↑ Chemical weapons inspectors to return to Libya
  29. ↑ Barnes, Diane (11 September 2013). "Destruction of Libyan Chemical-Loaded Arms Remains on Hold". Global Security Newswire (NTI). Retrieved 26 October 2013.
  30. ↑ "Libya’s Cache of Toxic Arms All Destroyed". New York Times. 2 February 2014. Retrieved 4 February 2014.
  31. ↑ "Libya asks chemical weapons watchdog to remove stockpile". Daily Times. 24 September 2014. Retrieved 27 September 2014.
  32. ↑ "Libyan Minister of Foreign Affairs Visits the OPCW". OPCW. 5 February 2015.
  33. ↑ "Report: Chemical weapons in Libya 'seized by extremists'". i24news. 21 February 2015.
  34. ↑ "Libyan Army official tells Arab paper that militias captured chemical weapons". The Jerusalem Post. 22 February 2015.
  35. ↑ "Libya conflict: Gaddafi forces 'launched Scud missile'". BBC News. 16 August 2011. Retrieved 25 September 2011.
  36. ↑ "Gadhafi's Forces Fired 3 Scuds at Misrata: NATO". DefenseNews. 23 August 2011. Retrieved 25 September 2011.
  37. ↑ "Libyan Rebels Advance on Sirte Amid Protests Over Appointments". San Francisco Chronicle. 29 August 2011. Archived from the original on September 7, 2011. Retrieved 25 September 2011.
  38. ↑ "Gaddafi missiles could be scrapped". IOL News. 22 September 2011. Retrieved 25 September 2011.
  39. ↑ "Scud missile battery sits unguarded outside Tripoli". TVNZ. 5 September 2011. Retrieved 25 September 2011.

See also

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