List of countries by future population (United Nations, constant fertility variant)

This is a List of countries by future population using the constant fertility rate variant (CFR; in which it is assumed that current fertility rates stay the same each year), ranging from 2020 to 2100 in decades or ten-year periods, as estimated by the 2015 revision of the World Population Prospects database by the United Nations Population Division. All figures are rounded and given in thousands, but these projections are not expected to be accurate since for most countries the fertility rate has been gradually decaying over time.

Country / territory202020302040205020602070208020902100
World7,765,0388,674,5389,672,74310,852,05812,327,60014,280,01316,957,25220,696,01225,957,807
1 Afghanistan37,48850,58267,77790,759122,534165,823225,154307,392420,950
2 Albania2,9372,9562,8592,7252,5612,3782,1721,9391,748
3 Algeria43,51650,68757,79066,19074,99583,92294,240106,345119,807
4 American Samoa5659636671768493104
5 Andorra707272716762575350
6 Angola29,60642,13360,65688,481130,609194,333291,019437,644659,865
7 Anguilla (UK)151616161515141313
8 Antigua and Barbuda97106114120124128132136139
9 Argentina45,64750,12454,58459,03763,42567,63471,79676,13380,719
10 Armenia3,0402,9872,8772,7012,4842,2491,9871,7501,549
11 Aruba (Netherlands)1061081061029894918681
12 Australia25,64528,68031,47534,26736,94539,42541,73743,84545,786
13 Austria8,6358,7348,6718,4818,1507,7807,4137,0346,673
14 Azerbaijan10,28010,88911,31911,63111,77811,95912,16312,49712,897
15 Bahamas411449478501517529536539542
16 Bahrain1,4931,6721,8281,9422,0162,0582,0812,0982,119
17 Bangladesh171,530192,435210,798226,581239,538250,140259,574268,720278,316
18 Barbados287290286279271264258251244
19 Belarus9,3248,8198,2797,7097,1246,5906,1005,6885,310
20 Belgium11,62611,97912,24212,40012,44712,48212,52812,55712,558
21 Belize4014895786717698709771,0951,226
22 Benin12,50616,59921,92428,96138,41351,09168,25091,603123,410
23 Bermuda (UK)615957535047454239
24 Bhutan8239159921,0551,1021,1301,1481,1651,185
25 Bolivia11,63413,68515,94518,45021,26924,42227,99932,14736,975
26 Bosnia and Herzegovina3,7603,5783,3133,0022,6742,3422,0201,7391,503
27 Botswana2,4822,9403,4243,9574,5255,1295,8026,5717,437
28 Brazil216,614231,553241,517246,851247,780244,530238,265230,842223,221
29 British Virgin Islands (UK)333638394141424344
30 Brunei452503543570583585581577574
31 Bulgaria6,8546,1905,5084,8484,1993,6023,1012,7002,342
32 Burkina Faso21,10629,07740,35156,28679,039111,514157,933224,320319,330
33 Burundi13,23818,33925,56036,16551,22972,858104,159149,049213,583
34 Cambodia16,90319,60322,41625,43828,58831,89835,42639,33343,741
35 Cameroon26,68635,23946,85062,69684,303113,591153,358207,531281,253
36 Canada37,65040,49442,55844,11545,28746,24046,86947,12947,138
37 Cape Verde5576367177978719391,0011,0641,133
38 Caribbean Netherlands (Netherlands)272830313132333434
39 Cayman Islands (UK)647177818589929597
40 Central African Republic5,4736,9278,83411,37114,71119,05724,72932,17341,916
41 Chad16,68123,79834,03649,23372,068106,535159,094239,458362,255
42 Chile18,87720,38621,37821,94422,09921,92721,53220,95720,359
43 China[1]1,400,3151,403,2401,371,3341,304,3441,207,0481,102,175993,020889,147801,925
44 Colombia50,43754,20656,77158,20158,75858,64558,01257,13856,266
45 Comoros8931,1491,4751,9002,4603,1994,1815,4877,221
46 Cook Islands (NZ)222325262829303133
47 Costa Rica5,0615,4895,7935,9806,0526,0285,9255,7765,632
48 Croatia4,1653,9773,7603,5183,2633,0052,7562,5282,317
49 Cuba11,38111,27710,94910,3629,5568,7137,9947,3156,699
50 Curaçao (Netherlands)164176185194203212221229237
51 Cyprus1,2201,3031,3581,3911,3991,3791,3371,2891,242
52 Czech Republic10,52610,2749,8689,4128,8318,1537,5247,0006,513
53 Democratic Republic of the Congo91,277129,037183,772263,866381,943555,528810,8391,186,5221,739,617
54 Denmark5,7715,9756,1076,1866,2526,3076,3376,3156,259
55 Djibouti9581,1131,2701,4371,6301,8462,1002,4122,786
56 Dominica747777767471676359
57 Dominican Republic11,17312,47013,75215,00316,26217,57218,97220,50022,192
58 Timor-Leste1,3361,7232,2793,1154,3266,0828,63912,32417,619
59 Ecuador17,42820,09822,81725,59428,43631,35734,39437,62741,171
60 Egypt101,329121,705146,318176,102210,463252,147302,737364,226438,620
61 El Salvador6,2576,5436,7606,8606,8636,7646,5676,3036,053
62 Equatorial Guinea9821,3251,7842,4203,3044,5176,1848,47311,621
63 Eritrea5,9637,80110,21413,30817,28022,43629,14837,91649,369
64 Estonia1,2911,2251,1541,080998916838772713
65 Ethiopia114,262153,082202,898267,755353,777465,724611,848804,4791,058,786
66 Falkland Islands (UK)333333333
67 Faroe Islands (Denmark)495153555760646771
68 Federated States of Micronesia109124139155176198223256296
69 Fiji9209641,0031,0361,0721,1181,1751,2481,335
70 Finland5,5825,6885,7035,6885,6825,6755,6455,5925,528
71 France[2]65,72868,09470,12371,46172,58673,88675,32276,65877,817
72 French Guiana (France)3073965036297789571,1731,4341,748
73 French Polynesia (France)297317335348358364368372377
74 Gabon1,9422,4713,1403,9885,0556,3938,08310,22612,947
75 Georgia3,9713,8343,6633,4393,1712,9082,6552,4392,262
76 Germany80,24578,48975,67771,89167,33863,14159,16255,18351,528
77 Ghana30,82738,75348,55260,86876,33196,031121,389154,035196,098
78 Gibraltar (UK)333333323131302929
79 Greece10,82810,46510,0459,5058,7898,0167,3126,6996,116
80 Greenland (Denmark)575756555453525251
81 Grenada110115118119119117115113112
82 Guadeloupe (France)478496511517515516521527532
83 Guam (USA)181204225245265286307329351
84 Guatemala18,20022,53027,52533,35540,17548,08057,35968,35681,468
85 Guinea14,54619,59626,61536,47450,31069,62596,566134,253186,915
86 Guinea-Bissau2,0932,7073,5144,5976,0578,03110,72814,42219,468
87 Guyana7918438759049429851,0301,0841,156
88 Haiti11,49313,22615,06317,06319,32621,88424,85228,40232,625
89 Honduras8,72810,14311,51612,84714,14315,36716,53117,69818,958
90 Hong Kong7,5237,7977,8197,6787,3676,9576,5376,1485,783
91 Hungary9,6529,1318,5117,8697,1916,4815,8345,2624,731
92 Iceland343368387400411419425430434
93 India1,395,5651,566,3121,725,6801,879,5592,031,0042,178,1892,330,5292,492,7362,668,911
94 Indonesia273,319303,430331,160356,974382,610410,294441,539476,423515,567
95 Iran83,77690,31194,50896,65795,43091,44986,77182,96679,351
96 Iraq42,27756,35074,92799,451131,787174,767232,199308,881411,233
97 Ireland4,8805,2235,5505,8436,0286,1646,3236,4956,623
98 Isle of Man (UK)9196101104107110112115116
99 Israel8,75510,22911,91613,84315,99618,45121,27924,51728,225
100 Italy59,60458,49956,81054,35251,09447,71244,90042,45239,957
101 Ivory Coast25,81233,88244,98560,60382,658113,663157,130217,870302,475
102 Jamaica2,8502,9152,9162,8872,8202,7232,6072,4892,400
103 Japan124,728118,771111,049102,86994,59185,66777,49070,52364,208
104 Jordan8,2619,63911,80314,32717,24720,70624,90529,97936,076
105 Kazakhstan18,68720,42622,38324,58826,80029,39132,38635,72239,380
106 Kenya52,74469,17890,679118,934156,012204,620268,745353,332464,808
107 Kiribati123147174207248298360438533
108 Kuwait4,3335,0685,6736,2236,6546,9767,2867,6157,929
109 Kyrgyzstan6,4357,3488,3679,54310,82812,37014,21516,42019,033
110 Laos7,4818,99110,65012,55614,70817,11319,86323,07226,862
111 Latvia1,9121,7761,6411,5081,3751,2501,1341,035944
112 Lebanon5,8935,2925,5195,6185,6255,4975,2424,9294,647
113 Lesotho2,2772,6043,0243,5824,2545,0325,9597,0778,416
114 Liberia5,1466,8029,01911,98816,00721,44628,81638,81152,377
115 Liechtenstein394142424242424140
116 Lithuania2,7892,6182,4402,2692,1061,9561,8171,6871,569
117 Luxembourg604672729780819851875892901
118 Libya6,7557,7058,6299,52310,30911,09011,97812,92913,890
119 Macau630699742769779772751725702
120 Macedonia2,0842,0561,9771,8671,7361,5911,4451,3081,186
121 Madagascar28,05937,79050,57267,67290,590121,193162,194217,232291,154
122 Malawi20,25928,29039,53855,33177,310107,747150,086209,260292,065
123 Malaysia32,48836,68240,03742,70644,99146,54347,43148,16748,903
124 Maldives396454504551587611628642657
125 Mali20,71029,38342,56762,43392,388137,511205,381307,402460,827
126 Malta422424412394374351324298273
127 Marshall Islands54607488108137174220280
128 Martinique (France)396395386369352343340336330
129 Mauritania4,6155,9537,6569,83712,67816,40321,29527,74536,271
130 Mauritius1,2941,3161,2961,2431,1771,1011,015926842
131 Mayotte (France)2773674836288091,0401,3331,7052,179
132 Mexico135,634152,611168,033182,048194,560205,418215,361224,952234,968
133 Moldova[3]4,0233,8223,5103,1412,7352,3041,9041,5851,321
134 Monaco394042444750545761
135 Mongolia3,1983,6014,0114,4704,9195,4075,9556,5417,227
136 Montenegro627622606581554525494465437
137 Montserrat (UK)556666666
138 Morocco36,69141,06945,06248,96052,80056,56060,49364,88969,739
139 Mozambique32,39344,23261,32985,934121,095170,749240,919340,341481,350
140 Myanmar56,49061,63465,94869,05671,71574,21176,52979,03882,078
141 Namibia2,7573,4404,2495,2436,4557,9219,70711,89514,574
142 Nauru101111111111111111
143   Nepal30,45034,50838,09441,52044,59047,19049,33551,14752,986
144 Netherlands17,17617,55517,62517,40417,11616,90216,71816,46016,152
145 New Caledonia (France)281316351383414443470494518
146 New Zealand4,7405,1555,5095,8096,0806,3576,6376,8857,107
147 Nicaragua6,4607,2598,0498,7769,4269,98210,44910,88511,350
148 Niger24,43737,52358,62092,529147,010234,402374,569599,491960,646
149 Nigeria208,924277,735374,028509,315701,191975,1161,367,2971,928,9882,733,011
150 Niue (NZ)222222233
151 North Korea25,82026,96027,54127,80027,95428,09028,30028,52228,704
152 Northern Mariana Islands (USA)565653484135292419
153 Norway5,4925,9316,2916,6066,8767,0987,2917,4407,554
154 Oman4,8685,5016,1116,9547,8558,7179,68510,81112,094
155 Pakistan210,630258,638313,836380,590460,089556,040675,087822,9881,006,666
156 Palau232527293031323333
157 Palestine[4]5,3997,1909,41312,28515,99320,73926,89434,90845,320
158 Panama4,2504,8905,5076,1206,7237,3227,9448,6029,307
159 Papua New Guinea8,48710,52212,92415,77919,25723,51128,74135,21343,249
160 Paraguay7,1078,0769,0149,94810,90611,86212,84113,92215,161
161 Peru33,50737,91242,27846,59650,84655,02759,24063,70068,559
162 Philippines109,131127,711147,481169,225193,901221,976254,369292,316336,861
163 Poland38,41837,11735,02732,49129,66726,52723,30020,53418,212
164 Portugal10,1669,8419,4979,0168,4087,7567,1546,6186,073
165 Puerto Rico (USA)3,6823,6593,5633,3973,1812,9302,6642,3992,156
166 Qatar2,4622,8313,1223,3963,6253,7923,8963,9514,014
167 Republic of the Congo5,3117,1309,68313,19218,01324,64933,78046,32963,571
168 Romania18,79517,45616,06914,53512,95311,47310,2229,1288,089
169 Russia142,247136,253129,514122,564115,425108,780103,00098,44993,895
170 Rwanda13,17816,97121,74227,60834,91243,99455,29169,52387,475
171 Réunion (France)8959651,0231,0601,0871,1151,1491,1821,215
172 Saint Helena, Ascension and Tristan da Cunha (UK)444444443
173 Saint Kitts and Nevis596469727577798183
174 Saint Lucia192206215220221220218214211
175 Saint Pierre and Miquelon (France)677888899
176 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines111114117117116114111108105
177 Samoa201221254293343411500612759
178 San Marino323332313028262523
179 São Tomé and Príncipe2142723494495797539851,2951,709
180 Saudi Arabia34,66640,81247,12353,44159,84966,76974,59383,42093,261
181 Senegal17,70524,26733,36045,99663,40487,455120,801166,974230,774
182 Serbia[5]8,6628,2207,6847,1136,5385,9565,3964,8724,397
183 Seychelles99103106108110112115120125
184 Sierra Leone7,2689,33812,08915,77720,75527,47336,56048,87965,584
185 Singapore6,0016,3876,5776,5606,3736,0915,7575,3995,025
186 Sint Maarten (Netherlands)414650535658616365
187 Slovakia5,4135,2564,9684,6174,2123,7643,3392,9802,664
188 Slovenia2,0682,0261,9561,8621,7421,6211,5161,4321,357
189 Solomon Islands6478019941,2291,5251,9032,3822,9903,765
190 Somalia[6]12,54017,49924,76935,59251,90276,375113,202168,602251,897
191 South Africa56,91661,50466,51272,11677,93783,79789,82196,208102,997
192 South Korea51,07951,71950,67547,96444,03039,64135,37531,45327,981
193 South Sudan14,28718,98625,19333,65645,28961,13982,873112,802153,963
194 Spain46,05945,38444,59943,02440,33637,24934,62332,52730,350
195 Sri Lanka21,22421,89622,20622,09021,73721,33020,91020,51620,152
196 Sudan45,81359,76277,515100,382130,447169,835221,739290,552381,641
197 Suriname568614653687719753790831877
198 Swaziland1,3811,5971,8742,2422,7003,2483,9064,7065,682
199 Sweden10,11910,75711,27211,84712,40512,90613,40813,85914,270
200  Switzerland8,6369,1279,4609,6829,7689,7679,7319,6479,524
201 Syria21,18729,96535,46941,55748,32955,79264,26174,02685,228
202 Tajikistan9,49311,57013,92016,85520,25624,42729,61335,97643,880
203 Tanzania62,82487,271121,887170,576238,916334,741469,165657,846922,882
204 Thailand68,75168,83966,90863,12958,20753,06448,17643,63839,432
205 Gambia2,3473,2774,5976,4669,12812,92418,35126,12337,267
206 Togo8,37511,06414,66719,49125,97534,71046,48262,33983,674
207 Tokelau (NZ)122223334
208 Tonga112125144163188221261311374
209 Trinidad and Tobago1,3801,3851,3641,3221,2651,2021,1461,0981,054
210 Tunisia11,87912,90313,62414,27214,76115,06415,38515,79216,167
211 Turkey82,55989,32296,246101,871106,160109,131111,324113,284115,136
212 Turkmenistan5,7176,3156,7967,2177,5567,8528,1688,5308,945
213 Turks and Caicos Islands (UK)374247515457606366
214 Tuvalu101112131416182023
215 Uganda46,48466,69395,937138,731201,719294,005429,810629,904924,481
216 Ukraine43,47640,10136,61333,02029,41526,06423,20920,89318,771
217 United Arab Emirates9,85211,13712,31113,30114,00914,48714,69814,71114,740
218 United Kingdom66,69470,12972,96875,54777,55379,26580,91282,29383,498
219 United States333,432354,931372,149386,218399,233411,866422,333430,252436,618
220 United States Virgin Islands 107108107104103102103104106
221 Uruguay3,5023,6323,7323,8053,8553,8803,8873,8863,887
222 Uzbekistan31,96335,36438,45141,31843,65246,01948,55951,44554,830
223 Vanuatu2963674505466587909471,1331,354
224  Vatican City111111111
225 Venezuela33,27237,57741,71145,69649,59353,46557,35761,38165,661
226 Vietnam98,191105,367110,408113,353113,753112,527110,201107,538105,281
227 Wallis and Futuna (France)131414141516161718
228 Western Sahara[7]6357578729811,0801,1721,2641,3551,443
229 Yemen30,59239,79251,13365,48783,769106,893136,776175,814226,515
230 Zambia19,05126,57937,29952,52974,012104,288147,155207,808293,566
231 Zimbabwe17,70122,80229,44037,97748,66062,12579,341101,442129,786

Notes

  1. Census figure refers to mainland China, excluding its Special Administrative Regions (SARs) of Hong Kong and Macau, The first one returned to Chinese sovereignty in mid-1997 and the second one did so on December 20, 1999,
  2. Estimate not only refers to metropolitan France, but also includes its separatedly listed overseas departments (Départements d'outre-mer, DOM) of French Guiana, Guadeloupe, Martinique, Mayotte (from March 31, 2011) and Réunion and its overseas collectivities (Collectivités d'outre-mer, COM) of French Polynesia, Saint Barthélemy, Saint Martin, Saint Pierre and Miquelon and Wallis and Futuna, The population of metropolitan France alone stood at 63,730,000 in November 2012, according to a monthly [www,insee,fr/fr/bases-de-donnees/bsweb/serie,asp?idbank=000436387 official estimate],
  3. Excludes (statistica,md,2010,pdf) Transnistria (555,347, census 2005),
  4. It comprises the Gaza Strip and the West Bank,
  5. Excludes the Kosovo (1,733,872, 2011),
  6. Includes Puntland (with a population of about 3,900,000 inhabitants) and Somaliland (some 3,500,000 inhabitants),
  7. Administration is split between Morocco and the Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic, both of which claim the entire territory,

Sources

See also

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