United States Senate election in North Carolina, 2016

United States Senate election in North Carolina, 2016
North Carolina
November 8, 2016

 
Nominee Richard Burr Deborah Ross
Party Republican Democratic


Incumbent U.S. Senator

Richard Burr
Republican


The 2016 United States Senate election in North Carolina will take place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of North Carolina, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Primary elections were held March 15.[1]

Incumbent Republican Senator Richard Burr is running for re-election to a third term in office.

Republican primary

There had been speculation that Burr might retire,[2] but he said in September 2014 that he was "planning" on running[3] and reaffirmed this in January 2015.[4] If Burr had retired, the seat was expected to draw significant interest, with potential Republican candidates including U.S. Representatives George Holding, Mark Meadows, and Robert Pittenger, Labor Commissioner Cherie K. Berry, Lieutenant Governor Dan Forest, Agriculture Commissioner Steve Troxler, State Senator Philip E. Berger, and former Ambassador to Denmark James P. Cain.[2][3]

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Richard
Burr
Greg
Brannon
Paul
Wright
Larry
Holmquist
Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 11-13, 2016 749 ±3.6% 48% 20% 4% 3% 24%
High Point University March 9-10, 2016 734 ±2.5% 56% 20% 5% 3% 17%
SurveyUSA March 4-7, 2016 688 ±3.8% 45% 17% 7% 4% 27%
SurveyUSA February 14-16, 2016 437 ±2.8% 45% 14% 6% 6% 30%
Public Policy Polling February 14-16, 2016 597 ±4.0% 56% 13% 4% 3% 24%
High Point University January 30-February 4, 2016 477 ±4.5% 46% 10% 5% 2% 37%
Public Policy Polling January 18-19, 2016 433 ±3.2% 55% 10% 6% 5% 24%

Results

Republican primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Richard Burr 622,074 61.4%
Republican Greg Brannon 255,030 25.2%
Republican Paul Wright 85,944 8.5%
Republican Larry Holmquist 50,010 4.9%
Total votes 1,013,058 100%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kevin
Griffin
Ernest
Reeves
Chris
Rey
Deborah
Ross
Undecided
Public Policy Polling March 11-13, 2016 746 ±3.6% 4% 8% 8% 40% 41%
High Point University March 9-10, 2016 669 ±2.5% 9% 5% 7% 52% 27%
SurveyUSA March 4-7, 2016 687 ±3.8% 7% 6% 9% 34% 44%
SurveyUSA February 14-16, 2016 449 ±2.8% 7% 3% 5% 30% 55%
Public Policy Polling February 14-16, 2016 575 ±4.1% 10% 2% 10% 22% 55%
High Point University January 30-February 4, 2016 478 ±4.5% 6% 4% 5% 19% 66%
Public Policy Polling January 18-19, 2016 461 ±3.2% 14% 3% 10% 19% 55%
Public Policy Polling December 5-7, 2015 555 ± 2.8% 15% - 5% 41% 39%
Public Policy Polling October 23-25, 2015 421 ± 4.8% 16% - 6% 33% 45%

Results

Democratic primary results[51]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Deborah Ross 607,915 62.4%
Democratic Chris Rey 160,715 16.5%
Democratic Kevin Griffin 114,250 11.7%
Democratic Ernest Reeves 91,763 9.4%
Total votes 974,643 100%

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[53] Lean R March 25, 2016
Daily Kos[54] Likely R April 3, 2016
Roll Call[55] Lean R April 3, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[56] Lean R April 7, 2016

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Richard
Burr (R)
Deborah
Ross (D)
Sean
Haugh (L)
Undecided
Civitas Institute April 23–25, 2016 600 ±4.0% 39% 38% 7% 16%
Public Policy Polling April 22–24, 2016 960 ±3.2% 40% 36% 7% 17%
Elon University Poll April 10–15, 2016 621 ±3.9% 37% 33% 30%
Public Policy Polling March 18–20, 2016 843 ±3.4% 40% 35% 7% 18%
High Point University March 9–10, 2016 1,576 ±2.5% 48% 41% 11%
SurveyUSA February 14–16, 2016 1,250 ±2.8% 45% 37% 18%
Public Policy Polling February 14–16, 2016 1,291 ±2.7% 43% 37% 20%
Public Policy Polling January 18–19, 2016 948 ±3.2% 43% 33% 23%
Public Policy Polling December 5–7, 2015 1,214 ±2.8% 46% 35% 19%
Public Policy Polling October 23–25, 2015 893 ±3.3% 43% 39% 18%
Public Policy Polling September 24–27, 2015 1,268 ±2.8% 45% 34% 21%
Public Policy Polling Aug 12–16, 2015 957 ±3.2% 43% 36% 21%

See also

References

  1. WRAL: North Carolina primaries officially on March 15 with signing
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 Cahn, Emily (December 11, 2013). "Opportunities Now and Later in North Carolina". Roll Call. Retrieved December 11, 2013.
  3. 1 2 3 4 "Rumors Aside, Burr Says He'll Run Again". National Journal. September 15, 2014. Retrieved September 22, 2014.
  4. "Sen. Burr confirms he will run in 2016". WNCN. January 6, 2015. Retrieved January 8, 2015.
  5. Brannon, Greg (December 21, 2015). "WATCH as I officially file as a Republican candidate for the United States Senate!". Facebook. Retrieved December 21, 2015.
  6. Campbell, Colin (December 21, 2015). "Republican Greg Brannon challenges Richard Burr in second Senate bid". The News & Observer. Retrieved December 21, 2015.
  7. Johnson, Paul B. (September 23, 2015). "Triad Republican to challenge Burr in Senate primary". High Point Enterprise. Retrieved October 13, 2015.
  8. Krueger, Sarah (September 24, 2015). "Larry Holmquist enters Senate race, challenging Richard Burr". WGHP. Retrieved October 13, 2015.
  9. "Former judge Wright running for Burr’s Senate seat". Asheville Citizen-Times. September 11, 2015. Retrieved September 12, 2015.
  10. Clifton, Brant (June 27, 2015). "#NCSEN: Draft Mark Meadows for, um, SENATE ????". The Daily Haymaker. Retrieved June 28, 2015.
  11. Wynne, John (June 26, 2015). "Best Week in NC Politics: Rep. Mark Meadows". PoliticsNC. Retrieved June 28, 2015.
  12. "Draft effort underway for Mark Meadows for US Senate in NC". RedState. June 27, 2015. Retrieved June 28, 2015.
  13. Barrett, Mark (December 1, 2015). "Mark Meadows files for third term". Asheville Citizen-Times. Retrieved December 3, 2015.
  14. Arkin, James (January 8, 2016). "Bolton Endorses 16 for Re-Election to Congress". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved January 10, 2016.
  15. 1 2 "Primary endorsements 2016: U.S. Senate races". Winston-Salem Journal. February 29, 2016. Retrieved March 8, 2016.
  16. NC State Board of Elections
  17. Leslie, Laura (October 15, 2015). "Durham businessman joining Dem field in US Senate race". WRAL-TV. Retrieved October 29, 2015.
  18. "Candidate Listing" (PDF). North Carolina State Board of Elections. Retrieved December 21, 2015.
  19. Woolverton, Paul (September 21, 2015). "Spring Lake Mayor Chris Rey announces run for US Senate". Fayetteville Observer. Retrieved September 21, 2015.
  20. Burns, Matthew (October 14, 2015). "Ex-Wake lawmaker Ross enters US Senate race". WRAL-TV. Retrieved October 14, 2015.
  21. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Cheney, Kyle (December 29, 2014). "16 in '16: The new battle for the Senate". Politico. Retrieved December 29, 2014.
  22. 1 2 3 4 Cahn, Emily (March 13, 2015). "Democrats Prep North Carolina Contingency Plan". Roll Call. Retrieved March 13, 2015.
  23. 1 2 3 4 Curliss, J. Andrew (March 29, 2015). "Sunday Dome: US Sen. Burr plans fight against... (insert name here)". The News & Observer. Retrieved June 18, 2015.
  24. "Attorney General Announces Candidacy For Governor". Charlotte Observer. November 6, 2014. Retrieved November 7, 2014.
  25. Mark Binke (October 13, 2015). "NC Treasurer Cowell won't seek re-election". WRAL-TV. Retrieved October 13, 2015.
  26. Batts, Mat (December 17, 2015). "Group wants Cunningham to run in 8th District for Democrats". The Dispatch. Retrieved December 18, 2015.
  27. Pathé, Simone (August 28, 2015). "DSCC Talking to Potential Burr Challengers in North Carolina". Roll Call. Retrieved August 31, 2015.
  28. Wynne, John (August 31, 2015). "A New Name". PoliticsNC. Retrieved August 31, 2015.
  29. Campbell, Colin (December 4, 2015). "NC Sen. Joel Ford won't run against Sen. Richard Burr". The News & Observer. Retrieved December 7, 2015.
  30. Matt Vasilogambros (April 29, 2013). "What You Need to Know About Obama Transportation Pick Anthony Foxx". National Journal. Retrieved September 9, 2013.
  31. Kelly Cohen (September 17, 2014). "Foxx won't run for Senate in 2016". The Washington Examiner. Retrieved October 2, 2014.
  32. Cahn, Emily; Lesniewski, Niels (June 23, 2015). "Kay Hagan Won’t Challenge Richard Burr in 2016". Roll Call. Retrieved June 23, 2015.
  33. Bonner, Lynn (October 13, 2015). "NC Rep. Hall won’t run for U.S. Senate". The News & Observer. Retrieved October 13, 2015.
  34. "Candidates file to run for Durham county commissioners, DPS school board". The News & Observer. December 2, 2015. Retrieved December 3, 2015.
  35. Wynne, John (June 11, 2015). "Jeff Jackson: Running for (State) Senate". PoliticsNC. Retrieved June 11, 2015.
  36. Young, Wesley (September 9, 2015). "Joines announces plans to run for fifth term". Winston-Salem Journal. Retrieved September 10, 2015.
  37. Binker, Mark (October 10, 2015). "Dems search for a challenger to Burr". WRAL-TV. Retrieved October 14, 2015.
  38. D.G. Martin (January 26, 2015). "Tom Ross: 30 Years Later, in William Friday’s Footsteps". Chapel Hill News. Retrieved January 29, 2015.
  39. Cook, Austin (November 5, 2015). "Ross passes on 2016 U.S. Senate bid". Old Gold & Black. Retrieved December 3, 2015.
  40. Roarty, Alex (August 6, 2015). "Heath Shuler Is Exploring a North Carolina Senate Run". National Journal. Retrieved August 7, 2015.
  41. Pathé, Simone (October 5, 2015). "Democrats Still Seek Strong Challenger to Burr in North Carolina". Roll Call. Retrieved October 7, 2015.
  42. Roarty, Alex (June 24, 2015). "Hagan’s Decision Leaves Democrats With Few Options in North Carolina". National Journal. Retrieved June 30, 2015.
  43. Wuzzardo, Kevin (July 14, 2015). "Stein Off List of Potential Challengers to Sen. Burr". WWAY. Retrieved July 16, 2015.
  44. Colin Campbell (January 2, 2015). "Greenville mayor says a 2016 run against Sen. Richard Burr is ‘speculation’". The News & Observer. Retrieved January 6, 2015.
  45. Wuzzardo, Kevin (May 4, 2015). "NC State Auditor Beth Wood Running for Re-election". WWAY. Retrieved August 31, 2015.
  46. "Nags Head Mayor Bob Edwards is the latest to join Team Deborah". Deborah Ross for US Senate. December 23, 2015. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
  47. Marciniak, Larry (December 14, 2015). "The Endorsement Of Deborah Ross". Tell The Truth On Them. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
  48. Press, Associated (January 19, 2016). "Ross, Cooper, Coleman get North Carolina AFL-CIO endorsement". WECT. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
  49. Morrill, Jim (January 21, 2016). "Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee backs Ross for U.S. Senate". Charlotte Observer. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
  50. "Deborah Ross- EMILY's List". EMILY's List. January 21, 2016. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
  51. NC State Board of Elections
  52. Ziggler, Jed (October 7, 2015). "Sean Haugh: “I Intend to Run for U.S. Senate as a Libertarian in North Carolina in 2016”". Independent Political Report. Retrieved October 13, 2015.
  53. "2016 Senate Race Ratings for March 25, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 3, 2016.
  54. "Election Outlook: 2016 Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved April 3, 2016.
  55. "2016 Race Ratings". Roll Call. Retrieved April 3, 2016.
  56. "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved April 7, 2016.

External links

Official campaign websites
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