Maine gubernatorial election, 2010

Maine gubernatorial election, 2010
Maine
November 2, 2010
 
Nominee Paul LePage Eliot Cutler
Party Republican Independent
Popular vote 218,065 208,270
Percentage 37.6% 35.9%
 
Nominee Libby Mitchell Shawn Moody
Party Democratic Independent
Popular vote 109,387 28,756
Percentage 18.8% 5.0%

County results
  Counties won by LePage
  Counties won by Cutler
Governor before election

John Baldacci
Democratic

 Elected Governor

Paul LePage
Republican

Elections in Maine

The 2010 Maine gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic Governor John Baldacci was term-limited and unable to seek re-election. Primary elections took place on June 8, 2010. The candidates who appeared on the November ballot were (in alphabetical order by last name): Eliot Cutler (Independent), Paul LePage (Republican), Libby Mitchell (Democrat), Shawn Moody (Independent), and Kevin Scott (Independent).[1]

With 94% of precincts reporting on the day after the election, the Bangor Daily News declared LePage the winner, carrying 38.1% of the votes.[2] Cutler was in second place with 36.7% of the votes (less than 7,500 votes behind LePage), while Mitchell was a distant third with 19%.[2] Moody and Scott had 5% and 1%, respectively.[2] Two days after the election, with 99% of precincts reporting, LePage's lead over Cutler had widened to more than 10,000 votes.[3]

Democratic primary

Candidates

On ballot

Write-in

Withdrawn

Declined

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Mitchell Rowe Scarcelli McGowan Undecided
Pan Atlantic SMS Group May 21–29, 2010 13.3% 11.7% 7.0% 6.3% 61.7%

Results

Democratic primary results[23]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Elizabeth "Libby" Mitchell 42,328 34.4
Democratic G. Steven Rowe 27,923 22.7
Democratic Rosa Scarcelli 26,444 21.5
Democratic Patrick K. McGowan 24,392 19.8
Democratic John Richardson 1,604 1.3
Democratic Write-in 236 0.3
Total votes 122,927 100

At 11:32 p.m. EDT, WCSH declared Libby Mitchell the winner of the Democratic primary.[24]

Republican primary

Candidates

On ballot

Declined

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Otten LePage Mills Abbott Beardsley Poliquin Jacobson Undecided
MECPO [45] May 22-June 2, 2010 17.0% 10.7% 22.1% 13.9% 5.9% 4.9% 1.4% 24.0%
Pan Atlantic SMS Group May 21–29, 2010 17.0% 10.3% 8.4% 8.3% 3.6% 3.3% 2.0% 47.0%

Results

Republican primary results[23]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Paul LePage 49,126 37.4
Republican Les Otten 22,945 17.4
Republican Peter Mills 19,271 14.7
Republican Steve Abbott 17,209 13.1
Republican William "Bill" Beardsley 12,061 9.2
Republican Bruce Poliquin 6,471 4.9
Republican Matt Jacobson 4,324 3.3
Total votes 131,407 100

At 11:19 p.m. EDT, WCSH declared Paul LePage the winner of the GOP primary.[46]

Independents

Candidates on the ballot

Write-in candidates

Disqualified candidates

Withdrawn

Maine Green Independent Party

The Maine Green Independent Party did not have a gubernatorial candidate on the ballot, as no candidate collected required number of signatures.[65]

Withdrawn

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Toss up[69] October 29, 2010
The Rothenberg Political Report Toss up/Tilt Republican[70] October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics Leans Republican[71] October 22, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball Leans Republican[72] October 28, 2010
CQ Politics Leans Democrat[73] October 29, 2010
Rasmussen Reports Solid Republican[74] October 28, 2010

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Paul LePage (R) Libby Mitchell (D) Eliot Cutler (I) Shawn Moody (I) Kevin Scott (I) Undecided
MPRC / Down East Magazine October 28–30, 2010 546 ± 4.19% 39% 24% 29% 4% 1% 2%
Critical Insights / MaineToday Media October 27–28, 2010 621 ± 4% 40% 21% 21% 4% 1% 11%
Pan Atlantic SMS October 25–28, 2010 400 ± 4.9% 38.6% 21.8% 30.6% 2.8% 1.1% 7.3%
Public Policy Polling October 26–28, 2010 1,812 ± 2.3% 40% 24% 28% 4% 1% 2%
Rasmussen Reports October 26, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 40% 26% 26% - - 5%
Critical Insights October 13–17, 2010 600 ± 4% 32% 20% 19% 5% 1% 21%
Pan Atlantic SMS October 11–15, 2010 501 ± 4.4% 32.9% 28.0% 14.0% 4.6% 0.4% 20.2%
Rasmussen Reports October 12, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 35% 32% 21% * * 6%
Critical Insights / MaineToday Media October 10–11, 2010 605 ± 4% 32% 26% 11% 5 1 26%
Pine Tree Politics / Maine Center for Public Opinion October 4–7, 2010 679 ± 3.76% 29.6% 28.7% 11.1% 4.9% 1.6% 24.1%
Critical Insights / MaineToday Media September 27, 2010 405 ± 4.9% 29% 30% 9% 5% 0% 26%
Rasmussen Reports September 20, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 45% 27% 14% * * 10%
Critical Insights / MaineToday Media September 13, 2010 603 ± 4% 38% 25% 11% 4% 1% 21%
Public Policy Polling September 2–6, 2010 1,468 ± 2.6% 43% 29% 11% 5% 1% 12%
Rasmussen Reports August 12, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 38% 30% 16% * * 11%
Rasmussen Reports July 14, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 39% 31% 15% * * 12%
Rasmussen Reports June 10, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 43% 36% 7% * * 14%

* Shawn Moody and Kevin Scott, two Independent candidates who appeared on the ballot, were not offered as choices in the Rasmussen polls.[75]

Results

2010 Gubernatorial Election, Maine[76]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Paul LePage 218,065 37.6% +7.39%
Independent Eliot Cutler 208,270 35.9% —
Democratic Libby Mitchell 109,387 18.8% -19.31%
Independent Shawn Moody 28,756 5.0% —
Independent Kevin Scott 5,664 1.00%
Majority 9,795 1.7% -6.2
Turnout 580,538 +29,673
Republican gain from Democratic Swing

See also

References

  1. ↑ http://www.pressherald.com/home/governor/The-day-after-Governors-race-takes-shape-.html
  2. 1 2 3 Miller, Kevin; Wickenheiser, Matt (3 November 2010). "BDN projects LePage to win governor's race". Bangor Daily NEws. Retrieved 3 November 2010.
  3. ↑ "Campaign 2010 – Maine Election Results". Bangor Daily News. Archived from the original on June 12, 2010. Retrieved 5 November 2010.
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Kevin Miller. "9 hopefuls for top job in Maine". Bangor Daily News.
  5. ↑ "McGowan joins Maine gubernatorial field". Portland Press Herald. Associated Press. 5 January 2010. Retrieved 5 January 2010. Former state Conservation Commissioner Patrick McGowan formally announced his candidacy today, making him the seventh Democrat seeking his party's nomination in June.
  6. ↑ Cover, Susan (2009-08-11). "Elizabeth Mitchell files for governor's race". Portland Press Herald. Retrieved 12 August 2009.
  7. ↑ Gagnon, Matthew (8 December 2008). "Steve Rowe Running For Governor". Pine Tree Politics. Retrieved 12 August 2009.
  8. ↑ Rowe For Governor (official candidate web site)
  9. ↑ Wickenheiser, Matt (20 July 2009). "Businesswoman launches Blaine House bid". Portland Press Herald. Retrieved 12 August 2009.
  10. ↑ Rosa Scarcelli, Democratic Candidate for Governor of Maine, 2010 (official candidate web site)
  11. ↑ Williams, Cindy (22 July 2009). "Former Mayor Donna Dion Announced Run For Governor". WCSH. Retrieved 12 August 2009.
  12. ↑ Donna Dion For Governor 2010 (official candidate web site)
  13. ↑ Hoey, Dennis (21 March 2010). "Dione will run for governor as a write-in candidate". Portland Press Herald. Retrieved 22 March 2010.
  14. ↑ O'Bryan, Heather (1 July 2009). "House Member Announces Run For Governor". WCSH. Retrieved 12 August 2009.
  15. ↑ dawnhillforgovernor.com (official candidate web site)
  16. ↑ "Rep. Hill drops out of Maine gov. race" – SeacoastOnline.com
  17. ↑ David Hench (16 November 2009). "Richardson to announce for governor". Portland Press Herald.
  18. ↑ Richardson withdrawing from governor's race Portland Press Herald, April 26, 2010
  19. ↑ Cover, Susan (7 June 2010). "Governor's Race: Independents can vote Tuesday, but they need to know the rules". Portland Press Herald. Retrieved 7 June 2010. Democrat John Richardson pulled out in April after the ethics commission found problems with his application for Clean Election funds. But it was too late for the ballots, which had already gone to the printers.
  20. ↑ Wickenheiser, Matt (10 September 2009). "Man once jailed for forgery seeks state office". Portland Press Herald. Retrieved 10 September 2009. A former state representative who was jailed two years ago for forging signatures on petitions for state Clean Election funds has filed papers to run for governor. Peter Truman of Old Orchard Beach, also known as Peter Throumoulos, plans to run as a Democrat.
  21. ↑ SunJournal.com. "Auburn lawmaker decides against bid for governor". Retrieved 2009-09-02.
  22. ↑ Mainepolitics.net. "Allen Discusses Future". Retrieved 2008-12-31.
  23. 1 2 "Maine Governor Primary Results". Maine SOS. June 8, 2010. Retrieved August 9, 2010.
  24. ↑ "Mitchell wins Democratic Primary". WCSH 6. June 8, 2010. Retrieved June 8, 2010.
  25. ↑ PressHerald.com. "Does Abbott Have his Eye on Governors Job?". Retrieved 2009-02-02.
  26. ↑ "Collins aide joins Maine gov's race". Portland Press Herald. 12 January 2009. Retrieved 12 January 2009.
  27. ↑ "Former Husson president to run for governor". Portland Press Herald. 12 January 2009. Retrieved 12 January 2009.
  28. ↑ Bill Beardsley: Governor For Maine (official candidate web site)
  29. ↑ Mainepolitics.net. "Republican Announces for Governor". Retrieved 2009-02-26.
  30. ↑ Matt Jacobson For Governor (official candidate web site)
  31. ↑ "Waterville mayor files to run for governor". Portland Press Herald. 23 September 2009. Retrieved 23 September 2009.
  32. ↑ Paul LePage – Gubernatorial Dark Horse?
  33. ↑ Morning Sentinel, September 18, 2009
  34. ↑ Paul LePage for Governor 2010 (official campaign web site)
  35. ↑ Mills declares candidacy for governor
  36. ↑ "Welcome to the Public Campaign Finance Page for the State of Maine". Mainecampaignfinance.com. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
  37. ↑ Peter Mills for Governor of Maine (official candidate web site)
  38. ↑ Les Otten for Governor (official candidate web site)
  39. ↑ "Portland, ME | Race For Governor Already Taking Shape". WCSH6.com. 2010-01-04. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
  40. ↑ Bruce Poliquin for Maine Governor (official candidate web site)
  41. ↑ "> Archives > News > Poliquin jumps to early cash lead". The Times Record. 2009-07-20. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
  42. ↑ Cianchette insists he won't run for governor
  43. ↑ "Kevin Raye Will Not Run For Governor". Pine Tree Politics. 2009-11-10. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
  44. ↑ "Josh Tardy". Abbott for Governor. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
  45. ↑ Note: Poll paid for by Mills Campaign
  46. ↑ "LePage projected to win Maine GOP primary". WCSH 6. June 8, 2010. Retrieved June 8, 2010.
  47. ↑ Christian, Ken (August 24, 2009). "Cutler To Run For Governor As Independent". WCSH. Retrieved August 24, 2009.
  48. ↑ Cutler 2010 (official candidate web site)
  49. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Cover, Susan (2 June 2010). "Three unenrolled candidates qualify for governor's race". Portland Press Herald. Retrieved 2 June 2010.
  50. ↑ "Two Independent Gubernatorial Candidates Qualify for Maine Ballot". MBPN. April 23, 2010.
  51. ↑ Shawn Moody for Governor of Maine (official candidate web site)
  52. ↑ Wilensky-Lanford, Ethan (May 27, 2010). "Scott envisions role as 'a citizen governor'". Portland Press Herald. Retrieved May 27, 2010.
  53. ↑ Kevin L. Scott: Maine Governor 2010 (official candidate web site)
  54. ↑ Tice, Lindsay (August 26, 2010). "Jenkins' campaign hinges on Web friends". Lewiston Sun Journal. Retrieved August 27, 2010.
  55. ↑ Draft John Jenkins to be Maine Governor in 2010 Facebook Fan Page. August 26, 2010.
  56. ↑ "Waterville mayor files to run for governor". Portland Press Herald. 23 September 2009. Retrieved 23 September 2009. Beverly Cooper-Pete of Portland also filed Tuesday as an unenrolled candidate.
  57. ↑ Wickenheiser, Matt (15 September 2010). "Maine gubernatorial candidates put the focus on homeless". Portland Press Herald. Retrieved 15 September 2010. The candidates who attended were Democrat Libby Mitchell and independent Shawn Moody, along with write-in candidates Beverly Cooper-Pete and Ed Braley ...
  58. ↑ Alex Hammer for Maine Governor (official candidate web site)
  59. ↑ Miller, Kevin (June 29, 2010). "Blaine House candidate sues over denied petitions". Bangor Daily News. Retrieved July 1, 2010.
  60. ↑ "Gov. candidate Hammer sues Sec. of State | Mainebiz". Mainebiz.biz. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
  61. ↑ Associated Press. "Judge: state correct in rejecting candidate's signatures". Portland Press Herald. Retrieved 29 September 2010.
  62. ↑ Sam Bailey: Governor 2010 (official candidate web site)
  63. ↑ Journal, Kennebec (14 April 2010). "Gay-rights foe running for Maine governor". Portland Press Herald. Retrieved 14 April 2010.
  64. ↑ "Heath decides against running for gov". Portland Press Herald. Associated Press. 14 April 2010. Retrieved 14 April 2010.
  65. ↑ Cover, Susan M. (March 16, 2010). "Falling short on signatures, Williams exits". The Morning Sentinel.
  66. ↑ Bangor Daily News. "Maine Green party chairwoman to run for governor". Retrieved 2008-12-30.
  67. ↑ Lynne Williams for Governor 2010 (official candidate web site)
  68. ↑ Green candidate drops out of governor's race March 15, 2010, Portland Press Herald
  69. ↑ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 29, 2010.
  70. ↑ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 29, 2010.
  71. ↑ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 29, 2010.
  72. ↑ "2010 Governor Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 29, 2010.
  73. ↑ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Retrieved October 29, 2010.
  74. ↑ "Election 2010: Gubernatorial Scorecard". Rasmussen Reports. Retrieved October 29, 2010.
  75. ↑ "Maine Governor". Rasmussen Reports. August 12, 2010.
  76. ↑ http://www.maine.gov/sos/cec/elec/results/2010-11/gen2010gov.html

External links

Official campaign websites
Debates
Candidate interviews
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