Comparison of the Hare and Droop quotas

In elections that use the single transferable vote (STV) method, quotas are used (a) for the determination of candidates considered elected; and (b) for the calculation of surplus votes to be redistributed.[1] Two quotas in common use are the Hare quota and the Droop quota.

General comparison

The earliest versions of STV used the Hare quota. The Hare quota is equal to the total valid poll (V) divided by the total number of seats (n), or V / n.

The Droop quota is smaller than the Hare quota, and was first suggested [2] because it is the smallest quota that, like the Hare quota, ensures that the number of candidates who reach the quota will not be greater than the number of seats to be filled. Any quota smaller than the Droop quota carries a real, or at least theoretical, risk of more candidates being elected than there are seats to be filled. The Droop quota is the next integer larger than V / (n+1).

The difference between the two quotas comes down to what the quota implies. Winners elected under a Hare system represent that proportion of the electorate; winners under a Droop system were elected by that proportion of the electorate.

In an STV election in which there is only one seat to be filled (in other words an Instant Run-off Voting election) it is possible to use the Hare quota, which will simply be equal to 100% of votes cast. However, it is more efficient to use the Droop quota, which will be equal to an absolute majority of votes cast, meaning 50% plus one, and both quotas will achieve the same result. When voters have only one vote—the single non-transferable vote system—a candidate is sure to win if reaching the Droop quota.

In an STV election in which there are multiple winners the situation is slightly different, particularly with respect to the final seat.

The Droop quota is today the most popular quota for STV elections - and almost universal for government STV elections - for two reasons . First, because it can more efficiently elect candidates in the each round of distribution of seats (whether STV or list PR) than is the case with the Hare quota. Second, because the possibility under the Hare quota that a group of candidates supported by a majority of voters to receive only a minority of seats is considered undemocratic .

Examples of the different outcomes between the Hare and the Droop quotas follow:

Scenario 1

An example with STV where the result under the Droop quota more closely reflects the support that voters have for a party, irrespective of the support they have for individuals within the party.

Imagine an election in which there are 5 seats to be filled. There are 6 candidates divided between two groups: Andrea, Carter and Brad are members of the Alpha party; Delilah, Scott and Jennifer are members of the Beta party. There are 120 voters and they vote as follows:

Alpha party Beta party

31 voters

  1. Andrea
  2. Carter
  3. Brad

30 voters

  1. Carter
  2. Andrea
  3. Brad

2 voters

  1. Brad
  2. Andrea
  3. Carter

20 voters

  1. Delilah
  2. Scott
  3. Jennifer

20 voters

  1. Scott
  2. Delilah
  3. Jennifer

17 voters

  1. Jennifer
  2. Delilah
  3. Scott

It can be seen that supporters of the Alpha party all rank all three Alpha party candidates higher than any of the Beta party candidates (the final three preferences of the voters are not shown above because they will not affect the result of the election). Similarly, voters who support the Beta party all give their first three preferences to Beta party candidates. Overall, the Alpha party receives 63 votes out of a total of 120 votes. The Alpha party therefore has a majority of about 53%. The Beta party receives a 47% share of the vote.

Below the election results are shown first under the Hare quota and then under the Droop quota. It can be seen that under the Hare quota, despite receiving 53% of the vote, the Alpha party receives only a minority of seats. When the same election is conducted under the Droop quota, however, the Alpha party's majority is rewarded with a majority of seats.

Count under the Hare quota

  1. The Hare quota is calculated as 24.
  2. When first preferences are tallied Andrea and Carter have both reached a quota and are declared elected. Andrea has a surplus of 7 and Carter has a surplus of 6. Both surpluses are transferred to Brad (who is of the same party) so the tallies become:
  • Brad (Alpha party): 15
  • Delilah (Beta party): 20
  • Scott (Beta party): 20
  • Jennifer (Beta party): 17
  1. No candidate has reached a quota. Brad is the candidate with the fewest votes and so he is excluded. Because just three candidates remain and there are only three more seats to be filled, Delilah, Scott and Jennifer are all declared elected.
Result: The elected candidates are: Andrea and Carter (from the Alpha party), and Delilah, Scott and Jennifer (from the Beta party).

   

Count under the Droop quota

  1. The Droop quota is calculated as 21 (the next number higher than 120/6).
  2. When first preferences are tallied Andrea and Carter have reached the quota and, as before, are declared elected. However this time Andrea has a surplus of 10 and Carter a surplus of 9. These surpluses transfer to Brad and the tallies become:
  • Brad (Alpha party): 21
  • Delilah (Beta party): 20
  • Scott (Beta party): 20
  • Jennifer (Beta party): 17
  1. Brad has now reached a quota and is declared elected. He has no surplus so Jennifer, who this time has the fewest votes, is excluded. Because only Delilah and Scott are left in the count, and there are only two seats left to fill, they are both declared elected.
Result: The elected candidates are Andrea, Carter and Brad (from the Alpha party) and Delilah and Scott (from the Beta party).

Scenario 2

An example with a closed list using the largest remainder method.

Imagine an election in which there are 3 seats to be filled. There are 5 candidates divided between 3 groups: Alex, Bobbie and Charlie are members of the Alpha party; Jo is a member of the Beta party; and Kim is a member of the Gamma party. There are 99 voters and they vote as follows:

Alpha party Beta party Gamma party

50 voters

  1. Alex
  2. Bobbie
  3. Chris

25 voters

  1. Jo

24 voters

  1. Kim

Count under the Hare quota

  1. The Hare quota is calculated as 33.
  2. When first preferences are tallied Alpha party has one full quota so Alex is declared elected. Alpha party has a surplus of 17.
Alpha Party (Bobbie and Chris) : 17
Beta Party (Jo): 25
Gamma Party (Kim): 24
  1. No candidate has reached a quota. Alpha is the party with the fewest votes and so Bobbie and Chris are excluded. Because just two candidates remain and there are only two more seats to be filled, Jo and Kim are declared elected.
Result: The elected candidates are: Alex (from the Alpha party), Jo (from the Beta party), and Kim (from the Gamma party). The Alpha party won a majority of votes but did not win a majority of seats.

   

Count under the Droop quota

  1. The Droop quota is calculated as 25.
  2. When first preferences are tallied, Alpha party has two full quotas so Alex and Bobbie are declared elected, and Beta party has one full quota so Jo is declared elected.
  3. With three candidates elected there are no more seats to fill.
Result: The elected candidates are Alex and Bobbie (from the Alpha party) and Jo (from the Beta party). The Gamma party is excluded from representation despite getting 24% of the votes.

Scenario 3

October 2012 City of Melbourne, Australia Municipal Election

As a real life example of the implementation of the two quota systems and the impact it has on the outcome of the election results.

The City of Melbourne Council Elections were held in October 2012, using the Droop quota, with 9 vacancies to be elected from 40 candidates representing 11 teams plus three independents.[3]

For 9 seats, the Droop quota is 10% of votes, whilst the Hare quota is 11.11%. 63,674 votes were cast, so the Droop quota was 6,468, and the Hare quota was 7,074. The following table shows the percentage of first-preference votes and number of quotas this represents, under each system. To calculate the final result, further preferences must be taken into account as well.

First-Preference Votes
TeamNo of votes Vote %Droop QuotasHare Quotas
OUR MELBOURNE39536.21% 0.62 0.56
STEPHEN MAYNE38286.01% 0.60 0.54
RESIDENTS FIRST:STOP THE RATES RIP-OFF!19293.03% 0.30 0.27
SHANAHAN CHAMBERLIN FOR MELBOURNE36865.79% 0.58 0.52
COMMUNITY AND BUSINESS LEADERSHIP12671.99% 0.20 0.18
FORWARD TOGETHER5280.83% 0.08 0.07
THE GREENS994215.61% 1.56 1.41
TEAM DOYLE2386437.48% 3.75 3.37
MORGAN ELLIOTT- PROSPERITY FOR LIVEABILITY61149.60% 0.96 0.86
GARY SINGER - JOHN SO MELBOURNE LIVING831413.06% 1.31 1.18
Ungrouped2490.39% 0.04 0.04
Total Formal63674100.00%10.009.00

Winning Candidates

Droop Quota ResultHare Quota Result
TeamCandidateCandidate
TEAM DOYLE LOUEY, Kevin LOUEY, Kevin
THE GREENS OKE, Cathy OKE, Cathy
GARY SINGER - JOHN SO MELBOURNE LIVING ONG, Ken ONG, Ken
TEAM DOYLE WOOD, Arron WOOD, Arron
TEAM DOYLE PINDER-MORTIMER, Beverley PINDER-MORTIMER, Beverley
MORGAN ELLIOTT- PROSPERITY FOR LIVEABILITY WATTS, JackieWATTS, Jackie
OUR MELBOURNE FOSTER, Richard FOSTER, Richard
STEPHEN MAYNE MAYNE, Stephen MAYNE, Stephen
SHANAHAN CHAMBERLIN FOR MELBOURNE CHAMBERLIN, Kevin
THE GREENS LEPPERT, Rohan

Team Doyle (Headed by Melbourne Lord Mayor Robert Doyle) received 37.5% of first-preference votes. Under both quotas, they elected three representatives, comprising 33.3% of the seats.

The Greens, who received 15.1% of first-preference votes, elected two representatives under the Droop quota. Under the Hare quota, they would have only elected a single candidate; while Kevin Chamberlin, who received 5.8% of first-preference votes, would have been elected instead. The Greens did not have enough first-preference votes to directly elect two candidates (for either quota), and Shanahan Chamberlin For Melbourne did not have enough first-preference votes to directly elect one candidate (for either quota).

Under both quotas, surplus votes are reallocated as parties reach the quota. Under the Droop quota, the second Green candidate (Rohan Leppert) had more votes after reallocation than either the first Chamberlin candidate or the fourth Doyle candidate.[3] In contrast, the Hare quota requires a larger number of votes to elect a candidate, which would reduce the number of votes for the Green and Doyle candidates, putting Kevin Chamberlin ahead. We can see that for awarding the final seat, the Droop quota is more favorable to the larger Green party, while the Hare quota is more favorable to the smaller Chamberlin party.

In the City of Melbourne scenario it is argued that Greens vote was inflated resulting in them increasing disproportionally their vote and electing two candidates as opposed to just one under a Hare quota. It is further argued that there is no merit justifying the exclusion of the Team Doyle surplus in determining the results of the proportional ballot.

Using the Droop Quota up to 25% of the total vote in a three member electorate can be ignored, locked into what is referred to as the redundant "Wasted Quota" with voters disenfranchised as a result. In the case of the nine member City of Melbourne Council election the wasted quota is just below 10%.

Notes

  1. ↑ Hill, I.D. (1987). "Algorithm 123 — Single Transferable Vote by Meek’s method".
  2. ↑ Henry Richmond Droop, "On methods of electing representatives" in the Journal of the Statistical Society of London Vol. 44 No. 2 (June 1881) pp.141-196 [Discussion, 197-202], reprinted in Voting matters Issue 24 (October 2007) pp.7–46.
  3. 1 2 Victorian Electoral Commission https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/results/general/MelbourneCouncillors2012.xls. Retrieved 18 May 2015. Missing or empty |title= (help)

See also

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