Opinion polling for the next Australian federal election

Several research and polling firms conduct polls in relation to voting intentions in the lead-up to the next Australian federal election, predicted to occur in the latter half of 2016. Some of the firms also ask voters whether they are satisfied or dissatisfied with the performance of the leaders of the two main parties, as well as who would be the preferred prime minister. Most firms use the flow of preferences at the previous election to determine the two-party-preferred vote; others ask respondents to nominate their second preference before applying the preference flows at the previous election.

Graphical aggregate of voting intention

Primary vote.
Graphs are a compilation of aggregate data from voting intention in the below list of all opinion polling for the next Australian federal election. A moving average is shown in a solid line.

Voting intention polling

Date Firm Primary vote TPP vote
L/NP ALP Green Other L/NP ALP
5 May 2016 ReachTEL[1] 44.2% 35.1% 9.5% 11.2% 50% 50%
27 Apr – 1 May 2016 Essential[2] 40% 38% 10% 11% 48% 52%
23–24, 30 Apr – 1 May 2016 Morgan[3] 40% 32.5% 13.5% 14% 49% 51%
20–24 Apr 2016 Essential[4] 40% 39% 10% 12% 48% 52%
14–17 Apr 2016 Newspoll[5] 41% 36% 11% 12% 49% 51%
13–17 Apr 2016 Essential[6] 42% 36% 11% 11% 50% 50%
9–10, 16–17 Apr 2016 Morgan[7] 40.5% 32% 14% 13.5% 50% 50%
14–16 Apr 2016 Ipsos[8] 42% 33% 14% 11% 50% 50%
14 Apr 2016 ReachTEL[9] 43.5% 35.8% 9.8% 10.9% 50% 50%
6–10 Apr 2016 Essential[10] 42% 35% 11% 12% 50% 50%
31 Mar – 3 Apr 2016 Newspoll[11] 41% 36% 11% 12% 49% 51%
26–27 March, 2–3 April 2016 Morgan[12] 42% 31% 13% 14% 52.5% 47.5%
21 Mar 2016 ReachTEL[13] 46.6% 34.4% 10.5% 8.6% 52% 48%
17–20 Mar 2016 Newspoll[14] 43% 34% 12% 11% 51% 49%
16–20 Mar 2016 Essential[15] 43% 38% 10% 9% 50% 50%
12–13, 19–20 Mar 2016 Morgan[16] 40% 33% 14% 13% 49.5% 50.5%
10–12 Mar 2016 Ipsos[17] 45% 31% 14% 10% 53% 47%
3–6 Mar 2016 Newspoll[18] 43% 35% 12% 10% 50% 50%
2–6 Mar 2016 Essential[19] 43% 37% 10% 10% 50% 50%
27–28 Feb, 5–6 Mar 2016 Morgan[20] 43% 29.5% 13% 14.5% 53% 47%
24–28 Feb 2016 Essential[21] 43% 38% 10% 9% 50% 50%
18–21 Feb 2016 Newspoll[22] 43% 35% 12% 10% 50% 50%
17–21 Feb 2016 Essential[23] 44% 35% 10% 11% 52% 48%
13–14, 20–21 Feb 2016 Morgan[24] 43.5% 29.5% 15% 12% 52.5% 47.5%
11–13 Feb 2016 Ipsos[25] 44% 32% 15% 10% 52% 48%
11 Feb 2016 ReachTEL[26] 48.1% 32.8% 10.1% 9% 54% 46%
3–7 Feb 2016 Essential[27] 44% 35% 10% 10% 52% 48%
30–31 Jan, 6–7 Feb 2016 Morgan[28] 43.5% 29% 16% 11.5% 52.5% 47.5%
28–31 Jan 2016 Newspoll[29] 46% 34% 11% 9% 53% 47%
16–17, 23–24 Jan 2016 Morgan[30] 43.5% 28% 15% 13.5% 55% 45%
21 Jan 2016 ReachTEL[31] 48.5% 31.8% 10.8% 9.1% 55% 45%
15–18 Jan 2016 Essential[32] 44% 35% 10% 12% 51% 49%
2–3, 9–10 Jan 2016 Morgan[33] 47% 29% 13% 11% 56% 44%
15 Dec 2015 Essential[34] 45% 35% 10% 10% 52% 48%
5–6, 12–13 Dec 2015 Morgan[35] 48% 27% 14.5% 10.5% 57.5% 42.5%
8 Dec 2015 Essential[36] 44% 36% 11% 10% 51% 49%
4–6 Dec 2015 Newspoll[37] 45% 33% 12% 10% 53% 47%
1 Dec 2015 Essential[38] 44% 35% 11% 10% 51% 49%
21–22, 28–29 Nov 2015 Morgan[39] 46.5% 28.5% 14% 11% 56% 44%
26 Nov 2015 ReachTEL[40] 48.8% 31.1% 11.2% 8.9% 55% 45%
24 Nov 2015 Essential[41] 45% 35% 10% 10% 52% 48%
19–22 Nov 2015 Newspoll[42] 46% 33% 11% 10% 53% 47%
7–8, 14–15 Nov 2015 Morgan[43] 46% 28% 14.5% 11.5% 56% 44%
12–14 Nov 2015 Ipsos[44][note 1] 48% 29% 13% 10% 57% 43%
10 Nov 2015 Essential[45] 45% 35% 10% 11% 52% 48%
6–8 Nov 2015 Newspoll[46] 46% 34% 10% 10% 53% 47%
3 Nov 2015 Essential 45% 34% 11% 10% 53% 47%
27 Oct 2015 Essential[47] 45% 35% 11% 9% 52% 48%
24–25 Oct, 1 Nov 2015 Morgan[48] 47% 28.5% 14.5% 10% 56.5% 43.5%
23–25 Oct 2015 Newspoll[49] 45% 35% 11% 9% 52% 48%
22 Oct 2015 ReachTEL[50] 46.7% 33.0% 11.3% 9.1% 53% 47%
20 Oct 2015 Essential[51] 44% 36% 11% 9% 51% 49%
10–11, 17–18 Oct 2015 Morgan[52] 46.5% 27.5% 15.5% 10.5% 56% 44%
15–17 Oct 2015 Ipsos[53] 45% 30% 14% 10% 54% 46%
13 Oct 2015 Essential[54] 44% 36% 10% 10% 51% 49%
9–11 Oct 2015 Newspoll[55] 43% 35% 12% 10% 50% 50%
26–27 Sep, 1–5 Oct 2015 Morgan[56] 47% 27.5% 14% 11.5% 56% 44%
1–4 Oct 2015 Essential[57] 44% 35% 10% 10% 52% 48%
24–28 Sep 2015 Essential 44% 35% 11% 11% 52% 48%
17–21 Sep 2015 Essential[58] 43% 37% 11% 9% 50% 50%
19–20 Sep 2015 Morgan[59] 46% 29.5% 13% 11.5% 55% 45%
17–20 Sep 2015 Newspoll[60] 44% 35% 11% 10% 51% 49%
15–16 Sep 2015 Galaxy[61] 44% 36% 11% 2% 51% 49%
15 Sep 2015 ReachTEL[62][note 2] 43.3% 35.9% 11.9% 8.9% 50% 50%
14 Sep 2015 Turnbull replaces Abbott as Liberal leader
12–13 Sep 2015 Morgan[63] 35% 36.5% 16% 12.5% 43% 57%
5–6 Sep 2015 Morgan[64] 36.5% 35.5% 16.5% 11.5% 45% 55%
4–6 Sep 2015 Newspoll[65] 39% 39% 12% 10% 46% 54%
26–30 Aug 2015 Essential[66] 40% 38% 11% 12% 48% 52%
27 Aug 2015 ReachTEL[67] 40.3% 37.5% 13.4% 8.9% 47% 53%
22–23 Aug 2015 Morgan[68] 38.5% 36% 14% 11.5% 45.5% 54.5%
20–23 Aug 2015 Newspoll[69] 38% 39% 13% 10% 46% 54%
13–15 Aug 2015 Ipsos[70] 38% 36% 16% 11% 44% 56%
11–14 Aug 2015 Essential 41% 38% 10% 11% 48% 52%
8–9 Aug 2015 Morgan[71] 36.5% 37% 15.5% 11% 43% 57%
8–9 Aug 2015 Newspoll[72] 39% 39% 13% 9% 46% 54%
6 Aug 2015 ReachTel[73] 40.2% 38.3% 12.8% 8.7% 47% 53%
4–7 Aug 2015 Essential 40% 39% 11% 9% 47% 53%
28–31 Jul 2015 Essential[74] 39% 38% 12% 10% 47% 53%
30 Jul 2015 ReachTel[75] 40.6% 38% 12.9% 8.6% 47% 53%
25–26 Jul 2015 Morgan[76] 39% 35.5% 15% 10.5% 46% 54%
16–19 Jul 2015 Newspoll[77] 40% 39% 12% 9% 47% 53%
14–17 Jul 2015 Essential 41% 38% 11% 11% 48% 52%
11–12 Jul 2015 Morgan[78] 41.5% 34.5% 13.5% 10.5% 49% 51%
4–5 Jul 2015 Newspoll[79] 40% 37% 13% 10% 48% 52%
2–4 Jul 2015 Ipsos[80] 39% 35% 16% 10% 47% 53%
27–28 Jun 2015 Morgan[81] 39% 36% 14% 11% 46.5% 53.5%
16 Jun 2015 Newspoll[82] 40% 34% 14% 12% 49% 51%
16 Jun 2015 Essential 42% 39% 10% 9% 48% 52%
13–14 Jun 2015 Morgan[83] 37.5% 37.5% 13.5% 11.5% 45.5% 54.5%
11–13 Jun 2015 Ipsos[84] 40% 37% 14% 10% 47% 53%
11–13 Jun 2015 Essential 41% 40% 9% 10% 48% 52%
2 Jun 2015 Newspoll[85] 41% 37% 13% 9% 48% 52%
2 Jun 2015 Essential[86] 41% 37% 13% 9% 48% 52%
23–24, 30–31 May 2015 Morgan[87] 41% 37% 13% 9% 47% 53%
26 May 2015 Essential[86] 41% 39% 10% 9% 48% 52%
18 May 2015 Morgan[88] 41.5% 35.5% 12.5% 10.5% 49% 51%
17 May 2015 Ipsos[89] 43% 35% 13% 9% 50% 50%
17 May 2015 Newspoll[90] 40% 37% 12% 11% 47% 53%
13 May 2015 ReachTel[91] 41.1% 38.3% 12.1% 8.6% 47% 53%
7–10 May 2015 Essential[92] 41% 39% 11% 10% 48% 52%
6 May 2015 Di Natale replaces Milne as Greens leader
4 May 2015 Newspoll[93] 39% 35% 12% 14% 48% 52%
4 May 2015 Morgan[94] 40% 37.5% 11.5% 11% 46.5% 53.5%
28 April 2015 Essential 40% 39% 10% 11% 47% 53%
21 April 2015 Essential 41% 39% 11% 10% 48% 52%
11–12, 18–19 Apr 2015 Morgan[95] 38.5% 38% 12% 11% 47% 53%
14 April 2015 Essential 41% 39% 10% 11% 48% 52%
10–12 Apr 2015 Newspoll[96] 41% 36% 11% 12% 49% 51%
9–11 Apr 2015 Ipsos[97] 39% 38% 13% 9% 46% 54%
28–29 Mar, 3–6 Apr 2015 Morgan[98] 40.5% 36% 12.5% 11% 47% 53%
29 March 2015 ReachTEL[99] 39.6% 40.5% 11.5% 8.5% 46% 54%
20–22 Mar 2015 Newspoll[100] 41% 37% 11% 11% 49% 51%
14–15, 21–22 Mar 2015 Morgan[101] 38% 40% 11% 11% 44% 56%
17 March 2015 Essential 40% 39% 9% 11% 48% 52%
10 March 2015 Essential[102] 40% 40% 9% 11% 47% 53%
7–8 Mar 2015 Newspoll[103] 38% 39% 12% 11% 45% 55%
28 Feb–1, 7–8 Mar 2015 Morgan[104] 39% 38% 12.5% 11.5% 46.5% 53.5%
26–28 Feb 2015 Ipsos 42% 36% 12% 10% 49% 51%
20–22 Feb 2015 Essential 40% 41% 9% 10% 47% 53%
20–22 Feb 2015 Newspoll 38% 38% 12% 12% 47% 53%
31 Jan–1, 7–8 Feb 2015 Morgan 35% 41% 12% 12% 42.5% 57.5%
6–8 Feb 2015 Newspoll 35% 41% 12% 12% 43% 57%
5 February 2015 ReachTEL 38.4% 41.4% 11.2% 8.9% 45% 55%
4–5 Feb 2015 Galaxy 36% 43% 11% 10% 43% 57%
28–30 Jan 2015 Galaxy 36% 43% 11% 10% 43% 57%
27 January 2015 ReachTEL 39.7% 40.2% 11.3% 8.8% 46% 54%
27 January 2015 Essential 39% 41% 9% 11% 46% 54%
20 January 2015 Essential 40% 40% 10% 11% 47% 53%
13 January 2015 Essential 38% 40% 10% 11% 46% 54%
12 January 2015 Morgan 38.5% 38.5% 9.5% 13.5% 45.5% 54.5%
23–27 Dec 2014 Morgan 37.5% 39.5% 12% 11% 43.5% 56.5%
16 December 2014 Essential 40% 38% 10% 12% 48% 52%
12–15 Dec 2014 Newspoll 38% 39% 12% 11% 46% 54%
6–7, 13–14 Dec 2014 Morgan 35% 41% 11.5% 12.5% 42.5% 57.5%
4–6 Dec 2014 Ipsos 40% 37% 12% 11% 48% 52%
2–4 Dec 2014 Galaxy 38% 41% 11% 10% 45% 55%
2 December 2014 Essential 40% 40% 9% 11% 47% 53%
22–23, 29–30 Nov 2014 Morgan 37% 37.5% 12% 11.5% 46.5% 53.5%
29–30 Nov 2014 Newspoll 37% 37% 13% 13% 46% 54%
25 November 2014 Essential 40% 39% 10% 11% 48% 52%
21 November 2014 ReachTEL 40.2% 38.7% 11.1% 9.9% 47% 53%
18 November 2014 Newspoll 36% 39% 11% 14% 45% 55%
17 November 2014 Essential 40% 38% 10% 12% 48% 52%
17 November 2014 Morgan 38% 38.5% 12% 11.5% 44.5% 55.5%
11 November 2014 Essential 40% 38% 10% 13% 48% 52%
4 November 2014 Newspoll 38% 36% 13% 13% 46% 54%
4 November 2014 Essential 40% 38% 10% 12% 48% 52%
25–26 Oct, 1–2 Nov 2014 Morgan 38.5% 37.5% 12.5% 11.5% 45.5% 54.5%
30 Oct–1 Nov 2014 Ipsos 42% 37% 12% 10% 49% 51%
28 October 2014 Essential 39% 39% 9% 12% 47% 53%
23 October 2014 ReachTEL 40.1% 37.5% 11.5% 10.9% 48% 52%
21 October 2014 Essential 40% 39% 10% 11% 47% 53%
21 October 2014 Newspoll 38% 34% 14% 14% 47% 53%
20 October 2014 Morgan 39.5% 35.5% 12% 13% 48% 52%
14 October 2014 Essential 41% 39% 10% 10% 48% 52%
7 October 2014 Essential 40% 39% 10% 11% 48% 52%
4–5 Oct 2014 Morgan 40% 35% 12% 13% 47% 53%
4–5 Oct 2014 Galaxy 42% 36% 12% 10% 49% 51%
23 September 2014 Newspoll 41% 34% 11% 14% 49% 51%
13–14, 20–21 Sep 2014 Morgan 38.5% 37.5% 12% 12% 45.5% 54.5%
18 September 2014 ReachTEL 41.6% 37.4% 10.5% 10.5% 49% 51%
30–31 Aug, 6–7 Sep 2014 Morgan 38% 37% 10.5% 14.5% 46% 54%
5–7 Sep 2014 Newspoll 39% 35% 14% 12% 48% 52%
22–24 Aug 2014 Newspoll 40% 34% 11% 15% 49% 51%
16–17, 23–24 Aug 2014 Morgan 37.5% 38.5% 10.5% 13.5% 44.5% 55.5%
19 August 2014 Essential 40% 38% 9% 13% 48% 52%
9–10 Aug 2014 Morgan 37.5% 38% 11% 13.5% 44% 56%
8–10 Aug 2014 Newspoll 40% 34% 13% 13% 48% 52%
25–27 Jul 2014 Newspoll 36% 36% 12% 16% 46% 54%
11–13 Jul 2014 Newspoll 36% 37% 11% 16% 46% 54%
1 July 2014 Essential[105] 40% 38% 9% 13% 48% 52%
30 June 2014 Morgan[106] 35% 36.5% 12% 16.5% 42.5% 57.5%
27–29 Jun 2014 Newspoll 35% 37% 13% 15% 45% 55%
13–15 Jun 2014 Newspoll 37% 36% 10% 17% 47% 53%
30 May–1 Jun 2014 Newspoll 36% 37% 12% 15% 46% 54%
27 May 2014 Essential[107] 40% 39% 9% 12% 48% 52%
20 May 2014 Essential[108] 40% 40% 8% 12% 48% 52%
17–18 May 2014 Morgan[109] 35% 38.5% 12% 14.5% 42.5% 57.5%
16–18 May 2014 Newspoll 36% 38% 11% 15% 45% 55%
15–17 May 2014 Nielsen[110] 35% 40% 14% 12% 44% 56%
2–4 May 2014 Newspoll[111] 38% 34% 14% 14% 47% 53%
4 May 2014 Galaxy[112] 39% 37% 11% 13% 48% 52%
30 April 2014 Essential[107] 40% 38% 10% 11% 48% 52%
22 April 2014 Morgan[113] 38.5% 34% 13% 14.5% 48% 52%
15 April 2014 Essential[114] 42% 37% 10% 11% 50% 50%
13 April 2014 Nielsen[115] 40% 34% 17% 9% 48% 52%
8 April 2014 Essential[116] 42% 38% 9% 11% 49% 51%
7 April 2014 Morgan[117] 38.5% 34.5% 12% 15% 48.5% 51.5%
4–6 Apr 2014 Newspoll[118] 43% 34% 11% 12% 51% 49%
25 March 2014 Morgan[119] 38% 38.5% 11% 12.5% 45.5% 54.5%
25 March 2014 Essential[120] 44% 37% 9% 11% 51% 49%
21–23 Mar 2014 Newspoll[121] 40% 36% 13% 11% 48% 52%
18 March 2014 Essential[122] 43% 36% 9% 12% 51% 49%
13–15 Mar 2014 Nielsen[123] 44% 35% 12% 10% 51% 49%
7–9 Mar 2014 Newspoll 41% 35% 11% 13% 49% 51%
5 March 2014 Essential[124] 44% 38% 8% 10% 51% 49%
21–23 Feb 2014 Newspoll[125] 39% 39% 10% 12% 46% 54%
23 February 2014 Morgan[126] 41% 35.5% 10.5% 13% 49.5% 50.5%
15 February 2014 Nielsen[127] 44% 33% 12% 11% 52% 48%
7–9 Feb 2014 Newspoll[128] 41% 35% 12% 12% 49% 51%
28 January 2014 Morgan[129] 39.5% 37% 11.5% 12% 47% 53%
23 January 2014 ReachTEL 39.8% 40.6% 9.1% 9.1% 47% 53%
17–20 Jan 2014 Essential[130] 43% 37% 9% 11% 51% 49%
13 January 2014 Morgan[131] 38% 39% 10.5% 12.5% 47.5% 52.5%
16 December 2013 Morgan[132] 40.5% 38.5% 10% 11% 47.5% 52.5%
15 December 2013 ReachTEL 41.4% 40.4% 8.7% 9.5% 48% 52%
6–8 Dec 2013 Newspoll 40% 38% 11% 11% 48% 52%
28 Nov–2 Dec 2013 Essential[133] 44% 36% 8% 11% 52% 48%
30 Nov–1 Dec 2013 Morgan (multi)[134] 41.5% 38.5% 8.5% 12.5% 48.5% 51.5%
22–24 Nov 2013 Newspoll 43% 35% 10% 12% 52% 48%
21–23 Nov 2013 Nielsen[135] 41% 37% 11% 11% 48% 52%
8–10 Nov 2013 Newspoll 45% 32% 12% 11% 53% 47%
25–27 Oct 2013 Newspoll 47% 31% 10% 12% 56% 44%
19–20 Oct 2013 Morgan[136] 43.5% 34.5% 10% 12% 51.5% 48.5%
13 Oct 2013 Shorten replaces Rudd as Labor leader
21–22 Sep 2013 Morgan[137] 43.5% 34% 10.5% 12% 50.5% 49.5%
19–22 Sep 2013 Essential[138] 43% 37% 9% 11% 51% 49%
12–15 Sep 2013 Essential[138] 44% 36% 9% 11% 53% 47%
2013 election 45.6% 33.4% 8.7% 12.3% 53.5% 46.5%
4–6 Sep 2013 Morgan (multi) 45% 31.5% 9.5% 14% 54.5% 44.5%
5 September 2013 ReachTEL[139] 43.5% 33.7% 10.2% 12.6% 53% 47%
3–5 Sep 2013 Newspoll 46% 33% 9% 12% 54% 46%

Preferred prime minister and satisfaction polling

Date Firm Preferred prime minister Satisfied Dissatisfied Satisfied Dissatisfied
Turnbull Shorten Turnbull Shorten
14–17 Apr 2016 Newspoll[5] 47% 28% 36% 49% 31% 52%
14–16 Apr 2016 Ipsos[8] 54% 27% 51% 38% 33% 55%
14 Apr 2016 ReachTEL[9] 58.4% 41.6%
Apr 2016 Essential[10] 44% 22% 39% 39% 30% 44%
31 Mar–3 Apr 2016 Newspoll[11] 48% 27% 38% 48% 32% 53%
Mar 2016 Essential[10] 48% 19% 45% 35% 27% 47%
10–12 Mar 2016 Ipsos[17] 61% 24% 55% 32% 33% 52%
3–6 Mar 2016 Newspoll[18] 55% 21% 44% 41% 30% 55%
Feb 2016 Essential[27] 52% 15% 51% 27% 27% 48%
18–21 Feb 2016 Newspoll[22] 55% 21% 48% 38% 28% 57%
11 February 2016 ReachTEL[26] 74.9% 25.1%
Jan 2016 Essential[27] 51% 18% 51% 25% 27% 47%
28–31 Jan 2016 Newspoll[29] 59% 20% 53% 31% 25% 60%
Dec 2015 Essential[27] 54% 15% 56% 23% 27% 47%
4–6 Dec 2015 Newspoll[37] 60% 14% 52% 30% 23% 61%
Nov 2015 Essential[140] 55% 14% 56% 20% 27% 47%
26 November 2015 ReachTEL[40][note 3] 71.4% 28.6%
19–22 Nov 2015 Newspoll[42] 64% 15% 60% 22% 26% 57%
12–14 Nov 2015 Ipsos[44] 69% 18% 69% 16% 29% 57%
6–8 Nov 2015 Newspoll[46] 55% 14% 56% 20% 27% 47%
Oct 2015 Essential 48% 19% 47% 17% 30% 42%
23–25 Oct 2015 Newspoll[141] 63% 17% 58% 23% 26% 58%
20–22 Oct 2015 Morgan[142] 76% 14% 66% 18% 25% 62%
15–17 Oct 2015 Ipsos[53] 67% 21% 68% 17% 32% 56%
9–11 Oct 2015 Newspoll 57% 19% 50% 25% 28% 53%
Sep 2015 Essential 53% 17% N/A N/A 29% 50%
17–20 Sep 2015 Newspoll 55% 21% 42% 24% 29% 54%
15–16 Sep 2015 Galaxy[61] 51% 20%
15 September 2015 ReachTEL[62] 61.9% 38.1%
15 September 2015 Morgan 70% 24%
Abbott Shorten Abbott Shorten
4–6 Sep 2015 Newspoll 37% 41% 30% 63% 30% 58%
27 August 2015 ReachTEL[67] 42.1% 57.9%
20–23 Aug 2015 Newspoll[69] 35% 40% 30% 63% 34% 52%
13–15 Aug 2015 Ipsos 39% 45% 35% 59% 39% 49%
11 August 2015 Essential 36% 32% 38% 53% 29% 52%
9 August 2015 Newspoll 39% 39% 33% 61% 29% 57%
6 August 2015 ReachTEL 41.5% 58.5%
31 July 2015 ReachTEL 44.9% 55.1%
16–19 Jul 2015 Newspoll[77] 39% 36% 33% 60% 27% 59%
7 July 2015 Essential 37% 30% 37% 53% 27% 52%
6 July 2015 Newspoll 39% 39% 33% 60% 28% 56%
11–13 Jun 2015 Newspoll[82] 41% 38% 34% 56% 28% 54%
11–13 Jun 2015 Ipsos[84] 41% 42%
2 June 2015 Essential 38% 33% 39% 50% 32% 45%
2 June 2015 Newspoll[85] 41% 37% 38% 53% 32% 50%
17 May 2015 Ipsos[89] 44% 39% 42% 50% 41% 45%
17 May 2015 Newspoll[90] 41% 40% 39% 52% 35% 46%
12 April 2015 Essential 35% 32% 36% 54% 32% 41%
5 April 2015 Newspoll[93] 38% 38% 37% 56% 34% 50%
27 April 2015 Morgan 44% 39% 37% 53% 34% 48%
14 April 2015 Essential 33% 35% 33% 58% 33% 42%
10–12 Apr 2015 Newspoll[96] 40% 41% 33% 59% 33% 51%
9–11 Apr 2015 Ipsos[97] 38% 46% 34% 60% 42% 44%
20–22 Mar 2015 Newspoll[100] 36% 41% 29% 61% 36% 47%
7–8 Mar 2015 Newspoll[103] 33% 44% 28% 63% 39% 42%
26–28 Feb 2015 Ipsos 39% 44% 32% 62% 43% 43%
20–22 Feb 2015 Newspoll 35% 43% 25% 68% 35% 49%
6–8 Feb 2015 Newspoll 30% 48% 24% 68% 42% 40%
1 February 2015 Galaxy 27% 44%
28–30 Jan 2015 Galaxy 27% 44%
14 January 2015 Morgan 41% 43% 37% 52% 37% 40%
13 January 2015 Essential 35% 37% 37% 53% 39% 33%
28–30 Nov 2014 Newspoll 37% 44% 33% 58% 37% 43%
4–6 Dec 2014 Ipsos 39% 47%
28–30 Nov 2014 Newspoll 36% 43% 33% 57% 39% 43%
18 November 2014 Newspoll 37% 43% 36% 55% 39% 41%
11 November 2014 Essential 36% 34% 39% 50% 37% 38%
4 November 2014 Newspoll 39% 38% 37% 52% 37% 45%
30 Oct-1 Nov 2014 Ipsos 41% 41% 42% 49% 43% 40%
21 October 2014 Newspoll 39% 38% 38% 53% 35% 46%
14 October 2014 Essential 38% 32% 40% 48% 35% 36%
23 September 2014 Newspoll 41% 37% 41% 52% 38% 43%
5–7 Sep 2014 Newspoll 37% 37% 35% 54% 36% 43%
22–24 Aug 2014 Newspoll 39% 40% 36% 55% 40% 39%
8–10 Aug 2014 Newspoll 41% 37% 36% 54% 36% 44%
25–27 Jul 2014 Newspoll 38% 38% 36% 53% 38% 41%
11–13 Jul 2014 Newspoll 36% 41% 31% 60% 34% 43%
27–29 Jun 2014 Newspoll 34% 44% 31% 62% 34% 41%
13–15 Jun 2014 Newspoll 37% 40% 30% 61% 34% 45%
30 May – 1 June 2014 Newspoll 35% 45% 33% 59% 38% 43%
16–18 May 2014 Newspoll 34% 44% 30% 60% 42% 39%
15–17 May 2014 Nielsen 40% 51% 34% 62% 47% 39%
2–4 May 2014 Newspoll 40% 38% 35% 56% 35% 41%
13 April 2014 Nielsen 45% 44% 43% 50% 43% 41%
8 April 2014 Essential 42% 32% 41% 47% 34% 38%
4–6 Apr 2014 Newspoll 41% 33% 40% 47% 31% 42%
21–23 Mar 2014 Newspoll 43% 36% 40% 50% 36% 43%
13–15 Mar 2014 Nielsen 48% 43% 45% 49% 42% 42%
7–9 Mar 2014 Newspoll 42% 36% 38% 50% 33% 43%
21–23 Feb 2014 Newspoll[125] 38% 37% 36% 52% 35% 39%
15 February 2014 Nielsen[125] 49% 39% 45% 47% 40% 40%
7–9 Feb 2014 Newspoll 41% 33% 40% 45% 35% 35%
6–8 Dec 2013 Newspoll 41% 34% 40% 45% 44% 27%
22–24 Nov 2013 Newspoll 44% 33% 42% 42% 39% 27%
21–23 Nov 2013 Nielsen[135] 49% 41% 47% 46% 51% 30%
8–10 Nov 2013 Newspoll 46% 30% 45% 38% 37% 24%
25–27 Oct 2013 Newspoll 47% 28% 47% 34% 32% 24%
2013 election
3–5 Sep 2013 Newspoll 45% 44% 50%
^ Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader.

See also

Notes

  1. Ipsos asked respondents to nominate their own second preferences. Based only on 2013 preference flows, TPP is LNP 56% to ALP 44%.
  2. Malcolm Turnbull succeeded Tony Abbott as Liberal Party leader on 14 September 2015. Poll was conducted to gauge the public's response.
  3. The "satisfied" result of the ReachTEL poll was derived from the sum of the percentage of respondents who rated the subject as "very good", "good" or "satisfactory".

References

  1. 3 May 2016 Essential
  2. . Roy Morgan Research http://www.roymorgan.com/morganpoll. Retrieved 3 May 2016. Missing or empty |title= (help)
  3. 27 Apr 2016 Essential
  4. 1 2 18 Apr 2016 Newspoll
  5. 19 Apr 2016 Essential
  6. . Roy Morgan Research http://www.roymorgan.com/morganpoll. Retrieved 18 April 2016. Missing or empty |title= (help)
  7. 1 2 Martin Kenny (17 April 2016). "Fairfax-Ipsos poll points to knife-edge election between Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten". SMH.
  8. 1 2 "7 News - National Poll". ReachTEL. 15 April 2016.
  9. 1 2 3 12 Apr 2016 Essential
  10. 1 2 4 Apr 2016 Newspoll
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