Kentucky gubernatorial election, 2015

Kentucky gubernatorial election, 2015
Kentucky
November 3, 2015

Turnout 30.9%
 
Nominee Matt Bevin Jack Conway
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Jenean Hampton Sannie Overly
Popular vote 511,771 426,944
Percentage 52.5% 43.8%

County Results

Governor before election

Steve Beshear
Democratic

Elected Governor

Matt Bevin
Republican

The Kentucky gubernatorial election took place on November 3, 2015, to elect the Governor of Kentucky. Incumbent Democratic Governor Steve Beshear was not eligible to run for re-election to a third term due to term limits established by the Kentucky Constitution. Primary elections were held on May 19, 2015. Despite being behind in most pre-election polls, Republican Matt Bevin won the election by approximately a nine-point margin. 30.86% of all eligible voters voted in the election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Running mate: Johnathan Masters[3]
  • Former running mate: Cherokee Schill[2]

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jack
Conway
Geoff
Young
Undecided
Survey USA May 5–10, 2015 707 ± 3.5% 68% 13% 19%
Survey USA March 3–8, 2015 640 ± 3.9% 61% 12% 27%
Harper Polling January 28–31, 2015 255 ± 6.14% 59% 13% 28%

Results

Democratic primary results[59]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jack Conway 140,627 78.8
Democratic Geoff Young 37,887 21.2
Total votes 178,514 100

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

  • Running mate: John Yuen, candidate for the State Senate in 2012[71]

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Cathy
Bailey
Matt
Bevin
James
Comer
Hal
Heiner
Will T.
Scott
Undecided
Survey USA May 5–10, 2015 517 ± 4.4% 27% 26% 25% 8% 14%
Public Policy Polling May 6–7, 2015 501 ± 4.4% 25% 28% 27% 20%
Triumph Campaigns March 26, 2015 601 ± 4% 12% 19% 33% 3% 29%
Survey USA March 3–8, 2015 520 ± 4.4% 20% 20% 28% 8% 25%
Harper Polling January 28–31, 2015 261 ± 6.07% 18% 25% 19% 9% 30%
Remington Research January 27–28, 2015 1,000 ± ? 19% 22% 18% 5% 26%
Public Policy Polling August 7–10, 2014 383 ± ? 11% 25% 20% 18% 26%
22% 28% 50%
Public Opinion Strategies February 26–27, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 42% 14% 13%

Results

Republican primary results[99]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Matt Bevin 70,479 32.9
Republican James Comer 70,396 32.9
Republican Hal Heiner 57,948 27.1
Republican Will T. Scott 15,364 7.2
Total votes 214,187 100

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Running mate: Heather Curtis, COO of Fark.com and wife of Drew Curtis[100]
  • Running mate: Elisabeth Anderson, retired legal secretary

General election

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jack
Conway (D)
Matt
Bevin (R)
Drew
Curtis (I)
Undecided
Vox Populi October 26–27, 2015 618 ± 3.9% 44% 44% 6% 6%
43% 46% 6% 7%
Survey USA October 23–26, 2015 798 ± 3.5% 45% 40% 6% 10%
WKU Social Science Research Center October 19–25, 2015 770 ± 3.5% 45% 40% 7% 8%
Mason-Dixon October 6–8, 2015 625 ± 4% 43% 41% 6% 10%
Survey USA September 22–27, 2015 701 ± 3.8% 42% 37% 7% 15%
Survey USA July 22–28, 2015 685 ± 3.8% 43% 38% 8% 11%
45% 42% 13%
Public Policy Polling June 18–21, 2015 1,108 ± 2.9% 35% 38% 6% 21%
38% 40% 22%
Survey USA May 5–10, 2015 1,677 ± 2.4% 48% 37% 16%
Survey USA March 3–8, 2015 1,917 ± 2.3% 42% 36% 22%
Harper Polling January 28–29, 2015 640 ± 3.87% 45% 41% 14%
Gravis Marketing January 5–6, 2015 608 ± 4% 44% 36% 20%
Public Policy Polling August 7–10, 2014 991 ± 3.1% 39% 36% 25%

Results

[103][104]
Kentucky gubernatorial election, 2015
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Matt Bevin 511,771 52.52% +17.23%
Democratic Jack Conway 426,944 43.82% -11.90%
Independent Drew Curtis 35,629 3.66% -5.33%
Majority 84,827 8.7% -11.73%
Total votes 974,344 30.86%
Republican gain from Democratic Swing

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External links

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