Galician parliamentary election, 2016

Next Galician parliamentary election

On or before 26 November 2016

All 75 seats in the Parliament of Galicia 38 seats needed for a majority Opinion polls   Leader Alberto Núñez Feijóo José Ramón Gómez Besteiro Party PP PSdeG-PSOE Leader since 15 January 2006 29 September 2013 Last election 41 seats, 45.8% 18 seats, 20.6% Current seats 41 18 Seats needed 20   Leader Xosé Manuel Beiras Francisco Jorquera Party AGE BNG Leader since 4 September 2012 15 January 2012 Last election 9 seats, 13.9% 7 seats, 10.1% Current seats 7 7 Seats needed 31 31

Incumbent President Alberto Núñez Feijóo PP

The next Galician parliamentary election will be held on or before Saturday, 26 November 2016, to elect the 10th Parliament of Galicia, the regional legislature of the Spanish autonomous community of Galicia. At stake will be all 75 seats in the Parliament, determining the President of the Xunta of Galicia.

Electoral system

The 75 members of the Parliament of Galicia are elected in 4 multi-member districts, corresponding to Galicia's four provinces, using the D'Hondt method and a closed-list proportional representation. Each district is entitled to an initial minimum of 10 seats, with the remaining 35 seats being allocated among the four provinces in proportion to their populations.

Voting is on the basis of universal suffrage in a secret ballot. Only lists polling above 5% of the total vote in each district (which includes blank ballots—for none of the above) are entitled to enter the seat distribution.^[1]

Latest possible date

The next general election cannot be held later than Saturday 26 November 2016. This date is determined as follows:

Law	Requirement	Comments
SoAG: Article 11.2[2]	The Parliament will be elected for a term of four years (...).	The 2012 election was held on 21 October 2012. Four years after 21 October 2012 is 21 October 2016.
Ley 8/1985: Article 12.3 and 12.4[1]	Except in the case of an early dissolution, the decree calling for new elections will be issued 25 days before the expiry date of the Parliament. The decree (...) will be published the following day after its issuing (...) and will enter into force the same day of its publication.	25 days before 21 October 2016 is 26 September 2016. The day after 26 September 2016 is 27 September 2016.
Ley 8/1985: Article 12.2[1]	The election must take place between 54 and 60 days from the publication of the election calling decree.	60 days after 27 September 2016 is 26 November 2016.

Opinion polls

Vote

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

Polling Firm/Link	Last Date of Polling				BNG					Margin of Error	Sample Size	Lead
GAD3	April 6, 2016	44.1	19.7		6.7		5.1		17.9	±3.5 pp	807	24.4
Redondo & Asociados	January 16, 2016	37	21				9		25			12
General Election	December 20, 2015	37.1	21.3		4.3	0.5	9.1		25.0			12.1
Municipal Elections	May 24, 2015	35.7	26.3		12.8		1.9					9.4
Sondaxe	October 23, 2014	44.7	20.3	8.3	5.8			16.9		±4.5 pp	500	24.4
EP Election	May 25, 2014	35.2	21.8	10.5	7.9	3.3	1.6	8.4				13.4
Sondaxe	October 17, 2013	43.5	19.3	16.6	10.7					±2.5 pp	1,600	24.2
Sondaxe	February 7, 2013	42.3	19.5	19.2	10.0					±2.5 pp	1,600	22.8
Regional Election	October 21, 2012	45.8	20.6	13.9	10.1	1.5						25.2

Seat projections

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 38 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Galicia.

38 seats needed for majority

Polling Firm/Link	Last Date of Polling				BNG
GAD3	April 6, 2016	36/38	15/17		4/5	0	2/3		14/16
Redondo & Asociados	January 16, 2016	32	17		0	0	6		20
Sondaxe	October 17, 2013	38	16	13	8	0
ASCA	May 7, 2013	31	19	18	5	2
Sondaxe	February 7, 2013	36	17	15	7	0
Regional Election	October 21, 2012	41	18	9	7	0

References

1. "Law 8/1985, of 13 August, of elections to the Parliament of Galicia.".
2. "Statute of Autonomy of Galicia of 1981; Title I. Of the Galician power, Chapter I. Of Parliament.". noticias.juridicas.com. Retrieved 2015-02-02.