Global Terrorism Index

The Global Terrorism Index (GTI) is an attempt to systematically rank the nations of the world according to terrorist activity. The index combines a number of factors associated with terrorist attacks to build an explicit picture of the impact of terrorism over a 10-year period, illustrating trends, and providing a data series for analysis by researchers and policymakers. It is the product of Institute for Economics and Peace (IEP) and is based on data from the Global Terrorism Database (GTD) which is collected and collated by the National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START) at the University of Maryland. The GTD has codified over 125,000 cases of terrorism.[1]

The 2014 Global Terrorism Index is the second edition of the index following a 2012 edition.[2] An interactive map highlights changes to the level of terrorism and the Global Terrorism Index.[3]

Global Terrorism Index Report 2015

Rank[4][5] Country Score Change in score
(Actual year 2013 to 2014)
1 Iraq10Increase 0.406
2 Afghanistan9.233Increase 0.238
3 Nigeria9.213Increase 1.018
4 Pakistan9.065Decrease -0.009
5 Syria8.108Increase 0.358
6 India7.747Increase 0.046
7 Yemen7.642Increase 0.486
8 Somalia7.6Increase 0.48
9 Libya7.29Increase 0.966
10 Thailand7.279Increase 0.096
11 Philippines7.27Increase 0.073
12 Ukraine7.2Increase 4.059
13 Egypt6.813Increase 0.475
14 Central African Republic6.721Increase 1.638
15 South Sudan6.712Increase 1.392
16 Sudan6.686Increase 0.988
17 Colombia6.662Increase 0.218
18 Kenya6.66Increase 0.362
19 Republic of the Congo6.487Increase 0.733
20 Cameroon6.466Increase 4.945
21 Lebanon6.376Increase 0.17
22 China6.294Increase 1.212
23 Russia6.207Decrease -0.432
24 Israel6.034Increase 1.118
25 Bangladesh5.921Increase 0.448
26 Mali5.871Increase 0.683
27 Turkey5.737Decrease -0.144
28 United Kingdom5.613Increase 0.162
29 Greece4.976Decrease -0.259
30 Uganda4.894Increase 2.133
31 Bahrain4.871Increase 0.198
32   Nepal4.791Decrease -0.643
33 Indonesia4.755Decrease -0.021
34 Algeria4.75Decrease -0.635
35 United States4.613Decrease -0.055
36 France4.553Decrease -0.331
37 Mozambique4.386Increase 0.278
38 South Africa4.231Increase 0.707
39 Iran4.222Decrease -0.439
40 Paraguay4.094Increase 0.391
41 Myanmar4.08Decrease -0.275
42 Sri Lanka4.077Increase 0.004
43 Saudi Arabia4.006Increase 1.234
44 Mexico3.985Decrease -0.524
45 Tanzania3.979Increase 0.356
46 Chile3.969Increase 0.797
47 Tunisia3.697Increase 0.145
48 Ireland3.663Increase 0.487
49 Malaysia3.579Increase 0.056
50 Ethiopia3.544Decrease -0.085
51 Niger3.485Increase 0.767
52 Senegal3.467Decrease -0.067
53 Germany3.442Increase 1.676
54 Italy3.364Increase 0.483
55 Burundi3.342Decrease -0.506
56 Rwanda3.334Decrease -0.476
57 Peru3.316Increase 0.051
58 Ivory Coast3.141Decrease -0.657
59 Australia3.114Increase 2.894
60 Sweden3.083Increase 1.37
61 Cyprus3.08Decrease -0.106
62 Kosovo3.018Decrease -0.188
63 Nicaragua2.928Increase 2.928
64 Norway2.738Decrease -0.674
65 Spain2.622Decrease -0.112
66 Dominican Republic2.581Increase 1.394
67 Djibouti2.567Increase 2.567
68 Czech Republic2.484Increase 1.62
69 Madagascar2.444Increase 0.635
70 Bulgaria2.421Decrease -0.333
71 Georgia2.373Decrease -0.576
72 Canada2.297Increase 0.368
73 Macedonia2.252Increase 0.875
74 Brazil2.207Increase 0.585
75 Chad2.142Increase 1.937
76 Venezuela2.139Increase 1.514
77 Belarus2.125Decrease -0.653
78 Albania2.116Increase 1.896
79 Austria2.088Increase 0.406
80 Honduras2.077Decrease -0.261
81 Guatemala2.009Decrease -0.632
82 Belgium1.977Increase 0.944
83 Kazakhstan1.881Decrease -0.666
84 Tajikistan1.869Decrease -0.244
85 Jordan1.751Decrease -0.207
86 Kyrgyzstan1.722Increase 1.474
87 Zimbabwe1.71Increase 0.141
88 Argentina1.674Decrease -0.682
89 Eritrea1.636Decrease -0.709
90 Trinidad and Tobago1.583Decrease -0.646
91 Bosnia and Herzegovina1.516Increase 0.038
92 Morocco1.446Decrease -0.648
93 Azerbaijan1.381Increase 1.247
93 Ghana1.381Increase 1.381
95  Switzerland1.349Decrease -0.677
96 Iceland1.219Increase 1.143
96 Liberia1.219Increase 1.143
98 Guinea1.187Decrease -0.665
98 Hungary1.187Increase 1.044
98 New Zealand1.187Increase 1.187
101 United Arab Emirates1.045Increase 0.768
102 Democratic Republic of the Congo0.823Decrease -0.683
103 Montenegro0.659Decrease -0.657
104 Ecuador0.577Decrease -0.699
105 Netherlands0.429Decrease -0.596
106 Serbia0.41Decrease -0.744
107 Bhutan0.305Steady 0
107 Burkina Faso0.305Decrease -0.354
107 Mauritania0.305Decrease -0.841
110 Portugal0.267Decrease -0.282
111 Angola0.243Decrease -0.443
112 Jamaica0.229Increase 0.229
113 Cambodia0.153Decrease -0.152
113 Guinea-Bissau0.153Decrease -0.267
113 Taiwan0.153Decrease -0.152
116 Armenia0.115Decrease -0.229
116 Croatia0.115Decrease -0.114
118 Denmark0.091Decrease -0.09
119 Bolivia0.076Decrease -0.349
119 Estonia0.076Decrease -0.077
121 Laos0.038Decrease -0.038
121 Moldova0.038Decrease -0.31
123 Kuwait0.019Decrease -0.019
124 Benin0Steady 0
124 Botswana0Steady 0
124 Costa Rica0Steady 0
124 Cuba0Steady 0
124 El Salvador0Steady 0
124 Equatorial Guinea0Decrease -0.129
124 Finland0Steady 0
124 Gabon0Steady 0
124 Gambia0Steady 0
124 Guyana0Steady 0
124 Haiti0Steady 0
124 Japan0Decrease -0.086
124 Latvia0Steady 0
124 Lesotho0Decrease -0.086
124 Lithuania0Steady 0
124 Malawi0Steady 0
124 Mauritius0Steady 0
124 Mongolia0Steady 0
124 Namibia0Steady 0
124 North Korea0Steady 0
124 Oman0Steady 0
124 Panama0Decrease -0.038
124 Papua New Guinea0Steady 0
124 Poland0Steady 0
124 Qatar0Steady 0
124 Romania0Steady 0
124 Sierra Leone0Steady 0
124 Singapore0Steady 0
124 Slovakia0Steady 0
124 Slovenia0Steady 0
124 South Korea0Steady 0
124 Swaziland0Steady 0
124 Timor-Leste0Steady 0
124 Togo0Steady 0
124 Turkmenistan0Steady 0
124 Uruguay0Steady 0
124 Uzbekistan0Decrease -0.286
124 Vietnam0Steady 0
124 Zambia0Steady 0

Methodology

GTI Scoring System

The GTI score for a country in a given year is based on a unique scoring system to account for the relative impact of incidents in the year. There are four factors counted in each country's yearly score:

Each of the factors is weighted differently and a five-year weighted average is applied to importantly reflect the lingering psychological effect of terrorist acts over time. The weightings shown in the table below were determined by consultation with the GPI Expert Panel:

Dimension Weight
Total number of incidents 1
Total number of fatalities 3
Total number of injuries 0.5
Sum of property damages measure 2

The greatest weighting is attributed to a fatality. The property damage measure is further disaggregated into four bands depending on the measured scope of the property damage inflicted by one incident. These bandings are shown in the table below, whereby incidents causing less than US$1 million are accorded a weight of 1, between $1 million and $1 billion, and more than $1 billion. A great majority of incidents are coded in the GTD as an 'unknown' level of property damage, thus scoring nil, with 'catastrophic' events being extremely rare.

Code Damage level
0 Unknown
1 Minor (likely < $1 million)
2 Major (likely between $1 million and $1 billion)
3 Catastrophic (likely > $1 billion)

Example of a country's GTI Score

To assign a relative number to how a country has been directly impacted by terrorism in any given year, for every incident recorded, the GTI calculates a weighted sum of all indicators. To illustrate, the table below depicts a hypothetical country's score for a given year:

Dimension Weight # of records for the given year Score
Total number of incidents 1 21 21
Total number of fatalities 3 36 108
Total number of injuries 0.5 53 26.5
Sum of property damages measure 2 20 40
Total Raw Score 195.5

Given these indicator values, the country for that year would be assessed as having a raw impact of terrorism score of:

(1 x 21) + (3 x 36) + (0.5 x 53) + (2 x 20) = 195.5.

See also

References

  1. "About the GTI". p. Vision of Humanity. Retrieved 11 February 2013.
  2. "GTI 2014". p. Vision of Humanity. Retrieved 18 November 2014.
  3. "GTI 2014". p. Vision of Humanity. Retrieved 18 November 2014.
  4. "Global Terrorism Index Report". Vision of Humanity. Institute for Economics & Peace.
  5. "Global Terrorism Index Report 2015" (PDF). Institute for Economics & Peace.

External links

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