United States Senate election in Iowa, 2016
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Elections in Iowa | ||||||||||||
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The 2016 United States Senate election in Iowa will take place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Iowa, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Republican Senator Chuck Grassley has said that he plans to seek re-election to a seventh term in office.
Republican and Democratic candidates for the election will be chosen at the Iowa state primary election to be held on June 7, 2016.[1]
Background
Republican Chuck Grassley was first elected to the Senate in 1980, defeating Democratic incumbent John Culver by 53% to 46%. Since then, Grassley has been re-elected five times, most recently in 2010, on each occasion taking at least 64% of the vote.
Despite speculation that Grassley, who will be 83 years old in 2016, might retire,[2] he announced in September 2013 that he was "making plans to run for re-election", but added that "it's not taking much of my time. I’m concentrating on doing my job for Iowans."[3]
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Chuck Grassley, incumbent Senator[3][4]
Withdrawn
Declined
- Pat Grassley, State Representative and grandson of Chuck Grassley[8]
- Steve King, U.S. Representative[9]
- Tom Latham, former U.S. Representative[9]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Tom Fiegen, former State Senator and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010[4]
- Rob Hogg, State Senator[10]
- Patty Judge, former Lieutenant Governor and former Iowa Secretary of Agriculture[11][12][13]
- Bob Krause, former State Representative, nominee for State Treasurer in 1978, candidate for Mayor of Waterloo in 1982 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[14]
Withdrawn
- Ray Zirkelbach, former State Representative[15][16]
Declined
- Christie Vilsack, former First Lady of Iowa and nominee for Iowa's 4th congressional district in 2012[8]
- Tom Vilsack, United States Secretary of Agriculture and former Governor of Iowa[9]
- Chet Culver, former Governor of Iowa[8][17]
- Michael Gronstal, Majority Leader of the Iowa Senate and Chairman of the Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee[8][18]
- Dave Loebsack, U.S. Representative (running for re-election)[9][19]
- Andy McGuire, Chairwoman of the Iowa Democratic Party and candidate for Lieutenant Governor in 2006[4]
- Tyler Olson, former State Representative, former Chairman of the Iowa Democratic Party, and candidate for Governor in 2014[20][21]
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report[22] | Likely R | March 25, 2016 |
Daily Kos[23] | Likely R | April 4, 2016 |
Roll Call[24] | Safe R | April 4, 2016 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[25] | Likely R | April 7, 2016 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chuck Grassley (R) |
Tom Fiegen (D) |
Undecided |
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Public Policy Polling | August 7-9, 2015 | 1500 | ± 2.5% | 53% | 30% | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chuck Grassley (R) |
Rob Hogg (D) |
Undecided |
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Public Policy Polling | August 7-9, 2015 | 1500 | ± 2.5% | 52% | 28% | 20% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chuck Grassley (R) |
Bob Krause (D) |
Undecided |
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Public Policy Polling | August 7-9, 2015 | 1500 | ± 2.5% | 51% | 29% | 20% |
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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References
- ↑ Iowa Secretary of State, Primary Election.
- ↑ Matt Kelley (January 29, 2013). "Senator Grassley not ready to consider joining Harkin in retirement". Radio Iowa. Retrieved May 22, 2014.
- 1 2 Livingston, Abby (September 20, 2013). "Grassley Planning to Run Again in 2016". Roll Call. Retrieved September 20, 2013.
- 1 2 3 Jacobs, Jennifer; Noble, Jason (March 31, 2015). "And he's off: Event kicks off Grassley's re-election campaign". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved March 31, 2015.
- ↑ Porter, Jake (January 19, 2016). "Primary Challenger Announces Against Grassley". Iowa Free Press. Retrieved February 14, 2016.
- ↑ "IA-Sen: Robert Rees challenging Chuck Grassley in GOP primary". Bleeding Heartland. February 12, 2016. Retrieved February 14, 2016.
- ↑ "IA-Sen: Robert Rees ends GOP primary challenge to Chuck Grassley". Bleeding Heartland. March 15, 2016. Retrieved March 17, 2016.
- 1 2 3 4 Cheney, Kyle (December 29, 2014). "16 in '16: The new battle for the Senate". Politico. Retrieved December 29, 2014.
- 1 2 3 4 Cahn, Emily (June 26, 2013). "Hawkeye Politicians Finally See Some Opportunity in 2014 | Farm Team". Roll Call. Retrieved August 14, 2013.
- ↑ Petroski, William (September 21, 2015). "Hogg to seek Grassley's seat in U.S. Senate". Des Moines Register. Retrieved September 22, 2015.
- ↑ Noble, Jason (February 25, 2016). "Challenge Grassley? Patty Judge is thinking about it". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved February 25, 2016.
- ↑ Steinhauer, Jennifer (March 3, 2016). "Charles Grassley Faces Formidable Challenger in Iowa Senate Race". The New York Times. Retrieved March 3, 2016.
- ↑ Noble, Jason (March 4, 2016). "It's official: Patty Judge challenges Chuck Grassley". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved March 4, 2016.
- ↑ "Krause ends bid for governor, endorses fellow Democrat Hatch". Des Moines Register. 2 January 2014. Retrieved 3 January 2014.
- ↑ Lynch, James Q. (November 7, 2015). "Zirkelbach is fourth candidate in Democratic U.S. Senate race". The Gazette. Retrieved February 14, 2016.
- ↑ "IA-Sen: Patty Judge thinking about challenging Chuck Grassley". Bleeding Heartland. February 26, 2016. Retrieved February 26, 2016.
- ↑ Noble, Jason (March 4, 2016). "Former Iowa Gov. Chet Culver tells me he WILL NOT run for Congress or any other political office in 2016". Twitter. Retrieved March 4, 2016.
- ↑ Petroski, William (January 26, 2016). "61 legislators endorse Hogg's U.S. Senate bid". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved February 14, 2016.
- ↑ Henderson, O. Kay (April 21, 2015). "Loebsack in Des Moines to talk 2016 campaign strategy". Radio Iowa. Retrieved July 23, 2015.
- ↑ Rynard, Pat (May 28, 2015). "Rumor Roundup: Ravi Patel’s Super PAC, Webb’s Loss, Adams In, Bertrand for Governor". Iowa Starting Line. Retrieved May 28, 2015.
- ↑ "Two bizarre takes on the IA-Sen Democratic primary". Bleeding Heartland. March 7, 2016. Retrieved March 8, 2016.
- ↑ "2016 Senate Race Ratings for March 25, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 4, 2016.
- ↑ "Election Outlook: 2016 Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved April 4, 2016.
- ↑ "2016 Race Ratings". Roll Call. Retrieved April 4, 2016.
- ↑ "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved April 7, 2016.
External Links
- Official campaign websites
- Chuck Grassley (R) for Senate
- Tom Fiegen (D) for Senate
- Rob Hogg (D) for Senate
- Patty Judge (D) for Senate
- Bob Krause (D) for Senate