Opinion polling for the Spanish general election, 1982

In the run up to the Spanish general election of 1982, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Spain. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 1 March 1979, to the day the next election was held, on 28 October 1982.

Vote estimations

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

Color key:

      Multi-scenario poll       Exit poll

Polling Firm/Link Last Date
of Polling		 Margin
of Error		 Sample
Size		 Lead
General Election October 28, 1982 6.8 48.1 4.0 26.4 3.7 1.9 2.9 21.7
UCD October 28, 1982 7.2 45.7 3.8 24.9 4.5 2.1 2.6 20.8
PSOE October 28, 1982 6.6 48.0 4.3 26.0 4.0 2.0 3.1 ±0.3 pp 85,300 22.0
ISIS October 19, 1982 17 45 15 36,792 28
Sofemasa October 19, 1982 6.5 48.6 5.9 24.0 2.5 1.7 4.0 ±0.7 pp 18,255 24.6
Alef October 14, 1982 9.5 49.2 7.8 18.2 5.9 7,000 31.0
Sofemasa October 10, 1982 5.0 51.0 4.3 19.3 4.6 1,163 31.7
Alef September 30, 1982 10.6 45.9 5.8 16.3 8.4 ±3 pp 3,008 29.6
Sofemasa September 30, 1982 4.8 51.5 5.2 14.8 2.3 2,460 36.7
Alef September 19, 1982 10.7 51.3 6.0 13.0 5.2 3,000 38.3
El País September 9, 1982 13.6 48.3 6.4 18.5 29.8
Sofemasa August 30, 1982 8.5 50.8 5.6 11.8 2.4 2,460 39.0
AP January 21, 1982 11 37 6 24 13
Tiempo December 12, 1981 32.6 31.4 3.9 w. 1.2
Tiempo December 12, 1981 21.0 33.1 9.1 11.4 12.1
Gallup April 23, 1981 23.6 42.0 7.9 8.9 2.7 18.4
Gallup February 23, 1981 25.9 36.3 9.1 9.1 2.7 2.2 ±1.8 pp 1,892 10.4
Gallup January 30, 1981 26.2 35.5 9.0 8.5 9.3
Gallup December 21, 1980 27.4 34.4 8.6 8.7 7.0
Gallup November 16, 1980 28.3 33.9 8.7 8.0 2.7 2.4 ±2.3 pp 1,892 5.6
INE November 13, 1980 30.8 39.9 8.9 8.3 2.2 2.0 ±1.7 pp 3,457 9.1
Gallup October 19, 1980 28.7 34.7 8.6 8.3 6.0
Gallup September 15, 1980 27.7 33.5 9.4 6.8 5.8
Gallup July 6, 1980 25.8 33.8 10.4 8.5 ±2.3 pp 1,888 8.0
Gallup June 16, 1980 26.3 32.7 10.0 8.4 ±3.1 pp 1,002 6.4
Gallup April 18, 1980 29.6 29.3 9.5 6.6 0.8
Gallup March 21, 1980 30.2 29.8 9.8 5.9 0.4
Gallup February 11, 1980 30.8 31.9 10.4 6.3 1.1
Gallup January 14, 1980 32.0 31.2 11.1 6.0 0.8
Gallup October 10, 1979 31.7 34.3 9.7 5.6 2.6
Gallup July 13, 1979 34.0 30.8 10.5 5.3 3.2
General Election March 1, 1979 34.8 30.4 10.8 5.9 2.7 1.7 4.4

Parliamentary seat projections

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 176 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Congress of Deputies.

Color key:

      Multi-scenario poll

176 seats needed for a majority
Polling Firm/Link Last Date
of Polling
General Election October 28, 1982 11 202 4 107 12 8 2
UCD October 28, 1982 13 198 5 104 12 8 2
PSOE October 28, 1982 13 202 4 103 13 9 2
UCD October 22, 1982 20/25 200 17 80 10
Sofemasa October 19, 1982 7/12 193/217 8/11 87/107 8/9 8/10 4/5
Alef October 14, 1982 18 217 14 69 5 11 8
SEE October 4, 1982 21 158 15 121 14 10 5
AP September 27, 1982 15 141 11 125 14 7 5
UCD September 22, 1982 40 200 9 60 2
Cover September 4, 1982 w. 169 12 136 7
Cover September 4, 1982 35 180 12 80 15
Tiempo December 12, 1981 169 126 4 w.
Tiempo December 12, 1981 105 144 25 38
1 Mar 1979 General Election 168 121 23 9 8 7

Voting preferences

Vote intention

Polls shown below show the recording of raw responses for each party as a percentage of total responses before disregarding those who opted to abstain and prior to the adjusting for the likely votes of those who were undecided to obtain an estimate of vote share. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded.

Date Polling Firm/Source Oth. No
party		 Und.
28 Oct 1982 General Election 5.3 37.7 3.2 20.7 2.9 1.5 2.3 6.4 20.0 0.0
16–19 Oct Sofemasa 4.9 38.8 4.7 18.8 2.1 1.5 3.0 6.4 5.8 14.0
12–15 Oct Sofemasa 4.3 36.6 17.5 41.6
12–14 Oct Emopública 5.0 34.0 2.0 12.0 2.3 9.7 5.0 30.0
9–14 Oct Alef 3.9 29.1 5.5 9.6 2.4 4.7 12.3 32.5
9–14 Oct PSOE 5.5 34.6 2.5 12.4 2.3 6.3 6.3 30.1
6–10 Oct Sofemasa 3.5 35.4 3.0 13.4 3.2 10.7 6.0 24.8
6 Oct PSOE 5.0 33.0 2.0 11.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 44.0
5 Oct CIS 4.8 24.5 2.6 9.2 1.6 1.0 1.3 3.3 5.7 46.0
1 Oct CIS 4.6 30.7 2.8 11.7 0.8 1.3 2.5 1.7 9.6 34.3
25–30 Sep Alef 4.2 27.4 4.1 9.5 3.0 6.6 14.4 30.8
24–30 Sep Sofemasa 3.2 34.0 3.4 9.8 1.5 14.1 7.4 26.6
5–19 Sep Alef 7.8 31.1 5.3 7.2 1.7 7.9 13.0 26.0
1 Sep CIS 6.7 27.9 2.2 11.6 1.3 1.0 2.8 3.8 9.8 32.9
24–30 Aug Sofemasa 5.6 33.5 3.7 7.8 1.6 3.8 6.0 38.0
6 Aug Alef 7.0 37.0 1.7 10.7 43.6
6 Aug Metra-6 6.7 39.2 1.7 11.2 7.9 33.3
8–12 Jul CIS 12.0 29.1 3.5 9.8 1.0 1.0 Did not exist 3.6 11.6 28.4
1 Jun CIS 9.8 30.5 2.5 9.4 1.3 0.6 3.2 11.9 30.8
1 Apr CIS 12.8 27.7 3.2 7.3 0.7 1.0 4.9 14.3 28.1
23–27 Mar CIS 12.6 24.9 3.2 8.1 1.3 1.3 3.7 11.8 33.1
23–27 Feb CIS 13.0 30.1 2.5 8.2 1.6 0.5 4.6 12.2 27.3
1 Jan CIS 11.8 28.4 3.5 8.2 1.3 0.8 3.7 11.7 30.6
1982
28–30 Nov CIS 11.0 25.0 3.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 Did not exist 5.0 12.0 35.0
1 Oct CIS 11.1 28.9 3.0 7.3 1.2 0.8 4.0 10.8 32.9
9–11 Sep CIS 11.6 26.2 2.9 3.3 1.9 1.9 4.1 11.9 36.2
1 Jul CIS 13.6 26.5 3.5 4.4 0.8 1.2 2.5 12.6 34.9
1 May CIS 15.0 24.5 3.7 4.0 1.7 2.2 3.4 10.0 35.5
4 Mar–23 Apr Gallup 18.7 39.2 4.0 7.5 2.4 1.0 4.9 4.6 17.7
1 Apr CIS 14.9 24.0 3.5 3.9 1.0 1.3 3.4 12.8 35.2
1 Mar CIS 14.8 22.9 3.3 4.8 1.3 1.0 3.4 11.4 37.1
1 Feb CIS 13.5 27.2 3.2 5.6 1.3 1.8 3.3 9.5 34.6
1 Jan CIS 13.3 19.6 4.4 4.8 0.6 0.9 3.5 15.1 37.8
1981
1 Dec CIS 13.2 22.2 3.5 4.9 1.4 1.1 Did not exist 4.4 12.3 37.0
1 Nov CIS 13.0 21.0 5.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 12.0 37.0
1 Oct CIS 15.7 16.8 3.3 4.9 1.3 1.5 4.5 12.7 39.3
1 Sep CIS 16.5 22.9 4.7 5.5 1.9 1.2 4.6 10.6 32.1
1 Jul CIS 13.4 20.2 4.8 4.0 1.2 1.2 5.5 8.5 41.2
1 Jun CIS 15.1 25.3 3.2 5.0 2.0 0.9 4.8 11.8 31.9
1 Apr CIS 16.4 18.8 3.8 4.5 1.9 2.2 5.7 12.4 34.3
1 Mar CIS 18.3 19.7 4.3 3.5 2.1 1.5 5.8 11.1 33.7
1 Feb CIS 22.0 31.0 8.0 4.0 11.0 6.0 18.0
1980
1 Dec CIS 27.0 26.0 7.0 4.0 9.0 5.0 22.0
1 Mar 1979 General Election 23.4 20.4 7.2 4.0 1.8 1.1 10.1 32.0 0.0
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