Opinion polling for the Spanish general election, 1996

In the run up to the Spanish general election of 1996, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Spain. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 6 June 1993, to the day the next election was held, on 3 March 1996.

National polling

Vote

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

1996

Date	Polling Firm/Source	PSOE	PP	IU	CiU	PNV	Oth.	Lead
3 Mar 1996	General Election	37.6	38.8	10.5	4.6	1.3	7.2	1.2
3 Mar	Sigma-2	33.7	41.1	11.4	4.2	1.6	8.0	7.4
3 Mar	ECO	34.8	40.2	11.2	4.4	1.4	8.0	5.4
3 Mar	Demoscopia	34.7	40.7	11.2	4.6	1.1	7.7	6.0
Exit polls
27 Feb–1 Mar	CIS	36.8	39.2	11.5	4.0	0.9	7.6	2.4
25 Feb	Metra-6	32.2	41.7	11.9	4.2	1.3	8.7	9.5
24 Feb	Sigma-2	31.4	42.3	12.2	4.2	1.5	8.4	10.9
16–22 Feb	Inner	36.1	40.6	11.9	4.4		7.0	4.5
17–21 Feb	Demoscopia	33.4	42.4	12.3	4.2	1.1	6.6	9.0
12–21 Feb	CIS	34.1	41.2	11.4	4.5	1.3	7.5	7.1
19–20 Feb	Opina	35.0	41.0	10.5	4.5	1.5	7.5	6.0
19 Feb	Metra-6[lower-alpha 1]	32.5	41.5	12.0	4.0		10.0	9.0
11–16 Feb	Vox Pública	33.5	41.2	11.7	4.5	1.3	7.8	7.7
1–10 Feb	Tábula-V	32.5	44.1	12.8	4.2	0.8	5.6	11.6
7–8 Feb	Sigma-2	31.5	41.8	11.9	4.2	1.3	9.3	10.3
3–7 Feb	Demoscopia	32.6	41.7	12.8	4.5	1.3	7.1	9.1
5–6 Feb	Opina	34.0	40.5	11.0	4.5	1.5	8.5	6.5
29 Jan–5 Feb	Tábula-V[lower-alpha 1]	29.8	40.0	14.3	4.9	1.1	9.9	10.2
3 Feb	PP	31.5	42.0	13.5	4.2	1.0	7.8	10.5
30–31 Jan	Vox Pública	31.8	42.5	12.0	4.4		9.3	10.7
11–31 Jan	Gallup	34.5	38.8	12.4	5.0	1.3	8.0	4.3
23–26 Jan	Tábula-V	30.0	43.0	11.0	5.5	1.5	9.0	13.0
21–25 Jan	Sigma-2	31.4	41.4	12.6	4.0	1.4	9.2	10.0
14 Jan	Demoscopia	33.8	40.5	12.2	4.5	1.1	7.9	6.7
10–14 Jan	CIS	33.7	40.6	11.0	4.4	1.3	9.0	6.9
10–11 Jan	Sigma-2	30.9	40.6	13.0	4.4	1.3	9.8	9.7
8–9 Jan	Opina	34.0	39.5	10.5	4.5	1.5	10.0	5.5
7 Jan	Gallup	32.7	39.0	12.9	4.6	0.9	9.9	6.3
3–4 Jan	Sigma-2	31.2	40.3	13.1	4.6	1.2	9.6	9.1

1995

Date	Polling Firm/Source	PSOE	PP	IU	CiU	PNV	Oth.	Lead
19–20 Dec	Sigma-2	31.5	40.2	13.3	4.7	1.2	9.1	8.7
18 Dec	Tábula-V	25.0	41.0	16.0			18.0	16.0
13–14 Dec	Sigma-2	30.2	41.3	13.6	4.7	1.2	9.0	11.1
9–14 Dec	CIS	33.7	40.5	11.9	5.0	1.3	7.6	6.8
21–23 Nov	Imagen & Opinión	32.7	42.4	12.8	4.5	1.2	6.4	9.7
8–13 Nov	CIS	32.1	39.4	13.3	5.1	1.3	8.8	7.3
25 Sep–8 Oct	PSOE[lower-alpha 1]	32.5	38.5				29.0	6.0
25 Sep–6 Oct	ECO	31.0	39.6	12.3	5.1		12.0	8.6
30 Sep–2 Oct	Demoscopia	30.0	41.0				29.0	11.0
13–17 Sep	CIS	31.9	40.2	12.7	5.2	1.3	8.7	8.3
13–14 Sep	Sigma-2	28.3	42.0	14.1	4.7	1.2	9.7	13.7
31 Jul	Sigma-2	29.3	41.7	13.5	4.6	1.3	9.6	12.4
12–17 Jul	CIS	31.7	41.5	13.0	4.5	1.2	8.1	9.8
25–30 Jun	CIS	32.3	42.2	12.0	4.4	1.2	7.9	9.9
8–19 Jun	CIS	31.6	41.8	13.3	5.0	1.3	7.0	10.2
25–31 May	CIS	32.0	42.6	12.3	4.4	1.3	7.4	10.6
9–16 May	Sigma-2	28.2	41.8	14.2	5.1		10.7	13.6
10–15 May	Demoscopia	27.0	43.0	15.0	4.7		10.3	16.0
25 Apr–2 May	Sigma-2	27.8	42.3				29.9	14.5
19–23 Apr	CIS	31.7	41.6	13.0	4.7	1.3	7.7	9.9
19–26 Mar	CIS	32.0	40.3	14.0	4.6	1.4	7.7	8.3
4–7 Mar	Demoscopia	30.7	38.1	15.5	4.2	1.3	10.2	7.4
22 Feb–2 Mar	Sigma-2	28.7	41.0	14.4	5.0	1.3	9.6	12.3
12–17 Feb	CIS	32.0	37.0	13.0	5.0		13.0	5.0
2–9 Feb	CIS	33.1	39.9	12.8	5.0	1.2	8.0	6.8
20–30 Jan	CIS	33.3	39.6	12.4	5.5	1.3	7.9	6.3
2–20 Jan	Gallup	30.9	39.6	13.3	5.5	1.4	9.3	8.7
12–17 Jan	CIS	33.0	39.4	13.6	4.9	1.3	7.8	6.4
31 Dec–2 Jan	Gruppo[lower-alpha 1]	28.0	41.0	17.0	4.7		9.3	13.0

1994

Date	Polling Firm/Source	PSOE	PP	IU	CiU	PNV	Oth.	Lead
14–19 Dec	CIS	34.8	37.1	13.0	5.3	1.3	8.5	2.3
11–13 Dec	Demoscopia	30.7	38.2	15.7			15.4	7.5
1–13 Dec	CIS	35.5	37.8	12.4	4.8	1.2	8.3	2.3
11 Dec	Sigma-2	28.5	40.8	16.3	4.8	1.2	8.4	12.3
28 Nov–2 Dec	Tábula-V	24.0	40.0	19.0			17.0	16.0
12–16 Nov	CIS	35.1	37.2	12.9	5.0	1.3	8.5	2.1
7–16 Nov	OTR	28.2	41.3	15.2	4.9	1.2	9.2	13.1
19–24 Oct	CIS	35.3	37.4	12.1	5.0	1.5	8.7	2.1
5–6 Oct	Gruppo[lower-alpha 1]	31.5	40.5	14.5	4.5		9.0	9.0
29 Sep–1 Oct	Opina	35.0	37.0	15.0	5.0	1.5	6.5	2.0
26–30 Sep	OTR	29.8	39.6	14.7	4.9	1.4	9.6	9.8
5 Sep	Sigma-2	29.6	41.2	14.3	4.9	1.5	8.5	11.6
27 Jun–13 Jul	OTR	28.4	41.6	14.7	5.1	1.2	9.0	13.2
1–5 Jul	CIS	31.1	40.2	14.9	4.5	1.3	8.0	9.1
12 Jun 1994	EP Election	30.8	40.1	13.4	4.7	1.3	9.7	9.3
3–4 Jun	Sigma-2	30.6	40.2	13.7			15.5	9.6
31 May–2 Jun	Vox Pública	30.5	40.7	15.2	4.1		9.5	10.2
30 May–1 Jun	Opina	34.0	39.0	14.0	5.0	1.5	6.5	5.0
28–30 May	Gruppo	31.1	39.2	14.4	5.0		10.3	8.1
7–10 May	Gruppo	31.7	38.5	14.0	4.7		11.1	6.8
8–11 Apr	Opina	36.0	38.0	12.0	5.0	1.5	7.5	2.0
3 Apr	OTR	34.5	37.8	11.6			16.1	3.3
23–24 Mar	Sigma-2	34.4	37.7	11.2	4.5		12.2	3.3
19 Jan	IOPE-ETMAR	31.0	36.2	11.0	5.7	1.4	14.7	5.2
2 Jan	Sigma-2	36.0	36.5	11.6	4.8	1.3	9.8	0.5

1993

Date	Polling Firm/Source	PSOE	PP	IU	CiU	PNV	Oth.	Lead
6 Jun 1993	General Election	38.8	34.8	9.6	4.9	1.2	10.7	4.0

Seat projections

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 176 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Congress of Deputies.

176 seats needed for majority

Date	Polling Firm/Source	PSOE	PP	IU	CiU	PNV	Others
3 Mar 1996	General Election	141	156	21	16	5	11
3 Mar	Sigma-2	120−132	164−174	22−25	13−14	6−7	11
3 Mar	ECO	125−135	160−171	22−25	14−15	6−7	9−11
3 Mar	Demoscopia	124−131	167−174	19−24	14−15	5−6	11−12
Exit polls
25 Feb	Metra-6	116−130	173−181	20−27	14−16	5−6	7−12
24 Feb	Sigma-2	113−123	170−179	25−29	14−15	6−7	7−8
16–22 Feb	Inner	136−142	158−166	21−22	14−15	5	7
17–21 Feb	Demoscopia	118−128	170−178	24−27	13−15	5−6	8−9
19–20 Feb	Opina	135−145	160−170	19−21	14−15	5−6	7−8
19 Feb	Metra-6	120−128	170−175	23−29	14	5	8−10
11–16 Feb	Vox Pública	119−129	165−175	18−27	14−16	5	7−11
14 Feb	ABC	118−119	172	30−31	13	7	9
1–10 Feb	Tábula-V	117−125	176−184	22−28	13−14	4−5	6−8
5–6 Feb	Opina	135−140	160−170	19−21	13−15	5−6	6−8
29 Jan–5 Feb	Tábula-V	108−123	168−172	24−35	15−17	5−6	9
23–26 Jan	Tábula-V	117	181	22	18	4	8
10–11 Jan	Sigma-2	115−120	167−174	27−30	15−17	5	11−14
8–9 Jan	Opina	135−145	155−165	20−22	14−16	4−5	9−10
3–4 Jan	Sigma-2	115−120	165−173	29−30	16−17	5	10−12
1996
19–20 Dec	Sigma-2	115−123	165−173	29−30	16−17	5	8−11
21–23 Nov	Imagen & Opinión	127	172	25	14	5	7
9–16 May	Sigma-2	106	177	33	18	5	11
25 Apr–2 May	Sigma-2	107	175				68
22 Feb–2 Mar	Sigma-2	110	170	35	18	5	12
31 Dec–2 Jan	Gruppo	110−119	162−170	30−34	14−17		21−23
1995
12 Jun 1994	EP Election	(115)	(170)	(30)	(19)	(5)	(11)
1994
6 Jun 1993	General Election	159	141	18	17	5	10

Voting preferences

Vote intention

Polls shown below show the recording of raw responses for each party as a percentage of total responses before disregarding those who opted to abstain and prior to the adjusting for the likely votes of those who were undecided to obtain an estimate of vote share. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded.

Date	Polling Firm/Source	PSOE	PP	IU	CiU	PNV	Others	No party	Und.
3 Mar 1996	General Election	29.0	29.9	8.1	3.5	1.0	5.9	22.6	0.0
27 Feb–1 Mar	CIS	26.7	23.9	9.5	3.1	0.7	6.0	5.4	24.7
12–21 Feb	CIS	24.2	25.6	9.3	3.6	0.8	5.8	6.6	24.1
17 Feb	ASEP	26.0	22.4	10.0			10.1	6.3	25.2
15–20 Jan	ASEP	24.5	25.1	10.0			10.8	7.7	21.9
10–14 Jan	CIS	24.2	25.8	8.5	2.9	1.0	7.5	7.3	22.8
1996
11–16 Dec	ASEP	22.5	25.2	11.4			9.4	9.3	22.2
9–14 Dec	CIS	24.4	25.4	10.1	2.7	0.6	6.9	7.6	22.3
13–17 Nov	ASEP	22.4	23.4	10.6			10.9	9.9	22.8
8–13 Nov	CIS	20.6	21.3	10.1	3.4	0.9	8.7	8.2	26.8
17–22 Oct	CIS	21.0	24.1	11.1	3.3	0.6	7.0	8.3	24.6
16–21 Oct	ASEP	19.0	22.0	11.8			11.7	11.3	24.2
30 Sep–2 Oct	Demoscopia	16.4	22.8	9.4	2.8		10.4	38.2
18–23 Sep	ASEP	19.8	24.2	9.3			11.9	11.4	23.4
13–17 Sep	CIS	20.0	23.2	10.3	3.3	0.7	6.1	8.7	27.7
9 Jul	Demoscopia	14.7	26.8				58.5
3–8 Jul	ASEP	23.0	29.5	12.3			13.3	6.4	15.5
25–30 Jun	CIS	19.8	27.5	10.3	2.9	0.8	7.3	6.6	24.8
8–19 Jun	CIS	22.7	27.6	11.0	3.4	0.9	5.2	5.7	23.5
5–10 Jun	ASEP	21.7	26.1	11.4			14.3	6.6	19.9
25–31 May	CIS	21.6	27.1	10.4	3.2	0.8	6.4	6.8	23.7
8–13 May	ASEP	23.6	23.7	10.6			10.3	8.4	23.4
19–23 Apr	CIS	19.0	25.4	11.6	2.7	0.9	6.7	9.1	24.6
21 Apr	Demoscopia	14.3	33.3				52.4
4–18 Apr	CIS	19.7	21.7	10.1	3.2	1.0	7.4	7.8	29.1
3–8 Apr	ASEP	22.2	22.9	12.2			12.1	10.7	19.9
19–26 Mar	CIS	21.1	24.9	12.3	2.8	1.2	6.8	8.7	22.2
6–11 Mar	ASEP	20.9	23.9	14.3			11.9	9.3	19.7
8–9 Mar	CIS	15.1	23.0	12.9	4.3	1.2	16.7	8.2	18.6
4–7 Mar	Demoscopia	19.6	26.5				53.9
2–13 Feb	CIS	22.4	20.4	10.6	3.2	0.9	7.4	10.2	24.9
9–11 Feb	CIS	19.2	23.5	11.7	3.0	0.4	6.7	9.9	25.6
6–11 Feb	ASEP	21.1	22.0	15.6			11.9	8.8	20.6
2–9 Feb	CIS	21.0	21.9	10.4	3.3	0.8	6.9	8.8	26.9
20–30 Jan	CIS	17.0	19.8	9.3	3.2	0.8	5.8	10.9	33.2
12–17 Jan	CIS	23.2	21.6	11.4	3.4	1.2	6.5	9.2	23.5
9–14 Jan	ASEP	20.8	20.2	13.3			11.2	12.3	22.2
1995
14–19 Dec	CIS	18.9	19.5	11.8	3.3	0.9	6.2	10.0	29.4
1–13 Dec	CIS	22.2	22.7	10.3	3.1	0.7	6.4	9.4	25.2
5–10 Dec	ASEP	27.0	20.2	10.8			10.6	11.5	19.9
19–24 Nov	CIS	19.3	15.4	8.6	2.5	0.8	7.3	14.1	32.0
12–16 Nov	CIS	21.5	20.9	9.9	3.1	0.5	7.1	11.0	26.0
7–12 Nov	ASEP	21.0	22.0	13.2			12.0	12.8	19.0
19–24 Oct	CIS	19.6	20.0	9.1	3.3	0.8	7.3	11.3	28.6
10–15 Oct	ASEP	20.6	21.2	12.1			13.2	11.3	21.6
2 Oct	Demoscopia	20.2	20.0	8.1			11.9	39.8
20–26 Sep	CIS	21.9	20.9	11.8	3.8	1.2	6.3	10.1	24.0
12–17 Sep	ASEP	21.3	22.7	12.3			11.0	11.9	20.8
5–11 Sep	CIS	18.8	20.4	9.6	2.9	0.5	5.2	10.9	31.7
11–16 Jul	ASEP	21.0	22.9	14.2			12.9	10.2	18.8
1–5 Jul	CIS	20.4	26.2	12.4	3.4	1.1	6.3	9.5	20.7
3 Jul	Demoscopia	20.1	25.7	13.3			12.3	28.6
13–18 Jun	ASEP	20.3	25.6	13.1			13.4	7.1	20.5
16–21 May	ASEP	22.1	19.0	13.1			14.5	10.3	21.0
7–9 May	CIS	16.8	20.3	8.2	2.6	0.2	11.0	9.0	31.9
18–22 Apr	ASEP	19.3	22.6	12.4			12.1	12.7	20.9
6–11 Apr	CIS	18.1	19.1	8.9	2.8	0.5	5.7	14.0	30.9
27 Mar	Demoscopia	17.2	22.0	9.2	2.7	1.3	47.6
18–24 Mar	CIS	18.4	18.2	8.8	2.9	0.4	4.7	9.5	37.1
14–19 Mar	ASEP	21.0	21.2	10.0			12.4	10.5	24.9
22–28 Feb	CIS	19.3	21.1	7.7	3.4	0.8	5.1	11.2	31.4
14–19 Feb	ASEP	18.8	23.3	12.4			13.4	12.3	19.8
17–21 Jan	ASEP	21.3	20.8	10.5			14.5	12.3	20.6
12–17 Jan	CIS	21.6	20.2	7.6	3.2	0.7	4.5	9.8	32.4
1994
16–21 Dec	CIS	18.5	18.6	8.0	2.8	0.6	5.6	10.5	35.4
19 Dec	Demoscopia	20.8	22.6	7.4	2.9		9.2	37.1
7–11 Dec	ASEP	21.8	23.2	9.4			12.6	10.2	22.8
26 Nov–1 Dec	CIS	19.3	17.5	8.3	4.1	1.2	4.1	11.4	34.1
8–13 Nov	ASEP	21.7	21.3	9.7			12.9	11.5	22.9
24 Oct	Demoscopia	28.3	23.9	9.9	3.7		5.7	28.5
13–17 Oct	CIS	23.7	18.7	8.2	3.8	1.0	5.8	8.5	30.3
11–16 Oct	ASEP	23.6	21.2	10.4			15.0	10.8	19.0
21–27 Sep	CIS	26.5	16.5	9.8	3.0	0.9	4.8	8.5	30.0
13–18 Sep	ASEP	23.7	19.4	10.2			14.0	10.2	22.5
24–29 Jul	CIS	31.4	17.3	8.0	3.6	0.6	5.5	7.2	26.4
16–20 Jul	Demoscopia	33.1	24.4	8.6			11.7	22.2
12–17 Jul	ASEP	29.2	22.9	13.4			11.7	6.7	16.1
25–29 Jun	CIS	29.4	20.5	8.0	3.8	0.6	4.8	8.9	24.0
14–19 Jun	ASEP	34.0	21.3	9.9			13.7	3.9	17.2
6 Jun 1993	General Election	29.5	26.4	7.3	3.8	0.9	8.5	23.6	0.0

Notes

1. This survey provides data ranges and approximations. In order to simplify, the average of those ranges is given.