Wyoming Rule

The Wyoming Rule is a proposal to increase the size of the United States House of Representatives so that the standard representative-to-population ratio would be that of the smallest entitled unit, which is currently Wyoming.[1] Under Article I of the U.S. Constitution, each U.S. state is guaranteed at least one representative. If the disparity between the population of the most and least populous states continues to grow, the disproportionality of the House will continue to increase unless the House (whose size has been fixed at 435 since 1913) is expanded.

There are two ways of determining the Wyoming Rule size of the House. One is by dividing the total population of the United States by the population of the smallest unit, which is then rounded to the nearest whole number, and this number of seats will be divided proportionally between states. The other method is dividing the populations of individual states by the population of the smallest one and then rounding those numbers to the nearest whole number. In this article, the latter method will be used unless otherwise specified.

A total of 568 House seats would have been required to implement the Wyoming Rule based on the 2000 Census results.[2] However, the decade leading up to the 2010 United States Census saw Wyoming's population increase at a greater rate than that of the U.S. as a whole; as a result, the required House size to implement the Wyoming Rule was reduced to 545.

The wide disparity in population among the states combines with the cap on House membership to lessen the effective representation for people who live in more populated states. The most glaring example is California, which, according to the 2010 Census, had a population (37,253,956), approximately 66.1 times that of Wyoming (563,626). Yet, because of the cap on House membership, California has only 53 representatives to Wyoming's one. Therefore, under the Wyoming Rule, California would have 13 more House members than it currently has. Another example of the dilution of voting power can be seen by comparing the most populous state with only one representative, Montana, to Wyoming. A vote by one of the 989,415 residents of Montana is worth only 0.5697 of the vote of a resident of neighboring Wyoming.

While a larger House size will generally result in the smallest and largest districts being proportionally closer in size, this is not always the case. Therefore, in some cases, the Wyoming Rule may actually result in an increase in the ratio of the sizes of the largest and smallest districts. For instance, after the 1990 Census and with a House size of 435, the largest district (Montana's at-large district) had 799,065 residents, 76% larger than the smallest district (Wyoming's at-large district with 453,588 residents). The Wyoming Rule would have given a House size of 547 in 1990 if the former method of seat apportionment been used. With that size, the largest district (North Dakota's at-large district) would have had 638,800 residents, 92% larger than the smallest districts (Delaware's two districts, at approximately 333,084 residents each).

In the current House (2010 Census)

If the Wyoming Rule were to be implemented using the population numbers from the 2010 Census, these would be the numbers of members given to the respective states.

Delaware, with 2 seats (and an average of 448,967 people per seat) have the most seats per capita. South Dakota's lone seat (814,180 people per seat) have cost the most people. This gives a ratio of 1 to 1.81345 between greatest and smallest cost per seat. By comparison, it would be 1 to 1.88000 for the current 1 seat of Montana (989,415 per seat), and Rhode Islands 2 seats (526,284 per seat).

Note that North Dakota and South Dakota get 1 representative each, but would be given 3 if they were to merge into one state. This is due to both of them having more residents per representative than the national average. South Dakota fall just a few thousand people short of getting an extra representative on their own, having roughly 1.44 times the population of Wyoming.

Other states just short of getting an extra vote in the House include Alaska, Hawaii, Maine, and New Hampshire, who all pay more than 650,000 people per representative. In the other end of the scale, states like Delaware, Idaho, Montana, and New Mexico just manage to secure an extra seat in Congress, having below 525,000 people per representative each.

State Seats Pop. per seat Seat change Notes
Alabama 8 597,467 +1
Alaska 1 710,231 0
Arizona 11 581,092 +2
Arkansas 5 583,184 +1
California 66 564,454 +13 Largest # gain in seats
Colorado 9 558,800 +2
Connecticut 6 595,683 +1
Delaware 2 448,967 +1 Lowest pop. per seat. Smallest state to gain seats
Florida 33 569,737 +6
Georgia 17 569,862 +3
Hawaii 2 680,151 0
Idaho 3 522,527 +1
Illinois 23 557,854 +5
Indiana 12 540,317 +3
Iowa 5 609,271 +1
Kansas 5 570,624 +1
Kentucky 8 542,421 +2
Louisiana 8 566,672 +2
Maine 2 664,181 0
Maryland 10 577,355 +2
Massachusetts 12 545,636 +3
Michigan 18 549,091 +4
Minnesota 9 589,325 +1
Mississippi 5 593,459 +1
Missouri 11 544,448 +3
Montana 2 494,708 +1
Nebraska 3 608,780 0
Nevada 5 540,110 +1
New Hampshire 2 658,235 0
New Jersey 16 549,493 +4
New Mexico 4 514,795 +1
New York 34 569,944 +7
North Carolina 17 560,911 +4
North Dakota 1 672,591 0
Ohio 20 576,825 +4
Oklahoma 7 535,907 +2
Oregon 7 547,296 +2
Pennsylvania 23 552,277 +5
Rhode Island 2 526,284 0
South Carolina 8 578,171 +1
South Dakota 1 814,180 0 Highest pop. per seat
Tennessee 11 576,919 +2
Texas 45 558,790 +9
Utah 5 552,777 +1
Vermont 1 608,827 0
Virginia 14 571,501 +3
Washington 12 560,378 +2
West Virginia 3 602,781 0
Wisconsin 10 568,699 +2 Closest to average pop.-to-representative-ratio
Wyoming 1 563,626 0

This would result in a total of 545 representatives.

It is unclear what would be done if the United States territories and the District of Columbia were to be included in Congressional representation using Wyoming Rule.

American Samoa (55,519 people), Guam (159,358 people), the Northern Mariana Islands (53,883 people), and the U. S. Virgin Islands (106,405 people) all have populations less than half that of Wyoming, and it is argued that the 53,883 people of Northern Mariana Islands would be too low of a seat to population ratio, as it would result in roughly 5,800 members of Congress.

Only the District of Columbia (601,723 people) and Puerto Rico (3,725,389 people) would be big enough to gain Congressional representation, with 1 and 7 members of Congress, respectively.

Historical House sizes

The following table describe how the House of Representatives would have looked like historically. Note that for the censuses 1800 through 1860, all slaves (and not Three Fifths) are included in populations, giving representatives to slave states in too large numbers.

The smallest state in each census were:

See also

References

  1. , Outside the Beltway, Dec. 14, 2010.
  2. , Matthew Søberg Shugart, [Fruits and Votes], July 1, 2014.
This article is issued from Wikipedia - version of the Wednesday, April 27, 2016. The text is available under the Creative Commons Attribution/Share Alike but additional terms may apply for the media files.