Nigerien general election, 2016

Nigerien general election, 2016

21 February 2016 (first round) 20 March 2016 (second round)

Nominee Mahamadou Issoufou Hama Amadou Party PNDS MODEN/FA Popular vote 4,105,499 333,143 Percentage 92.49% 7.51%

Presidential election results map. Pink denotes provinces won by Issoufou, and Blue denotes those won by Amadou.

President before election Mahamadou Issoufou PNDS Elected President Mahamadou Issoufou PNDS

General elections were held in Niger on 21 February 2016,^[1] with a presidential run-off held on 20 March.^[2] A total of 15 candidates ran for the presidency, with incumbent President Mahamadou Issoufou running for re-election for a second term.^[3] There were two main opposition candidates also vying for the top post, Seyni Oumarou of the MNSD, who lost to Issoufou in 2011, and Hama Amadou of MODEN/FA, who has been campaigning from prison since November 2015.^[4] Most of the opposition agreed to align for the second round to back the second-placed candidate against Issoufou.^[5]

Niger faced a string of attacks by various insurgents, most notably Boko Haram in the preceding months, and security and poverty alleviation were central to most candidates' campaigns.^[5] Various observers predicted minor violence from the opposition who accused the president of rigging the elections.

Issoufou placed first in the first round, but fell just short of an outright majority, necessitating a second round vote in which he faced Hama Amadou. The opposition boycotted the second round, and Issoufou was re-elected with an overwhelming majority.

Electoral system

The President of Niger was elected using the two-round system.^[6]

The 171 members of the National Assembly were elected by two methods; 158 members were elected from eight multi-member constituencies based on the seven regions and Niamey by party-list proportional representation. Additionally, eight seats are reserved for national minorities and five seats (one per continent) for Nigeriens living abroad, all elected in single-member constituencies by first-past-the-post voting.^[7]

Presidential candidates

• Mahamadou Issoufou, the incumbent President, ran for a second term. He was designated as the candidate of his party, the Nigerien Party for Democracy and Socialism (PNDS), on 7 November 2015.^[8]
• Seyni Oumarou, former Prime Minister (2007–2009), was designated as the candidate of the National Movement for the Development of Society (MNSD) on 29 November 2015.^[9]
• Amadou Cissé, former Prime Minister (1996–1997), candidate for the Union for Democracy and the Republic.^[10]
• Abdou Labo was designated as the candidate of the Democratic and Social Convention (CDS) on 14 November 2015.^[11]
• Mahamane Ousmane, former President (1993–1996), candidate for the Nigerien Movement for Democratic Renewal (MNDR).^[12]
• Hama Amadou, former Prime Minister (1995–1996, 2000–2007), returned from exile on 14 November 2015, planning to stand as the presidential candidate of his party, the Nigerien Democratic Movement for an African Federation, but he was immediately arrested upon arrival at the airport in Niamey in connection with the allegations of involvement in baby-trafficking that had led him to flee into exile in 2014.^[13]

On 9 January 2016, it was announced that the Constitutional Court had cleared 15 candidates to run. All of the major candidates were approved, including Hama Amadou, who was still in jail over charges that he alleged were politically motivated, and Abdou Labo, who was not imprisoned but was also facing charges related to the baby-trafficking investigation. One minor candidate, Abdoul-Karim Bakasso, was barred from running on the grounds that he had not submitted a medical certificate.^[14]

An appeals court refused Amadou's request to be released on 11 January.^[15] Speaking through his lawyer, Amadou said afterward that he was a political prisoner and would not pursue any further appeal.^[16]

Results

President

Provisional results released on 26 February 2016 showed President Issoufou with about 48% of the vote, falling just short of a first round majority. Imprisoned opposition leader Hama Amadou placed second with 17.8% of the vote. With no candidate winning an outright majority, a second round was planned to be held on 20 March 2016. Although Amadou received a much smaller percentage of the first round vote, most of the other major opposition candidates were expected to support him in the second round.^[17]

Speaking on behalf of COPA 2016, the opposition coalition supporting Amadou, Seyni Oumarou (who placed third and backed Amadou for the second round), announced on 8 March that that the coalition was boycotting the vote and withdrawing its representatives from the electoral commission. Hassoumi Massaoudou, the Minister of the Interior, said in response that the second round vote would be held regardless of whether the opposition participated. Noting that some of the first round candidates had backed Issoufou, Massaoudou argued that the opposition "withdrew to avoid being beaten".^[18] Nevertheless, Amadou's lawyer said on 11 March that he would still be a candidate.^[19]

Subsequent events were dominated by Amadou's health problems. After a medical crisis in which he was said to have briefly lost consciousness, he was moved from the prison in Filingue to Niamey; he was then taken to Paris for treatment on 16 March.^[20] COPA again called for a boycott on 18 March.^[21]

The second round was held on 20 March 2016 amidst an opposition boycott. Given the boycott, results announced on 22 March showed an unsurprisingly large victory for President Issoufou, who was credited with 92.5% of the vote. Turnout was placed at 60%. Meanwhile, on 22 March COPA denounced the election as fraudulent and rejected the results, saying that Niger would "have no legitimate president" after Issoufou's first term ended.^[22]

Candidate	Party	First round		Second round
		Votes	%	Votes	%
Mahamadou Issoufou	Nigerien Party for Democracy and Socialism	2,252,016	48.43	4,105,499	92.49
Hama Amadou	Nigerien Democratic Movement for an African Federation	824,500	17.73	333,143	7.51
Seyni Oumarou	National Movement for the Development of Society	563,613	12.12
Mahamane Ousmane	Nigerien Movement for Democratic Renewal	290,688	6.25
Ibrahim Yacouba	Nigerien Patriotic Movement	201,982	4.34
Kassoum Moctar	Congress for the Republic	135,176	2.91
Abdou Labo	Democratic and Social Convention	97,382	2.09
Amadou Cheiffou	Social Democratic Rally	82,965	1.78
Amadou Cissé	Union for Democracy and the Republic	69,115	1.49
Laouan Magagi	Alliance for Democratic Renewal	44,685	0.96
Adal Rhoubeid	Democratic Movement for Renewal	27,350	0.59
Abdoulaye Amadou Traoré	Party of Progress for a United Niger	18,681	0.40
Tahirou Guimba	Democratic Movement for Development and the Defence of Liberties	18,335	0.40
Mahaman Jean Philipe Padonou	Convergence for Democracy and Progress	16,508	0.35
Mahaman Hamissou Maman	Justice and Development Party	7,211	0.16
Invalid/blank votes		415,249	–	94,625	–
Total		5,065,456	100	4,533,267	100
Registered voters/turnout		7,580,598	66.82	7,581,540	59.79
Source: Constitutional Court Constitutional Court

National Assembly

In the parliamentary election, parties supporting Issoufou won a majority, with 118 out of 171 seats in the National Assembly.^[23][24]

Party	Votes	%	Seats	+/–
Nigerien Party for Democracy and Socialism	1,701,372	35.73	75	+41
Nigerien Democratic Movement for an African Federation	613,905	12.89	25	+2
National Movement for the Development of Society	488,584	10.26	20	–5
Patriotic Movement for the Republic	339,798	7.14	13	New
MNRD–PSDN	198,444	4.17	6	+6
Nigerien Patriotic Movement	155,003	3.26	5	New
Nigerien Alliance for Democracy and Progress	140,579	2.95	4	–4
Social Democratic Rally	137,577	2.89	4	+4
Democratic and Social Convention	114,321	2.40	3	0
Congress for the Republic	122,449	2.57	3	New
Rally for Democracy and Progress	114,141	2.40	3	–4
Alliance of Movements for the Emergence of Niger	142,642	3.00	3	New
Union for Democracy and the Republic	105,037	2.21	2	–4
Democratic Alliance for Niger	73,977	1.55	1	New
Alliance for Democratic Renewal	69,458	1.46	2	+2
Social Democratic Party	43,164	0.91	2	New
Party for National Unity and Development	25,492	0.54	0	New
Nigerien Progressive Party – African Democratic Rally	22,956	0.48	0	0
Nigerien Self-Management Party	22,438	0.47	0	0
Convergence for Democracy and Progress	16,923	0.36	0	New
People's Democratic Party	16,674	0.35	0	0
New Generation for Niger	16,136	0.34	0	New
Union of Independent Nigeriens	13,333	0.28	0	–1
Movement for Democracy and Reform	12,912	0.27	0	New
Socio-Revolutionary Movement for Democracy	11,282	0.24	0	New
Movement for Unity and Recovery of the Nation	8,693	0.18	0	New
IPP/RAYUWA	8,335	0.18	0	New
Democratic Movement for Renewal	6,525	0.14	0	New
Union of Socialist Nigeriens	5,250	0.11	0	0
National Movement for Reform and Social Progress	4,806	0.10	0	New
Union for Democracy and Social Progress	4,163	0.09	0	New
Party of Consultation and Peace	2,392	0.05	0	New
Socialist Party	2,356	0.05	0	New
Rally of Nigerien Democrats for Reform	360	0.01	0	0
Nigerien Convention for the Republic	66	0.00	0	0
GIE Bunkasa	18	0.00	0	New
CDR-Boukata	13	0.00	0	New
Independents	113	0.00	0	0
Invalid/blank votes	259,377	–	–	–
Total	5,020,167	100	171	+58
Registered voters/turnout	7,574,958	66.27	–	–
Source: CENI

Reactions

Domestic

Opposition parties rejected the partial election results released by the electoral commission, claiming discrepancies between the declared results and their own tallies.^[25] Amadou Cissé, the Union for Democracy and the Republic candidate, challenged the results and accused the government for creating "thousands of polling stations" to skew the outcome.^[26]

International

• African Union – The African Union team of 40 observers was satisfied with the electoral process of the first round of elections despite all the logistical delays.^[27]

Aftermath

When the National Assembly began meeting for its new term on 24 March 2016, the opposition deputies boycotted it.^[23][24] Ousseini Tinni, a PNDS Deputy, was elected as President of the National Assembly on 25 March 2016.^[28] With the opposition absent, Tinni received 109 votes in favor and six against, with three abstentions.^[29]

The Niamey Court of Appeal issued an order for the "provisional release" of Amadou on 29 March 2016, although by that point he had already been out of the country for nearly two weeks.^[30]

On 30 March 2016, the Constitutional Court validated the results and formally declared that Issoufou was re-elected for a second term. Final results showed Issoufou with 92.51% and Amadou with 7.49%, while turnout was placed at 59.80%.^[31] On 2 April 2016, Issoufou was sworn in and reappointed Brigi Rafini as Prime Minister.^[32]

The composition of the new government was announced on 11 April. Although Issoufou had previously called for the opposition to join a national unity government, ultimately no one from the opposition was included in the government, which continued to be dominated by members of the PNDS. Three minor presidential candidates who had backed Issoufou for the second round were appointed to the government: Ibrahim Yacoubou as Minister of Foreign Affairs, Moctar Kassoum as Minister of Lands and Urban Development, and Magagi Laouan as Minister of Humanitarian Action and Disaster Management.^[33]

The opposition deputies eventually took their seats in the National Assembly. In late April they formed two parliamentary groups and put forward candidates for the posts in the Bureau of the National Assembly which had been reserved for the opposition and therefore left vacant, enabling those posts (Second Vice-President, Third Vice-President, Quaestor, and two Parliamentary Secretaries) to be filled.^[34]

References

1. Global elections calendar NDI
2. "Présidentielle au Niger: l’OIF commence l’examen du fichier électoral" [Presidential in Niger: OIF began its consideration of the electoral register]. Rfi Afrique (in French) (Niger: Rfi Afrique). 29 December 2015. Retrieved 31 December 2015.
3. "Niger election begins with a top candidate behind bars". www.ghanaweb.com. Retrieved 22 February 2016.
4. "Niger election: Voters choose president in tense polls". BBC News. Retrieved 22 February 2016.
5. France-Presse, Agence (21 February 2016). "Niger's 'Lion' president Mahamadou Issoufou seeks re-election". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 22 February 2016.
6. Republic of Niger IFES
7. Electoral system IPU
8. "Niger's President Issoufou chosen to run for second term", Reuters, 7 November 2015.
9. "Niger's main opposition names Oumarou as election candidate", Reuters, 29 November 2015.
10. "Niger : l’ancien ministre Amadou Boubacar Cissé candidat de l’UDR à la présidentielle" [Niger: Amadou Boubacar former Minister Cissé UDR candidate for president]. Jeune Afrique (in French) (Rfi Afrique). 26 October 2015. Retrieved 31 December 2015.
11. "CDS Rahama : Abdou Labo investit candidat aux élections présidentielles de 2016", ActuNiger, 15 November 2015 (French).
12. "L'ex-président Mahamane Ousmane candidat à la présidentielle", Agence France-Presse, 30 December 2015 (French).
13. "Tensions flare as Niger opposition candidate arrested on return", Agence France-Presse, 14 November 2015.
14. "15 candidates approved for Niger presidential race", Agence France-Presse, 9 January 2016.
15. Abdoulaye Massalaki, "Niger presidential candidate denied release from prison", Reuters, 11 January 2016.
16. "Niger presidential candidate declares himself political prisoner", Reuters, 13 January 2016.
17. Abdoulaye Massalaki, "Niger's Issoufou faces run-off against jailed opposition leader", Reuters, 26 February 2016.
18. Boureima Hama and Patrick Fort, "Niger opposition drops out of presidential run-off: coalition", Agence France-Presse, 8 March 2016.
19. Abdoulaye Massalaki, "Niger's opposition chief Amadou to stand in presidential run-off", Reuters, 11 March 2016.
20. "Jailed Niger opposition leader flown to Paris for medical treatment", Reuters, 16 March 2016.
21. "Niger opposition group calls for boycott of run-off vote", Reuters, 18 March 2016.
22. "Boycott helps Niger President Issoufou win re-election", Reuters, 22 March 2016.
23. "Niger opposition boycotts meeting of new parliament", Agence France-Presse, 24 March 2016.
24. Mathieu Olivier, "Niger : l’opposition boycotte la séance inaugurale de la nouvelle Assemblée nationale", Jeune Afrique, 24 March 2016 (French).
25. "Niger opposition rejects partial election results". africanews.channel. Retrieved 24 February 2016.
26. "Niger President Leads Early Election Results". VOA. Retrieved 24 February 2016.
27. "Niger elections: President Issoufou to face runoff vote". www.aljazeera.com. Retrieved 27 February 2016.
28. Mathieu Olivier, "Niger : Ousseini Tinni, député du PNDS, nouveau président de l’Assemblée nationale", Jeune Afrique, 25 March 2016 (French).
29. "Tinni Ousseini élu président de l’Assemblee nationale", Niger Inter, 25 March 2016 (French).
30. "Jailed Niger opposition granted provisional release after election", Reuters, 29 March 2016.
31. "Presidentielle au Niger : La Cour constitutionnelle valide la réélection d'Issoufou Mahamadou", ActuNiger, 30 March 2016 (French).
32. "Niger ministers resign after presidential inauguration: radio", Reuters, 2 April 2016.
33. "Composition du gouvernement de la République du Niger : La Renaissance « acte 2 » en marche", ActuNiger, 11 April 2016 (French).
34. "Assemblée nationale : Présentation de deux groupes parlementaires de l’opposition", ActuNiger, 25 April 2016 (French).