Greek legislative election, 2009

Greek legislative election, 2009
Greece
4 October 2009

All 300 seats of the Hellenic Parliament
151 seats needed for a majority
Registered 9,929,065 Increase0.1%
Turnout 7,044,606 (70.9%)
Decrease3.3 pp
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader George Papandreou Kostas Karamanlis Aleka Papariga
Party PASOK ND KKE
Leader since 8 February 2004 21 March 1997 27 February 1991
Leader's seat Thessaloniki A Thessaloniki A Athens B
Last election 102 seats, 38.1% 152 seats, 41.8% 22 seats, 8.2%
Seats won 160 91 21
Seat change Increase58 Decrease61 Decrease1
Popular vote 3,012,542 2,295,719 517,249
Percentage 43.9% 33.5% 7.5%
Swing Increase5.8 pp Decrease8.3 pp Decrease0.7 pp

  Fourth party Fifth party
 
Leader Georgios Karatzaferis Alexis Tsipras
Party LAOS SYRIZA
Leader since 14 September 2000 9 February 2008
Leader's seat Athens B Athens A
Last election 10 seats, 3.8% 14 seats, 5.0%
Seats won 15 13
Seat change Increase5 Decrease1
Popular vote 386,205 315,665
Percentage 5.6% 4.6%
Swing Increase1.8 pp Decrease0.4 pp

Electoral districts won by

– Panhellenic Socialist Movement – New Democracy


Prime Minister before election

Kostas Karamanlis
ND

Elected Prime Minister

George Papandreou
PASOK

This article is part of a series on the
politics and government of
Greece
  • Politics portal

Parliamentary elections were held in Greece on 4 October 2009.[1] An election was not required until September 2011.

On 2 September Prime Minister Kostas Karamanlis announced he would request President Karolos Papoulias to dissolve Parliament and call an election.[2] Parliament was dissolved on 9 September.

Voting was mandatory; however there are no sanctions or penalties for not voting.

Participating parties

A total of 23 parties participated in the elections. Six of them participated in at most two parliamentary constituencies.

Opinion polls

Source
(pollster/medium)
Date
(yy/mm/dd)
ND PASOK KKE SYRIZA LAOS EcoGreens Other, or undecided
Kappa Research
for To Vima
09-09-06 24.1 30.8 7.1 3 4.3 2.4 28.3
MRB for
Real News
09-09-06 27.3 33.3 6.9 3 6.2 2.1
RASS for
To Paron
09-09-06 29.5 35.2 7.1 3.3 6.1 3.9
Alco for
Proto Thema
09-09-06 27.9 34.2 7.1 3.2 5.0 2.0
MARC for
Ethnos
09-09-06 27.9 34.4 7.5 3.1 5.5 2.5 19.1
GPO for
Mega TV
09-09-07 26.5 32.0 6.8 3.6 6.2 2.3 22.6
MRB for
Real FM
09-09-08 27.7 33.1 7.1 3.4 5.5 1.4 21.8
Metron Analysis
for ANT1 TV
09-09-08 29.6 35.7 6.3 4 4.6 1.6 18.2
Public Issue for
Skai TV and Kathimerini
(final tally projection)
09-09-10 35.5 41 8.5 4 7 2 n/a
VPRC for
www.tvxs.gr
(final tally projection)
09-09-11 35.5 41 8 4 6 2.5 n/a
Metron Analysis
for ANT1 TV and Imerisia
(vote intent / final tally projection)
09-09-12 30.1 / 35.2 36.6 / 42.7 6.9 / 8.1 3 / 3.5 4.9 / 5.7 2.6 / 3 15.9 / n/a
MARC for
Ethnos
(vote intent / final tally projection)
09-09-13 28.9 / 35 35 / 40 7.6 / 9 3.2 / 4.5 5.9 / 6.5 1.7 / 2 17.7 / n/a
RASS for
To Paron
09-09-13 30.3 35.1 7.2 3.5 5.7 3.1 15.1
MRB for
Real News
(vote intent / final tally projection)
09-09-13 30.1 / 35.1 35.2 / 41 7.2 / 8.4 3.2 / 3.7 5.7 / 6.6 2.1 / 2.6 16.5 / n/a
Alco for
Proto Thema
09-09-13 29.7 35.9 7 3.1 5 1.8 17.5
Pulse for
Apogevmatini
09-09-13 31.2 35.9 5.5 3.5 4 2.5 17.4
GPO for
Mega TV
09-09-14 29 34.9 6.5 3 5.9 2 18.7
Metron Analysis
for ANT1 TV
09-09-14 29.7 37.6 7.5 3.4 5.5 2 14.3
MRB for
Real FM
09-09-14 29.6 35.3 6.5 3.9 5 2.1 17.6
MARC for
Alpha TV
(vote intent / final tally projection)
09-09-15 29.4 / 34.9 36.6 / 41.2 7.3 / 8.3 3.2 / 4.4 5.4 / 6.1 2 / 2.5 16.1 / n/a
VPRC for
www.tvxs.gr
(final tally projection)
09-09-15 34.5 42.5 8.5 4 5.5 2.5 n/a
MRB for
www.newstime.gr
(vote intent / final tally projection)
09-09-16 29.7 / 35 35.9 / 42 7.4 / 8 3.5 / 4 5.5 / 6 2.5 / 2.5 15.3 / n/a
Public Issue for
Skai TV and Kathimerini
(final tally projection)
09-09-17 35.5 41.5 8.5 4 6 2 n/a
Kappa Research
for To Vima
09-09-18 27.6 34.4 7.3 3.5 5.1 2.5 19.6
MARC for
Ethnos
(vote intent / final tally projection)
09-09-18 29.2 / 34.9 36.7 / 41.6 7.4 / 8.4 3.4 / 4.2 5.7 / 6.3 1.6 / 2.2 16 / n/a
Alco for
Alter TV
(vote intent / final tally projection)
09-09-18 31 / 35 38.5 / 43 6.7 / 8.4 3.3 / 3.8 5.5 / 6.3 1.5 / 2 13.5 / n/a
GPO for
Mega TV
09-09-18 30.2 36.2 7.2 3 6.4 1.9 15.1
Metron Analysis
for ANT1 TV
(vote intent / final tally projection)
09-09-18 30.8 / 35.6 37.7 / 43.5 6.6 / 7.6 3.3 / 3.8 4.9 / 5.6 2.2 / 2.5 14.5 / n/a
MARC for
Alpha TV
(vote intent / final tally projection)
09-09-18 29.5 / 34.8 37.2 / 42.3 7.2 / 8.2 3.2 / 4.1 5.3 / 6.2 1.7 / 2.3 15.9 / n/a

Although pollsters were actively polling until 2 October their findings were no longer made public within Greece, in accordance with the electoral law.
The next set of published predictions were the election day exit polls, announced starting at 7 PM, 4 October.

Seats in Parliament

The electoral law for this election specifies that:

Some pollsters are extrapolating election tallies based on their findings, and have publicized their final predictions on how many parliamentary seats each party will win:

Source
(pollster/medium)
Date
(yy/mm/dd)
ND PASOK KKE SYRIZA LAOS EcoGreens Other
Public Issue for
Skai TV and Kathimerini
09-09-17 97 153 23 11 16 0 0
Alco for
Alter TV
09-09-18 94 158 21 11 16 0 0
Metron Analysis
for ANT1 TV
09-09-18 96 158 21 10 15 0 0
MARC for
Alpha TV
09-09-18 95 155 22 11 17 0 0

According to the constitutional principle of the dedēlōménē, a party or a coalition needs a parliamentary majority of 151 total seats in order to form a government. In the eventuality that no party or coalition are able to secure 151 seats, another election will be called. For this occasion the electoral law specifies that the leading party will receive a 50-seat bonus.

Events before the election

Exit polls and projections

The initial results of the exit poll conducted jointly by pollsters Alco, GPO, MARC, Metron Analysis, MRB, Opinion, and RASS were made public at 7 PM Eastern European DST:

Joint exit poll October 4, 2009 ND PASOK KKE SYRIZA LAOS EcoGreens Others
Vote percentage 7 PM 34.3-37.3 41.0-44.0 7.3-8.3 3.9-4.9 5.0-6.0 2.0-3.0 -
Seats in Parliament 7 PM 94-100 151-159 20-22 11-13 14-16 0 -

The revised results of the exit poll conducted jointly by pollsters Alco, GPO, MARC, Metron Analysis, MRB, Opinion, and RASS were made public at 8:50 PM Eastern European DST. The margin of error claimed is less than 0.5%:

Joint exit poll October 4, 2009 ND PASOK KKE SYRIZA LAOS EcoGreens Others
Vote percentage 8:50 PM 33.9 43.8 7.6 4.5 5.6 2.5 -
Seats in Parliament 8:50 PM 92 160 21 12 15 0 -

The statistical projections by Singular Logic and the Ministry of Interior, based on actual returns, were made public at 9 PM Eastern European DST. The margin of error claimed is 0.3%:

Statistical projection October 4, 2009 ND PASOK KKE SYRIZA LAOS EcoGreens Others
Vote percentage 9 PM 33.8 43.8 7.6 4.5 5.6 2.5 2.2
Seats in Parliament 9 PM 92 160 21 12 15 0 -

Results

Summary of the 4 October 2009 Hellenic Parliament election results
Party Vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Won +/−
Panhellenic Socialist Movement (PASOK) 3,012,542 43.92 Increase5.82 160 Increase58
New Democracy (ND) 2,295,719 33.47 Decrease8.37 91 Decrease61
Communist Party of Greece (KKE) 517,249 7.54 Decrease0.61 21 Decrease1
Popular Orthodox Rally (LAOS) 386,205 5.63 Increase1.83 15 Increase5
Coalition of the Radical Left (SYRIZA) 315,665 4.60 Decrease0.44 13 Decrease1
Ecologist Greens (OP) 173,589 2.53 Increase1.48 0 ±0
Democratic Revival (DA) 30,784 0.45 Decrease0.35 0 ±0
Front of the Greek Anticapitalist Left (ANTARSYA) 24,687 0.36 New 0 ±0
Greek Ecologists (EI) 19,993 0.29 Increase0.27 0 ±0
Popular Association-Golden Dawn (ΧΑ) 19,624 0.29 New 0 ±0
Union of Centrists (EK) 18,296 0.27 Decrease0.02 0 ±0
Society-Political Party of the Successors of Kapodistrias (Koinonia) 10,690 0.16 New 0 ±0
Communist Party of Greece (Marxist–Leninist) (KKE (m-l) 10,480 0.15 Decrease0.10 0 ±0
Democrats (Dimokratikoi) 7,600 0.11 New 0 ±0
Marxist–Leninist Communist Party of Greece (M-L KKE) 5,219 0.08 Decrease0.03 0 ±0
Workers' Revolutionary Party (EEK) 4,537 0.07 Increase0.03 0 ±0
Organisation for the Reconstruction of the KKE (OAKKE) 1,665 0.02 Decrease0.01 0 ±0
Panagrarian Labour Movement of Greece (PAEKE) 1,375 0.02 New 0 ±0
Smoking Groups for Art and Artistic Creation (KOTES) 1,355 0.02 New 0 ±0
Light-Truth-Justice (FAD) 871 0.01 ±0.00 0 ±0
Friends of Man (FTA) 4 0.00 New 0 ±0
Regional Urban Development (PAA) 4 0.00 ±0.00 0 ±0
Old Republic (PD) 3 0.00 New 0 ±0
Independent candidates 265 0.00 ±0.00 0 ±0
Total 6,858,421 100.00 300 ±0
Valid votes 6,858,421 97.36 Increase0.03
Invalid ballots 142,916 2.03 Increase0.01
Blank ballots 43,269 0.61 Decrease0.03
Votes cast / turnout 7,044,606 70.95 Decrease3.20
Abstentions 2,884,459 29.05 Increase3.20
Registered voters 9,929,065
Source: Ministry of Interior
Vote share
PASOK
 
43.92%
ND
 
33.47%
KKE
 
7.54%
LAOS
 
5.63%
SYRIZA
 
4.60%
OP
 
2.53%
Others
 
2.31%
Parliamentary seats
PASOK
 
53.33%
ND
 
30.33%
KKE
 
7.00%
LAOS
 
5.00%
SYRIZA
 
4.33%

Results by region

Region PASOK
(%)
ND
(%)
KKE
(%)
LAOS
(%)
SYRIZA
(%)
Achaea 52.65 28.99 6.60 3.64 3.89
Aetolia-Akarnania 49.45 35.73 6.23 3.03 2.82
Argolida 42.27 42.55 4.48 4.16 3.15
Arkadia 46.46 36.54 5.13 4.79 3.76
Arta 45.14 38.99 6.04 2.58 4.67
Athens A 35.52 31.75 9.55 7.59 7.98
Athens B 40.23 26.62 10.84 7.28 7.40
Attica 43.12 29.46 8.23 8.23 4.94
Boeotia 47.35 31.08 7.30 6.17 3.90
Cephalonia 41.83 33.04 12.25 4.67 3.73
Chalkidiki 41.02 40.47 5.00 5.47 4.05
Chania 51.11 29.73 5.98 3.64 4.37
Chios 49.81 33.94 5.38 3.55 3.37
Corfu 43.36 32.83 11.96 3.54 4.29
Corinthia 46.80 36.03 4.00 5.28 3.77
Dodecanese 54.93 30.74 3.96 4.12 2.71
Drama 41.63 41.26 3.82 6.33 3.26
Elis 54.64 32.75 4.32 3.08 2.57
Euboea 48.19 31.08 6.72 6.01 3.90
Evros 44.74 40.33 3.76 5.92 2.09
Evrytania 51.20 37.56 3.24 2.97 2.27
Florina 44.02 41.63 4.62 3.54 2.95
Grevena 46.91 36.64 7.31 3.56 2.60
Imathia 43.31 37.01 6.91 6.16 3.16
Ioannina 43.94 36.12 7.51 3.50 4.90
Heraklion 62.74 23.70 4.44 2.10 3.71
Karditsa 43.31 39.83 7.50 4.02 2.88
Kastoria 34.60 50.03 4.00 4.46 3.76
Kavala 42.41 37.38 6.00 6.01 4.06
Kilkis 40.85 39.93 7.26 6.39 2.49
Kozani 44.08 39.71 5.76 3.66 3.29
Laconia 36.47 47.26 4.80 5.59 2.84
Larissa 40.81 36.18 9.46 5.69 3.98
Lasithi 59.37 27.51 3.47 2.19 3.84
Lefkada 41.66 37.01 10.42 2.37 5.16
Lemnos 42.19 31.06 14.10 4.03 4.43
Magnesia 40.39 35.55 8.79 5.82 4.66
Messenia 39.06 43.26 5.74 5.07 3.62
Naxos 44.89 36.03 5.10 4.19 4.64
Pella 43.04 41.48 4.36 5.51 2.52
Phocis 40.22 39.73 6.92 5.24 3.58
Phthiotis 43.85 40.35 4.92 4.66 2.82
Pieria 41.37 42.27 5.29 5.34 2.81
Piraeus A 38.88 32.97 8.11 7.56 5.83
Piraeus B 44.34 23.06 12.88 7.58 5.69
Preveza 42.98 38.89 8.04 3.09 3.88
Rethymno 57.91 27.41 3.75 3.10 3.90
Rhodope 53.08 34.52 2.48 3.61 4.27
Samos 38.34 29.72 18.05 3.97 5.13
Serres 37.10 46.77 5.02 5.36 2.52
Thesprotia 48.75 36.61 4.60 3.06 3.47
Thessaloniki A 39.11 30.30 9.53 8.26 5.77
Thessaloniki B 38.23 37.62 7.57 7.48 4.08
Trikala 45.14 37.63 8.22 3.80 2.54
Xanthi 58.79 26.21 2.75 4.41 4.56
Zakynthos 47.55 29.73 11.18 3.64 4.23

Post-election events

Former Prime Minister, Kostas Karamanlis and George Papandreou in the ceremony for the official handover at the Maximos Mansion.

References

  1. "Greeks to vote on 4 October". RFI. 2009-09-03. Retrieved 2009-09-05.
  2. "Greece's PM calls snap election". BBC.com. 2009-09-02. Retrieved 2009-09-05.
  3. Συστράτευση Οικολόγων Ελλάδος- ΛΑΟΣ (in Greek). ert.gr. 2009-09-11. Archived from the original on September 14, 2009. Retrieved 2009-09-17.
  4. Paul Anast (2009-10-05). "Greece's opposition Socialists resoundingly win snap election". London: telegraph.co.uk. paragraph 2. Retrieved 5 October 2009. I am beginning the procedures for an extraordinary congress to elect a new leader...
  5. ELENA BECATOROS. "Socialists trounce conservatives in Greek election". Yahoo! News. paragraph 2. Archived from the original on October 6, 2009. Retrieved 5 October 2009.
  6. ELENA BECATOROS. "Socialists trounce conservatives in Greek election". Yahoo! News. paragraph 2. Archived from the original on October 6, 2009. Retrieved 5 October 2009. Humbled by his New Democracy party's worst electoral performance ever
  7. Paul Anast (2009-10-05). "Greece's opposition Socialists resoundingly win snap election". London: telegraph.co.uk. paragraph 4. Retrieved 5 October 2009. The results were the worst for the governing conservative New Democracy party in 30 years.
  8. 1 2 "RFI - Socialists hail perfect storm of support, as Papandreou takes over". Rfi.fr. Retrieved 2012-05-13.
  9. "Greece's Socialists win snap poll". BBC News. 2009-10-05. Retrieved 2009-10-06.
  10. "Στον Πρόεδρο για την εντολή σχηματισμού κυβέρνησης ο Γ.Παπανδρέου - George Papandreou visits the President to receive a mandate to form a Cabinet" (in Greek). in.gr. Retrieved 5 October 2009.
  11. Smith, Helena (2009-10-06). "Papandreou looks to Greek diaspora as he forms new cabinet". Guardian (London). Retrieved 2009-10-06.

Further reading

External links

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