United States Senate election in Kansas, 2014
See also: Kansas elections, 2014
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The 2014 United States Senate election in Kansas was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Kansas, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Republican Senator Pat Roberts was re-elected to a fourth term against Independent Greg Orman and Libertarian nominee Randall Batson. The Democratic nominee, Chad Taylor, withdrew from the race.
Republican primary
Roberts gained negative press attention after criticism that he did not own a home in Kansas, with some comparing the situation to that of former Indiana Senator Richard Lugar, who lost a 2012 Senate primary after a similar residency controversy.[1] Roberts owns a home in Alexandria, Virginia.[2] The primary was held August 5, 2014.[3]
Primary opponent Milton R. Wolf, a radiologist, was under investigation by a state medical ethics board for posting X-ray images of dead patients with macabre commentary to Facebook.[4]
Candidates
Declared
- Pat Roberts, incumbent Senator[5]
- D.J. Smith, former Osawatomie City Councilwoman[6]
- Milton R. Wolf, radiologist and conservative commentator[7]
- Alvin Zahnter, truck driver and Vietnam War veteran[6]
Declined
- Tim Huelskamp, U.S. Representative (re-elected to House) [8]
- Kris Kobach, Secretary of State of Kansas (re-elected as Secretary of State)[8][9]
- Dennis Pyle, State Senator[10][11]
- Todd Tiahrt, former U.S. Representative (ran for KS-04)[12][13]
Endorsements
| Pat Roberts |
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| Milton Wolf |
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Individuals
Organizations
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Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Pat Roberts |
D.J. Smith |
Milton Wolf |
Alvin Zahnter |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily Kos/Google Consumer Surveys | August 4, 2014 | 1,002 | ± 3.1% | 53.4% | — | 39.1% | — | — | 7.5% |
| SurveyUSA | July 17–22, 2014 | 691 | ± 3.8% | 50% | 6% | 30% | 3% | — | 12% |
| GEB International | July 9, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.28% | 42% | — | 30% | — | — | 28% |
| SurveyUSA | June 19–23, 2014 | 508 | ± 4.4% | 56% | — | 23% | — | 8% | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 18–20, 2014 | 375 | ± 5.1% | 49% | — | 23% | — | — | 28% |
| The Tarrance Group^ | January 13–15, 2014 | 501 | ± 4.5% | 69% | — | 15% | — | — | 16% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Pat Roberts |
Someone More Conservative |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | February 18–20, 2014 | 375 | ± 5.1% | 43% | 39% | 18% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 21–24, 2013 | 760 | ± 3.6% | 42% | 34% | 24% |
- ^ Internal poll for the Pat Roberts campaign
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Results
| Republican primary results[34] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Republican | Pat Roberts | 127,089 | 48.08 | |
| Republican | Milton Wolf | 107,799 | 40.78 | |
| Republican | D.J. Smith | 15,288 | 5.78 | |
| Republican | Alvin E. Zahnter | 13,935 | 5.27 | |
| Total votes | 264,340 | 100 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Chad Taylor, Shawnee County District Attorney[35][36]
- Patrick Wiesner, attorney and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[6]
Declined
- Kathleen Sebelius, former United States Secretary of Health and Human Services and former Governor of Kansas[37][38]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chad Taylor |
Patrick Wiesner |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KSN News/SurveyUSA | July 17–22, 2014 | 322 | ± 5.6% | 48% | 17% | 35% |
| KSN News/SurveyUSA | June 19–23, 2014 | 252 | ± 6.3% | 41% | 16% | 43% |
Results
| Democratic primary results[34] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Democratic | Chad Taylor | 35,067 | 53.3 | |
| Democratic | Patrick Wiesner | 30,752 | 46.7 | |
| Total votes | 65,819 | 100 | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Declared
- Randall Batson, nominee for the State House in 2012[39]
Independents
Candidates
Declared
- Greg Orman, businessman and withdrawn candidate in Democratic primary for Senate in 2008.[40][41]
General election
Campaign
On September 3, Democratic nominee Chad Taylor withdrew from the race.[42] On September 4, Kris Kobach, the Republican Kansas Secretary of State, announced that Taylor would remain on the ballot because state law demands he declare himself "incapable of fulfilling the duties of office if elected" in order to be removed, which he did not do.[43] Taylor challenged the decision, and on September 18 the Kansas Supreme Court decided that his name would be taken off the ballot.[44]
On the same day, Kobach demanded the chairman of the Democratic Party name a replacement in eight days, saying he will consider litigation to force the party if they refuse.[45]
A registered Democrat with family ties to Republican Governor Sam Brownback's campaign also filed a petition with the Kansas Supreme Court on September 18 to force the Democratic Party to name a new candidate.[46] Kobach ordered ballots to be mailed to overseas voters on September 20 without a Democratic candidate, but included a disclaimer that another ballot will be sent if the Democratic Party names a replacement candidate.[47]
The state district court in Shawnee County threw out the petition, meaning no replacement for Taylor needed to be named. [48]
In the United States Senate election in Kansas, 2002, Roberts also had no Democratic opponent.
Roberts defeated Orman in the general election, winning reelection to a 4th term in office.
If Orman had been elected, the U.S. Senate would have had three independent Senators for the first time in the chamber’s history. This—and the question of whom Orman would choose to caucus with if elected—were very large questions in the electoral contest, and because the Kansas race was showing tight in the polls, a subject of considerable national political discourse as well.[49]
Fundraising
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on Hand | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Orman (I) | $2,461,766 | $3,298,186 | $183,599 | $1,124,982 |
| Pat Roberts (R) | $5,383,491 | $5,534,415 | $927,449 | 0 |
Endorsements
| Greg Orman |
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| Pat Roberts |
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Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Pat Roberts (R) |
Chad Taylor (D) |
Greg Orman (I) |
Randall Batson (L) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | November 1–3, 2014 | 963 | ± 3.2% | 46% | — | 47% | 3% | — | 4% |
| 47% | — | 49% | — | — | 3% | ||||
| Public Policy Polling | October 30–31, 2014 | 752 | ± ? | 47% | — | 46% | 3% | — | 4% |
| YouGov | October 25–31, 2014 | 1,137 | ± 4.8% | 38% | — | 37% | 2% | 2% | 22% |
| Fox News | October 28–30, 2014 | 907 | ± 3% | 43% | — | 44% | 3% | 1% | 8% |
| Survey USA | October 22–26, 2014 | 623 | ± 4% | 42% | — | 44% | 4% | — | 10% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 1,973 | ± 4% | 42% | — | 38% | 1% | 0% | 18% |
| NBC News/Marist | October 18–22, 2014 | 757 LV | ± 3.6% | 44% | — | 45% | 4% | <1% | 7% |
| 1,055 RV | ± 3% | 42% | — | 45% | 4% | 1% | 9% | ||
| Gravis Marketing | October 20–21, 2014 | 1,124 | ± 3% | 45% | — | 47% | — | — | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 20–21, 2014 | 960 | ± 3% | 44% | — | 49% | — | 3% | 5% |
| Monmouth University | October 16–19, 2014 | 429 | ± 4.7% | 46% | — | 46% | — | 3% | 5% |
| Remington Research | October 9–12, 2014 | 1,091 | ± 2.97% | 48% | — | 46% | 2% | — | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling | October 9–12, 2014 | 1,081 | ± 3% | 41% | — | 44% | 5% | — | 10% |
| 43% | — | 46% | — | — | 11% | ||||
| Rasmussen Reports | October 7–8, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 40% | — | 52% | — | 4% | 4% |
| Fox News | October 4–7, 2014 | 702 | ± 3.5% | 44% | — | 39% | 3% | 4% | 12% |
| CNN/ORC | October 2–6, 2014 | 687 | ± 3.5% | 49% | — | 48% | — | — | 3% |
| SurveyUSA | October 2–5, 2014 | 549 | ± 4.3% | 42% | — | 47% | 4% | — | 7% |
| Gravis Marketing | September 30–October 1, 2014 | 850 | ± 3% | 40% | — | 47% | — | — | 13% |
| NBC News/Marist | September 27–October 1, 2014 | 511 LV | ± 4.3% | 38% | — | 48% | 5% | 1% | 9% |
| 848 RV | ± 3.4% | 36% | — | 46% | 5% | 1% | 12% | ||
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20–October 1, 2014 | 2,013 | ± 3% | 40% | — | 40% | 2% | 0% | 17% |
| Suffolk University | September 27–30, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 41.2% | — | 46.4% | 0.8% | — | 11.6% |
| Remington Research | September 23, 2014 | 625 | ± 3.91% | 42% | — | 50% | 3% | — | 5% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 16–17, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 40% | 3%[lower-alpha 1] | 45% | — | 2% | 10% |
| 39% | 9%[lower-alpha 2] | 38% | — | 2% | 12% | ||||
| Fox News | September 14–16, 2014 | 604 | ± 4% | 40% | 11%[lower-alpha 3] | 38% | 4% | — | 8% |
| 42% | — | 48% | — | — | 8% | ||||
| Public Policy Polling | September 11–14, 2014 | 1,328 | ± 2.7% | 34% | 6%[lower-alpha 4] | 41% | 4% | — | 15% |
| 36% | — | 46% | — | — | 17% | ||||
| KSN News/SurveyUSA | September 4–7, 2014 | 555 | ± 4.2% | 36% | 10% | 37% | 6% | — | 11% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | August 18–September 2, 2014 | 839 | ± 5% | 47% | 35% | — | — | 2% | 15% |
| KSN News/SurveyUSA | August 20–23, 2014 | 560 | ± 4.2% | 37% | 32% | 20% | 4% | — | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 14–17, 2014 | 903 | ± 3.3% | 32% | 25% | 23% | 3% | — | 17% |
| 43% | 39% | — | — | — | 17% | ||||
| 33% | — | 43% | — | — | 24% | ||||
| Rasmussen Reports | August 6–7, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 44% | 40% | — | — | 7% | 8% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 1,281 | ± 6.1% | 53% | 37% | — | — | 7% | 4% |
| SurveyUSA | July 17–22, 2014 | 1,208 | ± 2.9% | 38% | 33% | 14% | 4% | — | 10% |
| SurveyUSA | June 19–23, 2014 | 1068 | ± 3.1% | 43% | 33% | 7% | 5% | — | 12% |
| Rasmussen Reports | April 16–17, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 50% | 32% | — | — | 5% | 13% |
| Public Policy Polling | February 18–20, 2014 | 693 | ± 3.7% | 48% | 32% | — | — | — | 20% |
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Results
| Kansas's US Senate election, 2014[63] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Republican | Pat Roberts | 460,350 | 53.15 | |
| Independent | Greg Orman | 368,372 | 42.53 | |
| Libertarian | Randall Batson | 37,469 | 4.33 | |
| Total votes | 866,191 | 100 | ||
See also
Notes
- ↑ Rasmussen does not specify whether respondents were given the option of voting for a withdrawn Taylor, or they specifically named him
- ↑ With Taylor still listed on the ballot
- ↑ Poll did not tell respondents that Taylor has withdrawn
- ↑ Poll did not tell respondents that Taylor has withdrawn until after they answered[62]
References
- ↑ Martin, Jonathan (February 7, 2014). "Lacking a House, a Senator Is Renewing His Ties in Kansas". New York Times. Retrieved February 21, 2014.
- ↑ Martin, Jonathan (September 4, 2014). "National G.O.P. Moves to Take Over Campaign of Kansas Senator". The New York Times. Retrieved September 4, 2014.
- ↑ "Milton Wolf demanding GOP foe Pat Roberts be kept off ballot". The Kansas City Star. May 2, 2014.
- ↑ "Kansas ethics board investigating Wolf's X-ray posts to Facebook | Cjonline.com Mobile". M.cjonline.com. July 22, 2014. Retrieved August 8, 2014.
- ↑ "Roberts already planning 2014 bid". The Hutchinson News. October 31, 2009.
- 1 2 3 Marso, Andy (June 2, 2014). "New challengers for Roberts, Jenkins seats file". The Topeka Capital-Journal. Retrieved June 25, 2014.
- ↑ Stafford, Grae (October 8, 2013). "Tea party radiologist to primary Kansas Republican for Senate seat". The Daily Caller. Retrieved October 8, 2013.
- 1 2 "Roberts Announcement Squashes Notion of Primary Challenge". National Journal. 28 March 2013.
- ↑ "In case there’s any doubt: Kris Kobach running for re-election in 2014". Midwest Democracy. 1 February 2013. Retrieved 29 July 2013.
- ↑ "Pyle mulls joining U.S. Senate primary". The Topeka Capital-Journal. May 23, 2014. Retrieved May 27, 2014.
- ↑ "Kansas candidate filing deadline passes". Star-Telegram. June 2, 2014. Archived from the original on June 7, 2014. Retrieved July 28, 2014.
- ↑ "Right targets Saxby Chambliss, Lindsey Graham". Politico. 2 December 2012.
- ↑ Kraske, Steve (May 29, 2014). "Todd Tiahrt will run for his old seat in Congress". The Kansas City Star. Retrieved May 29, 2014.
- 1 2 "PPat Roberts to bring Jeb Bush to campaign in Wichita; Sarah Palin in Independence". Wichita Eagle. Retrieved September 22, 2014.
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 "Pat Roberts for Senate Announces Honorary Statewide Campaign Committee". Pat Robert for US Senate. Retrieved September 13, 2013.
- ↑ Archived September 18, 2013 at the Wayback Machine
- ↑ Erickson, Erick (December 18, 2013). "Dr. Milton Wolf for Senate". RedState.com. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
- 1 2 "Former State Representatives Jana Goodman and Charlotte O'Hara Endorse Milton Wolf for U.S. Senate". Milton Wolf for US Senate. November 12, 2013. Retrieved December 5, 2013.
- ↑ "State Representative Ron Highland Endorses Dr. Milton Wolf for U.S. Senate". Milton Wolf for US Senate. January 23, 2014. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
- ↑ "State Representative Mike Houser Endorses Dr. Milton Wolf for U.S. Senate". Milton Wolf for US Senate. December 4, 2013. Retrieved December 5, 2013.
- ↑ "State Representative Josh Powell Endorses Milton Wolf for U.S. Senate". Milton Wolf for US Senate. November 18, 2013. Retrieved December 5, 2013.
- ↑ "State Representative Marty Read Endorses Dr. Milton Wolf for U.S. Senate". Milton Wolf for US Senate. November 19, 2013. Retrieved December 5, 2013.
- ↑ Botteri, Christina (January 26, 2014). "Senate Challenger Milton Wolf Ties Incumbent Roberts in Straw Poll at Kansas GOP Convention". TCOT Report. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
- ↑ "Mark Levin endorses Senate Challenger Dr. Milton Wolf".
- ↑ "Flint Hills Tea Party Endorses Dr. Milton Wolf". Milton Wolf for US Senate. January 20, 2014. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
- ↑ "Kansans for Constitutional Government Endorse Dr. Milton Wolf for U.S. Senate". Milton Wolf for US Senate. November 11, 2013. Retrieved December 5, 2013.
- ↑ "Kansans for Constitutional Integrity Endorse Dr. Milton Wolf for U.S. Senate". Milton Wolf for US Senate. January 23, 2014. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
- ↑ "Madison Project Endorses Dr. Milton Wolf for U.S. Senate". Milton Wolf for US Senate. December 19, 2013. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
- ↑ "National Association for Gun Rights Endorses Dr. Milton Wolf for U.S. Senate". Milton Wolf for US Senate. March 24, 2014. Retrieved April 18, 2014.
- ↑ "Republican Liberty Caucus Endorses Milton Wolf for U.S. Senate in Kansas". PR Underground. January 27, 2014. Retrieved January 28, 2014.
- ↑ Hohmann, James (December 10, 2013). "Milton Wolf gets conservative backing". Politico. Retrieved December 10, 2013.
- ↑ "Southeast Kansas Conservatives Endorse Dr. Milton Wolf for U.S. Senate". Milton Wolf for US Senate. January 23, 2014. Retrieved January 27, 2014.
- ↑ Jaffe, Alexandra (February 27, 2014). "Tea Party Express endorses Roberts's primary challenger". The Hill. Retrieved February 27, 2014.
- 1 2 "2014 Primary Election Official Vote Totals" (PDF). Kansas Secretary of State. Retrieved August 28, 2014.
- ↑ "Northeast Kansas prosecutor running for US Senate". KAKE. February 27, 2014. Retrieved February 28, 2014.
- ↑ Hanna, John (November 1, 2013). "Northeast Kansas DA exploring run for US Senate". The State.
- ↑ Peters, Jeremy (April 16, 2014). "Sebelius Said to Weigh Run for Kansas Senate Seat". The New York Times. Retrieved April 16, 2014.
- ↑ Kludt, Tom (April 18, 2014). "Sebelius Says She Won't Run For Senate". Talking Points Memo. Retrieved April 18, 2014.
- ↑ Sloan, Nick (June 25, 2014). "POLL: Davis leads Brownback 47-41; Republicans up in other races". Kansas City Kansan. Retrieved July 18, 2014.
- ↑ http://www.marketwired.com/press-release/greg-orman-for-us-senate-launches-campaign-website-810726.htm
- ↑ http://www.kansas.com/2014/06/05/3493799/olathe-businessman-greg-orman.html
- ↑ Taylor withdraws from the race CJONLINE.COM
- ↑ Lowry, Bryan (September 4, 2014), "Kobach: Democrat Chad Taylor’s name will remain on ballot for U.S. Senate", The Wichita Eagle, retrieved September 4, 2014
- ↑ Carpenter, Tim (September 18, 2014). "Court permits Taylor to withdraw from Senate race". The Topeka Capital-Journal. Retrieved September 18, 2014.
- ↑ "Supreme Court: Democrat Chad Taylor’s name can be taken off ballot for U.S. Senate". The Wichita Eagle. September 18, 2014. Retrieved September 18, 2014.
- ↑ Associated Press (September 18, 2014). "Kansas father of Brownback staffer files suit to force new Democrat on ballot". The Topeka Capital-Journal. Retrieved September 18, 2014.
- ↑ Associated Press (September 19, 2014). "Kobach to add disclaimer to Kansas Senate ballots". Kansas City Star. Retrieved September 19, 2014.
- ↑ Associated Press (October 1, 2014). "Breaking: Kansas Court Kills Kobach Effort To Force A Dem Onto Senate Ballot". Talking Points Memo. Retrieved October 1, 2014.
- ↑ Ostermeier, Eric (October 1, 2014). "Rise of the Independents? Greg Orman Victory Would Make Senate History". Smart Politics.
- ↑ Carpenter, Tim. "Republican group endorses Orman for Senate" Topeka Capital-Journal September 3, 2014
- ↑ "Breaking News: The Centrist Project Voice Endorses a Wide Portfolio of Moderate Candidates". The Centrist Project. July 9, 2014. Retrieved August 27, 2014.
- ↑ "AFL-CIO to Back Greg Orman in Kansas Senate Race". National Journal. October 15, 2014. Retrieved October 17, 2014.
- ↑ Clarkin, Mary (August 22, 2014). "Sherow splits with Dems in Senate race to back Orman". The Hutchinson News. Retrieved August 27, 2014.
- ↑ "2014 Endorsements". Human Rights Campaign. October 8, 2014. Retrieved October 25, 2014.
- ↑ "Republican Group Announces Endorsement For Greg Orman". wibw. September 3, 2014. Retrieved September 16, 2014.
- ↑ "Greg Orman for U.S. Senate". Women for Kansas. August 3, 2014. Retrieved August 27, 2014.
- 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 "Endorsements". Pat Roberts for Senate. Retrieved October 28, 2014.
- ↑ Milton Wolf (October 30, 2014). "My fellow patriots". Facebook. Retrieved October 31, 2014.
- ↑ "NFIB Endorses Sen. Pat Roberts". National Federation of Independent Business. October 3, 2014. Retrieved October 28, 2014.
- ↑ "NRA Endorses Pat Roberts for U.S. Senate in Kansas". National Rifle Association. September 8, 2014. Retrieved October 28, 2014.
- ↑ "Tea Party Express Endorses Senator Pat Roberts". Tea Party Express. October 13, 2014. Retrieved October 28, 2014.
- ↑ Blumenthal, Mark; Edwards-Levy, Ariel; Lienesch, Rachel (September 16, 2014). "Poll Finds Pat Roberts Trailing Independent Candidate". The Huffington Post. Retrieved September 16, 2014.
- ↑ "2014 Official Kansas General Election Results" (PDF). Retrieved December 29, 2014.
External links
- Official campaign websites
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