Second Battle of Idlib

Second Battle of Idlib
Part of the Syrian Civil War and
the 2015 Idlib offensive

Image of a typical olive field in the valleys surrounding Idlib
Date24–28 March 2015
(4 days)
LocationIdlib, Idlib Governorate, Syria
Result al-Nusra Front-led rebel victory[1][2][3]
Territorial
changes
  • Rebels capture Idlib city and besiege Kafarya and al-Fu'ah, while government forces retreat to al-Mastouma[4]
Belligerents

Army of Conquest[5]

Farouq Brigades[6]

Syria Syrian Arab Republic

Hezbollah[7]
Commanders and leaders
Abu Jamil al-Qutb †[6]
(Ahrar ash-Sham deputy leader)
Abu Kamal[8]
(Ahrar ash-Sham Central Area Commander)
Hassan al-Khalifa †[6]
(Omar al-Farouq Brigade commander)
Nathir Terman †[9]
(al-Nusra field commander)
Abu Abdullah Taoum †[10]
(Ajnad ash-Sham leader)		 Syria Mohamed Khair al-Sayyed[11]
(Governor of Idlib)
Al Hajj Walaa †[7]
(Hezbollah commander)
Units involved
Omar al-Farouq Brigade[6] Syria 11th Armored Division[12]
Syria 155th Brigade[13]
Strength

3,000–6,000 fighters[14]

  • al-Nusra Front: 3,000-5,500 fighters[15]
 Unknown
Casualties and losses
132 fighters killed,[16]
36 infiltrators executed[17]		 66[12][18]–86[19] soldiers killed, 5 soldiers and 6 tanks captured[12][20]
11 civilians killed,[6] 15 prisoners executed by the Syrian Army[20]

The Second Battle of Idlib ("Operation to Free Idlib") was a military operation in the Idlib Governorate, during the Syrian Civil War, conducted by rebels against Syrian government forces defending Idlib city.[21]

The battle

On 24 March 2015, the newly established Fattah Army operation room ("The Army of Conquest") urged people in Idlib city to remain indoors. Later that day, two fighters from Jund al-Aqsa blew themselves up near Army checkpoints,[22] on the eastern side of the city,[12] followed by a three-pronged assault on Idlib.[22] The rebels took control of the Sadkop Factory at the eastern outskirts of the Industrial District and advanced towards the Old Textile Factory before soldiers from the 11th Tank Division arrived to reinforce the NDF and push back rebel fighters to the east, securing the perimeter around the Idlib Public Cemetery. Meanwhile, at the northwestern entrance to Idlib, the rebels attacked a number of NDF checkpoints, reaching the northern side of the Youth Housing.[12] Overall during the day, the rebels captured seven checkpoints, but the Army managed to recapture four of them,[23][24] including reportedly re-securing the northern perimeter of the Youth Housing.[12]

According to a rebel commander, the clashes resulted in the death of many fighters from both sides.[21] The SOHR put the death toll at 20 government fighters[23] and 19 rebels,[25] including three suicide bombers. Two of the bombers were foreigners from Gulf states.[23] According to a military source, 44 rebels and 16 soldiers were killed.[12] Five soldiers were also captured.[12][22]

During the attack, the al-Nusra Front used US-made BGM-71 TOW captured from Western-backed rebel groups.[22]

In response to the rebel assault on Idlib,[26] government forces reportedly launched a chlorine bomb attack on the rebel-held town of Binnish, leaving dozens of people hospitalized. The next day, the air force also struck the town of Saraqib, killing 11 civilians.[27][28]

On 25 March, the rebels regained the four checkpoints they lost the previous day, while a fourth suicide car-bombing occurred near the city.[29] Throughout the day, the fighting focused on the eastern entrance to the city.[30] In the evening, according to government sources, more elements of the 11th Tank Division arrived in Idlib and launched a counter-attack in the Industrial District.[31] In the day's fighting, Abu Jamil Yusuf Qutb, the deputy leader of Ahrar ash-Sham, was killed[6] during an attack on an Army checkpoint near Idlib.[32] The Hezbollah commander Al Hajj Walaa was also killed that day.[7]

Rebel sources reported that 36 soldiers were executed in Idlib for passing information to the rebels for the offensive.[17][33]

By the end of the second day of fighting, the rebels were in control of 17 checkpoints and military outposts, according to the SOHR.[34] Military sources acknowledged the rebels were in control of the factories to the east of the city, with the Al-Sina’a (Industrial) Quarter being contested. However, the sources stated the Youth Housing and Al-Mahraab Quarters were declared safe zones after the rebels were driven back to the outskirts, following multiple artillery strikes by the 155th Brigade at the Hama Military Airport.[13]

On 26 March, heavy fighting took place around the eastern entrance of Idlib,[35] which lasted into the night, killing 26 rebels and 4 soldiers.[36] According to opposition sources, rebels captured the Al-Sina’a (Industrial) Quarter and managed to besiege the towns of Kafrayah and al-Fu'ah, after capturing a number of checkpoints connecting these towns with Idlib.[37] The military denied this and stated that the alleged rebel gains were fabricated, but acknowledged the rebels reached the city gates for the first time since the offensive started.[38]

On 27 March, clashes in and around Idlib continued, leaving 14 rebels and 6 soldiers dead.[39] One of the rebels killed was a Saudi commander (emir) in the al-Nusra Front.[40] For the first time, the rebels managed to enter the city neighbourhoods, after they advanced from the northwestern and southeastern sides of Idlib. At this point, the city was almost completely encircled by rebel groups, leaving only two exit routes for government forces.[41] The advance into the city came after the NDF retreated from the northern silos, and the opposition fighters captured most of the Hara North district and farms of Hara West.[18]

On 28 March, after NDF reinforcements arrived, at 6 A.M., a government counterattack was launched,[18] which forced the rebels to withdraw from inside of Idlib, and government troops recaptured areas on the city outskirts.[42] However, later in the day, rebel forces made new advances into Idlib, and at that point, were in control of up to 24 checkpoints and some neighbourhoods in the city.[43] It was also reported that the rebels captured the pro-government journalist Abdul Ghani Jaruch.[44] Hours later, rebels seized control of most of the city after government forces pulled back, except for the government and security buildings.[45] However, by the end of the day, rebels were in full control of the city,[1] with scanning and mopping-up operations continuing.[46]

During the Syrian government's retreat, 15 prisoners who were being held at the military intelligence headquarters were reportedly executed, while the rebels captured six tanks.[20][47] Rebels managed to free 53 prisoners from the same complex.[48] Syrian government troops regrouped south of the city, and were preparing for a possible attack by rebel forces.[49]

Aftermath

An exodus of thousands of Idlib city civilians to nearby towns and villages, fearing government reprisals, was reported a day after rebels took the city.[50][51] Ahrar ash-Sham issued a statement where it called for a unified Sharia-based management of the city of Idlib by the groups that captured it. Ahrar ash-Sham also threatened to shell the besieged twin Shiite towns al-Fouaa and Kefraya in response to "any cowardly shelling carried out against the civilians in Idlib".[52] Ajnad al-Sham announced that its military leader, Abu Abdullah Taoum, was killed during clashes around al-Fouaa.[10]

Meanwhile, the Western-backed Syrian National Coalition announced in a statement that it would shift its headquarters from Istanbul to Idlib city.[53] The al-Nusra Front refuted this with Abdullah Mohammed al-Mheisnei, a top al-Nusra Islamic cleric, stating on his Twitter account “It is false that the [SNC] will enter Idlib!”.[54] Fears had already surfaced that al-Nusra would possibly enforce a harsh religious rule over Idlib. At least one incident happened in the city, right after its capture, where foreign al-Nusra militants killed two Christians after hearing they worked in a liquor store. Consequently, Ahrar ash-Sham fighters rebuked the foreigners and set up checkpoints to protect Christians from them,[14] with the group claiming to had secured 20 Christian families in Idlib.[55] In response to al-Mheisnei, Ahmad Tu'mah, prime minister of the Syrian Interim Government, stated "it is not true that Jabhat al-Nusra refused our entry. It is actually a leader who rejected our entry and it is his right to express his opinion. We noticed during our work that not a single faction that currently represents the Army of Conquest attacked us. Moreover, Jabhat al-Nusra did not attack our relief convoys or our education or health work. The person talked about his point of view and did not issue any public statement in this regard. No one told us that it is forbidden for us to enter" and added that the Syrian interim government still intended to relocate to Idlib as long as they can be defended from attacks by the Assad government. Still, the question of whether an Islamic emirate would be established in Idlib remained.[56] However, by the end of April, opposition forces established civil councils and public services. Still, an official message from al-Nusra leader Abu Mohammad al-Julani declared that the city would be governed according to Sharia, via Shura and a civil council, but showed no indication of declaring the Idlib the capital of an emirate. In response to this, a Syria expert from the Al-Hayat newspaper believed Sharia implementation would be limited following pressure on Al-Nusra from Saudi Arabia and Qatar.[57]

On 30 March, a Syrian military source accused both Turkey and Jordan of supporting the rebels in their Idlib offensive.[58] Military shelling and airstrikes struck the city, leaving 23 civilians dead. The bombardment reportedly included chemical weapons.[51] Overall, between 28 and 30 March, 47 people, including 15 rebels, were killed in the bombardment of Idlib city.[59] It was also reported that Colonel Suheil Al Hassan was sent to oversee a potential operation to recapture Idlib.[51] In contrast, an NDF fighter stationed at Jisr al-Shughour spoke to al-Masdar news and stated government troops around the city were in a state of disarray.[60]

On 1 April, the al-Nusra Front stated Idlib would be ruled according to Islamic Sharia law, but the group would not seek to monopolize power there.[61] The next day, rebels launched an attack on the Mastouma military camp, where most of the retreated government forces were positioned, and advanced.[62]

However, on 3 August, the government forces managed to recapture the strategic Hakami Hill in the southwest countryside of Jeser al- Shogour.[63]

Analysis

Idlib became the second provincial capital to fall to rebel forces, after Ar-Raqqah which was captured by the rebels in March 2013, but were subsequently routed from it by the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant.[1] Rebels also captured the town of Quneitra in August 2014, which is nominally the capital of the Quneitra province, but had been largely destroyed and abandoned since the Six-Day War with Israel in 1967.[64]

According to some, it was a major political and strategic defeat for the Syrian government.[65][66][67][68] According to others, Idlib had little or limited strategic value and was more of a morale boost to opposition forces.[69][70] Stratfor described the battle as a "pivotal victory" for opposition forces,[64] while The Long War Journal called it "the most significant blow" to the government in months.[71] Aron Lund of Syria Comment commented the defeat of government defenses in Idlib had "punched a gaping hole in the government’s narrative of approaching victory and boosted the opposition politically as well as militarily, spelling trouble for Bashar al-Assad",[69] while Charles Lister, a visiting fellow at the Brookings Doha Center, speculated the fall of Idlib would be a big shock to the government and its supporters.[72]

Now that the city was captured, rebels would potentially focus on other objectives, such as the Abu Duhour air base, Ariha, Hama,[69] Nubl, Zahra, military supply routes to Aleppo, and potentially striking the government heartland of Latakia.[65] The twin Shia towns of Fouaa and Kefray, now besieged, would face destruction and perhaps a sectarian massacre if they did not agree to a peace settlement with rebel forces, according to a post from Syria Comment, run by Joshua Landis.[69] This was countered by Lina Khatib of the Carnegie Endowment, who stated in a recent report on the al-Nusra Front in northern Syria that “The vast majority of those who support al-Nusra are not driven by ideology but by anti-Assad sentiment”.[73] However, others were of the opinion that a potential rebel advance on other fronts as a result of this battle would not happen if government forces launched a counterattack to retake the city. In addition, it was viewed that the fall of Idlib would complicate Turkish efforts to win support for the enforcement of a no-fly zone over northern Syria.[70]

Taking into account the role of al-Nusra Front, al-Qaeda's Syria/Lebanon branch, the possibility of Idlib being the effective capital of al-Nusra-controlled territories was raised.[49] An Ahrar al-Sham member, referring to this possibility, stated “I think al-Nusra is too smart to try that".[73] Abu Mohammad al-Julani stated that al-Nusra Front does not "want to monopolise rule over Idlib city", calling for power sharing and adding that authority "does not come from scaring the people, but in protecting them, defeating their oppressor and defending the weak".[74] Still, by May 2016, al-Nusra made unilateral attempts to expand its control over both Idlib and other nearby rebel-held towns, with the aim of laying the groundwork for al Qaeda’s first sovereign state (or Emirate) as Charles Lister described it.[75]

See also

References

  1. 1 2 3 "Qaeda, allies seize Syria's Idlib city in blow to regime". Mail Online.
  2. ↑ "Syria crisis: Idlib 'captured by Nusra Front jihadists'". BBC News. 28 March 2011. Retrieved 28 March 2015.
  3. ↑ "Islamist fighters control Syrian city of Idlib: monitor". Reuters. 28 March 2015. Retrieved 28 March 2015.
  4. ↑ "Peto Lucem on Twitter". Twitter.
  5. ↑ "Al Qaeda and allies form coalition to battle Syrian regime in Idlib". Long War Journal. 24 March 2015.
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Jabhat al-Nusra looks for battlefield breakout". Al-Monitor. Retrieved 29 March 2015.
  7. 1 2 3 "مقتل أول قائد ميداني لحزب الله في معركة تحرير مدينة إدلب". Siraj Press.
  8. ↑ "Ibn Nabih on Twitter". Twitter. Retrieved 25 March 2015.
  9. ↑ "Hassan Ridha on Twitter". Twitter.
  10. 1 2 شبكة عاجل الإخبارية. "The leader of al-Qaeda-affiliated Ajnad al-Sham battalion killed in Idlib". breakingnews.sy.
  11. ↑ "Rebels launch full-on assault of Idlib city". Syria Direct. Retrieved 28 March 2015.
  12. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Leith Fadel. "Jabhat Al-Nusra Launches a Large-Scale Offensive at Idlib City". Al-Masdar News. Retrieved 25 March 2015.
  13. 1 2 Leith Fadel. "Complete Field Report from Idlib City: Islamist Groups Fail to Progress". Al-Masdar News. Retrieved 26 March 2015.
  14. 1 2 An Anxious Wait in Syrian City Held by Insurgents
  15. ↑ "Syria Direct: News Update 3-25-15". Syria Direct. Retrieved 26 March 2015.
  16. ↑ "142 بينهم 40 من قوات النظام والمسلحين الموالين لها، و57 مواطناً استشهدوا جراء قصف جوي وصاروخي من قوات النظام وتفجير سيارة مفخخة وتحت التعذيب وسقوط قذائف". المرصد السورى لحقوق الإنسان.
  17. 1 2 "archicivilians on Twitter". Twitter. Retrieved 26 March 2015.
  18. 1 2 3 Leith Fadel. "Zero Hour has arrived in Idlib; battle reaches critical stages". Al-Masdar News.
  19. ↑ 34 killed (24–25 March), 20 killed (26 March), 17 killed (27 March), 14 killed (28 March), 1 died (6 April), total of 86 reported killed
  20. 1 2 3 "Al Qaida affiliate seizes major city in northern Syria". McClatchyDC.
  21. 1 2 "Syrian rebels launch offensive to capture Idlib city". Al Jazeera. Retrieved 24 March 2015.
  22. 1 2 3 4 "Syria rebels storm Idlib city in three-pronged attack". The Daily Star Newspaper - Lebanon. Retrieved 25 March 2015.
  23. 1 2 3 "At least 20 members of the regime forces and allied militiamen killed in the vicinity of the city of Idlib". Syrian Observatory For Human Rights. Retrieved 25 March 2015.
  24. ↑ "Syrian rebels seize ancient town near Jordan border". The Daily Star Newspaper - Lebanon. Retrieved 25 March 2015.
  25. ↑ "More air strikes and human losses in Der-Ezzor city and Idlib". Syrian Observatory For Human Rights. Retrieved 25 March 2015.
  26. ↑ "Assad Regime Drops Chlorine Barrel Bombs As Jabhat al-Nusra, Rebels Battle For Idlib". International Business Times. 24 March 2015. Retrieved 25 March 2015.
  27. ↑ "Assad regime airstrikes kill 10 in Syrias northern Idlib province". Daily Sabah. 25 March 2015.
  28. ↑ "Photos shows the regime checkpoints seized by the Islamic factions". Syrian Observatory For Human Rights. Retrieved 26 March 2015.
  29. ↑ المرصد السوري. "حركة أحرار الشام الإسلامية تتقدم مجددأ في محيط مدينة إدلب وعشرات القذائف تستهدف مدينة إدلب". المرصد السورى لحقوق الإنسان. Retrieved 25 March 2015.
  30. ↑ "Qaeda's Syria wing battles to enter regime-held Idlib". Mail Online. Retrieved 26 March 2015.
  31. ↑ "Peto Lucem on Twitter". Twitter. Retrieved 26 March 2015.
  32. ↑ "Ibn Nabih on Twitter". Twitter. Retrieved 26 March 2015.
  33. ↑ "Syrian army executes 36 soldiers for alleged links with opposition". ARA News. Retrieved 26 March 2015.
  34. ↑ "Syrian Government Shells Kill 18 in South, Activists Say". ABC News. Retrieved 26 March 2015.
  35. ↑ "معارك عنيفة على المدخل لشرقي لمدينة إدلب". SOHR. Retrieved 27 March 2015.
  36. ↑ "Islamists advance in fierce clashes for Syria's Idlib: monitor". Mail Online.
  37. ↑ "Update Map: The Military Situation in Idlib – New Rebel Offensive - Syria - March 26, 2015". archicivilians.
  38. ↑ Leith Fadel. "Battle for Idlib Intensifies; Syrian Army Reinforcements Arrive". Al-Masdar News.
  39. ↑ "Street-to-street fighting begins as rebels enter Idlib". The Daily Star Newspaper - Lebanon. 28 March 2015.
  40. ↑ "Clashes continue in Idlib city and Reef Dimashq". Syrian Observatory For Human Rights. 27 March 2015.
  41. ↑ "Islamists enter flashpoint city in northwest Syria: monitor". AFP. 28 March 2015.
  42. ↑ "Fierce fighting breaks out in the city of Idlib, and withdrawal of the Islamic factions inside the city". Syrian Observatory For Human Rights. 28 March 2015.
  43. ↑ "Jabhat al-Nusra and Islamic battalions advance in Idlib". Syrian Observatory For Human Rights. 28 March 2015.
  44. ↑ "Mark on Twitter". Twitter.
  45. ↑ "Qaeda seizes 'majority' of Syria's Idlib: monitor". Mail Online.
  46. ↑ "Idlib province is out of regime’s control". Syrian Observatory For Human Rights.
  47. ↑ "Syrian forces executed prisoners before fleeing Idlib: Monitor". Middle East Eye.
  48. ↑ "Video: Ahrar al-Sham movement releases 53 detainees from regime prisons". Syrian Observatory For Human Rights.
  49. 1 2 "Syria forces regroup after Islamists seize Idlib - Global Times". globaltimes.cn.
  50. ↑ "Syrians flee Idlib, fearing government reprisals". AFP. 29 March 2015.
  51. 1 2 3 "Thousands flee Idlib city in fear of army counterattack". Al Jazeera English.
  52. ↑ "The Islamic movement of Ahrar al- Sham calls for the management of the city of Idlib, and threatens to shell al- Fo’ah and Kefraya". Syrian Observatory For Human Rights.
  53. ↑ "Charles Lister on Twitter". Twitter.
  54. ↑ "After ‘united’ rebel win, who will rule Idlib city?". syriadirect.org.
  55. ↑ "Elijah J. Magnier on Twitter". Twitter.
  56. ↑ "Will Syrian opposition move interim government to Idlib?". Al-Monitor. 8 April 2015. Retrieved 9 April 2015.
  57. ↑ Sinjab, Lina (1 May 2015). "Syria: How a new rebel unity is making headway against the regime". BBC News. Retrieved 1 May 2015. There were fears that the rebels would seek to implement a strict interpretation of Islamic law, or Sharia, but instead they established civil councils to oversee law and order, and public services [...] Hadi al Abdalla, a citizen journalist who reported on the battle for Idlib from the frontline, says Western media coverage has mistakenly focused on the presence of al-Nusra. "For the first time all the groups here are united and they insist that they want civil rule rather than Sharia rule," he explains. line feed character in |quote= at position 379 (help)
  58. ↑ "Middle East Updates / India asks Saudi to help evacuate citizens from Yemen". Haaretz.com. 30 March 2015.
  59. ↑ "151 بينهم 40 من قوات النظام والمسلحين الموالين لها، و45 استشهدوا حرقاً وذبحاً وبإطلاق النار من قبل عناصر تنظيم "الدولة الإسلامية" الذين هاجموا قرية المبعوجة. - المرصد السورى لحقوق الإنسان". المرصد السورى لحقوق الإنسان.
  60. ↑ "Syria Daily, March 31: Assad Regime’s Military Uncertainty After Loss of Idlib". EA WorldView.
  61. ↑ "Al Qaeda in Syria signals sharia law for captured city". reuters.com.
  62. ↑ "9 people killed in the province of Idlib, and the clashes continue in its countryside". Syrian Observatory For Human Rights.
  63. ↑ http://www.syriahr.com/en/2015/08/a-commander-in-an-islamist-faction-executed-in-jabal-al-zaweya-the-regime-forces-advance-again-in-the-countryside-of-jeser-al-shogour-while-more-civilians-killed-in-ariha/
  64. 1 2 "The Battle for Idlib". Stratfor. 1 April 2015. Retrieved 2 April 2015.
  65. 1 2 White, Jeffrey (30 March 2015). "The Battle for Idlib: Military Implications". Washington Institute for Near East Studies. Retrieved 2 April 2015.
  66. ↑ "Fall of Idlib: Turning point for rebels in Syria?". Al Jazeera English. 29 March 2015. Retrieved 2 April 2015.
  67. ↑ Ghanem, Mohammed Alaa (4 April 2015). "Syria: An Opportunity in Idlib". Atlantic Council. Retrieved 10 April 2015.
  68. ↑ Kliegman, Aaron (1 April 2015). "Sunni Jihadists Gain Ground in Syria". Center for Security Policy. Retrieved 11 April 2015.
  69. 1 2 3 4 "Syria Comment » Archives Syrian Rebels Capture Idlib, by Aron Lund - Syria Comment". Syria Comment.
  70. 1 2 "What Idlib takeover means for Turkey". Retrieved 29 June 2015.
  71. ↑ "Jihadist coalition claims control of Idlib". The Long War Journal. 28 March 2015. Retrieved 10 April 2015.
  72. ↑ Syeed, Nafeesa (29 March 2015). "Syrian Islamist Rebels Deal Blow to Assad, Capturing Idlib". Bloomberg Business. Retrieved 10 April 2015.
  73. 1 2 "Fighters flock back to resurgent al-Nusra". Financial Times. 29 March 2015. Retrieved 2 April 2015.
  74. ↑ "Qaeda in Syria calls for power-sharing in Idlib city". Yahoo News. AFP. 1 April 2015. Retrieved 2 April 2015.
  75. ↑ Al Qaeda Is About to Establish an Emirate in Northern Syria

Coordinates: 35°38′37″N 36°41′59″E / 35.6436°N 36.6997°E / 35.6436; 36.6997

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