Saxony-Anhalt state election, 2016

Saxony-Anhalt state election, 2016

13 March 2016

All 87 seats of the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt 44 seats needed for a majority   First party Second party Third party   Leader Reiner Haseloff André Poggenburg Wulf Gallert Party CDU AfD Left Last election 42 seats, 32.5% Did not contest 28 seats, 23.7% Seats before 42 0 28 Seats won 30 24 17 Seat change 12 24 9 Popular vote 334,123 271,832 183,296 Percentage 29.8 24.2 16.3 Swing 2.8 24.2 7.3   Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party   Leader Katrin Budde Claudia Dalbert Frank Sitta Party SPD Green FDP Last election 26 seats, 21.5% 9 seats, 7.1% 0 seats, 3.8% Seats before 26 9 0 Seats won 11 5 0 Seat change 15 4 0 Popular vote 119,377 58,226 54,525 Percentage 10.6 5.2 4.9 Swing 10.9 2.0 1.0

Minister-President before election Reiner Haseloff CDU Elected Minister-President Reiner Haseloff CDU

The Saxony-Anhalt state election was held on 13 March 2016 in Saxony-Anhalt for the 7th legislative period of the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt. The incumbent Minister-President is Reiner Haseloff of the CDU, governing in a grand coalition with the SPD.

Polls

The reference for the polls is wahlrecht.de.^[1]

Poll	Date	CDU	Left	SPD	Green	NPD	FDP	Pirate	AfD	Other
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[2]	3/10/2016	32%	21%	14%	5%	–	4.5%	–	18%	5.5%
Forsa[2]	3/9/2016	30%	20%	17%	5%	–	5%	–	18%	5%
INSA[2]	3/7/2016	29%	20%	15.5%	6%	–	4%	–	19%	6.5%
uniQma[2]	3/7/2016	30%	19%	18%	5%	1%	4%	–	17%	6%
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[2]	3/4/2016	32%	20%	15%	5%	–	4%	–	17%	7%
Infratest dimap[2]	3/3/2016	31%	21%	15%	5.5%	–	4.5%	–	19%	4%
INSA[2]	2/28/2016	29.5%	20%	17%	5%	–	5%	–	17%	6.5%
INSA[2]	2/22/2016	30%	21%	16%	5%	–	4%	–	17%	7%
Infratest dimap[2]	2/17/2016	32%	20%	18%	5%	–	4%	–	17%	4%
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen[2]	1/14/2016	33%	19%	19%	5%	–	3%	–	15%	6%
INSA[2]	12/5/2015	35%	23%	15.5%	6%	–	3%	–	13.5%	4%
Infratest dimap[2]	9/14/2015	34%	26%	21%	7%	3%	–	–	5%	4%
GMS[2]	7/1/2015	35%	21%	21%	6%	3%	4%	–	6%	4%
Infratest dimap[2]	8/20/2013	39%	22%	21%	7%	–	2%	3%	–	6%
State election 2011[2]	3/20/2011	32.5%	23.7%	21.5%	7.1%	4.6%	3.8%	1.4%	N/A	5.4%

Results

Leading party in each electoral district. Black represents the Christian Democratic Union, blue the Alternative for Germany, and red The Left.

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 Summary of the 13 March 2016 Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt elections results

Party		Popular vote			Seats
		Votes	%	+/–	Seats	+/–
	Christian Democratic Union Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands – CDU	334,123	29.8	2.7	30	6
	Alternative for Germany Alternative für Deutschland – AfD	271,832	24.2	24.2	24	24
	The Left Die Linke	183,296	16.3	7.4	17	12
	Social Democratic Party of Germany Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands – SPD	119,377	10.6	10.9	11	15
	Alliance '90/The Greens Bündnis 90/Die Grünen	58,226	5.2	1.9	5	4
	Free Democratic Party Freie Demokratische Partei – FDP	54,525	4.9	1.1	–	–
	Free Voters Saxony-Anhalt Freie Wähler	24,287	2.2	0.7	–	–
	National Democratic Party of Germany Nationaldemokratische Partei Deutschlands – NPD	21,211	1.9	2.7	–	–
	Animal Protection Party Tierschutzpartei	16,613	1.5	0.1	–	–
	Alliance for Human Rights, Animal and Nature Protection Tierschutzallianz	11,629	1.0	1.0	–	–
	Alliance for Progress and Renewal Allianz für Fortschritt und Aufbruch – ALFA	10,471	0.9	0.9	–	–
	Other parties	–	1.5	2.3	–	–
Valid votes		1,122,814	97.8%	0.2
Invalid votes		24,671	2.2%	0.2
Totals and voter turnout		1,147,485			87	18
Electorate		1,878,095	100.00	—
Source: Landeswahlleiterin[3]

Results maps by party for the second vote, broken down by district:
Christian Democratic Union  Alternative for Germany  The Left  Social Democratic Party

Post-election

The only realistic possibility for a coalition government with a majority would be one consisting of the CDU, SPD and the Greens.^[4] Together, they would have a 2 seat majority. Other combinations (such as the CDU and Die Linke) are unlikely, or politically unpalatable (CDU and AfD). For a broad based majority, the coalition would need to bring in Die Linke into the government. The stark differences among the parties will make it harder for negotiations to create a coalition.

Also possible - and having precedent in some of the eastern states of Germany - would be a minority government of one or other of the parties that would be 'tolerated' by a third party or fourth party. In such a situation, a minority government of the CDU and SPD could be 'tolerated' by the Greens and/or Die Linke, even if they themselves formed no part of government. Similarly, a CDU and Green coalition could be tolerated by the SPD and/or Die Linke, or a SPD-Linke-Green coalition could be tolerated by the CDU, although the latter would be much less likely.^[5]

References

1. "Umfragen Sachsen-Anhalt". wahlrecht.de. Retrieved 2016-02-15.
2. Wahlrecht.de: Wahlumfragen zur Landtagswahl in Sachsen-Anhalt.
3. "Wahl des 7. Landtages von Sachsen-Anhalt am 13. März 2016 – Vorläufiges Ergebnis" (in German). Landeswahlleiterin Sachsen-Anhalt. 13 March 2016. Retrieved 14 March 2016.
4. http://www.mz-web.de/mitteldeutschland/landtagswahl2016/regierungsbildung-sachsen-anhalt-haseloff---wir-wissen--worauf-es-ankommt--23739044
5. "German state elections: Success for right-wing AfD, losses for Merkel's CDU". 2016-03-14.

External links

• Saxony-Anhalt Electoral Office