Navarrese parliamentary election, 2007

Navarrese parliamentary election, 2007

27 May 2007

All 50 seats in the Parliament of Navarre 26 seats needed for a majority Opinion polls Registered 471,647 1.5% Turnout 347,851 (73.8%) 3.1 pp   First party Second party Third party   Leader Miguel Sanz Patxi Zabaleta Fernando Puras Party UPN NaBai PSN-PSOE Leader since 17 January 1995 16 September 2006 30 September 2006 Last election 23 seats, 41.5% 8 seats, 17.8%[lower-alpha 1] 11 seats, 22.5% Seats won 22 12 12 Seat change 1 4 1 Popular vote 139,122 77,893 74,157 Percentage 42.2% 23.6% 22.5% Swing 0.7 pp 5.8 pp 1.3 pp   Fourth party Fifth party   Leader Juan Cruz Allí Jon Erro Party CDN IUN-NEB Leader since 10 April 1995 February 2004 Last election 4 seats, 7.7% 4 seats, 8.8% Seats won 2 2 Seat change 2 2 Popular vote 14,418 14,337 Percentage 4.4% 4.3% Swing 3.3 pp 4.5 pp

President before election Miguel Sanz UPN Elected President Miguel Sanz UPN

The 2007 Navarrese parliamentary election was held on Sunday, 27 May 2007, to elect the 8th Parliament of Navarre, the regional legislature of the Spanish autonomous community of Navarre. At stake were all 50 seats in the Parliament, determining the President of Navarre.

The ruling Navarrese People's Union — Democrats Convergence of Navarre coalition lost the absolute majority it had enjoyed in the previous legislature, but Miguel Sanz was able to be re-elected President of Navarre for a fourth term thanks to the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party backing down on the possibility of forming an alternative government with Nafarroa Bai and United Left.

Electoral system

The 50 members of the Parliament of Navarre were elected in a single multi-member district, consisting of the Community's territory (the province of Navarre), using the D'Hondt method and a closed-list proportional representation system.

Voting was on the basis of universal suffrage in a secret ballot. Only lists polling above 3% of the total vote in all of the community (which include blank ballots—for none of the above) were entitled to enter the seat distribution.^[1]

As per the Navarrese Electoral Law, election day was set for the fourth Sunday of May every four years.^[1] From the 2001 reform of Navarre's Statute of Autonomy, the President of Navarre could dissolve Parliament and call for a snap election at a time different than the legally established date, but was barred from doing so when less than one year remained for the next election's scheduled date. A new election would also have been automatically held in the event of a parliamentary deadlock in the choosing of a new President. Before the 2001 reform, the head of the largest parliamentary party did automatically become President if no other candidate obtained a majority within 90 days. In both cases, the newly elected Parliament would have a full mandate for a four-year period.^[2]

Opinion polls

Vote

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

Date	Polling Firm/Source	UPN	PSN	IU	Aralar	CDN	PNV	B	NaBai	Oth.	Lead
27 May 2007	Regional Election	42.2	22.5	4.3	w.NaBai	4.4	w.NaBai	N/A	23.6	3.0	18.6
27 May	Ipsos-Eco	36.8	22.3	5.0	w.NaBai	3.3	w.NaBai		26.9	5.7	9.9
Exit polls
20 May	Opina	40.0	26.0	5.0	w.NaBai	1.4	w.NaBai		23.5	4.1	14.0
19 May	CIES	41.2	22.1	5.7	w.NaBai	5.5	w.NaBai	(6.9)	23.9	1.6	17.3
19 May	TNS-Demoscopia	43.0	20.2	7.2	w.NaBai	4.8	w.NaBai		20.5	4.3	22.5
14–17 May	Opina	40.0	26.0	5.0	w.NaBai		w.NaBai		23.5	5.5	14.0
14 May	Sigma-2	43.3	23.4	6.8	w.NaBai	3.2	w.NaBai		20.5	2.8	19.9
8 May	Opina	38.0	24.5	7.0	w.NaBai	3.0	w.NaBai		23.0	4.5	13.5
9 Apr–6 May	CIS	38.7	18.6	6.4	w.NaBai	5.9	w.NaBai		25.8	4.6	12.9
20–24 Apr	Quor	37.0	25.7	7.0	w.NaBai	5.1	w.NaBai		25.0	0.2	11.3
23 Mar	Intereconomía	46.0	20.0	6.5	w.NaBai	6.5	w.NaBai		15.0	6.0	26.0
2007
25 Oct–6 Nov	CIES	40.7	21.9	8.2	w.NaBai	7.4	w.NaBai	(5.6)	20.9	0.9	18.8
3 May	CIES	40.1	23.1	9.1	w.NaBai	6.1	w.NaBai	(6.3)	20.7	0.9	17.0
2006
28 Sep–5 Oct	CIES	41.0	25.2	8.1	8.9	5.5	6.3	(6.0)	N/A	5.0	15.8
2005
13 Jun 2004	EP Election	45.2	34.9	4.3	4.4	0.9	2.1	N/A	N/A	8.2	10.3
14 Mar 2004	General Election	37.6	33.6	5.9	w.NaBai	1.4	w.NaBai	N/A	18.0	3.5	4.0
2004
25 May 2003	Regional Election	41.5	21.2	8.8	7.8	7.7	7.4	N/A	N/A	5.6	20.3

Seat projections

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 26 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Navarre.

26 seats needed for majority

Date	Polling Firm/Source	UPN	PSN	IU	Aralar	CDN	PNV	B	NaBai	Others
27 May 2007	Regional Election	22	12	2	w.NaBai	2	w.NaBai	N/A	12	0
27 May	Ipsos-Eco	19−21	11−13	2	w.NaBai	1	w.NaBai	0	14−16	0
Exit polls
20 May	Opina	22	14	2	w.NaBai	0	w.NaBai	0	12	0
19 May	CIES	21−23	11−12	2−3	w.NaBai	2−3	w.NaBai	0	12−13	0
19 May	TNS-Demoscopia	22−23	10−11	3−4	w.NaBai	2	w.NaBai	0−2	10−11	0
14–17 May	Opina	22	14	2	w.NaBai	0	w.NaBai	0	12	0
14 May	Sigma-2	22−24	12−13	3	w.NaBai	1	w.NaBai	0	10−11	0
8 May	Opina	21	13	3	w.NaBai	0	w.NaBai	0	13	0
9 Apr–6 May	CIS	20−21	10	3	w.NaBai	3	w.NaBai	0	13−14	0
20–24 Apr	Quor	20−21	12−13	3	w.NaBai	2	w.NaBai	0	12	0
23 Mar	Intereconomía	25	11	3	w.NaBai	3	w.NaBai	0	8	0
2007
16–24 Nov	Sigma-2	21−23	10−11	3	w.NaBai	2	w.NaBai	0	12−13	0
25 Oct–6 Nov	CIES	21	11	4	w.NaBai	3	w.NaBai	0−2	9−11	0
2006
28 Sep–5 Oct	CIES	22	13	3−4	4−5	2	3	0−3	N/A	0−1
2005
13 Jun 2004	EP Election	(25)	(19)	(2)	(2)	(0)	(0)	N/A	N/A	(2)
14 Mar 2004	General Election	(20)	(18)	(3)	w.NaBai	(0)	w.NaBai	N/A	(9)	(0)
2004
25 May 2003	Regional Election	23	11	4	4	4	4	N/A	N/A	0

Results

← Summary of the 27 May 2007 Navarrese Parliament election results →

Party		Vote			Seats
		Votes	%	±pp	Won	+/−
	Navarrese People's Union (UPN)	139,122	42.19	0.71	22	1
	Yes to Navarre (NaBai)[lower-alpha 1]	77,893	23.62	5.80	12	4
	Socialist Party of Navarre (PSN-PSOE)	74,157	22.49	1.34	12	1
	Democrats Convergence of Navarre (CDN)	14,418	4.37	3.28	2	2
	United Left of Navarre (IUN-NEB)	14,337	4.35	4.43	2	2
	Navarrese Cannabis Representation (RCN-NOK)	4,707	1.43	New	0	±0
	Carlist Party (PC)	541	0.16	0.17	0	±0
	Blank ballots	4,580	1.39	0.99
Total		329,755	100.00		50	±0
Valid votes		329,755	94.80	1.28
Invalid votes		18,096	5.20	1.28
Votes cast / turnout		347,851	73.75	3.05
Abstentions		123,796	26.25	3.05
Registered voters		471,647
Source: Argos Information Portal

Vote share
UPN			42.19%
NaBai			23.62%
PSN-PSOE			22.49%
CDN			4.37%
IUN-NEB			4.35%
RCN-NOK			1.43%
PC			0.16%
Blank ballots			1.39%

Parliamentary seats
UPN			44.00%
NaBai			24.00%
PSN-PSOE			24.00%
CDN			4.00%
IUN-NEB			4.00%

Post-election

Investiture voting

Candidate	Date	Vote	UPN	NB	PSN	CDN	IUN-NEB	Total
Miguel Sanz (UPN)	9 Aug 2007 Majority required: Absolute (26/50)	Yes	22			2		24 / 50
		No		12	11^a		2	25 / 50
		Abst.						0 / 50
	11 Aug 2007 Majority required: Simple	Yes	22			2		24 / 50
		No		12			2	14 / 50
		Abst.			1^b			1 / 50
Source: Historia Electoral - Elections to the Parliament of Navarre

^a 1 PSN MP cast an invalid vote.
^b 11 PSN MPs cast blank votes.

Notes

1. Compared to the Aralar+Eusko Alkartasuna/Basque Nationalist Party+Assembly results in the 2003 election.

References

1. "Foral Law 16/1986, of 17 November, regulating elections to the Parliament of Navarre.".
2. "Organic Law 13/1982, of 10 August, of reintegration and improvement of the Foral Regime of Navarre.".