Navarrese parliamentary election, 2011

Navarrese parliamentary election, 2011

22 May 2011

All 50 seats in the Parliament of Navarre 26 seats needed for a majority Opinion polls Registered 485,386 2.9% Turnout 327,281 (67.4%) 6.4 pp   First party Second party Third party   Leader Yolanda Barcina Roberto Jiménez Patxi Zabaleta Party UPN PSN-PSOE NaBai Leader since 19 April 2009 28 June 2008 16 September 2006 Last election 22 seats, 42.2% 12 seats, 22.5% 12 seats, 23.6% Seats won 19 9 8 Seat change 3 3 4 Popular vote 111,474 51,238 49,827 Percentage 34.5% 15.9% 15.4% Swing 7.7 pp 6.6 pp 8.2 pp   Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party   Leader Maiorga Ramírez Santiago Cervera José Miguel Nuin Party Bildu PP I-E Leader since 2011 10 December 2009 2010 Last election Did not contest Did not contest 2 seats, 4.3%[lower-alpha 1] Seats won 7 4 3 Seat change 7 4 1 Popular vote 42,916 23,551 18,457 Percentage 13.3% 7.3% 5.7% Swing New party New party 1.4 pp

President before election Miguel Sanz UPN Elected President Yolanda Barcina UPN

The 2011 Navarrese parliamentary election was held on Sunday, 22 May 2011, to elect the 8th Parliament of Navarre, the regional legislature of the Spanish autonomous community of Navarre. At stake were all 50 seats in the Parliament, determining the President of Navarre.

The Navarrese People's Union (UPN) had formed the government of the region since the 1996. Between 1991 and 2008 UPN had an agreement with the People's Party (PP), functioning as PP sister party in the region in exchange for the PP itself not contesting elections in Navarre. The pact was broken in October 2008 following a dispute over a budgetary vote in the Congress of Deputies.^[1] As a result, this was the first regional election since 1987 in which both parties ran separately.

Another novelty for this election was that incumbent President Miguel Sanz had announced his intention not to run for a fifth term in office,^[2] being replaced as UPN candidate by Mayor of Pamplona Yolanda Barcina.^[3]

UPN remained the first political party of Navarre, albeit with a diminished popular vote due to the PP split. The PSN-PSOE obtained the worst result of its history up until that point, but recovered the 2nd place it had lost to Nafarroa Bai in 2007, which dropped to 3rd place as a result of Bildu's entry into Parliament.

Electoral system

The 50 members of the Parliament of Navarre were elected in a single multi-member district, consisting of the Community's territory (the province of Navarre), using the D'Hondt method and a closed-list proportional representation system.

Voting was on the basis of universal suffrage in a secret ballot. Only lists polling above 3% of the total vote in all of the community (which include blank ballots—for none of the above) were entitled to enter the seat distribution.^[4]

As per article 12 of the Navarrese Electoral Law, election day was set for the fourth Sunday of May every four years.^[4] From the 2001 reform of Navarre's Statute of Autonomy, the President of Navarre could dissolve Parliament and call for a snap election at a time different than the legally established date, but was barred from doing so when less than one year remained for the next election's scheduled date. New elections would also have been automatically held in the event of a parliamentary deadlock in the election of a new President for three months after voting day. Before the 2001 reform, the head of the largest parliamentary party became President if no candidate obtained a majority within 90 days. In both cases, the newly elected Parliament would have a full mandate for a four-year period.^[5]

Opinion polls

Vote

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

Date	Polling Firm/Source	UPN	NaBai	PSN	CDN	I-E	PP	UPyD	Bildu	Oth.	Lead
22 May 2011	Regional Election	34.5	15.4	15.9	1.4	5.7	7.3	0.7	13.3	5.8	18.6
Exit polls
14 May	Gizaker	30.6	17.0	17.9	3.0	5.2	10.0		13.2	3.1	12.7
10–12 May	Sigma-2	35.3	19.3	17.8		4.0	11.4		5.4	6.8	16.0
3–10 May	NC-Report	30.2	19.7	17.9			17.0			15.2	10.5
5 May	TNS-Demoscopia	33.2	21.5	17.5	3.0	5.2	13.8			5.8	11.7
15–20 Apr	Ikerfel	25.7	21.1	21.8		5.2	13.2		7.8	5.2	3.9
13–20 Apr	Celeste-Tel	33.5	17.6	17.8		5.1	9.1		11.8	5.1	15.7
17 Mar–17 Apr	CIS	29.0	20.7	19.3	2.6	7.3	11.3	1.1	3.9	4.8	8.3
12–15 Apr	Sigma-2	32.7	22.0	21.5		4.3	12.6			6.9	10.7
11–13 Apr	Ikerfel	27.8	19.6	22.2	2.8	4.7	12.5	1.1	8.5	0.8	5.6
4–6 Apr	Gizaker	31.6	15.7	19.9	2.9	4.2	10.1		14.2	1.4	11.7
2011
23–28 Dec	Sigma-2	32.8	19.6	19.4		3.9	16.4			7.9	13.2
19–26 Oct	CIES	34.0	24.1	23.8	1.1	4.0	11.0	0.5		1.5	9.9
24–26 May	Sigma-2	26.5	21.5	22.2		4.0	21.6			4.2	4.3
2010
19–27 Oct	CIES	34.4	24.2	23.5	2.4	4.3	9.2	1.1		0.9	10.2
7 Jun 2009	EP Election	37.8	6.9	31.5	N/A	3.3	w.UPN	2.1	11.4	7.0	6.3
2009
25 Nov	CIES	32.8	24.2	24.9	3.1	4.6	9.5			0.9	7.9
9 Mar 2008	General Election	39.2	18.4	34.8	N/A	3.3	w.UPN	0.8		3.5	4.4
2008
27 May 2007	Regional Election	42.2	23.6	22.5	4.4	4.3	w.UPN			3.0	18.6

Seat projections

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 26 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Navarre.

26 seats needed for majority

Date	Polling Firm/Source	UPN	NaBai	PSN	CDN	I-E	PP	UPyD	B	Others
22 May 2011	Regional Election	19	8	9	0	3	4	0	7	0
Exit polls
14 May	CIES	19−20	9−10	10−11	0	2	4−5	0	4−5	0
14 May	Gizaker	16−17	9−10	9−10	0−1	2−3	5	0	5−6	0
10–12 May	Sigma-2	19−20	10	9−10	0	2	6	0	5	0
3–10 May	NC-Report	18−19	10−11	9−10	0	2−3	8−9	0	2	0
5 May	TNS-Demoscopia	18−19	11−12	9−10	0−1	2−3	7−8	0	0	0
15–20 Apr	Ikerfel	14	11	12	0	2	7	0	4	0
13–20 Apr	Celeste-Tel	17	10	10	0	2	5	0	6	0
17 Mar–17 Apr	CIS	16−17	11−12	11	0	4	6	0	0−2	0
12–15 Apr	Sigma-2	18	12	11−12	0	2	6−7	0	0	0
11–13 Apr	Ikerfel	14	11	12	0	2	7	0	4	0
4–6 Apr	Gizaker	17	8−9	10−11	0−1	2−3	5	0	6−7	0
2011
23–28 Dec	Sigma-2	18	10−11	10−11	0	2	9	0	0	0
19–26 Oct	CIES	17−18	12−13	12−13	0	2	5	0	0	0
18 Oct	UPN	18	12−14	10−11	0	2	4−5	0	3	0
24–26 May	Sigma-2	13−14	11−12	11−12	0	2	11−12	0	0	0
2010
19–27 Oct	CIES	19	13	12	0	2	5	0	0	0
11 Oct	UPN	16−17	14	12	0	1−2	6−7	0	0	0
28 Sep	CIS	16	14−15	11−12	0−1	2	6−7	0	0	0
7 Jun 2009	EP Election	(21)	(4)	(18)	N/A	(1)	w.UPN	(0)	(6)	(0)
2009
25 Nov	CIES	17	12	13	1	2	5	0		0
9 Mar 2008	General Election	(21)	(10)	(18)	N/A	(1)	w.UPN	(0)		(0)
2008
27 May 2007	Regional Election	22	12	12	2	2	w.UPN			0

Results

← Summary of the 22 May 2011 Navarrese Parliament election results →

Party		Vote			Seats
		Votes	%	±pp	Won	+/−
	Navarrese People's Union (UPN)	111,474	34.48	7.70	19	3
	Socialist Party of Navarre (PSN-PSOE)	51,238	15.85	6.64	9	3
	Yes to Navarre 2011 (NaBai 2011)	49,827	15.41	8.21	8	4
	Unite-Basque Solidarity-Progress Alternative (B-EA/AE-EA)	42,916	13.28	New	7	7
	People's Party (PP)	23,551	7.29	New	4	4
	Left (I-E)[lower-alpha 1]	18,457	5.71	1.36	3	1
	Democrats Convergence of Navarre (CDN)	4,654	1.44	2.93	0	2
	Greens of Navarre (VN-NB)	4,235	1.31	New	0	±0
	Navarrese Cannabis Representation (RCN-NOK)	3,166	0.98	0.45	0	±0
	Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD)	2,212	0.68	New	0	±0
	Initiative for Navarre (IxN)	1,332	0.41	New	0	±0
	Internationalist Solidarity and Self-Management (SAIn)	1,054	0.33	New	0	±0
	Navarrese and Spanish Right (DNE)	977	0.30	New	0	±0
	Blank ballots	8,161	2.52	1.14
Total		323,254	100.00		50	±0
Valid votes		323,254	98.77	3.97
Invalid votes		4,027	1.23	3.97
Votes cast / turnout		327,281	67.43	6.33
Abstentions		158,105	32.57	6.33
Registered voters		485,386
Source: Argos Information Portal

Vote share
UPN			34.48%
PSN-PSOE			15.85%
NaBai 2011			15.41%
B-EA/AE-EA			13.28%
PP			7.29%
I-E			5.71%
CDN			1.44%
VN-NB			1.31%
Others			2.70%
Blank ballots			2.52%

Parliamentary seats
UPN			38.00%
PSN-PSOE			18.00%
NaBai 2011			16.00%
B-EA/AE-EA			14.00%
PP			8.00%
I-E			6.00%

Post-election

Investiture voting

Candidate	Date	Vote	UPN	PSN	NB	B	PP	I-E	Total
Yolanda Barcina (UPN)	23 Jun 2011 Majority required: Absolute (26/50)	Yes	19	9					28 / 50
		No			8	7	4	3	22 / 50
		Abst.							0 / 50
Source: Historia Electoral - Elections to the Parliament of Navarre

Notes

1. Compared to the United Left of Navarre+Assembly results in the 2007 election.

References

1. "PP breaks its pact with UPN for not supporting its amendments to the Government Budget" (in Spanish). RTVE. 2008-10-22.
2. "Miguel Sanz says he is no 'overly concerned' that the PP runs in Navarre" (in Spanish). El Mundo. 2008-10-14.
3. "Yolanda Barcina, elected president of UPN with 89% of the vote" (in Spanish). Diario de Navarra. 2009-04-19.
4. "Foral Law 16/1986, of 17 November, regulating elections to the Parliament of Navarre.".
5. "Organic Law 13/1982, of 10 August, of reintegration and improvement of the Foral Regime of Navarre.".