Opinion polling for the next Polish parliamentary election

In the run up to the next Polish parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Poland. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 25 October 2015, to the present day. The next general election is scheduled to be held not later than November 2019, though it may be held earlier if a snap election is called.

Graphical summary

Poll results

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

Polling Firm/Link Last Date
of Polling		 Others Lead
IBRiS / Onet April 29, 2016 34.0 16.0 8.4 22.5 3.5 5.1+0.0ʷ 1.4 1.9 7.2 11.5
Pollster April 28, 2016 28 12 9 20 3 6+0ʷ 4 3 15 8
Millward Brown April 28, 2016 33 15 7+1* 22 3 4+0ʷ 4 3 8 11
IBRiS April 14, 2016[1] 30.9 12.8 13.1 20.4 4.6 4.6+0.0ʷ 2.7 3.0 7.9 10.5
TNS Poland April 13, 2016 34 18 8 9 3 3+2ʷ 2 2 19 16
TNS Poland / "GW" April 13, 2016 32 15 12 17 3 4+0ʷ 4 3 10 15
IBRiS / "Rz" April 8, 2016[2] 27.6 15.0 11.7 21.9 4.6 4.6+0.0ʷ 4.9 3.1 6.6 5.7
Pollster April 7, 2016 26 12 10 19 2 6+0ʷ 4 5 16 7
CBOS April 7, 2016 38 13 8 18 3 4+0ʷ 2 3 11 20
IBRiS / Onet April 1, 2016[3] 29.3 14.3 11.5 22.7 2.4 4.1+0.0ʷ 5.0 4.6 6.1 6.6
Millward Brown March 23, 2016 29 17 10 18 3 6+0ʷ 5 5 7 11
CBOS March 19, 2016 34 14 12 16 3 4+0ʷ 6 2 9 18
IBRiS March 17, 2016[4] 33.5 15.7 6.7 23.5 3.3 5.4+0.0ʷ 2.5 3.7 5.7 10.0
TNS Poland / "GW" March 16, 2016 26 15 14 19 2 3+1ʷ 5 4 11 7
IBRiS / "Rz" March 12, 2016[5] 32.9 18.9 8.3 22.1 3.6 4.7+0.0ʷ 2.1 2.3 5.1 10.8
TNS Poland March 9, 2016[6] 38 12 9 13 5 3+0ʷ 2 1 17 25
CBOS March 9, 2016 37 18 8 17 3 3+0ʷ 2 2 10 19
IBRiS / Onet March 4, 2016[7] 33.9 17.9 7.4 23.5 2.9 4.2+0.0ʷ 2.7 3.2 4.3 10.4
Millward Brown February 26, 2016 32 17 8 22 2 4+0ʷ 3 3 9 10
Pollster February 23, 2016 27 11 11 22 5 5+0ʷ 4 3 12 5
Dobra Opinia February 16, 2016 34.5 18.0 11.6+0.8* 18.4 4.2 4.8+0.0ʷ 4.0 3.1 0.7 16.1
IBRiS / "Rz" February 13, 2016[8] 30.5 14.4 8.6 23.7 3.6 4.8+0.0ʷ 2.7 2.2 9.5 6.8
TNS Poland February 10, 2016[9] 40 15 9 13 5 2+1ʷ 3 2 10 25
CBOS February 10, 2016 34 14 11 19 2 3+0ʷ 3 2 12 15
Pollster February 8, 2016 26 12 10 21 4 4+0ʷ 3 3 17 5
PAS-P February 6, 2016 39 14 19 7 3.5 3 7.5 2 5 20
IBRiS / Onet February 5, 2016[10] 30.3 15.2 6.9 26.2 4.6 5.7+0.0ʷ 3.6 2.7 4.8 4.1
TNS Poland / "GW" January 31, 2016 28 19 8 22 4 19 6
TNS Poland / "Fakt" January 28, 2016 31.2 21.1 9.5 24.4 2.0 3.5 4.2 3.5 0.6 6.8
CBOS January 28, 2016 36 14 11 18 2 3+1ʷ 4 2 9 18
TNS Poland January 27, 2016[11] 37 17 10 13 4 4 4 1 10 20
TNS Poland January 20, 2016 38 16 11 15 3 2 3 2 10 22
Pollster January 18, 2016 27 12 8 24 4 5 4 3 13 3
IBRiS / "Rz" January 16, 2016[12] 31.6 13.6 4.8 28.2 4.6 5.0+0ʷ 2.9 1.7 7.6 3.4
Millward Brown January 14, 2016 30 14 9 27 2 5+0ʷ 4 1 8 3
CBOS January 14, 2016 39 13 9 22 2 2+1ʷ 3 3 6 17
PressMix January 9, 2016 48 7 5 9 2 1+0ʷ 1 4 23 36
IBRiS / Onet January 7, 2016[13] 27.3 16.2 7.0 29.6 4.5 5.4 3.3 2.2 4.5 2.3
PAS-P December 20, 2015 38 16 21 6 6 4 4 3 2 17
IBRiS / "WP" December 17, 2015[14] 27.9 12.7 7.7 30.8 3.8 6.1 5.0 1.9 4.1 2.9
Millward Brown December 17, 2015 33 14 6 28 4 4+0ʷ 4 1 6 5
IBRiS / "SE" December 15, 2015[15] 27.3 14.4 7.9 30.9 5.6 5.3 3.9 1.6 3.1 3.6
IBRiS / "Rz" December 12, 2015[16] 29.8 14.8 5.3 25.3 5.7 7.4 5.7 1.7 4.3 4.5
TNS Poland / "GW" December 11, 2015 27 16 12 24 4 6 4 7 3
IPSOS December 11, 2015 33 17 6 18 3 6 6 2 9 15
CBOS December 10, 2015 35 15 8 21 3 3+1ʷ 3 3 8 14
TNS Poland December 9, 2015[17] 42 17 12 10 3 4 2 1 9 25
PressMix December 6, 2015 45 10 10 12 4 3 3 6 7 33
IBRiS / Onet December 5, 2015[18] 31.8 18.0 6.1 20.0 6.4 7.9 3.7 1.3 4.8 11.8
Millward Brown December 3, 2015 32 19 7 20 4 6 4 2 6 12
IBRiS / "Rz" November 28, 2015[19] 34.6 14.8 7.0 22.8 4.9 5.4 5.4 1.5 3.6 11.8
Estymator November 27, 2015 42 16 8 17 4 4 4 3 2 25
IPSOS November 19, 2015 35 18 10 10 4 4 6 3 10 17
Millward Brown November 18, 2015 35 22 7 9 5 7 5 4 6 13
IBRiS / "Rz" November 14, 2015[20] 35.3 19.6 6.9 13.8 5.1 7.8 4.0 2.9 4.6 15.7
TNS Poland November 12, 2015[21] 44 17 9 8 4 5 3 1 9 27
IBRiS / Onet November 6, 2015[22] 34.4 19.9 7.6 13.5 5.0 8.9 3.8 4.2 2.7 14.5
IBRiS / "Rz" November 3, 2015[23] 35.7 19.0 10.4 11.8 4.1 5.8 3.6 5.1 4.5 16.7
General Election October 25, 2015 37.6 24.1 8.8 7.6 5.1 7.6 4.8 3.6 0.8 13.5

ʷ - Poll results are given separately for the Democratic Left Alliance and Your Movement. Support for the United Left coalition is not tested in this poll.

* - Poll asked about support for the National Movement, which is allied with Kukiz'15.

References

  1. ↑ Fakt24.pl, Wielka porażka Schetyny. Nawet Kukiz ma lepsze notowania
  2. ↑ Ewybory.eu, Sondaż IBRiS dla „Rzeczpospolitej” (09.04.2016)
  3. ↑ Onet.pl, Wiadomości, Sondaż IBRiS dla Onetu. Liderem partia Jarosława Kaczyńskiego
  4. ↑ Ewybory.eu, Sondaż IBRiS (17.03.2016)
  5. ↑ Ewybory, Sondaż IBRiS dla “Rzeczpospolitej” (12.03.2016)
  6. ↑ Rzeczpospolita, Sondaż: PiS z ogromną przewagą nad opozycją
  7. ↑ Onet.pl, Wiadomości, Sondaż IBRiS dla Onetu: PiS umacnia się na prowadzeniu
  8. ↑ Rzeczpospolita.pl, Sondaż: Co trzeci Polak wybiera PiS
  9. ↑ Gazeta.pl, Sondaż TNS Polska: Rośnie poparcie dla PiS. Pięć ugrupowań powyżej progu
  10. ↑ Onet.pl, Wiadomości, Sondaż IBRiS dla Onetu. PiS nadal na prowadzeniu
  11. ↑ TVN24, Nowy sondaż: PiS na szczycie z gigantyczną przewagą
  12. ↑ RP.pl, PiS na czele, Nowoczesna goni
  13. ↑ Onet.pl, Wiadomości, Sondaż IBRiS dla Onetu: niespodziewany lider, PiS na drugim miejscu
  14. ↑ WP.pl, Sondaż: Tomasz Siemoniak wygrałby z Grzegorzem Schetyną w wyborach wewnętrznych w PO
  15. ↑ Super Express, SE.pl, Sensacyjny SONDAŻ IBRiS dla Super Expressu: Petru WYPRZEDZIŁ Kaczyńskiego
  16. ↑ RP.pl, Sondaż: PiS traci poparcie. Petru zyskuje
  17. ↑ WP Wiadomości, Sondaż TNS Polska: 42 proc. chcących głosować popiera PiS, 17 proc. PO
  18. ↑ Onet.pl, Wiadomości, Sondaż IBRiS dla Onetu: Prawo i Sprawiedliwość zdecydowanym liderem
  19. ↑ Sondaż: PiS stabilnie, Nowoczesna nową PO
  20. ↑ RP.pl Duża przewaga PiS. Petru goni PO
  21. ↑ TVN24, Sondaż: PiS wygrywa z PO jeszcze wyraźniej niż 25 października]
  22. ↑ Onet.pl, Wiadomości, Pierwszy powyborczy sondaż IBRiS dla Onetu: liderzy tracą
  23. ↑ RP.pl, Sondaż: Petru szybko goni Platformę

External links

Parlamentarny.pl - List of all polls

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