Opinion polling for the next Greek legislative election

In the run up to the next Greek legislative election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Greece. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 20 September 2015, to the present day. The next election is scheduled to be held no later than 20 October 2019.

Vote estimations

Graphical summary

Poll results

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

Polls that show their results without disregarding those respondents who are undecided or said they will abstain from voting (either physically or by voting blank) have been re-calculated by disregarding undecided and/or abstaining voters from the totals offered through a simple rule of three, in order to obtain results comparable to other polls and the official election results.

Polling Firm/Link Date of
Polling
PASOK-DIMAR KKE Potami ANEL LAEN Margin
of Error
Sample
Size
Lead
Kapa Research April 14, 2016 27.0 31.4 8.0 8.7 7.2 2.7 3.7 3.8 ±3.1 pp 1,005 4.4
Pulse RC April 13, 2016 28.0 35.0 7.5 6.5 6.5 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.0 ±2.8 pp 1,208 7.0
Bridging Europe March 31, 2016 33.6 23.4 10.2 6.1 10.1 1.9 4.5 2.7 3.8 ±2.5 pp 1,059 10.2
PAMAK March 30, 2016 21.5 32.5 8.5 5.5 8.5 3.5 3.5 5.5 2.0 ±3.1 pp 1,026 11.0
Alco March 17, 2016 25.7 31.4 9.1 5.3 7.4 2.7 3.3 3.9 3.3 ±3.1 pp 1,000 5.7
Rass March 4, 2016 28.6 32.0 7.8 6.5 7.6 2.8 3.4 5.7 2.4 3.4
Metron Analysis February 26, 2016 27.7 33.9 7.3 6.0 6.7 3.1 3.3 5.3 3.0 6.2
PAMAK February 24, 2016 23.0 31.5 8.0 6.0 7.0 2.5 3.5 6.0 2.5 ±2.8 pp 1,205 8.5
MRB February 11, 2016 27.4 31.8 7.7 6.7 7.8 3.1 3.5 4.8 2.8 ±2.2 pp 2,000 4.4
Kapa Research January 21, 2016 29.0 30.9 8.6 6.1 7.9 3.1 4.3 3.6 2.5 ±3.1 pp 1,003 1.9
Bridging Europe January 20, 2016 34.0 22.9 9.6 5.8 9.8 2.6 4.3 3.3 4.0 ±2.5 pp 1,135 11.1
Pulse RC January 19, 2016 29.5 34.5 6.5 5.5 6.5 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.5 ±2.8 pp 1,207 5.0
Metron Analysis January 16, 2016 29.1 34.5 6.7 6.0 6.7 3.2 3.1 3.9 3.4 5.4
Alco January 15, 2016 27.9 33.0 8.1 4.8 8.4 2.5 2.9 4.0 2.0 ±3.1 pp 1,000 5.1
MRB December 22, 2015 28.6 27.4 8.4 7.1 8.2 3.9 4.2 4.5 3.9 ±3.2 pp 1,003 1.2
ProRata December 16, 2015 29.0 27.5 9.5 6.0 8.5 3.5 3.0 4.5 3.5 ±3 pp 1,000 1.5
Bridging Europe December 4, 2015 35.8 18.3 9.2 6.0 8.6 2.9 5.0 3.9 3.9 ±2.5 pp 1,115 17.5
Kapa Research November 26, 2015 30.8 24.9 9.3 7.5 7.4 3.7 3.5 3.8 3.2 ±3.1 pp 1,006 5.9
Legislative Election September 20, 2015 35.5 28.1 7.0 6.3 5.6 4.1 3.7 3.4 2.9 7.4

Parliamentary seat projections

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 151 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Hellenic Parliament.

151 seats needed for a majority
Polling Firm/Link Date of
Polling
PASOK-DIMAR KKE Potami ANEL LAEN
Kapa Research April 14, 2016 75 138 22 24 20 0 10 11 0
Pulse RC April 13, 2016 79 148 21 17 17 0 0 9 9
Bridging Europe March 31, 2016 141 64 28 17 28 0 12 0 10
PAMAK March 30, 2016 62 142 24 15 24 9 9 15 0
Alco March 17, 2016 72 138 25 15 21 0 9 11 9
Rass March 4, 2016 78 137 21 18 21 0 9 16 0
Metron Analysis February 26, 2016 72 138 19 16 17 8 8 14 8
PAMAK February 24, 2016 68 143 23 17 22 0 10 17 0
MRB February 11, 2016 74 136 21 18 21 8 9 13 0
Kapa Research January 21, 2016 78 133 23 16 21 8 11 10 0
Bridging Europe January 20, 2016 141 61 26 15 26 0 11 9 11
Pulse RC January 19, 2016 82 146 19 16 19 0 0 9 9
Metron Analysis January 16, 2016 75 139 17 16 17 9 8 10 9
Alco January 15, 2016 81 146 23 14 24 0 0 12 0
MRB December 22, 2015 124 71 22 18 22 10 11 12 10
ProRata December 16, 2015 129 75 25 16 23 10 0 12 10
Bridging Europe December 4, 2015 149 50 25 16 24 0 14 11 11
Kapa Research November 26, 2015 132 66 25 20 20 10 9 10 8
Legislative Election September 20, 2015 145 75 18 17 15 11 10 9 0

Voting preferences

Polls shown below show the recording of raw responses for each party as a percentage of total responses before disregarding those who opted to abstain and prior to the adjusting for the likely votes of those who were undecided to obtain an estimate of vote share. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded.

Polling Firm/Link Date of
Polling
PASOK-DIMAR KKE Potami ANEL LAEN Other Question
Kapa Research April 14, 2016 18.4 21.4 5.4 6.0 4.9 1.8 2.5 2.6 5.1 31.9
Pulse RC April 13, 2016 22.0 27.5 6.0 5.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 2.5 2.5 4.0 21.5
Bridging Europe March 31, 2016 24.6 17.1 7.5 4.5 7.4 1.4 3.3 2.0 2.8 2.6 26.8
PAMAK March 30, 2016 16.5 24.5 6.5 4.0 6.5 2.5 2.5 4.0 1.5 7.5 24.0
Alco March 17, 2016 17.3 21.1 6.1 3.6 5.0 1.8 2.2 2.6 2.2 5.4 32.7
Rass March 4, 2016 23.4 26.2 6.4 5.3 6.2 2.3 2.8 4.7 2.0 2.5 18.4
Metron Analysis February 26, 2016 19.4 23.7 5.1 4.2 4.7 2.2 2.3 3.7 2.1 2.6 30.0
PAMAK February 24, 2016 17.5 24.0 6.0 4.5 5.5 2.0 2.5 4.5 2.0 7.5 24.0
MRB February 11, 2016 23.2 26.9 6.5 5.7 6.6 2.6 3.0 4.1 2.4 3.7 15.3
Kapa Research January 21, 2016 19.5 20.8 5.8 4.1 5.3 2.1 2.9 2.4 1.7 2.7 32.7
Bridging Europe January 20, 2015 24.7 16.6 7.0 4.2 7.1 1.9 3.1 2.4 2.9 2.7 27.4
Pulse RC January 19, 2016 24.0 28.0 5.5 4.5 5.5 2.0 2.0 2.5 3.0 4.0 19.0
Metron Analysis January 16, 2016 19.9 23.6 4.6 4.1 4.6 2.2 2.1 2.7 2.3 2.4 31.5
Alco January 15, 2016 18.0 21.3 5.2 3.1 5.4 1.6 1.9 2.6 1.3 4.1 35.5
MRB December 22, 2015 17.0 16.3 5.0 4.2 4.9 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.3 2.3 40.5
ProRata December 16, 2015 20.0 19.0 6.5 4.0 6.0 2.5 2.0 3.0 2.5 3.5 31.0
Bridging Europe December 4, 2015 25.8 13.2 6.6 4.3 6.2 2.1 3.6 2.8 2.8 4.7 27.9
Kapa Research November 26, 2015 18.4 14.9 5.6 4.5 4.4 2.2 2.1 2.3 1.9 3.5 40.2

Likelihood of victory

The following table shows opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a general election taking place.

Polling Firm/Link Last Date
of Polling
Question Margin
of Error
Sample
Size
Kapa Research April 14, 2016 27.6 57.2 15.2 ±3.1 pp 1,005
Pulse RC April 13, 2016 32 50 11 ±2.8 pp 1,208
PAMAK March 30, 2016 20.5 50.5 22.0 ±3.1 pp 1,026
Metron Analysis February 26, 2016 25 59 13
MRB February 11, 2016 28.1 41.1 4.2 ±2.2 pp 2,000
Kapa Research January 21, 2016 30.0 48.9 21.1 ±3.1 pp 1,003
Pulse RC January 19, 2016 40 44 11 ±2.8 pp 1,207
Metron Analysis January 16, 2016 41 42
MRB December 22, 2015 38.8 30.5 14.2 ±3.2 pp 1,003
Kapa Research November 26, 2015 54.6 12.2 33.2 ±3.1 pp 1,006

Leadership polls

Approval ratings

Poll results showing approval ratings for the different Greek political leaders are shown in the following tables.

Color key:

      Alexis Tsipras       Kyriakos Mitsotakis       Ioannis Plakiotakis       Vangelis Meimarakis       Nikolaos Michaloliakos       Fofi Gennimata       Dimitris Koutsoumpas       Stavros Theodorakis       Panos Kammenos       Vassilis Leventis

Polling Firm/Link Last Date
of Polling
PASOK-DIMAR KKE Potami
Public Issue March 16, 2016 29 44 11 36 35 32 23 39
PAMAK February 24, 2016 23.0 25.5 5.0 14.0 17.5 13.0 12.5 27.0
Public Issue February 17, 2016 27 46 9 32 38 34 21 47
MRB February 11, 2016 22.4 27.6 7.0 11.5 10.4 10.1 10.1 20.8
Public Issue January 26, 2016 30 55 12 33 35 32 21 38
PAMAK January 20, 2016 23.0 35.0 7.5 19.0 24.0 17.0 13.5 28.0
Pulse RC January 19, 2016 35 52 10 33 33 30 25 36
Public Issue December 16, 2015 40 29 12 42 38 38 28 45
Public Issue November 11, 2015 40 48 10 38 35 32 31 45
Public Issue October 21, 2015 51 56 9 44 42 38 33 49
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