United States Senate election in Wisconsin, 2016

United States Senate election in Wisconsin, 2016
Wisconsin
November 8, 2016
 
Nominee Ron Johnson Russ Feingold
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Senator

Ron Johnson
Republican
Elections in Wisconsin

The 2016 United States Senate election in Wisconsin will take place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Wisconsin, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican Senator Ron Johnson is running for re-election to a second term in office. Former U.S. Senator Russ Feingold, who Johnson narrowly unseated in the 2010 midterm Tea Party wave, is seeking a rematch for a fourth non-consecutive term in office. [1]

Background

Incumbent Democratic Senator Russ Feingold ran for re-election to a fourth term in 2010 but was defeated by Republican nominee Ron Johnson.[2] Feingold hinted that he might seek a re-match with Johnson.

In March 2013, Johnson announced that he was running for re-election and had begun fundraising. He had just $1,529 in his campaign account but he raised $16.1 million for the 2010 election, over half of which he self-funded.[3] Johnson said in November 2014 that he would not self-finance another campaign, saying: "I made my $9 million investment in this country. I gave it once, I don't think I should do it again."[4]

After the Republicans took control of the Senate following the 2014 Senate elections, the election in Wisconsin is seen by many as a top target for the Democrats, who hope to regain their majority.[5][6][7][8][9] Politico has pointed to Johnson's "worrisome" favorability ratings as one of the main reasons for his vulnerability.[8] A March 2014 Marquette University Law School poll found that just 29% of voters had a favorable opinion of him.[10]

On May 14, 2015, Feingold announced he would run to win the Senate seat back.[11]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Endorsements

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements


Democratic primary results[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Russ Feingold 0 0.00
Total votes 0 0.00

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[36] Tossup March 25, 2016
Daily Kos[37] Lean D March 30, 2016
Roll Call[38] Tossup March 30, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[39] Lean D March 21, 2016

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Ron
Johnson (R)		 Russ
Feingold (D)		 Other/Neither Undecided
Wisconsin Public Radio/St. Norbert April 12–15, 2016 616 ± 4.0% 41% 51% — 8%
Emerson College March 30–April 3, 2016 1,198 ± 2.8% 44% 48% 8% —
Public Policy Polling March 28–29, 2016 1,397 ± 2.6% 39% 46% — 15%
Loras College March 28–29, 2016 1,000 ± 3.1% 39% 48% 1% 12%
Marquette University March 24–28, 2016 1,405 ± 3.3% 42% 47% 3% 5%
Marquette University February 18–21, 2016 802 ± 4.5% 37% 49% — 14%
Marquette University January 21–24, 2016 806 ± 4.0% 37% 50% — 13%
Let America Work^ November 16–18, 2015 900 ± 3.3% 44% 45% — 11%
Marquette University November 12–15, 2015 803 ± 4.2% 38% 49% — 13%
Democracy Corps October 24–28, 2015 400 ± 4.9% 46% 51% — 3%
Wisconsin Public Radio/St. Norbert October 14–17, 2015 603 ± 4.0% 40% 51% 2% 7%
Marquette University September 24–28, 2015 803 ± 4.1% 36% 50% 6.5% 7.5%
End Citizens United September 10–14, 2015 775 ± 3.6% 39% 47% — 14%
Marquette University August 13–16, 2015 802 ± 3.5% 42% 47% — 12%
Marquette University April 7–10, 2015 803 ± 3.5% 38% 54% — 9%
Public Policy Polling March 6–8, 2015 1,071 ± 3% 41% 50% — 9%
Public Policy Polling April 17–20, 2014 1,144 ± 2.9% 41% 47% — 12%
Public Policy Polling September 13–16, 2013 1,180 ± 2.9% 42% 49% — 9%
Public Policy Polling February 21–24, 2013 807 ± 2.3% 42% 52% — 6%

^ Internal poll from Let America Work, a Super Pac for Ron Johnson

References

  1. ↑ Bolton, Alexander (March 10, 2013). "Sen. Johnson tells 'kitchen cabinet' he will run for reelection in 2016". The Hill. Retrieved September 19, 2013.
  2. ↑ "Election 2010 Wisconsin Results". The New York Times. November 3, 2011. Retrieved February 27, 2011.
  3. ↑ Bivins, Larry (March 11, 2013). "Wis. Sen. Johnson begins re-election bid". USA Today. Retrieved September 20, 2013.
  4. ↑ Catalina Camia (November 19, 2014). "Johnson won't self-finance 2016 Senate race". Green Bay Press Gazette. Retrieved November 21, 2014.
  5. ↑ "Why Republicans’ Senate majority could be very short-lived". The Washington Post. November 7, 2014. Retrieved November 8, 2014.
  6. ↑ "Here's The Democratic Route Back To Senate Control In 2016". The Huffington Post. November 6, 2014. Retrieved November 13, 2014.
  7. ↑ "The Seven Senate Races Democrats Should Be Optimistic About in 2016". Slate. July 3, 2014. Retrieved November 8, 2014.
  8. 1 2 "The 10 states that could decide the next Senate". Politico. November 12, 2014. Retrieved November 13, 2014.
  9. ↑ "Tough Tests Looming in 2016 Raise Stakes for G.O.P. in Midterm Elections". The New York Times. April 12, 2014. Retrieved November 13, 2014.
  10. ↑ "Marquette Law School Poll, March 20-23, 2014" (PDF). Marquette University Law School. March 2014. Retrieved November 19, 2014.
  11. 1 2 Bauer, Scott (May 14, 2015). "Wisconsin's Feingold to Run for US Senate". Associated Press.
  12. ↑ Mulvany, Lydia (March 11, 2013). "Sen. Ron Johnson says he'll seek re-election in 2016". JS Online. Retrieved September 20, 2013.
  13. ↑ Arkin, James (January 8, 2016). "Bolton Endorses 16 for Re-Election to Congress". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved January 10, 2016.
  14. ↑ Behr, Madeleine (December 7, 2015). "Johnson rips Obama for 'lack of leadership'". The Post-Crescent. Retrieved February 10, 2016.
  15. ↑ Sherfinski, David (November 12, 2014). "Club for Growth endorses six GOP senators for re-election in 2016". The Washington Times. Retrieved November 12, 2014.
  16. ↑ Glauber, Bill (March 23, 2016). "U.S. Chamber of Commerce backs Johnson in Senate race". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved March 27, 2016.
  17. ↑ "Mary Burke says she won't run for statewide office again". Wisconsin State Journal. November 10, 2014. Retrieved November 10, 2014.
  18. 1 2 Larson, Chris (May 14, 2015). "Russ Feingold for Wisconsin - count me in!". Facebook. Retrieved May 14, 2015.
  19. 1 2 Levinson, Alexis (December 12, 2014). "Wisconsin Democrat: Russ Feingold Would Clear Primary". Roll Call. Retrieved June 2, 2015.
  20. ↑ Pocan, Mark (May 14, 2015). "Did you see the big news today?". Facebook. Retrieved May 14, 2015.
  21. 1 2 Sommerhauser, Mark (March 18, 2016). "Barack Obama, Joe Biden endorse Russ Feingold". Wisconsin State Journal. Retrieved March 20, 2016.
  22. ↑ Carney, Jordain (January 27, 2016). "Ex-Pentagon chief donates to Feingold". The Hill. Retrieved February 2, 2016.
  23. ↑ Tammy Baldwin (May 18, 2015). ""Have you heard? My good friend Russ Feingold is running for Senate! He’s a champion of Wisconsin’s progressive values, and was a friend to me in my race in 2012. Let’s help him get off to a running start -- contribute to his campaign today! - TB"". Facebook. Retrieved May 18, 2015.
  24. 1 2 Easley, Jonathan (May 14, 2015). "Russ Feingold running for Senate". The Hill. Retrieved May 14, 2015.
  25. ↑ Opoien, Jessie (September 27, 2015). "Elizabeth Warren, Russ Feingold talk student debt at UW-Madison". The Capital Times. Retrieved February 2, 2016.
  26. ↑ Mark Pocan (May 14, 2015). "Did you see the big news today?". Facebook. Retrieved May 14, 2015.
  27. 1 2 3 4 Glauber, Bill (February 16, 2016). "Fire fighter union endorses Russ Feingold". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved March 4, 2016.
  28. 1 2 Glauber, Bill (February 8, 2016). "WEAC, AFT-Wisconsin endorse Russ Feingold". Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. Retrieved February 10, 2016.
  29. ↑ Behr, Madeleine (August 28, 2015). "Steelworkers endorse Feingold". The Post-Crescent. Retrieved February 2, 2016.
  30. ↑ http://crooksandliars.com/2015/05/blue-america-endorses-russ-feingold
  31. ↑ McCarter, Joan (September 16, 2015). "Let's take Wisconsin and the Senate back: Daily Kos endorses Russ Feingold". Daily Kos. Retrieved February 2, 2016.
  32. 1 2 Cama, Timothy (February 10, 2016). "Two green groups back Feingold in Wisconsin Senate race". The Hill. Retrieved March 4, 2016.
  33. 1 2 Opoien, Jessie (February 9, 2016). "Planned Parenthood, NOW endorse Russ Feingold in Senate race". The Capital Times. Retrieved February 10, 2016.
  34. ↑
  35. ↑ "Phil Anderson declares 2016 candidacy for US Senate in Wisconsin". Libertarian Party. November 19, 2015. Retrieved February 2, 2016.
  36. ↑ "2016 Senate Race Ratings for March 25, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 30, 2016.
  37. ↑ "Election Outlook: 2016 Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved March 30, 2016.
  38. ↑ "2016 Race Ratings". Roll Call. Retrieved March 30, 2016.
  39. ↑ "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 30, 2016.

External links

Official campaign websites
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