United States Senate election in Tennessee, 2014

United States Senate election in Tennessee, 2014
Tennessee
November 4, 2014

 
Nominee Lamar Alexander Gordon Ball
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 849,629 437,251
Percentage 61.9% 31.8%

County results

U.S. Senator before election

Lamar Alexander
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Lamar Alexander
Republican

The 2014 United States Senate election in Tennessee took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate for the State of Tennessee. Incumbent Republican Senator Lamar Alexander was re-elected to a third term in office.

Background

Alexander was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2008. Alexander stepped down from his leadership role as Republican Conference Chairman of the United States Senate in 2011, but announced that he would seek re-election to a third term.[1]

Republican primary

Although Alexander was initially thought to be vulnerable to a primary challenge from the right, he worked to avoid this and ultimately did not face a high-profile challenger. He declared his intention to run early, quickly won the endorsement of Governor Bill Haslam, every living former Tennessee Republican Party Chairman and the state's entire Republican congressional delegation (except scandal-hit Scott DesJarlais). He also raised a large amount of money and worked to avoid the mistakes of ousted Senators Bob Bennett and Richard Lugar by trying to stay in touch with his constituents, especially in East Tennessee. Moreover, out-of-state conservative organizations such as the Senate Conservatives Fund made little effort to defeat Alexander.[2]

During his re-election campaign in 2008, Alexander faced no opponents in the Republican primary.[3] As early as July 2013, it was obvious that the same would not be true in 2014. The weekend of July 20, 2013, a rally was held in Smyrna in opposition to Alexander. Activists attending the event included Williamson County GOP leader Kevin Kookogey.[4] By mid-August, Triton Polling released a poll showing Alexander trailing "a generic conservative" by five points.[5] But no "generic conservative" seemed to want to step up. In search of a candidate, a "Beat Lamar" PAC held a forum and invited Kookogey, Knox County mayor Tim Burchett, and Alexander's only formal opponent at the time, Brenda Lenard of Knoxville.[6]

On August 20, 2013, State Representative Joe Carr announced his candidacy. He had previously been opposing Scott Desjarlais in the race for Tennessee's 4th congressional district, but swapped races under public pressure.[7] Kookogey soon dropped out of the race.[8] Four candidates were then vetted in September by the "Coalition for a Constitutional Senate": Carr, truck driver Jerry Davis, business owner John McDaniel, and electrician Danny Page.[9] The coalition ultimately endorsed Carr with 59% of the vote,[10][11] but some felt that Carr's nomination was coerced by the leaders of the Beat Lamar PAC.[12][13] Independent candidate Danny Page was especially vocal on that issue.[14]

Entering the race late was George Flinn, a radiologist from Memphis who had run for Congress against Steve Cohen in 2012.[15] There was some speculation that Flinn was a spoiler deployed by Alexander to steal Tea Party votes from Carr.[15]

In the primary's final stretch Carr was endorsed by Sarah Palin,[16] but he did not receive much other support from outside of Tennessee, failing to receive endorsements from the Senate Conservatives Fund[17] or the Club for Growth.[18]

Ultimately, Alexander won the primary, though he recorded the lowest winning percentage (49.7%) and lowest margin of victory (9.2 points) ever in a primary for a Republican U.S. Senator from Tennessee. Carr won a larger percentage of the vote (40.5%) than the previous 11 challengers to sitting Republican U.S. Senators in Tennessee history combined (40.3%).[19]

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Lamar
Alexander
Joe
Carr
George
Flinn
Brenda
Lenard
Danny
Page
Other Undecided
Red Racing Horses & PMI inc. July 28–30, 2014 400 ± 5% 41% 29% 5% 5% 20%
North Star Opinion Research* July 27–29, 2014 600 ± 4% 53% 24% 1% 1% 5% 16%
North Star Opinion Research* July 20–22, 2014 600 ± 4% 53% 21% 9% 15%
Tea Party Nation/Triton July 10–11, 2014 1,099 ± 2.9% 43% 36% 21%
Tea Party Nation/Triton May 22, 2014 1,100 ± ? 44% 20% 9% 27%
North Star Opinion Research* May 12–14, 2014 600 ± 4% 56% 14% 1% 1% 22%
North Star Opinion Research* February 3–6, 2014 600 ± 4% 62% 17% 2% 1% 18%
MTSU January 23–26, 2014 ? ± ? 40% 7% 4% 49%
Public Policy Polling^ December 2–3, 2013 391 ± 5% 46% 40% 14%
North Star Opinion Research* August 19–22, 2013 600 ± 4% 64% 22% 14%
69% 16% 15%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Lamar
Alexander
Conservative
challenger
Undecided
Triton Polling August 15–16, 2013 680 ± 3.7% 44.9% 49.5% 5.6%

Results

Republican primary results[42]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Lamar Alexander 331,705 49.65
Republican Joe Carr 271,324 40.61
Republican George Shea Flinn 34,668 5.19
Republican Christian Agnew 11,320 1.69
Republican Brenda S. Lenard 7,908 1.18
Republican John D. King 7,748 1.16
Republican Erin Kent Magee 3,366 0.50
Total votes 668,039 100

Democratic primary

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Results

Democratic primary results[42]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gordon Ball 87,829 36.45
Democratic Terry Adams 85,794 35.61
Democratic Gary Gene Davis 42,549 17.66
Democratic Larry Crim 24,777 10.28
Total votes 240,949 100

General election

Candidates

Endorsements

Debates

The first was held in Bolivar, Tennessee and attended by Democrats Gordon Ball and Terry Adams, Republican George Flinn, and independents Ed Gauthier and Danny Page. The attendees criticized Alexander and Carr for not attending.[62][63]

The second was a "candidates' forum" after the primary in Cookeville on October 16. Only Republican nominee Lamar Alexander and Democrat nominee Gordon Ball were allowed to participate.[64]

The third debate was on October 23 at a Sheraton Hotel across from the Tennessee State Capitol in Nashville. The nominees for the Democratic Party (Gordon Ball), Libertarian Party (Joshua James), Green Party (Martin Pleasant), and Constitution Party (Joe Wilmoth) were all in attendance as well as independents Tom Emerson, Ed Gauthier, and Danny Page.[65] The moderator was blogger Tom Humphrey of the blog "Humphrey on the Hill". The candidates discussed a number of issues, including abortion, The Islamic State, Common Core education standards, and global warming, but the issue that stuck most with the media was marijuana. There was a general consensus among the seven candidates in attendance that the federal government should not be involved in the issue, and that authority on marijuana should be reserved to the states and people.[66] Incumbent Senator Lamar Alexander declined to participate in the debate, and was mocked by Democrat Gordon Ball as being "chicken". Alexander was speaking in front of various groups in Nashville and Murfreesboro that day.[65]

The fourth and fifth debates were held in Johnson City and Crossville, and featured candidates Gordon Ball and Danny Page. Senator Alexander was invited, but attended neither.[67][68]

Campaign

In September, an education summit was held in Nashville by Governor Bill Haslam. A protest of the summit (which was largely a protest of the "Common Core" standards) was attended by Democrat Gordon Ball and independent Danny Page.[69]

In late September, eleven members of the Tennessee General Assembly who had backed Joe Carr in the primaries announced they would back Alexander in the general election, saying, "We feel that it is vitally important to the country that we stand together and support replacing the liberal agenda that is now in control of the United States Senate". Carr himself abstained from the endorsement.[56]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Lamar
Alexander (R)
Gordon
Ball (D)
Other Undecided
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 974 ± 5% 55% 33% 2% 10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20–October 1, 2014 1,007 ± 4% 53% 32% 2% 12%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18–September 2, 2014 1,056 ± 4% 47% 32% 10% 11%
Rasmussen Reports August 11–12, 2014 750 ± 4% 47% 32% 10% 12%
CBS News/New York Times July 5–24, 2014 1,465 ± 5.4% 48% 33% 14% 5%
Rasmussen Reports April 29–30, 2014 750 ± 4% 51% 25% 10% 15%

Results

General Election Results [70]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Lamar Alexander 849,629 61.89
Democratic Gordon Ball 437,251 31.85
Constitution Joe Wilmoth 36,063 2.63
Green Martin Pleasant 12,536 0.91
Independent Tom Emerson, Jr. 11,149 0.81
Independent Danny Page 7,710 0.56
Independent Rick Tyler 5,753 0.42
Independent Joshua James 5,672 0.41
Independent Bartholomew J. Phillips 2,380 0.17
Independent Edmund L. Gauthier 2,311 0.17
Independent Eric Schechter 1,668 0.12
Independent Choudhury Salekin 784 0.06
Total votes 1,372,906 100

See also

References

  1. "Alexander quitting leadership post in Senate". Politico. September 20, 2011.
  2. Alexis Levinson (August 1, 2014). "How Lamar Alexander Staved Off His Primary Challenger".
  3. http://www.tn.gov/sos/election/results/2008-08/repUSS.pdf
  4. http://www.politico.com/story/2013/07/lamar-alexander-under-fire-immigration-vote-94766.html
  5. http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2013/08/18/Exclusive-Poll-Sen-Alexander-Trails-Generic-Conservative-by-5-Points
  6. http://www.tennessean.com/article/20130816/NEWS02/308160101/1972/NEWS02
  7. http://www.nashvillescene.com/pitw/archives/2013/08/20/rep-joe-carr-announces-primary-challenge-of-sen-lamar-alexander
  8. http://www.wbir.com/story/news/politics/elections/2013/09/04/2767523/
  9. http://constitutionalsenate.com/potential-challengers/
  10. http://www.wbir.com/story/news/politics/elections/2013/10/01/tea-party-groups-back-joe-carr-for-senate/2901781/
  11. http://constitutionalsenate.com/2013/09/30/coalition-convention-results-joe-carr-is-in/#comments
  12. http://tennesseeticket.com/2013/09/30/some-tea-party-members-ok-with-the-carr-but-not-with-the-driver/
  13. http://knoxblogs.com/humphreyhill/2013/10/01/tea-party-support-joe-carr-unanimous/
  14. http://blogs.tennessean.com/politics/2013/tea-party-candidate-says-hes-been-shut-out-of-beat-lamar-process/
  15. 1 2 http://www.bizjournals.com/memphis/news/2014/04/01/george-flinn-announces-plan-to-run-against-lamar.html
  16. http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-politics/wp/2014/07/23/sarah-palin-endorses-joe-carr-against-sen-lamar-alexander/
  17. http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2014/aug/10/phillips-ken-cuccinelli-put-your-money-where-your-/?page=all
  18. http://www.nytimes.com/2014/08/05/us/politics/in-tennessee-and-kansas-tea-partys-primary-challenges-falling-short.html?_r=0
  19. Ostermeier, Eric (August 7, 2014). "Alexander Records Weakest Primary Win for GOP US Senator in Tennessee History". Smart Politics.
  20. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 "Petitions Filed for Governor, United States Senate, and United States House of Representatives" (PDF). Tennessee Secretary of State. Retrieved April 7, 2014.
  21. SCHELZIG, ERIK (August 20, 2013). "State Rep. Joe Carr announces Alexander challenge". The Miami Herald. Retrieved August 20, 2013.
  22. Veazey, Kyle (April 1, 2014). "George Flinn says he'll challenge Alexander in U.S. Senate primary". The Commercial Appeal. Retrieved April 3, 2014.
  23. Dugger III, A.J. (August 4, 2013). "Tea Party candidate challenges Alexander". The Murfreesboro Post. Retrieved August 20, 2013.
  24. Garrison, Joey (September 24, 2013). "Tea Party candidate says he’s been shut out of Beat Lamar process". The Tennessean. Retrieved October 7, 2013.
  25. 1 2 Page, Danny (March 15, 2014). "A Declaration of Running as an Independent". Danny Page for Senate. Retrieved April 3, 2014.
  26. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Clamoring for a conservative to challenge Alexander". Chattanooga Times Free Press. May 26, 2013. Retrieved June 26, 2013.
  27. "Knox County Mayor Tim Burchett won't run for U.S. Senate". WATE-TV. October 9, 2013. Retrieved October 25, 2013.
  28. 1 2 3 Humphrey, Tom (July 14, 2013). "Political notebook: Ramsey, Campfield reject entreaties to oppose Sen. Alexander". Knoxville News Sentinel. Retrieved August 12, 2013.
  29. Harris, Alex (2013-08-28). "Jacobs Staying Out of Political Ring, Leaves Alexander to Other Challengers". TNReport. Retrieved 2014-07-25.
  30. Garrison, Joey (September 3, 2013). "Kevin Kookogey backs out of tea party bid against Sen. Alexander". The Tennessean. Retrieved September 4, 2013.
  31. Sher, Andy (March 18, 2013). "Franklin businessman says he won’t challenge Sen. Alexander in 2014, will support him instead". Chattanooga Times Free Press. Retrieved August 20, 2013.
  32. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Harrison, James (March 8, 2013). "Sen. Lamar Alexander touts additional backers for 2014". Nooga.com. Retrieved December 6, 2013.
  33. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Whitehouse, Ken (February 7, 2013). "Alexander campaign continues to lasso GOP leaders". NashvillePost.com. Retrieved December 6, 2013.
  34. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Raju, Manu (December 1, 2012). "Lamar Alexander unveils heavyweight support". Politico. Retrieved December 6, 2013.
  35. 1 2 Harrison, James (August 22, 2013). "Sen. Lamar Alexander boasts Mike Huckabee endorsement". Nooga.com. Retrieved December 6, 2013.
  36. "Rep. Joe Carr Lands Pair of Early Key Endorsements in US Senate Race". August 22, 2013.
  37. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Tony Lee (June 16, 2014). "JOE CARR GAINING ENDORSEMENTS AND MOMENTUM AGAINST LAMAR ALEXANDER". BreitBart.com. Retrieved June 16, 2014.
  38. http://www.dnj.com/story/news/politics/2014/07/24/sarah-palin-endorses-joe-carr-us-senate/13103535/
  39. http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2014/07/22/carr-looks-for-a-boost-from-ingraham/12980707/
  40. "Coalition Convention results: Joe Carr is in!". September 30, 2013.
  41. "Tea Party Nation endorses conservative challenger to Lamar Alexander". August 20, 2013.
  42. 1 2 "August 7, 2014 Unofficial Election Results". Tennessee Secretary of State. Retrieved September 11, 2014.
  43. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Sher, Andy (October 28, 2013). "Knoxville attorney Terry Adams enters 2014 race for the U.S. Senate from Tennessee". Chattanooga Times Free Press. Retrieved October 28, 2013.
  44. 1 2 Humphrey, Tom (January 15, 2014). "Attorney Gordon Ball to seek Democratic nomination to U.S. Senate". KnoxBlogs. Retrieved February 26, 2014.
  45. Humphrey, Tom (January 31, 2013). "Larry Crim Files as Democratic Candidate for U.S. Senate". Knoxville News Sentinel.
  46. Garrison, Joey (August 12, 2013). "Jacob Maurer, not just Larry Crim, seeking ’14 Democratic nomination for U.S.Senate". The Tennessean. Retrieved October 28, 2013.
  47. "Bredesen won't challenge Alexander". Politico. December 3, 2012.
  48. "Judge Joe Brown, Ousted from his CBS Courtroom, Could Run for the Senate". Memphis Flyer. April 21, 2013.
  49. Zelinski, Andrea (July 22, 2013). "Rep. Fitzhugh passes on run for governor". Nashville City Paper. Retrieved July 24, 2013.
  50. Garrison, Joey (August 12, 2013). "A year out, TN Democrats' search for governor, Senate candidates turning cold". The Tennessean. Retrieved August 20, 2013.
  51. 1 2 3 Adams challenges fellow Democrat Ball to debate in U.S. Senate primary race Knox News, 6 July 2014
  52. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 TN-SEN: Meet Terry Adams, Democratic Challenger to Sen. Lamar Alexander - Mar 12 Fundraiser (Video) Daily-KOS, 7 March 2014
  53. "Timeline Photos - Terry Adams for U.S. Senate". Facebook. Retrieved 2014-07-25.
  54. "Times picks for U.S. Senate, governor". Chattanooga Times Free Press. Retrieved 2014-07-27.
  55. 1 2 Ball, Gordon (March 20, 2014). "Pleased to announce that our campaign has been endorsed by Mayor AC Wharton of Memphis". Twitter. Retrieved April 2, 2014.
  56. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 http://www.tennessean.com/story/insession/2014/09/29/eleven-joe-carr-supporters-back-lamar-alexander/16426687/
  57. Jaffe, Alexandra (October 24, 2014). "Maine Independent endorses GOP's Alexander". The Hill. Retrieved October 25, 2014.
  58. 1 2 3 4 5 6 http://www.tennessean.com/story/news/politics/2014/08/25/jim-cooper-council-members-lawmakers-endorse-gordon-ball/14577779/
  59. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 http://dannypageforsenate.com/press-releases/
  60. https://www.facebook.com/801341203216745/photos/pb.801341203216745.-2207520000.1410460164./929586563725541/?type=3&theater
  61. http://libertycandidates.com/2014/03/2014-liberty-candidate-danny-page/
  62. http://www.tennessean.com/story/news/politics/2014/07/18/bolivar-bristles-politicians-debate-snub/12863589/
  63. http://www.memphisflyer.com/JacksonBaker/archives/2014/07/25/absent-incumbents-take-lumps-at-bolivar-forum
  64. http://www.tennessean.com/story/news/politics/2014/10/16/alexander-ball-exchange-barbs-farm-bureau-forum/17355579/
  65. 1 2 http://www.tennessean.com/story/news/politics/2014/10/23/alexander-ducks-debate-ball-six-others/17798079/
  66. http://www.timesfreepress.com/news/2014/oct/24/candidates-dismiss-federal-role-on-pot/
  67. http://www.wjhl.com/story/26887020/two-us-senate-candidates-hold-forum-at-holiday-inn?autoStart=true&topVideoCatNo=default&clipId=10773865
  68. http://tnreport.com/2014/11/01/ball-issues-invitation-alexander-final-debate-sunday/
  69. http://www.tennessean.com/story/news/education/2014/09/18/summit-previews-next-round-common-core-fight/15850197/
  70. http://www.elections.tn.gov/20141104_db.php?ByOffice=United%20States%20Senate

External links

Official campaign websites
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