United States Senate election in Indiana, 2010
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Elections in Indiana |
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The 2010 United States Senate election in Indiana took place on November 2, 2010, alongside 33 other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections to fill Indiana's class III United States Senate seat. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Evan Bayh decided in February 2010 to retire instead of seeking a third term shortly after former U.S. Senator Dan Coats announced his candidacy for Bayh's contested seat.[1] No Democratic candidate submitted enough signatures by the deadline to run, leading Democratic officials to choose U.S. Congressman Brad Ellsworth to be the nominee. The Libertarian Party nominated YMCA instructor Rebecca Sink-Burris, who had previously run against Evan Bayh in the United States Senate election in Indiana, 1998 but with less success than in this election. Republican nominee and former U.S. Senator Dan Coats won the open seat.
Democratic nomination
Senate candidates in Indiana were required to have submitted 500 signatures from each of the state's nine congressional districts by February 16, 2010, one day after Bayh announced his retirement. Democrat leaders thought the popular incumbent would run for reelection, and as a result, no Democrat candidate had submitted the requisite signatures by the deadline to run in the state's primary, meaning that the Indiana Democratic Party's executive committee chose the party's nominee.[2] U.S. congressman Brad Ellsworth was officially selected on May 15.[3]
Republican primary
Candidates
- Don Bates, businessman
- Richard Behney, businessman
- Dan Coats, former U.S. Senator[4]
- John Hostettler, former U.S. Representative
- Marlin Stutzman, State Senator
Debates
- 1. March 6 [5]
- 2. April 8 (on the WXNT radio station)
- 3. April 10[6]
- 4. April 19 (at Franklin College, on radio station WFCI)[7]
- 5. April 20 (televised on WFYI)[8]
Endorsements
Coats
Notable Individuals and Organizations endorsing Dan Coats |
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Hostettler
Notable Individuals and Organizations endorsing John Hostettler |
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Stutzman
Notable Individuals and Organizations endorsing Marlin Stutzman |
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Polling
Poll Source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of Error |
Dan Coats |
John Hostettler |
Marlin Stutzman |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Survey USA (report) | April 29, 2010 | 407 | ± 5.0% | 36% | 24% | 18% | 10% | 13% |
Results
Republican Primary results[25] | ||||
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Republican | Dan Coats | 217,225 | 39.5 | |
Republican | Marlin Stutzman | 160,981 | 29.2 | |
Republican | John Hostettler | 124,494 | 22.6 | |
Republican | Don Bates, Jr. | 24,664 | 4.5 | |
Republican | Richard Behney | 23,005 | 4.2 | |
Total votes | 550,369 | 100 | ||
General election
Candidates
- Brad Ellsworth (D), U.S. Representative
- Dan Coats (R), former U.S. Senator
- Rebecca Sink-Burris (L), teacher and small business owner
Campaign
After Coats’ win in the Republican primary, Ellsworth began to heavily criticized Coats for his ties to lobbyists. He called for more disclosure of the meetings lawmakers have with lobbyists, banning congressional staff from lobbying for six years after their congressional jobs, requiring Congress members to put all their investments in blind trusts, more disclosure of Senate candidates’ personal financial information, and changes to the U.S. Senate filibuster rules. He proposed lowering number of votes required to break a filibuster to 55 from the current 60.[26] In response to Ellsworth's charges, Coats published his lobbying record in an 815-page document.[27]
Coats emphasized the individual issues rather than ethic reforms advocated by his opponent. He focused on Ellsworth record of voting in support of the Economic Stimulus Act of 2008, cap-and-trade legislation, and health care bill. Coats opinion of the healthcare law is that “the only responsible solution ... is to repeal the Obama-Pelosi-Ellsworth health spending bill and quickly replace it with cost-effective, incremental pieces that will decrease costs, increase coverage and not break the bank.”[28]
Debates
The three candidates took part in three televised debates. [29]
- Monday, October 11, in Indianapolis
- Friday, October 22, in Fort Wayne
- Monday, October 25, in Vincennes
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
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Cook Political Report | Safe R[30] | October 30, 2010 |
Rothenberg | Lean R[31] | October 28, 2010 |
Swing State Project | Likely R | |
RealClearPolitics | Likely R[32] | October 30, 2010 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball | Likely R[33] | October 28, 2010 |
CQ Politics | Solid R[34] | October 30, 2010 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dan Coats (R) |
Brad Ellsworth (D) |
Other | Unde cided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports | October 30 – November 1, 2010 | 1,600 | ± 3.0% | 60% | 39% | 4% | 3% |
Indiana Times | October 29, 2010 | 1,600 | ± 3.0% | 60% | 32% | 4% | 3% |
SurveyUSA | October 21–25, 2010 | 1,600 | ± 3.0% | 54% | 32% | 7% | 3% |
WISH-TV/EPIC-MRA | October 19–21, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 53% | 35% | 5% | 7% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 20, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 52% | 34% | 5% | 9% |
WISH-TV/EPIC-MRA | September 29-Oct. 1, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 51% | 33% | 5% | 11% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 14–15, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 50% | 34% | 8% | 9% |
Rasmussen Reports | August 4–7, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 50% | 29% | 7% | 14% |
The Polling Company | July 31 – August 3, 2010 | 502 | ± 4.2% | 50% | 35% | — | 14% |
The Polling Company | July 11–15, 2010 | 502 | ± 4.2% | 51% | 25% | — | 14% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 7–8, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 51% | 30% | 6% | 12% |
Rasmussen Reports | June 2–3, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 47% | 33% | 7% | 14% |
Rasmussen Reports | May 5–6, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 51% | 36% | 6% | 8% |
SurveyUSA | April 22–26, 2010 | 407 | ± 5.0% | 47% | 31% | — | 22% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 13–14, 2010 | 500 | ± 3.5% | 54% | 33% | 5% | 9% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 17–18, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 49% | 34% | 6% | 12% |
Research 2000 | February 22–24, 2010 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 37% | 36% | — | 27% |
Rasmussen Reports | February 16–17, 2010 | 500 | ± 3.5% | 46% | 32% | 7% | 15% |
Fundraising
Candidate (Party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash On Hand | Debt |
---|---|---|---|---|
Dan Coats (R) | $4,408,537 | $3,384,413 | $1,024,123 | $185,500 |
Brad Ellsworth (D) | $2,256,505 | $2,369,943 | $119,329 | $22,726 |
Rebecca Sink-Burris (L) | $7,331 | $2,175 | $5,351 | $0 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[35] |
Results
General election results[36] | |||||
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Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
Republican | Dan Coats | 952,116 | 54.60% | +17.37% | |
Democratic | Brad Ellsworth | 697,775 | 40.01% | -21.64% | |
Libertarian | Rebecca Sink-Burris | 94,330 | 5.39% | +4.27% | |
Majority | 254,341 | 14.58% | |||
Total votes | 1,743,921 | 100 | |||
Republican gain from Democratic | Swing | ||||
See also
References
- ↑ Fritze, John (February 15, 2010). "Indiana Sen. Evan Bayh Drops Out". USA Today. Retrieved 2010-02-15.
- ↑ Miller, Sean J. (February 16, 2010). "Republicans furious about timing of Bayh’s retirement announcement". The Hill. Retrieved February 27, 2010.
- ↑ "Dems make Ellsworth official pick to face Coats". Associated Press. May 15, 2010.
- ↑ "Former Sen. Coats to Challenge Sen. Bayh". Howey Politics Indiana. Retrieved 2010-02-02.
- ↑ Olsen, Eric. "GOP Senate candidates Square Off in Warsaw | RELATED LINK » Indiana News Center". indiananewscenter.com. Retrieved 2014-06-09.
- ↑ Report, Staff. "GOP Senate candidates to debate in Evansville | RELATED LINK » Evansville Courier & Press". Courierpress.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ↑ InsideINdianaBusiness.com Report (2010-03-30). "Franklin College to Host GOP Senate Candidates – Newsroom – Inside INdiana Business with Gerry Dick". Insideindianabusiness.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ↑ Langhorne, Thomas B. "Debate commission locks in Indiana Senate contenders | LINK » Evansville Courier & Press". Courierpress.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ↑ Giroux, Greg (2010-03-11). "Kyl Maxes Out To Coats – The Eye (CQ Politics)". Blogs.cqpolitics.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ↑ "Rep. Pence statement on Sen. Coats". Wane.com. 2010-02-03. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ↑ Heflin, Jay (2010-06-10). "Chris Dickson". Chrisdickson.blogspot.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ↑ "GOP rivals take aim at Coats' Senate record". CNN. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
- ↑ Giroux, Greg (2010-04-19). "Indiana: Dobson For Coats, Keene For Stutzman – The Eye (CQ Politics)". Blogs.cqpolitics.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ↑ "Coats tops field | The Journal Gazette | Fort Wayne, IN". The Journal Gazette. 2010-04-18. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ↑ W. James Antle, III on 4.16.10 @ 3:46PM (2010-04-16). "The American Spectator : AmSpecBlog : Ron Paul Endorses John Hostettler in IN Senate Race". Spectator.org. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ↑ "Niet compatibele browser". Facebook. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ↑ "Home". Team America PAC. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ↑ "Home". Team America PAC. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ↑ "2010 RLC Endorsements — Indiana | Republican Liberty Caucus". Rlc.org. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ↑ "Dan Coats, Gun Control and the Indiana Senate Primary". Gunowners.org. 2010-02-11. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ↑ "Fox Exclusive: DeMint Backs Stutzman « Liveshots". Liveshots.blogs.foxnews.com. 2010-04-20. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ↑ "Candidate – Mark E. Souder". Our Campaigns. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ↑ "Candidate – David C. Long". Our Campaigns. 2010-05-04. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ↑ "Marlin Stutzman Gets Big Endorsement". RedState. 2010-02-21. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ↑ "The 2010 Results Maps". Politico.Com. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ↑ "Brad Ellsworth | Ellsworth for Indiana U.S. Senate Campaign | News". Ellsworthforindiana2010.com. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- ↑ Dan Coats for Indiana
- ↑ "Dan Coats for Indiana". Coatsforindiana.com. 2010-06-16. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
- ↑ "Schedule for U.S. Senate debates" (PDF). Indiana Debate Commission. Retrieved October 10, 2010.
- ↑ "Senate". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 30, 2010.
- ↑ "Senate Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 30, 2010.
- ↑ "Battle for the Senate". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 30, 2010.
- ↑ "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 30, 2010.
- ↑ "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". CQ Politics. Retrieved October 30, 2010.
- ↑ "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Indiana". fec.gov. Retrieved July 25, 2010.
- ↑ Secretary of State : Elections Division: Election Foundation Wide
External links
- Indiana Secretary of State Elections Division
- U.S. Congress candidates for Indiana at Project Vote Smart
- Indiana U.S. Senate from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign contributions from Open Secrets
- Indiana Polls graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: Indiana Senate from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 Indiana Senate Race from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Indiana Senate Race from CQ Politics
- Race profile from The New York Times
- Debates
- Indiana Senate Republican Primary Debate, C-SPAN, April 20, 2010
- Official candidate sites
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