Castile and León parliamentary election, 2015

24 May 2015

All 84 seats in the Courts of Castile and León 43 seats needed for a majority

Opinion polls
Registered	2,145,628 1.0%
Turnout	1,391,797 (64.9%) 2.6 pp
	First party	Second party	Third party

Leader	Juan Vicente Herrera	Luis Tudanca	Juan Pablo Fernández
Party	PP	PSOE	Podemos
Leader since	16 March 2001	18 October 2014	14 February 2015
Last election	53 seats, 51.6%	29 seats, 29.7%	Did not contest
Seats won	42	25	10
Seat change	11	4	10
Popular vote	514,301	353,575	165,475
Percentage	37.7%	25.9%	12.1%
Swing	13.9 pp	3.7 pp	New party

	Fourth party	Fifth party	Sixth party

Leader	Luis Fuentes	José Sarrión	Luis Mariano Santos
Party	C's	IU	UPL
Leader since	14 March 2015	15 February 2015	26 March 2015
Last election	Did not contest	1 seat, 4.9%	1 seat, 1.9%
Seats won	5	1	1
Seat change	5	±0	±0
Popular vote	139,954	56,516	19,176
Percentage	10.3%	4.1%	1.4%
Swing	New party	0.7 pp	0.5 pp

President before election

Juan Vicente Herrera
PP

Elected President

Juan Vicente Herrera
PP

The 2015 Castile and León parliamentary election was held on Sunday, 24 May 2015, to elect the 9th Courts of Castile and León, the unicameral regional legislature of the Spanish autonomous community of Castile and León. At stake were all 84 seats in the Courts, determining the President of the Junta of Castile and León.

The election was held concurrently with the regional elections for 12 other autonomous communities, as well as the 2015 municipal elections.

Electoral system

The number of seats in the regional Courts was determined by the population count. For the 2015 election, the Courts size was set to 83 seats. All Courts members were elected in 9 multi-member districts, corresponding to Castile and León's nine provinces, using the D'Hondt method and a closed-list proportional representation system. Each district was entitled to an initial minimum of 3 seats, with 1 additional seat per each 45,000 inhabitants or fraction greater than 22,500. For the 2015 election, seats were distributed as follows: Avila (7), Burgos (11), Leon (14), Palencia (7), Salamanca (11), Segovia (7), Soria (5), Valladolid (15) and Zamora (7).

Voting was on the basis of universal suffrage in a secret ballot. Only lists polling above 3% of valid votes in each district (which include blank ballots—for none of the above) were entitled to enter the seat distribution.^[1]

Opinion polls

Vote

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

Date	Polling Firm/Source	PP	PSOE	IU	UPyD	UPL	C's	P	Oth.	Lead
Date	Polling Firm/Source								Oth.	Lead
24 May 2015	Regional Election	37.7	25.9	4.1	1.4	1.4	10.3	12.1	7.1	11.8
Exit polls
17 May	NC-Report	42.2	24.7	4.8	1.1	2.0	12.6	10.5	2.1	17.5
6–11 May	GAD3	39.2	24.5	4.2	0.9	0.6	13.5	11.8	5.3	14.7
10 May	Madison MK	38.9	22.5	5.7		1.7	13.2	10.4	7.6	16.4
22–30 Apr	Celeste-Tel^{[lower-alpha 1]}	42.9	24.2	4.5		2.1	12.4	7.1	6.8	18.7
23 Mar–19 Apr	CIS	40.9	22.9	3.8	2.0	1.8	11.1	10.3	7.2	18.0
12–24 Mar	Sigma-2	39.6	22.2	5.6		1.3	13.3	13.8	4.2	17.4
4–20 Mar	NC-Report	39.3	23.8	4.3	1.4	1.7	14.1	12.7	2.7	15.5
29 Dec–3 Jan	Pnyx	37.6	24.1	3.9	6.1	1.5	5.6	11.7	9.5	13.5
2015
25 May 2014	EP Election	37.5	23.4	8.3	8.3	N/A	2.7	8.2	11.6	14.1
2014
15 Apr–10 May	NC-Report	44.9	28.1						27.0	16.8
2013
2012
20 Nov 2011	General Election	55.4	29.2	5.6	6.1	N/A			3.7	26.2
22 May 2011	Regional Election	51.6	29.7	4.9	3.3	1.9			8.6	21.9

Seat projections

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 43 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Courts of Castile and León.

43 seats needed for majority
Date	Polling Firm/Source	PP	PSOE	IU	UPyD	UPL	C's	P	Others
Date	Polling Firm/Source								Others
24 May 2015	Regional Election	42	25	1	0	1	5	10	0
24 May	GAD3	39−42	23−25	1	0	0−1	8−10	8−10	0
Exit polls
17 May	NC-Report	43−44	22−24	0−1	0	0−1	10−11	7−8	0
6–11 May	GAD3	39−41	22−24	1	0	0−1	11−12	10−11	0
10 May	Madison MK	40−43	22−23	1	0	1	10−12	6−8	0
22–30 Apr	Celeste-Tel^{[lower-alpha 1]}	44	24	1	0	1	10	4	0
23 Mar–19 Apr	CIS	43−44	20−21	1	0	1	9	8−10	0
12–24 Mar	Sigma-2	39−43	21−23	1	0	1	9−10	9−11	0
4–20 Mar	NC-Report	38−43	22−24	0−1	0	0−1	10−11	8−10	0
29 Dec–3 Jan	Pnyx	40−43	24	1	2−3	1	2−3	10−12	0
2015
31 Oct	Llorente & Cuenca	38−40	23−25	2−3	4	2	0	10−16	0
25 May 2014	EP Election	(43)	(24)	(6)	(6)	N/A	(0)	(5)	(0)
2014
15 Oct–12 Nov	NC-Report	43−44	25−26	6−7	5−6	2−3	0		0
15 Apr–10 May	NC-Report	43−44	26−27	5−6	5−6	2−3	0		0
2013
2012
22 May 2011	Regional Election	53	29	1	0	1			0

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 24 May 2015 Castile and León Courts election results
Party		Vote			Seats

Party		Votes	%	±pp	Won	+/−
	People's Party (PP)	514,301	37.73	13.82	42	11
	Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)	353,575	25.94	3.74	25	4
	We Can (Podemos)	165,475	12.14	New	10	10
	Citizens-Party of the Citizenry (C's)	139,954	10.27	New	5	5
	United Left-Equo: Convergence for Castile and León (IU-EQUO)	56,516	4.15	0.72	1	±0
	Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD)	19,597	1.44	1.84	0	±0
	Leonese People's Union (UPL)	19,176	1.41	0.45	1	±0
	Independent Candidate-Citizens of Democratic Centre (CI-CCD)	12,748	0.94	0.19	0	±0
	Vox (VOX)	9,333	0.68	New	0	±0
	Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA)	7,263	0.53	0.16	0	±0
	El Bierzo Coalition (CB)	5,032	0.37	0.20	0	±0
	Castilian Party-Communal Land (PCAS-TC)	4,504	0.33	0.61	0	±0
	Let's Win the Fracking Castile and León (Ganemos)	2,445	0.18	New	0	±0
	Zamoran Independent Electors-Zamoran People's Union (ADEIZA-UPZ)	2,380	0.17	0.06	0	±0
	Decide Now-Socialist Alternative (Ahora Decide-AS)	2,285	0.17	New	0	±0
	Leonese Autonomist Party-Leonesist Unity (PAL-UL)	1,963	0.14	0.13	0	±0
	Spanish Falange of the JONS (FE-JONS)	1,779	0.13	0.02	0	±0
	Grouped Rural Citizens (CRA)	1,698	0.12	New	0	±0
	Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE)	1,408	0.10	0.07	0	±0
	Regionalist Party of the Leonese Country (PREPAL)	1,374	0.10	0.04	0	±0

Parties with less than 0.1% of the vote		6,975	0.51	–	±0
	Internationalist Solidarity and Self-Management (SAIn)	973	0.07	0.02	±0
	Party for Freedom-With Clean Hands (PxL)	934	0.07	New	±0
	National Democracy (DN)	896	0.07	0.08	±0
	Spanish Democratic Segovian Party (PSeDE)	874	0.06	New	±0
	Regionalist Democracy (DR)	848	0.06	0.04	±0
	United Free Citizens (CILUS)	742	0.05	New	±0
	El Bierzo Regionalist Party (PRB)	732	0.05	±0.00	±0
	CIVES (CIVES)	628	0.05	New	±0
	Blank Seats (Eb)	348	0.03	New	±0

	Blank ballots	33,274	2.44	0.84

Total		1,363,055	100.00		84	±0

Valid votes		1,363,055	97.93	0.16
Invalid votes		28,742	2.07	0.16
Votes cast / turnout		1,391,797	64.87	2.63
Abstentions		753,831	35.13	2.63
Registered voters		2,145,628

Source(s): Courts of Castile and León Argos Information Portal

Vote share

PP			37.73%
PSOE			25.94%
Podemos			12.14%
C's			10.27%
IU-EQUO			4.15%
UPyD			1.44%
UPL			1.41%
Others			4.49%
Blank ballots			2.44%

Parliamentary seats

PP			50.00%
PSOE			29.76%
Podemos			11.90%
C's			5.95%
IU-EQUO			1.19%
UPL			1.19%

Notes

1 2 Poll results are shown projected over candidacy votes (that is, votes going for political parties, excluding blank ballots). The vote percentage in the official election is calculated including blank ballots into the estimation. In order to obtain data comparable to both the official results as well as those of other polls, a rule of three has been applied to the poll projections, with the results of the calculation being shown instead.

References

↑ "Law 3/1987, of 30 March, electoral of Castile and León.".

Elections in Castile and León

Parliamentary elections	1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003 2007 2011 2015

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