2015–16 UK and Ireland windstorm season

2015–16 UK and Ireland windstorm season
First storm formed 7 November 2015
Last storm dissipated Season currently active
Strongest storm1 Storm Frank — 928 hPa (27.4 inHg), 85 mph (137 km/h)[1]
Strongest wind gust 106 mph (171 km/h) (Storm Katie)
Total storms 11
Total damage £900 million-1.3 billion (€1.2-1.8 billion)[lower-alpha 1]
Total fatalities 6
1Strongest storm is determined by lowest pressure and maximum recorded non-mountainous wind gust is also included for reference.

The 2015–16 season was the first instance of the United Kingdom's Met Office and Ireland's Met Éireann naming extratropical cyclones. The season started on 10 November with the naming of Storm Abigail and is ongoing. Storms are named when they are forecast to cause hazards due to high winds by either organisation. The season is most notable for the amount of rainfall which fell over the UK and Ireland, causing the 2015–16 Great Britain and Ireland floods; most of which is attributed to Storms Desmond, Eva and Frank. The strongest low-level gusts of the season so far came from Gertrude and Katie. On 29 January, Gertrude produced gusts of 105 mph (169 km/h) at Lerwick, Shetland Islands while Katie produced a gust of 106 mph (171 km/h) on 28 March at The Needles Old Battery, Isle of Wight.

Background

Earlier in 2015, the Met Office and Met Éireann announced a pilot project to name wind storms and asked the public for suggestions.[3] The full list of names for 2015, common to both the UK and Ireland, chosen for future selection are:[4]

  • Henry
  • Imogen
  • Jake
  • Katie
  • Lawrence (unused)
  • Mary (unused)
  • Nigel (unused)
  • Orla (unused)
  • Phil (unused)
  • Rhonda (unused)
  • Steve (unused)
  • Tegan (unused)
  • Vernon (unused)
  • Wendy (unused)

A storm will be named when it is deemed able to have a "substantial" impact on the UK or Ireland. They will be taken from the list, in alphabetical order, alternating between male and female names – the same naming convention used by the United States for tropical cyclones. In the case of storms resulting from ex-tropical storms and hurricanes, the original name allocated by the US National Hurricane Center will be used. Met Éireann name any storm which triggers a status orange or red weather warning for wind.[3] The basis for such as outlined on their weather warning service are mean wind speeds in excess of 40 mph (65 km/h) or gusts over 68 mph (110 km/h).[5] Similarly, the Met Office name storms that have the potential to cause medium (orange) or high (red) impacts to the UK. It describes the wind strength relative to observations such as "falling trees or tiles and other items like garden furniture being blown around."[6]

Seasonal summary

Comparison of strongest gusts associated with each storm in the UK.

Storm Eva Storm Desmond Storm Abigail

[7][8][9][10][11]

Storms

Storm Abigail

Abigail

MODIS image of Abigail on 12 November 2015
Date of impact 12–13 November[12][13]
Maximum wind gust 84 mph (135 km/h)
(South Uist, Outer Hebrides)[14]
Lowest pressure 964 hPa (28.5 inHg)[15]
Power outages 20,000[16]
Main article: Storm Abigail

Abigail was the first storm to be officially named (jointly) by the Met Office and Met Éireann on 10 November 2015.[3][17] The Free University of Berlin named the cyclone Frank.[18] A Met Office yellow warning for wind was issues to all of Scotland on 11 November; with amber warnings for the Western Isles, north west Highlands, parts of Argyll and Orkney.[19] Initial forecasts on 12 November from a Chief Meteorologist at the Met Office warned of wind gusts widely reaching 60 mph (97 km/h) to 70 mph (110 km/h) and 80 mph (130 km/h) to 90 mph (140 km/h) in exposed locations.[17] The Scottish Environment Protection Agency also warned of the risk of flooding due to the storm, as the weather system was anticipated to create a storm surge along the south-west and west coast, due to coincidence with a high tide.[20]

Abigail brought high winds, rain, lightning, and wintry showers across the north and northwest of Scotland.[21] On 12 November, local ferries were affected by bad weather with many services cancelled. It was announced that every school in the Western Isles and Shetland were to be closed to pupils on 13 November.[22] The storm left more than 20,000 homes without power, according to energy company SSE.[23]

Storm Barney

Barney

MODIS image of Barney on 17 November 2015
Date of impact 17–18 November[12][24]
Maximum wind gust 85 mph (137 km/h) (Aberdaron, Gwynedd)[25]
Lowest pressure 980 hPa (29 inHg)[26]
Power outages 26,000[27]

A yellow warning for wind was issued by the Met Office for Wales, along with southern, central and eastern England, with gusts of 70 to 80 mph (110 to 130 km/h) expected on 17 November.[28][29]

It affected Ireland, Wales, southern and eastern England and the Midlands, where thousands of homes lost power and rail services were disrupted.[27][30] The storm was named Heini by the Free University of Berlin adopt-a-vortex scheme.[31]

Storm Clodagh

Clodagh

MODIS image of Clodagh on 30 November
Date of impact 29 November[12][32]
Maximum wind gust 97 mph (156 km/h)
(High Bradfield, South Yorkshire)[33]
Lowest pressure 968 hPa (28.6 inHg)[34]
Power outages 16,000

The Met Office issued a statement on 26 November saying that despite a prediction of windy weather in the coming days, the weather system was unlikely to become a named storm. On 28 November, Met Éireann upgraded its warnings and named the storm Clodagh.[35] The Danish Meteorological Institute christened the low as Gorm on the same evening.[36] The Free University of Berlin named the low Nils II.

In the UK and Ireland, Clodagh's impact was most severe in Ireland and North West England. In the Republic of Ireland 6,000 people were left without power.[37] In Northwest England 10,000 customers were without power.[38] It also caused disruption to transport in the North of England and Scotland.[39]

Storm Desmond

Main article: Storm Desmond
Desmond

MODIS image of Desmond on 5 December
Date of impact 4–6 December[12][40]
Maximum wind gust 81 mph (130 km/h)
(Capel Curig, Conwy)[41][42]
Lowest pressure 939 hPa (27.7 inHg)[43]
Fatalities 3[44][45]
Power outages 46,300[46][47][48][49]
Damage £400-£500 (€550-€700) million[lower-alpha 2]

Desmond was the fourth storm to be officially named, with heavy rain and severe gales forecast for 5–6 December across Ireland and the north of the UK.[51] On 4 December, the Met Office issued yellow warnings for wind and rain across most of the north of the UK and an amber warning for rain in parts of central and southern Scotland, Tayside and Fife[52] Met Éireann issued a status red rainfall warning for areas of Connacht, as well as counties Donegal, Clare and Kerry, with Clare County Council issuing a flood warning.[53]

On 5 December, the Met Office issued a red severe weather warning for rain in Cumbria.[54] The Environment Agency had severe flood warnings in place for parts of the River Tyne in Northumberland and across Cumbria.[55]

The expected heavy rainfall was considered to be an extreme weather event by the Norwegian Meteorological Institute, who named it Synne.[56] The US National Weather Service Ocean Prediction Center tweeted that the heavy rain was due to Desmond pulling a plume of moist air across the Atlantic Ocean to Western Europe, a weather phenomenon known as an atmospheric river.[57]

Approximately 1,000 people were evacuated from their homes in Hawick, Scottish Borders on 5 December, because the River Teviot flooded. Appleby and Keswick in the English county of Cumbria suffered blocked roads and some homes were evacuated; Cumbria Police declared the situation a "major incident". Homes left without electricity occurred in North Yorkshire (over 600) and in Wales (about 700); a further 2,000 people were without power in the Republic of Ireland. Landslides and flooding closed some main roads in Scotland and counties Down and Tyrone suffered road closures from fallen trees.[58]

Storm Eva

Main article: Storm Eva
Eva

MODIS image of Eva on 23 December 2015
Date of impact 23–24 December[12][59]
Maximum wind gust 84 mph (135 km/h)
(Belmullet, Co. Mayo)[60]
Lowest pressure 964 hPa (28.5 inHg)[61]
Power outages 3,000[62]

Eva was the fifth storm to be officially named by Met Éireann on 22 December 2015, with an orange wind warning being issued for counties Clare, Galway, Mayo, Sligo and Donegal. Gales were also expected in the northwest of the UK, with storm force winds over parts of the Outer Hebrides.[63] There were fears that the storm could cause further disruption to Cumbria in England, where areas were already dealing with the aftermath of flooding from Storm Desmond and in some cases had been flooded twice already.[64] The army and Environment Agency staff were called in to be on stand-by to bolster flood defences.[65]

Rain associated with the passage of Eva caused further disruption when rivers burst their banks in the Cumbrian towns of Appleby, Keswick and Kendal on the 22 December, with Appleby receiving three to four feet of flood water.[66][67] The village of Glenridding was badly flooded for the third time in the month.[68] 6000 houses in Ireland were left without power.[69] Liz Truss convened a COBRA meeting to decide on emergency measures, which included the deployment of soldiers from the 2nd Battalion, Duke of Lancaster's Regiment[70] to the affected areas.[71][72] On 24 December, flood defence gates were closed in Carlisle, Keswick and Cockermouth to limit the damage of rainfall and 20 water pumps and two kilometres of temporary flood barriers were transported to northern England.[73] Ferries operating between Dublin and Holyhead were cancelled due to bad weather on the Irish Sea.[74]

The media widely reported Storm Eva as being responsible for the flooding which occurred in Lancashire and Yorkshire on 25–27 December 2015. However, communications from the Met Office indicated that Eva's only direct impact on the UK was strong winds and a band of rain during 23–24 December 2015. By 26 December Storm Eva was located over the far north of Norway. The persistent heavy rain from 25–27 December was caused by a subsequent slow moving depression and frontal zone.[75][76][77] Despite red warnings for rain being issued by the Met Office on 26 December 2015, no name was given to this depression since there were no warnings issued for wind.

Storm Frank

Frank
Date of impact 29–30 December[12][78]
Maximum wind gust 85 mph (137 km/h)
(South Uist, Outer Hebrides)[1]
Lowest pressure 928 hPa (27.4 inHg)[79]
Fatalities 3
Power outages 27,900[80][81]

Frank was the sixth storm to be officially named by the Met Office on 28 December 2015, expected to bring gales or severe gales to western parts of the UK. Persistent, heavy rain fell, causing some disruption over Northern Ireland, west and southwest Scotland, northwest England and Wales on 30 December. Amber 'be prepared' rainfall warnings were in force, resulting in severe flood warnings in England and Scotland, meaning "danger to life".[82][83]

Frank caused severe flooding in Scotland with the towns of Dumfries, Peebles and Ballater flooded by the rivers Nith, Tweed and Dee.[84]

Frank claimed three casualties across Cornwall, Moray and the Highlands.[85][86]

The Free University of Berlin named the storm Eckard.[87]

Storm Gertrude

Gertrude

Visible image of Gertrude to the north of Scotland
Date of impact 29 January[12]
Maximum wind gust 105 mph (169 km/h)
(Lerwick, Shetland Islands)[88]
Lowest pressure 948 hPa (28.0 inHg)
Power outages 10,000[88]

On 28 January, the Met Office released news of the seventh named storm, Gertrude. In the release, they forecast a deepening area of low pressure to pass close to the north of Scotland on the night of 29 January, accompanied by a powerful jet stream from the Atlantic. It was anticipated that Scotland and Northern England would experience gales or severe gales (60-70 mph widely; possible 80 mph) with the Northern Isles "likely" to reach storm force winds (widely 70-80 mph, occasionally 90 mph). They warned of impacts to transport, power supplies and structural damage. The extent of amber severe weather warnings spread across the Northern Isles, western and southern Scotland and the "far north" of England and Northern Ireland. The winds for the early morning of 29 January were forecast to widely reach 60-70 mph and perhaps 80 mph in places. The Met Office noted other hazards such as large waves on western coasts and surface water from heavy rain during the morning.[89]

Winds were expected to strengthen and create the risk of blizzard conditions, especially over high ground in the north of Scotland. The Chief Operational Meteorologist said: "There remains some uncertainty over the exact track and intensity of the storm", however there was "higher confidence now" on the forecast of very strong winds and storm force winds in the Northern Isles. Press releases from Transport NI and Scotland’s Transport Minister, Derek Mackay, reaffirmed the risk of strong winds and advised people to take care during the course of the storm.[89] At 09:03 on 29 January, the Met Office upgraded the warning to red over the Shetland Islands (between 12:00 and 16:00), with gusts of around 100 mph expected and warned of very large waves.[90]

Gertrude caused the closures or restrictions on some bridges (Erskine Bridge, Tay Road Bridge, Forth Road Bridge and Severn Bridge) during the storm. On 29 January, 10% of Abellio Scotrail services were cancelled. There were also power cuts across Scotland and Northern Ireland.[91]

Storm Henry

Henry

Satellite photo of Henry to the north-west on 1 February
Date of impact 1–2 February
Maximum wind gust 90 mph (140 km/h)
South Uist, Outer Hebrides[92]
Lowest pressure 944 hPa (27.9 inHg)
Power outages 3,000[93]

On 30 January, the Met Office released news about the eighth named storm of the season, Henry. It was forecast to bring heavy rain and very strong gusts of wind across Scotland, northern England and northern Wales on 1–2 February, particularly into the night of 1 February. It was anticipated to bring gales across north Wales and north England, and severe gales across Scotland, most notably in the western isles, which was expected to bring gusts of up to 90 mph, resulting in amber wind warnings being issued. Localised flooding, transport disruption and issues with power supplies were expected, along with storm large waves being an additional concern.[94]

Storm Imogen

Imogen
Date of impact 8 February[12]
Maximum wind gust 96 mph (154 km/h)
The Needles Old Battery, Isle of Wight[95]
Power outages 19,000[96]

On 6 February Met Éireann issued an orange warning for strong winds and named Storm Imogen.[97] At this stage the Met Office had issued a yellow warning for strong winds in south-west England and South Wales. On 7 February, the Met Office yellow warning area was enlarged and an amber warning added for winds across south-western England of 60-70 mph and locally 80 mph on 8 February. They warned of the risk to trees, structures, interruption of power supplies and transport, especially the M4 and M5 motorways.[98] On 8 February Storm Imogen brought trees down, produced large coastal waves, caused power cuts and toppled high-sided vehicles across southern England and Wales.[99]

Storm Jake

Jake
Date of impact 2 March
Maximum wind gust 83 mph (134 km/h), Mace Head
Lowest pressure 989 hPa (29.2 inHg)
Power outages 8,240

Jake was named by Met Éireann on 1 March based on an orange warning of strong winds for counties Galway, Mayo, Clare, Cork, Kerry and Limerick. Strong winds were experienced in much of the Republic of Ireland and also Wales and south-west England on 2 March. There were power cuts and trees blown down in parts of Wales.[100] Disruption was also experienced in parts of south-west England.[101]

Storm Katie

Katie

IR image of Storm Katie developing to the SW of England on 28 March 2016
Date of impact 28 March
Maximum wind gust 106 mph (171 km/h)
The Needles Old Battery, Isle of Wight[102]
Power outages 100,000

Katie, the eleventh storm of the season, was named by the Met Office on 25 March.[103] During the first half of 28 March strong winds were experienced widely across southern England with coastal gusts of 70-80 mph and inland gusts of 50-70 mph in many places. The peak gust of 106 mph was recorded at the exposed site of The Needles Old Battery. Impacts were widespread across southern England including trees felled, wall, fence and roof damage, scaffolding collapses, bridge closures, flights, ferries and train cancellations and power outages.[104][105][106][107]

Season effects

This table lists all known windstorms that have so far affected the UK and Ireland during 2015–2016. It includes their name, duration, peak recorded gust (excluding mountain stations), lowest pressure, areas affected, deaths, and damage totals from the two nations. All damage figures are in 2015 pounds sterling and euros. The season's first half has so far been more notable for rainfall and flooding, similar to that seen during the 2013–2014 Atlantic winter storms in Europe, which brought the 2013–2014 United Kingdom winter floods.

Storm Dates active Highest wind gust Lowest pressure Casualties Damages
Abigail 7 – 15 November 84 mph (135 km/h) 964 hPa (28.50 inHg) None Unknown
Barney 16 – 18 November 85 mph (135 km/h) 980 hPa (28.94 inHg) None Unknown
Clodagh 26 – 30 November 97 mph (156 km/h ) 968 hPa (28.59 inHg) None Unknown
Desmond 3 – 8 December 81 mph (130 km/h) 939 hPa (27.68 inHg) 3 £400-£500 (€550-€700) million[lower-alpha 2]
Eva 22 – 25 December 84 mph (135 km/h) 964 hPa (28.50 inHg) None £500-£800 million (€700 million-€1.1 billion)[lower-alpha 3]
Frank 28 – 31 December 85 mph (137 km/h) 928 hPa (27.40 inHg) 3 Unknown
Gertrude 29 January 105 mph (169 km/h) 948 hPa (27.88 inHg)
Henry 1 – 2 February 90 mph (140 km/h) 944 hPa (28.00 inHg)
Imogen 8 February 96 mph (154 km/h) 962 hPa (28.40 inHg)
Jake 1 – 4 March 83 mph (134 km/h) 989 hPa (29.21 inHg)
Katie 25 – 28 March 106 mph (171 km/h)
Season Aggregates
11 windstorms 7 November – Season ongoing 106 mph (171 km/h) 928 hPa (27.40 inHg) 6 £900 million-1.3 billion (€1.2-1.8 billion)[lower-alpha 1]

Notes

  1. 1 2 Combined total of UK damage by Eva and Desmond.[2]
  2. 1 2 Damages are only for Desmond's effects in the UK.[50]
  3. ↑ Damages are for UK and deduced from estimate for Eva/Desmond total and Desmond total.[2][50]

See also

References

  1. 1 2 "Storm Frank". The Met Office. 30 December 2015. Retrieved 31 December 2015.
  2. 1 2 "UK flooding – PwC estimates insurance losses from Storms Eva and Desmond". PricewaterhouseCoopers. 27 December 2015. Retrieved 30 December 2015.
  3. 1 2 3 "Met Éireann and the UK Met Office release list of winter storm names". Met Éireann. 10–13 November 2015. Retrieved 13 November 2015.
  4. ↑ "Nigel and Steve among new storm names". BBC News. 20 October 2015. Retrieved 10 November 2015.
  5. ↑ "Met Éireann Weather Warning System Explained". Met Éireann. Retrieved 2 January 2016.
  6. ↑ When would we name a storm? (Video). The Met Office. 25 January 2016. Retrieved 29 January 2016.
  7. ↑ "Storm Abigail". Met Office.
  8. ↑ "Storm Barney". Met Office.
  9. ↑ "Storm Clodagh". Met Office.
  10. ↑ "Storm Desmond". Met Office.
  11. ↑ "Storm Eva". Met Office.
  12. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 "UK Storm Centre". The Met Office. 8 January 2016. Retrieved 13 January 2016.
  13. ↑ "Climatology and Observations Division Twitter page". Climatology and Observations Division. Met Éireann. Retrieved 14 January 2016.
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  15. ↑ Ocean Prediction Center (2015). "East Atlantic Surface Analysis 00Z 13 November 2015". NOAA. Retrieved 17 November 2015.
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  18. ↑ "Analysis". Free University of Berlin. 11 November 2015. Retrieved 28 November 2015.
  19. ↑ "Storm Abigail: Weather warning upgraded to amber". BBC News. 11 November 2015. Retrieved 11 November 2015.
  20. ↑ Alastair Dalton (12–14 November 2015). "Schools shut, ferries cancelled by Storm Abigail". The Scotsman. Retrieved 12 November 2015.
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  26. ↑ Ocean Prediction Center (2015). "East Atlantic Surface Analysis 12Z 17 November 2015". NOAA. Retrieved 17 November 2015.
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  38. ↑ "29/11/15: Severe weather: Engineers working to restore power (18:30 update)".
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  54. ↑ Dutton, Liam (5 December 2015). "Cumbria floods: when will the rain stop?". Channel 4 News. Retrieved 5 December 2015.
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  80. ↑ "Homes evacuated and power cuts as Storm Frank hits UK". BBC News. Retrieved 2 January 2016.
  81. ↑ "Storm Frank: NI hit by floods, power cuts and travel disruption". BBC News. Retrieved 2 January 2016.
  82. ↑ "Storm Frank to bring another spell of wet and windy weather". Met Office. 28 December 2015. Retrieved 28 December 2015.
  83. ↑ "Widespread flood warnings as UK braces for Storm Frank". The Guardian. 29 December 2015. Retrieved 31 December 2015.
  84. ↑ "After Storm Frank, Scotland rallies to fix itself amid the chaos". The Guardian. 1 January 2016. Retrieved 2 January 2016.
  85. ↑ "Storm Frank: second man dies in Scotland". The Guardian. 1 January 2016. Retrieved 2 January 2016.
  86. ↑ "Storm Frank claims three lives". Daily Mail. 2 January 2016. Retrieved 2 January 2016.
  87. ↑ "Analysis". Free University of Berlin. 29 December 2015. Retrieved 29 December 2015.
  88. 1 2 "Storm Gertrude: Gales cause chaos across parts of UK". BBC News. 29 January 2016. Retrieved 29 January 2016.
  89. 1 2 "Storm Gertrude to bring strong winds to northern Britain". The Met Office. 28 January 2016. Retrieved 29 January 2016.
  90. ↑ "Warnings in place for the region: Orkney & Shetland". Met Office. 29 January 2016. Retrieved 29 January 2016.
  91. ↑ "Storm Gertrude: Gales cause chaos across parts of UK". BBC News. 29 January 2016. Retrieved 29 January 2016.
  92. ↑ metofficestorms (2 February 2016). "Selected peak wind gusts from #StormHenry (mph): S Uist 90, Benbecula 85, Malin Head 81, Salsburgh 78, Skye 77, Loftus 75, Glasgow 67" (Tweet).
  93. ↑ "Rush hour travel warning as Storm Henry hits Scotland". BBC News. 2 February 2016. Retrieved 2 February 2016.
  94. ↑ Turner, Camilla (30 January 2016). "UK weather: Storm Henry to batter Britain, Met Office warns". The Telegraph. Retrieved 30 January 2016.
  95. ↑ "Storm Imogen". Met Office. Retrieved 8 February 2016.
  96. ↑ "Storm Imogen leaves homes without power across England and Wales". BBC News. 8 February 2016. Retrieved 8 February 2016.
  97. ↑ metoffice (6 February 2016). "#StormImogen has just been named by our partners @MetEireann and will move across the UK during the course of Monday" (Tweet).
  98. ↑ "Met Office names the UK's next storm". The Met Office. Retrieved 7 February 2016.
  99. ↑ "Power being restored after Storm Imogen hits England and Wales". BBC. Retrieved 1 April 2016.
  100. ↑ "Storm Jake: Wind causes fallen trees and power cuts". BBC. Retrieved 1 April 2016.
  101. ↑ "STORM JAKE: Bad day to be a tree, hailstorm havoc, bin day blues at Southway". Plymouth Herald. Retrieved 1 April 2016.
  102. ↑ "Storm Katie". Met Office. Retrieved 29 March 2016.
  103. ↑ "Storm Katie to arrive on Easter Monday". Met Office. Retrieved 1 April 2016.
  104. ↑ "Storm Katie: Flights cancelled and property damaged". BBC. Retrieved 1 April 2016.
  105. ↑ "Storm Katie: High winds cause damage across London". BBC. Retrieved 1 April 2016.
  106. ↑ "Storm Katie round-up". BBC. Retrieved 1 April 2016.
  107. ↑ "Your pictures: Storm Katie destruction across the UK". BBC. Retrieved 1 April 2016.

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