Castile-La Mancha parliamentary election, 2011

Castile-La Mancha parliamentary
election, 2011

22 May 2011

All 49 seats in the Courts of Castile-La Mancha 25 seats needed for a majority Opinion polls Registered 1,566,641 3.9% Turnout 1,189,986 (76.0%) 2.3 pp   First party Second party   Leader María Dolores de Cospedal José María Barreda Party PP PSOE Leader since 14 June 2006 29 April 2004 Last election 21 seats, 42.4% 26 seats, 52.0% Seats won 25 24 Seat change 4 2 Popular vote 564,954 509,738 Percentage 48.1% 43.4% Swing 5.7 pp 8.6 pp

President before election José María Barreda PSOE Elected President María Dolores de Cospedal PP

The 2011 Castile-La Mancha parliamentary election was held on Sunday, 22 May 2011, to elect the 8th Courts of Castile-La Mancha, the regional legislature of the Spanish autonomous community of Castile-La Mancha. At stake were all seats in the Courts, determining the President of the Junta of Communities of Castile-La Mancha. The number of members increased from 47 to 49 compared to the previous election.

The Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) had formed the government of the region since the first democratic election in 1983, winning a majority of seats at all elections. However, this time the election was won by the People's Party (PP), which gained control of the region for the first time.

One of the first tasks of the Assembly was to elect the President of Castilla-La Mancha from among their number, with the PP candidate Maria Dolores de Cospedal replacing the outgoing President, José María Barreda, incumbent since April 2004.^[1]

Electoral system

The number of seats in the Castile-La Mancha Courts was set to a fixed-number of 49. All Courts members were elected in 5 multi-member districts, corresponding to Castile-La Mancha's five provinces, using the D'Hondt method and a closed-list proportional representation system. Each district was assigned a fixed set of seats, distributed as follows: Albacete (10), Ciudad Real (11), Cuenca (8), Guadalajara (8) and Toledo (12).

Voting was on the basis of universal suffrage in a secret ballot. Only lists polling above 3% of valid votes in each district (which include blank ballots—for none of the above) were entitled to enter the seat distribution.^[2]

Opinion polls

Vote

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

Date	Polling Firm/Source	PSOE	PP	IU	UPyD	Oth.	Lead
22 May 2011	Regional Election	43.4	48.1	3.8	1.8	1.3	4.7
Exit polls
16 May	GAD	44.1	49.6			6.3	5.5
11–12 May	Metroscopia	42.2	47.9			9.9	5.7
13–20 Apr	Celeste-Tel[lower-alpha 1]	45.6	47.7	4.5		2.2	2.1
17 Mar–17 Apr	CIS	45.0	46.3	4.4	0.8	3.5	1.3
11–14 Apr	Sigma-2	43.9	49.3	3.6		3.2	5.4
8–11 Apr	Ikerfel	42.5	48.6			8.9	6.1
28 Feb–1 Mar	GAD	44.0	50.3			5.7	6.3
26 Jan–5 Feb	PSOE	44.5	43.9			11.6	0.6
11 Jan	Celeste-Tel	47.2	45.3	4.4	2.1	1.0	1.9
30 Dec–3 Jan	NC-Report	48.2	46.2			5.6	2.0
2011
20–30 Dec	DYM	45.6	50.8			3.6	5.2
17–22 Dec	Sigma-2	43.7	50.0			6.3	6.3
2–4 Nov	DyS	42.2	46.9	5.9	4.2	0.8	4.7
11–14 Oct	DyS	41.3	47.4			11.3	6.1
28 Jun	Celeste-Tel	47.4	45.0	4.2	2.5	0.9	2.4
21–25 May	Sigma-2	41.4	49.7	4.1		4.8	8.3
14 Mar	Noxa	48.1	44.1	3.1	3.3	1.4	4.0
4–14 Mar	DyS	44.8	45.6	4.1	3.0	2.5	0.8
1–8 Mar	Obradoiro	46.1	44.6	3.2	3.2	2.9	1.5
2010
7 Jun 2009	EP Election	39.9	51.5	3.0	2.6	1.9	11.6
2009
9 Mar 2008	General Election	44.5	49.4	2.9	1.1	1.1	4.9
2008
27 May 2007	Regional Election	52.0	42.4	3.4		1.0	9.6

Seat projections

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 25 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Courts of Castile-La Mancha.

25 seats needed for majority (17/11/2007–22/05/2011)

24 seats needed for majority (27/05/2007–17/11/2007)

Date	Polling Firm/Source	PSOE	PP	IU	UPyD	Others
22 May 2011	Regional Election	24	25	0	0	0
Exit polls
16 May	GAD	22−24	25−27	0	0	0
11–12 May	Metroscopia	24	25	0	0	0
13–20 Apr	Celeste-Tel	25	24	0	0	0
17 Mar–17 Apr	CIS	24	25	0	0	0
11–14 Apr	Sigma-2	22−24	25−27	0	0	0
8–11 Apr	Ikerfel	21−23	26−28	0	0	0
28 Feb–1 Mar	GAD	22−24	25−27	0	0	0
26 Jan–5 Feb	PSOE	25	24	0	0	0
11 Jan	Celeste-Tel	25	24	0	0	0
30 Dec–3 Jan	NC-Report	24−25	24−25	0	0	0
2011
20–30 Dec	DYM	23	26	0	0	0
17–22 Dec	Sigma-2	20−25	24−29	0	0	0
2–4 Nov	DyS	22	27	0	0	0
11–14 Oct	DyS	22	27	0	0	0
28 Jun	Celeste-Tel	25	24	0	0	0
21–25 May	Sigma-2	20−23	26−29	0	0	0
14 Mar	Noxa	25−26	23−24	0	0	0
4–14 Mar	DyS	24	25	0	0	0
1–8 Mar	Obradoiro	25	24	0	0	0
2010
2009
2008
27 May 2007	Regional Election	26	21	0		0

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 22 May 2011 Castile-La Mancha Courts election results →

Party		Vote			Seats
		Votes	%	±pp	Won	+/−
	People's Party (PP)	564,954	48.11	5.73	25	4
	Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)	509,738	43.40	8.56	24	2
	United Left of Castile-La Mancha (IUCLM)	44,302	3.77	0.35	0	±0
	Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD)	20,554	1.75	New	0	±0
	Anti-Bullfighting Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA)	4,128	0.35	New	0	±0
	Castilian Party (PCAS)	2,752	0.23	New	0	±0
	The Greens-Green Group (LV-GV)	2,375	0.20	New	0	±0
	Ecolo-Greens Guadalajara (ECOLO-V)	1,673	0.14	0.18	0	±0
	Citizens for Blank Votes (CenB)	1,615	0.14	New	0	±0
	Toledo Independent Citizens' Union (UCIT)	1,430	0.12	New	0	±0
	Castilian Unity (UdCa)	745	0.06	0.05	0	±0
	Citizens of Democratic Centre (CCD)	507	0.04	New	0	±0
	Blank ballots	19,643	1.67	0.39
Total		1,174,416	100.00		49	2
Valid votes		1,174,416	98.69	0.56
Invalid votes		15,570	1.31	0.56
Votes cast / turnout		1,189,986	75.96	2.25
Abstentions		376,655	24.04	2.25
Registered voters		1,566,641
Source: Argos Information Portal

Vote share
PP			48.11%
PSOE			43.40%
IUCLM			3.77%
UPyD			1.75%
Others			1.30%
Blank ballots			1.67%

Parliamentary seats
PP			51.02%
PSOE			48.98%

Notes

1. This survey shows its poll results projected over candidacy votes (that is, votes going for political parties, excluding blank ballots). The vote percentage in the official election is calculated including blank ballots into the estimation. In order to obtain data comparable to both the official results as well as those of other surveys, a rule of three has been applied to the survey projections, with the results of the calculation being shown instead.

References

1. "Castile–La Mancha election results".
2. "Law 5/1986, of 23 December, electoral of Castile-La Mancha.".