United States Senate election in Kansas, 2010

November 2, 2010



Nominee	Jerry Moran	Lisa Johnston
Party	Republican	Democratic
Popular vote	578,768	215,270
Percentage	70.3%	26.2%

County results

U.S. Senator before election

Sam Brownback
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Jerry Moran
Republican

Elections in Kansas

Federal Government Presidential Elections 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 Presidential Primaries Democratic Caucuses 2008 Republican Caucuses 2008 2012 U.S. Senate Elections 1990 1996 1996 special 1998 2002 2004 2008 2010 2014 2016 U.S. House Elections 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
State Government Gubernatorial elections 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 State elections by year 2012 2014
Ballot measures 2005 Amendment 1

The 2010 United States Senate election in Kansas took place on November 2, 2010 alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Sam Brownback decided to retire to run for Governor of Kansas, instead of seeking a third term. Republican nominee Jerry Moran won the open seat.

Background

Sam Brownback was first elected to the Senate in 1996, replacing Bob Dole, who resigned to run for President. Brownback has stated that he would not run for re-election in 2010 because of self-imposed term limits. Kansas is one of the most Republican states in the nation; no Democrat has been elected to either Senate seat since 1932.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Lisa Johnston, university administrator at Baker University^[1]
Robert Conroy, retired railroad employee
David Haley, State Senator^[2]
Charles Schollenberger, retired communications executive^[3]
Patrick Wiesner, attorney and CPA

Polling

Poll source	Dates administered	Charles Schollenberger	Lisa Johnston	Robert Conroy	David Haley	Undecided
Survey USA	July 29-August 1, 2010	21%	29%	7%	12%	25%
Survey USA	July 15–18, 2010	14%	23%	7%	12%	36%
Survey USA	June 24–27, 2010	16%	24%	11%	11%	35%

Results

Democratic primary results^[4]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Lisa Johnston	25,421	31.2
	Democratic	Charles Schollenberger	19,228	23.6
	Democratic	David Haley	15,584	19.2
	Democratic	Patrick Wiesner	13,359	16.4
	Democratic	Robert Conroy	7,779	9.6
Total votes			81,371	100

Republican primary

Candidates

Jerry Moran, U.S. Representative^[5]
Tom Little, accountant
Bob Londerholm, former state Attorney General^[6]
Todd Tiahrt, U.S. Representative^[7]^[8]

Campaign

The retirement of Brownback, a popular U.S. Senator, led to a heavily competitive primary election. Tiahrt, who was on the Committee of Appropriations, had been accused of excessive earmarking while he was in Congress. From 2006-2008, Tiahrt had requested and supported a total of 63 solo earmarks, costing $53.9 million. In the same period, Moran had requested and supported a total of 29 earmarks, with a pricetag of $13.4 million.^[9]^[10]

Endorsements

Moran

Notable individuals and organizations endorsing Jerry Moran^[11]
U.S. Senator Richard Burr of North Carolina U.S. Senator Tom Coburn of Oklahoma U.S. Senator Jim DeMint of South Carolina U.S. Senator Mike Johanns of Nebraska U.S. Senator and 2008 Republican nominee for President John McCain of Arizona U.S. Senator John Thune of South Dakota Former U.S. Senator Jim Talent of Missouri U.S. Congressman Jeff Flake of Arizona

Tiahrt

State/local-level positions (State Senators, Governors, etc.)^[12]
State Senator Steve Abrams State Senator Les Donovan State Senator Dick Kelsey State Senator Julia Lynn State Senator Ty Masterson State Senator Carolyn McGinn State Senator Susan Wagle Kansas House Majority Leader Ray Merrick Kansas Speaker Pro Tempore Arlen Seigfreid State Representative Steven Brunk State Representative J. David Crum State Representative Peter DeGraaf State Representative Mario Goico State Representative John Grange State Representative Phil Hermanson State Representative Steve Huebert State Representative Aaron Jack State Representative Kasha Kelley State Representative Dan Kerschen State Representative Brenda Landwehr State Representative Joe McLeland State Representative Virgil Peck State Representative Marc Rhoades State Representative Gene Suellentrop

State/local-level positions (State Senators, Governors, etc.)^[12]

State Senator Steve Abrams
State Senator Les Donovan
State Senator Dick Kelsey
State Senator Julia Lynn
State Senator Ty Masterson
State Senator Carolyn McGinn
State Senator Susan Wagle
Kansas House Majority Leader Ray Merrick
Kansas Speaker Pro Tempore Arlen Seigfreid
State Representative Steven Brunk
State Representative J. David Crum
State Representative Peter DeGraaf
State Representative Mario Goico
State Representative John Grange
State Representative Phil Hermanson
State Representative Steve Huebert
State Representative Aaron Jack
State Representative Kasha Kelley
State Representative Dan Kerschen
State Representative Brenda Landwehr
State Representative Joe McLeland
State Representative Virgil Peck
State Representative Marc Rhoades
State Representative Gene Suellentrop

U.S. federal positions (Senators, Congressmen, etc.)^[12]
U.S Senator James Inhofe of Oklahoma Former U.S. Senator Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania U.S. Congressman Mike Rogers of Alabama Former Speaker of the House Dennis Hastert of Illinois Former U.S. Congressman Jim Ryun of Kansas Former Attorney General of the United States John Ashcroft Former United States Secretary of Education Bill Bennett

Notable individuals and organizations endorsing Todd Tiahrt^[12]
Sarah Palin, former Governor of Alaska and 2008 Vice Presidential nominee^[13] James Dobson, founder of Focus on the Family Erick Erickson, editor of the conservative weblog RedState Steve Forbes, former Republican presidential candidate and editor-in-chief of Forbes Gracia Burnham, Kansas resident and former missionary kidnapped in Philippines Darla Jaye, talk show host on KMBZ David Keene, Chairman of the American Conservative Union Mark Levin, prominent conservative author and talk show host Dick Morris, Fox News contributor Tony Perkins, President of the Family Research Council Phyllis Schlafly, founder of Eagle Forum Karl Rove, former Deputy Chief of Staff and Senior Advisor for President George W. Bush Former U.S. Congressman Tom Tancredo of Colorado Eagle Forum PAC Concerned Women for America PAC Family Research Council Action PAC Great American Forum PAC Kansans for Government Reform PAC Kansans for Life PAC Kansas State University College Republicans Pittsburg State University College Republicans Benedictine College Republicans Baker University College Republicans Kansas Federation of College Republicans Northwest Johnson County Republicans Wichita State University College Republicans

Notable individuals and organizations endorsing Todd Tiahrt^[12]

Sarah Palin, former Governor of Alaska and 2008 Vice Presidential nominee^[13]
James Dobson, founder of Focus on the Family
Erick Erickson, editor of the conservative weblog RedState
Steve Forbes, former Republican presidential candidate and editor-in-chief of Forbes
Gracia Burnham, Kansas resident and former missionary kidnapped in Philippines
Darla Jaye, talk show host on KMBZ
David Keene, Chairman of the American Conservative Union
Mark Levin, prominent conservative author and talk show host
Dick Morris, Fox News contributor
Tony Perkins, President of the Family Research Council
Phyllis Schlafly, founder of Eagle Forum
Karl Rove, former Deputy Chief of Staff and Senior Advisor for President George W. Bush
Former U.S. Congressman Tom Tancredo of Colorado
Eagle Forum PAC
Concerned Women for America PAC
Family Research Council Action PAC
Great American Forum PAC
Kansans for Government Reform PAC
Kansans for Life PAC
Kansas State University College Republicans
Pittsburg State University College Republicans
Benedictine College Republicans
Baker University College Republicans
Kansas Federation of College Republicans
Northwest Johnson County Republicans
Wichita State University College Republicans

Polling

Poll source	Dates administered	Todd Tiahrt	Jerry Moran
Survey USA	July 29-August 1, 2010	39%	49%
Survey USA	July 15–18, 2010	36%	50%
Survey USA	June 24–27, 2010	33%	53%
Survey USA	May 21–23, 2010	29%	52%
Survey USA	March 26–28, 2010	32%	42%
Survey USA	January 29–31, 2010	33%	40%
Survey USA	December 4–6, 2009	34%	37%
Survey USA	October 2–4, 2009	27%	43%
Survey USA	June 12–14, 2009	38%	40%
Survey USA	April 17–19, 2009	35%	39%
Research 2000	February 2–4, 2009	24%	19%

Results

Republican primary results^[4]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Jerry Moran	161,407	49.8
	Republican	Todd Tiahrt	144,372	44.6
	Republican	Tom Little	10,104	3.1
	Republican	Bob Londerholm	8,168	2.5
Total votes			324,051	100

General election

Candidates

Major

Jerry Moran (R), U.S. Representative (campaign site, PVS, FEC)
Lisa Johnston (D), Baker University administrator (campaign site, PVS, FEC)

Minor

Michael Dann (L) (campaign site, PVS)
Joe Bellis (RE) (campaign site, PVS)

Campaign

Kansas is a very red state, where no Democrat has won a U.S. Senate election since 1932.^[14] After the primary, Moran chose not to release any more negative advertisements. Democrat Lisa Johnston ran a low-profile, quiet race. On election day, she won only one county: Wyandotte County, while Moran won statewide by a landslide.^[15]

Debates

The two never met for a debate.^[16]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Cook Political Report	Solid R^[17]	October 21, 2010
Rothenberg	Safe R^[18]	October 15, 2010
Swing State Project	Safe R
RealClearPolitics	Safe R^[19]	October 21, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Safe R^[20]	October 21, 2010
CQ Politics	Safe R^[21]	October 21, 2010

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Jerry Moran	Lisa Johnston
Survey USA	October 22–26, 2010	66%	26%
Survey USA	October 10–12, 2010	67%	27%
Survey USA	September 14–16, 2010	66%	24%
Survey USA	August 12–15, 2010	69%	23%
Rasmussen Reports	August 4, 2010	61%	28%
Rasmussen Reports	June 30, 2010	59%	23%
Rasmussen Reports	May 11, 2010	61%	25%

Fundraising

Candidate (party)	Receipts	Disbursements	Cash on hand	Debt
Lisa Johnston (D)	$10,627	$4,530	$6,096	$1,131
Jerry Moran (R)	$2,749,244	$4,497,168	$795,015	$0
Source: Federal Election Commission^[22]

Results

United States Senate election in Kansas, 2010
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Jerry Moran	578,768	70.34%	+1.18%
	Democratic	Lisa Johnston	215,270	26.16%	-1.33%
	Libertarian	Michael Dann	17,437	2.12%	+0.18%
	Reform	Joe Bellis	11,356	1.38%	-0.04%
Majority			363,498	44.18%
Total votes			822,831	100
	Republican hold		Swing

References

↑ "Moran squeezes past Tiahrt, looks forward to Johnston". KCUR-FM. Associated Press. August 4, 2010.
↑ "State Sen. David Haley to enter race for U.S. Senate | Wichitopekington | Wichita Eagle Blogs". Blogs.kansas.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
↑ "The Hutchinson News Online Edition". Hutchnews.com. 2009-06-15. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
1 2 "Kansas Primary results". Politico. August 3, 2010. Retrieved August 3, 2010.
↑ "Moran now eyes U.S. Senate seat". Associated Press. 2008-11-08. Retrieved 2008-11-10.
↑ "Londerholm drops out of Senate race". Associated Press. 2010-07-13. Retrieved 2010-08-03.
↑ "Tiahrt preparing for Senate race in Kansas". Associated Press. 2008-11-21. Retrieved 2008-11-23.
↑ "Congressman Tiahrt Announces Senate Steering Committee - KWCH - Kansas News and Weather". KWCH. 2009-01-27. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
↑ Clark, Matthew (2010-06-05). "POLITICS BLOG: Earmarks, earmarks and more earmarks - Pittsburg, KS". Morning Sun. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
↑ “” (2010-06-07). "Truth Test". YouTube. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
↑ "Jerry Moran Endorsements". Moran for Kansas. June 2, 2010. Retrieved June 2, 2010.
1 2 3 "Todd Tiahrt Endorsements". Todd Tiahrt for Kansas. June 2, 2010.
↑ "Niet compatibele browser". Facebook. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
↑ http://www.google.com/hostednews/canadianpress/article/ALeqM5jGDefz_GrsjqKrRCw5Gi4uHe6Dlw?docId=5014559
↑ http://www.bonnersprings.com/news/2010/nov/02/democrats-take-lead-wyandotte-county/
↑ http://www.mcphersonsentinel.com/newsnow/x4794677/Moran-takes-Senate-seat
↑ "Senate". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 21, 2010.
↑ "Senate Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 21, 2010.
↑ "Battle for the Senate". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 21, 2010.
↑ "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 21, 2010.
↑ "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". CQ Politics. Retrieved October 21, 2010.
↑ "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Kansas". fec.gov. Retrieved August 22, 2010.

External links

Kansas Secretary of State - Elections & Legislative
U.S. Congress candidates for Kansas at Project Vote Smart
Kansas U.S. Senate from OurCampaigns.com
Campaign contributions from Open Secrets
2010 Kansas Senate General Election: Jerry Moran (R) vs Lisa Johnston (D) graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
Election 2010: Kansas Senate from Rasmussen Reports
2010 Kansas Senate Race from CQ Politics
Race profile from The New York Times
News coverage from The Midwest Democracy Project at The Kansas City Star

Official candidate sites
Debates

(2009 ←) 2010 United States elections (→ 2011)

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