Arizona gubernatorial election, 2014

Arizona gubernatorial election, 2014

November 4, 2014

Nominee Doug Ducey Fred DuVal Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 805,062 626,921 Percentage 53.35% 41.55%

County results

Governor before election Jan Brewer Republican Elected Governor Doug Ducey Republican

The 2014 Arizona gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Arizona, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican Governor Jan Brewer was term-limited and could not run for re-election to a second full term in office. After a bitter six-candidate primary, Republicans nominated Arizona State Treasurer Doug Ducey; Democrat Fred DuVal, the former Chairman of the Arizona Board of Regents, won his party's nomination unopposed. Ducey won the election with 53% of the vote.

Background

Candidates for Governor speaking at a forum hosted by the Arizona Chamber of Commerce and Industry. From left to right: Al Melvin, Scott Smith, Christine Jones, Fred DuVal, Frank Riggs, Doug Ducey and Ken Bennett.

Democratic Governor Janet Napolitano resigned on January 21, 2009, to be sworn-in as Secretary of the Department of Homeland Security. Since Arizona does not have a Lieutenant Governor, Secretary of State Jan Brewer was first in the state's gubernatorial line of succession and was sworn in as Governor on the same day. She was elected to a full term in 2010, defeating Democrat Terry Goddard, the Arizona Attorney General, by 54% to 42%.

Brewer was term-limited in 2014, despite only serving one full term. This is because Arizona state law limits office holders to two consecutive terms regardless of whether they serve full or partial terms. In November 2012, Brewer declared she was looking into what she called "ambiguity" in Arizona's term-limit law to seek a third term.^[1] In February 2014, Brewer reiterated that she was considering running for re-election,^[2] but on March 12, 2014, she announced that she would not attempt to seek another term in office, which would have required what The Arizona Republic called a "long-shot court challenge".^[3]

Republican primary

The Republican primary campaign was widely characterised as being a "bitter" and "nasty"^[4][5][6][7] and the $16.2 million spent by the six Republican candidates means that the 2014 election has already broken the record for most expensive gubernatorial race in state history, exceeding the 2002 election in which $9.2 million was spent during the primary and general election campaigns combined.^[8]

Candidates

Declared

• Ken Bennett, Secretary of State of Arizona^[9]
• Doug Ducey, State Treasurer of Arizona^[10][11]
• Christine Jones, former Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary for Go Daddy^[12]
• Frank Riggs, former U.S. Representative from California and candidate for the U.S. Senate from California in 1998^[13]
• Scott Smith, Mayor of Mesa^[14]
• Andrew Thomas, disbarred former County attorney of Maricopa County and candidate for Arizona Attorney General in 2010^[15]

Withdrew

• Hugh Hallman, former Mayor of Tempe (ran for State Treasurer)^[16]
• Al Melvin, State Senator^[17][18]
• John Molina, OB/GYN and former CEO of Phoenix Indian Medical Center^[19][20]

Declined

• Joe Arpaio, Sheriff of Maricopa County (ran for re-election)^[21][22]
• Jan Brewer, incumbent Governor^[3]
• Brenda Burns, Corporation Commissioner^[23]
• Wil Cardon, businessman and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012 (ran for Secretary of State)^[24]
• Tom Horne, Attorney General of Arizona (ran for re-election)^[25][26][27]
• Martha McSally, retired United States Air Force colonel and nominee for Arizona's 2nd congressional district in 2012 (ran for AZ-02)^[28][29]
• Steve Pierce, State Senator (ran for re-election)^[25]
• Steven Seagal, actor and reserve deputy sheriff^[30][31]

Endorsements

Doug Ducey

Individuals Joe Arpaio, Sheriff of Maricopa County[32] Steve Chucri, Maricopa County Supervisor and President/CEO of the Arizona Restaurant Association[33] Jerry Colangelo, businessman and former owner of the Phoenix Suns and Arizona Diamondbacks[34] Sal DiCiccio, Phoenix City Councilman[35] Trent Franks, U.S. Representative[35] Barry Goldwater, Jr., former U.S. Representative[36] Hugh Hewitt, talk radio host[37] Jon Kyl, former U.S. Senator[11] Bill Montgomery, Maricopa County Attorney[11] John Shadegg, former U.S. Representative[11] Fife Symington, former Governor of Arizona[38] Organizations Arizona Free Enterprise Club[39] Arizona Right to Life[40]

Frank Riggs
Individuals Russell Pearce, former President of the Arizona Senate[41] Rick Santorum, former U.S. Senator and candidate for President in 2012[42] Organizations Arizonans Against Common Core[43]

Scott Smith
Individuals Jan Brewer, incumbent Governor[44]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Ken Bennett	Doug Ducey	Christine Jones	Al Melvin	John Molina	Frank Riggs	Scott Smith	Andrew Thomas	Undecided
Magellan Strategies	August 17–21, 2014	1,281	± 2.74%	12%	32%	18%	—	—	2%	21%	8%	7%
Harper Polling	August 19–20, 2014	812	± 3.44%	14%	32%	16%	—	—	2%	19%	7%	10%
Remington	August 17–19, 2014	502	± 4.37%	10%	33%	18%	—	—	1%	22%	11%	5%
Magellan Strategies	August 15–18, 2014	1,322	± ?	12%	31%	17%	—	—	3%	22%	8%	7%
Magellan Strategies	August 12–15, 2014	1,300	± ?	10%	31%	16%	—	—	3%	23%	7%	10%
Magellan Strategies	August 5–7, 2014	1,289	± 2.73%	11%	29%	13%	—	—	4%	22%	9%	12%
Magellan Strategies	July 28–31, 2014	1,644	± ?	12%	23%	13%	—	—	5%	21%	10%	16%
Undisclosed	Late July 2014	?	± ?	10%	23%	20%	—	—	2%	15%	9%	21%
Harper Polling	July 16–17, 2014	885	± 3.29%	12%	23%	21%	—	—	1%	13%	7%	22%
Behavior Research Center	July 10–17, 2014	459	± 4.7%	10%	13%	17%	—	—	2%	8%	0%	50%
Gravis Marketing	July 14, 2014	691	± 4%	7%	28%	19%	—	—	1%	14%	8%	24%
Highground	July 10–12, 2014	400	± 4.9%	3.5%	17.3%	15.3%	—	—	1.5%	9.8%	3%	49.8%
Magellan Strategies	July 9–10, 2014	593	± 4.02%	11%	26%	22%	—	—	2%	14%	6%	19%
Harper Polling	June 25–26, 2014	791	± 3.48%	12%	33%	15%	—	—	2%	14%	3%	22%
McLaughlin & Associates	June 10, 2014	400	± 3.48%	8%	22.8%	6.2%	—	—	—	6.5%	—	56.5%
Magellan Strategies	June 3–4, 2014	630	± 3.9%	12%	28%	12%	2%	—	2%	16%	5%	23%
Magellan Strategies	May 13–14, 2014	760	± 3.6%	12.7%	27.3%	11.9%	1.3%	0.2%	0.7%	11.5%	5.6%	28.8%
Undisclosed	April 29, 2014	1,367	± 3.5%	7%	4%	10%	—	—	—	9%	5%	65%
Magellan Strategies	April 8–9, 2014	?	± ?	15%	9%	14%	—	—	1%	6%	6%	45%
Public Policy Polling	Feb. 28–Mar. 2, 2014	403	± 4.9%	20%	6%	16%	1%	1%	1%	12%	9%	34%
Behavior Research Center	January 16–26, 2014	701	± 3.8%	6%	2%	8%	1%	—	—	7%	7%	69%
Susquehanna	Nov. 27–Dec. 4 2013	245	± ?	20%	8%	4%	2%	—	—	6%	4%	56%

Results

Republican primary results[45]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Doug Ducey	200,607	37.05
	Republican	Scott Smith	119,107	22.00
	Republican	Christine Jones	89,922	16.61
	Republican	Ken Bennett	62,010	11.45
	Republican	Andrew Thomas	43,822	8.09
	Republican	Frank Riggs	24,168	4.45
	Republican	Write-in	1,804	0.33
Total votes			541,440	100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

• Fred DuVal, former Chairman of the Arizona Board of Regents^[46]

Withdrew

• Ronald Cavanaugh, Libertarian candidate for Governor in 2010^[20][47]

Declined

• Chad Campbell, Minority Leader of the Arizona House of Representatives^[48]
• Richard Carmona, former Surgeon General and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012^[49]
• Neil Giuliano, former Mayor of Tempe^[50][51]
• Terry Goddard, former Attorney General of Arizona, candidate for Governor in 1994 and nominee for Governor in 1990 and 2010 (running for Secretary of State)^[52][53]
• Marco Lopez, former Chief of Staff for the U.S. Customs and Border Protection and former Mayor of Nogales^[54]
• Janet Napolitano, President of the University of California, former Secretary of the Department of Homeland Security and former Governor of Arizona^[55]
• Felecia Rotellini, attorney and nominee for Arizona Attorney General in 2010 (running for Attorney General)^[56]
• Greg Stanton, Mayor of Phoenix^[25][57]

Endorsements

Fred DuVal

Bruce Babbitt, former Governor of Arizona and former United States Secretary of the Interior[58] Raúl Héctor Castro, former Governor of Arizona and former United States Ambassador to El Salvador, Bolivia and Argentina[58] Sam Coppersmith, former U.S. Representative and former Chairman of the Arizona Democratic Party[59] Karan English, former U.S. Representative[59] Gabrielle Giffords, former U.S. Representative[60] Raúl Grijalva, U.S. Representative[61] Neil Giuliano, former Mayor of Tempe[62] Phil Gordon, former Mayor of Phoenix[62] Mark Kelly, astronaut[60] Harry Mitchell, former U.S. Representative, former Chair of the Arizona Democratic Party and former Mayor of Tempe[59] Rose Mofford, former Governor of Arizona[58] Ed Pastor, U.S. Representative[63] Jim Pederson, businessman, former Chairman of the Arizona Democratic Party and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2006[64]

Polling

Results

Democratic primary results[45]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Fred Duval	271,276	96.93
	Democratic	Write-in	8,578	3.07
Total votes			279,854	100

Third parties

Candidates

Declared

• Alice Novoa (Republican write-in candidate)^[65][66]
• Brian Bailey (Independent write-in candidate), Arizona Army National Guardsman^[65][66]
• Cary Dolego (Independent), write-in candidate for Governor in 2010^[65][66]
• Barry Hess (Libertarian Party), perennial candidate^[20]
• Joseph James "J." Johnson (Unaffiliated write-in candidate), food account manager and brother of Eddie Johnson^[65][66]
• John Lewis Mealer (Americans Elect), candidate for the Americans Elect nomination for President in 2012^[20]
• Diana-Elizabeth Ramseys Rasmussen Kennedy (Independent write-in candidate)^[65][66]
• Curtis Woolsey (Unaffiliated write-in candidate)^[65][66]

Results

Libertarian primary results[45]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Libertarian	Barry Hess	3,979	74.74
	Libertarian	Write-in	1,345	25.26
Total votes			5,324	100

Americans Elect primary results[45]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Americans Elect	John Lewis Mealer	722	95
	Americans Elect	Write-in	38	5
Total votes			960	100

General election

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Doug Ducey (R)	Fred DuVal (D)	Other	Undecided
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	October 16–23, 2014	2,621	± 4%	50%	40%	1%	9%
The Polling Company	October 20–22, 2014	601	± 4%	42%	35%	7%[67]	15%
Rasmussen Reports	October 14–16, 2014	1,056	± 3%	47%	42%	3%	7%
Tarrance Group	October 13–16, 2014	500	± 4.5%	43%	36%	5%[67]	16%
McLaughlin & Associates	October 12–14, 2014	500	± 4.5%	37%	35.8%	5.4%[68]	21.8%
Adrian Gray Consulting	October 8–9, 2014	600	± 4%	43%	35%	8%[69]	14%
Moore Information	October 7–8, 2014	400	± ~4.9%	36%	39%	4%[70]	21%
The Polling Company	October 6–8, 2014	600	± 4%	46%	37%	5%[67]	11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	September 20–October 1, 2014	2,808	± 3%	50%	39%	2%	9%
Keating Research	September 17–19, 2014	600	± 4%	41%	39%	7%[71]	13%
Tarrance Group	September 15–17, 2014	505	± 4.5%	44%	38%	7%[72]	11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	August 18–September 2, 2014	3,289	± 3%	39%	38%	15%	9%
Rasmussen Reports	August 27–28, 2014	850	± 3%	40%	40%	—	20%
Public Policy Polling	August 24–25, 2014	588	± 4%	35%	35%	12%[67]	18%
Public Policy Polling	February 28–March 2, 2014	870	± 3.3%	35%	36%	—	29%
Undisclosed	February 2014	500	± ?	32%	32%	6%[67]	30%
Behavior Research Center	January 16–26, 2014	701	± 3.8%	21%	23%	—	56%
Susquehanna	November 27–December 4, 2013	600	± 4%	36%	33%	—	31%

Results

General election results[73]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Doug Ducey	805,062	53.35
	Democratic	Fred DuVal	626,921	41.55
	Libertarian	Barry Hess	57,337	3.8
	Americans Elect	John Lewis Mealer	15,432	1.02
	Write-ins	Other	4,167	0.28
Total votes			1,508,919	100

References

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67. Barry Hess (L)
68. Barry Hess (L) 2.8%, John Lewis Mealer (AE) 2.6%
69. Barry Hess (L) 5%, John Lewis Mealer (AE) 3%
70. Barry Hess (L) 3%, John Lewis Mealer (AE) 1%
71. Barry Hess (L)
72. Barry Hess (L) 6%, John Lewis Mealer (AE) 1%
73. "Unofficial Results General Election". Arizona Secretary of State. Retrieved November 9, 2014.

External links

• Arizona gubernatorial election, 2014 at Ballotpedia
• Campaign contributions at FollowTheMoney.org

Official campaign websites

• Doug Ducey for Governor
• Fred DuVal for Governor