United States Senate election in Indiana, 2016

United States Senate election in Indiana, 2016

November 8, 2016

Nominee Todd Young Baron Hill Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Senator Dan Coats Republican

The 2016 United States Senate election in Indiana will take place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Indiana, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican Senator Dan Coats, who has served in the Senate since 2011, and previously served from 1989 to 1999, had stated that he planned to run for re-election,^[1][2] but in March 2014 his Chief of Staff said that Coats "has decided not to decide whether to run again until after the [2014] midterm elections".^[3] On March 24, 2015, Coats announced that he would not run for re-election.^[4]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Marlin Stutzman, U.S. Representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010^[4][5][6]
• Todd Young, U.S. Representative

Withdrawn

• Kevin Grant, financial consultant and candidate for IN-04 in 2014 (running for IN-04)^[7][8]
• Eric Holcomb, Senator Coats' Chief of Staff and former Chairman of the Indiana Republican Party^{[4][5][9][10]} (appointed and running for Lieutenant Governor)

Declined

• Greg Ballard, Former Mayor of Indianapolis^[4][5]
• Jim Banks, State Senator (running for IN-03)^[3][11]
• Brian Bosma, Speaker of the Indiana House of Representatives^[12]
• Susan Brooks, U.S. Representative and former United States Attorney for the Southern District of Indiana (running for re-election)^[4][5][13]
• Larry Bucshon, U.S. Representative (running for re-election)^[12][14]
• Dan Coats, incumbent U.S. Senator^[1][3][15]
• Mitch Daniels, President of Purdue University and former Governor of Indiana^[16]
• Mike Delph, State Senator^[3][17][18]
• Richard Lugar, former U.S. Senator^[19]
• Jim Merritt, State Senator^[17][20]
• Luke Messer, U.S. Representative (running for re-election)^[4][5]
• Mike Pence, Governor of Indiana and former U.S. Representative (running for re-election)^[21]
• Todd Rokita, U.S. Representative and former Secretary of State of Indiana (running for re-election)^[22]
• Jackie Walorski, U.S. Representative (running for re-election)^[4][23]
• Greg Zoeller, Indiana Attorney General (running for IN-09)^[12][24]

Endorsements

Marlin Stutzman
Federal politicians Justin Amash, U.S. Representative from Michigan[25] Rand Paul, U.S. Senator from Kentucky[26] Carly Fiorina, former CEO of Hewlett-Packard, candidate for Vice President of the United States and former candidate for President of the United States[27] Organizations Citizens United[28] Club for Growth[28] FreedomWorks[29] Senate Conservatives Fund[28] Mark Levin

Todd Young
Organizations United States Chamber of Commerce[30]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Todd Young	Marlin Stutzman	Undecided
NBC/WSJ/Marist	April 26–28, 2016	645	± 3.9%	56%	24%	20%
IPFW/Downs Center	April 13–27, 2016	400	± 4.9%	42%	34%	24%
WTHR/Howey	April 18–21, 2016	507	± 4.0%	43%	31%	26%

Results

Republican primary results[31]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Todd Young	659,555	67%
	Republican	Marlin Stutzman	323,852	33%
Total votes			983,407	100%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

• Baron Hill, former U.S. Representative and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 1990^{[4][32][33][34]}

Withdrew

• John Dickerson, former nonprofit organization director^[35][36]

Declined

• Evan Bayh, former U.S. Senator and former Governor of Indiana^[1][37]
• André Carson, U.S. Representative (running for re-election)^[38]
• Brad Ellsworth, former U.S. Representative and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010^[39]
• Christina Hale, State Representative (running for re-election)^[40]
• John Gregg, former Speaker of the Indiana House of Representatives and nominee for Governor in 2012 (running for Governor)^[41]
• Thomas McDermott, Jr., Mayor of Hammond^[4][42][43]
• Bart Peterson, former Mayor of Indianapolis^[44]
• Glenda Ritz, Indiana Superintendent of Public Instruction (running for re-election)^[45]
• Jonathan Weinzapfel, former Mayor of Evansville and nominee for Indiana's 8th congressional district in 1996^[39]

Endorsements

Baron Hill
Individuals Evan Bayh, former U.S. Senator for this seat and former Governor of Indiana Organizations Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee[46]

Results

Democratic primary results[31]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Baron Hill	514,929	100%
Total votes			514,929	100%

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[47]	Likely R	March 25, 2016
Daily Kos[48]	Likely R	April 3, 2016
Roll Call[49]	Likely R	April 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[50]	Likely R	March 21, 2016

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Todd Young (R)	Baron Hill (D)	Undecided
WTHR/Howey	April 18–21, 2016	500	± 4.0%	48%	30%	22%

References

1. Bradner, Eric (December 8, 2012). "Coats preparing for re-election in 2016 » Evansville Courier & Press". Courierpress.com. Retrieved September 21, 2013.
2. Francisco, Brian (November 2, 2011). "Coats gets head start on 2016". Journal Gazette. Retrieved September 21, 2013.
3. "Tully: Dan Coats weighing another term in Senate". IndyStar.com. March 4, 2014. Retrieved October 12, 2014.
4. Joseph, Cameron (March 24, 2015). "Coats retirement in Indiana shakes up 2016 battle for Senate". The Hill. Retrieved March 24, 2015.
5. Brian Howey (January 30, 2015). "If Sen. Coates doesn’t run, who does?". kokomoperspective.com. Retrieved February 3, 2015.
6. Cahn, Emily (May 9, 2015). "Marlin Stutzman Leaving House to Run for Senate". Roll Call. Retrieved May 11, 2015.
7. Francisco, Brian (August 18, 2015). "Candidate fields growing quietly". Journal Gazette. Retrieved August 18, 2015.
8. "May 3, 2016 Primary Election Candidates" (PDF). Indiana Secretary of State Election Division. Retrieved February 4, 2016.
9. Joseph, Cameron (March 26, 2015). "Chief of staff launches Senate bid for Coats's seat". The Hill. Retrieved March 26, 2015.
10. "Eric Holcomb drops out of Indiana senate race". WRTV. February 8, 2016. Retrieved February 8, 2016.
11. Francisco, Brian (May 11, 2015). "Banks set for Congress run". The Journal Gazette. Retrieved May 11, 2015.
12. Howey, Brian A.; Schoeff, Jr., Mark (March 24, 2015). "Coats decision sets off 2016 Senate mad scramble". Howey Politics. Retrieved March 24, 2015.
13. de la Bastide, Ken (April 20, 2015). "Brooks won't run for U.S. Senate". The Herald Bulletin. Retrieved April 20, 2015.
14. Sullivan, Sean (March 24, 2015). "Cross Rep. Larry Bucshon's name off the list of possible GOP candidates for the Indiana Senate race. He tells me he is not interested.". Twitter. Retrieved March 24, 2015.
15. Hakim-Shabazz, Abdul (March 24, 2015). "Coats Not Running For Re-Election". Indy Politics. Retrieved March 24, 2015.
16. "TBangert: Governor run for Purdue's Mitch Daniels? 'Nope'". [The Indianapolis Star]]. April 21, 2015.
17. Howey, Brian (May 26, 2015). "A fascinating U.S. Senate race is setting up". News and Tribune. Retrieved June 4, 2015.
18. Carden, Dan (September 15, 2015). "UPDATE: Delph opts out of U.S. Senate race". The Times of Northwest Indiana. Retrieved September 15, 2015.
19. Raju, Manu (March 25, 2015). "Dick Lugar won't be making a comeback, declines to run for Coats' seat in #INSEN, per @kyledcheney". Twitter. Retrieved March 25, 2015.
20. Helms, Aubrey (August 4, 2015). "Young locking in fundraising advantage for U.S. Senate race". The Statehouse File. Retrieved September 15, 2015.
21. Livingston, Abby (May 18, 2014). "Pence to seek second term as governor". The Times of Northwest Indiana. Retrieved May 18, 2015.
22. Carden, Dan (June 10, 2015). "Rokita opts out of U.S. Senate race". The Times of Northwest Indiana. Retrieved June 10, 2015.
23. Vandenack, Tim (April 15, 2015). "U.S. Rep. Walorski to seek third term in House, won't run for Senate after all". The Elkhart Truth. Retrieved April 15, 2015.
24. Marturello, Mike (April 9, 2015). "Zoeller quiets talk of Senate run to replace Coats". News and Tribune. Retrieved April 9, 2015.
25. https://twitter.com/justinamash/status/718130383192252416
26. http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2016/04/21/rand-paul-bucks-mcconnell-endorses-stutzman-indiana-senate-primary/
27. https://www.facebook.com/CarlyFiorina/photos/pb.261624820205.-2207520000.1461268809./10157529690335206/?type=3
28. Francisco, Brian (January 17, 2016). "GOP Senate hopefuls aim right". The Journal Gazette. Retrieved February 6, 2016.
29. Francisco, Brian (March 22, 2016). "FreedomWorks endorses Stutzman in Senate race". The Journal Gazette. Retrieved April 3, 2016.
30. Shella, Jim (March 30, 2016). "Todd Young wins business endorsements". WISH-TV. Retrieved April 3, 2016.
31. "Indiana Primary Election, May 3, 2016". Indiana Secretary of State. Retrieved May 6, 2016.
32. Spehler, Dan (February 13, 2015). "Potential candidate for governor talks education, healthcare". WXIN. Retrieved February 20, 2015.
33. Cahn, Emily (May 15, 2015). "Ousted Democrat Announces Indiana Senate Bid". Roll Call. Retrieved May 15, 2015.
34. Buckley, Madeline (June 3, 2015). "Democrat Baron Hill joins U.S. Senate race". The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved June 4, 2015.
35. Lewis, Olivia (August 15, 2015). "Dickerson kicks off campaign for U.S. Senate seat". The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved August 17, 2015.
36. "John Dickerson Drops Out of Race For U.S. Senate". wfyi Indianapolis. January 21, 2016. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
37. Easley, Jonathan (June 11, 2015). "Bayh won’t seek Indiana Senate seat". The Hill. Retrieved June 11, 2015.
38. Cahn, Emily; Levinson, Alexis (March 24, 2015). "Coats Retirement Sparks Hoosier State Free-for-All". Roll Call. Retrieved March 24, 2015.
39. Livingston, Abby (19 June 2013). "Ambitious Hoosiers Wait for Future Statewide Races Farm Team". Roll Call. Retrieved 20 September 2013.
40. "Hale won't seek U.S. Senate seat". The Indianapolis Star. June 29, 2015. Retrieved June 29, 2015.
41. Bruggeman, Karyn (March 8, 2015). "Mike Pence and Indiana’s Deep Freeze". National Journal. Retrieved March 13, 2015.
42. Howey, Brian A. (March 24, 2015). "Sen. Coats will not seek reelection in 2016; won't endorse". Howey Politics. Retrieved March 24, 2015.
43. Howey, Brian (September 10, 2015). "U.S. Senate race: McDermott considers" (PDF). Howey Politics. Retrieved September 15, 2015.
44. Joseph, Cameron (March 24, 2015). "GOP braces for free-for-all in Indiana". The Hill. Retrieved March 24, 2015.
45. Turner, Kris (June 4, 2015). "Glenda Ritz calls education 'catalyst for improvement' in run for governor". The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved June 4, 2015.
46. Tester, Jon (March 8, 2016). "DSCC Endorses Baron Hill in Indiana Senate Race". Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. Retrieved April 3, 2016.
47. "2016 Senate Race Ratings for March 25, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 3, 2016.
48. "Election Outlook: 2016 Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved April 3, 2016.
49. "2016 Race Ratings". Roll Call. Retrieved April 3, 2016.
50. "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved April 3, 2016.

External links

Official campaign websites

• Marlin Stutzman (R) for Indiana
• Todd Young (R) for Indiana
• Baron Hill (D) for Indiana