United States presidential election in Ohio, 2016

United States presidential election in Ohio, 2016
Ohio
November 8, 2016
 
Nominee TBA Donald Trump
(presumptive)
Party Democratic Republican
Home state New York
Running mate TBA TBA

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

 Elected President

TBD

The 2016 United States presidential election in Ohio will take place on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 general election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participate. Ohio voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote.

Presidential primary elections for three parties were also held in Ohio, concurrently with Florida, Illinois, Missouri and North Carolina on March 15, 2016. For the Democratic Party, 143 pledged delegates to the 2016 Democratic National Convention will be elected and will be awarded proportionally to candidates, according to statewide vote. The ballot will feature three candidates, consisting former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, Senator Bernie Sanders and businessman Rocky De La Fuente. Both Clinton and Sanders are the frontrunning candidates, with Clinton maintaining a lead in the state's recent opinion polling, despite Sanders' victories in the midwestern states before the primaries on March 15. In the Republican Party's presidential primaries, the leader in the state's popular vote will be awarded all of the state's 66 delegates to the 2016 Republican National Convention. The state's governor, John Kasich, stands as the most popular candidate in opinion polling, against leading candidate Donald Trump, who had narrowly won Michigan against Kasich and conceded losses in inland midwestern states to Senator Ted Cruz. The Green Party of Ohio will be holding a privately-funded preference primary, as part of the Green Party of the United States' presidential primaries, although no delegates to the 2016 Green National Convention will be elected through this primary; they will instead be elected by delegates at the Green Party of Ohio's state convention on April 3, 2016.

Background

President Barack Obama signs a memorial wall at Mentor High School in Mentor, Ohio. While described as a swing state, Ohio had reliably voted Democrat in the preceding two presidential elections.

Article Two of the United States Constitution provides that for a person to be elected and serve as President of the United States, the individual must be a natural-born citizen of the United States, at least 35 years old, and a resident of the United States for a period of no less than 14 years. Candidates for the presidency typically seek the nomination of one of the various Political parties of the United States, in which case each party devises a method (such as a primary election) to choose the candidate the party deems best suited to run for the position. The primary elections are usually indirect elections where voters cast ballots for a slate of party delegates pledged to a particular candidate. The party's delegates then officially nominate a candidate to run on the party's behalf. The general election in November is also an indirect election, where voters cast ballots for a slate of members of the Electoral College; these electors in turn directly elect the President and Vice President.

The incumbent, President Barack Obama, a Democrat and former U.S. Senator from Illinois, is ineligible to seek reelection to a third term due to restrictions of the Twenty-second Amendment; in accordance with Section 1 of the Twentieth Amendment, his term expires at noon on January 20, 2017. In the 2008 election, Obama was elected president, defeating the Republican nominee, Senator John McCain of Arizona, receiving 52.9% of the popular vote and 68% of the electoral vote.[1][2] Obama succeeded two-term Republican President George W. Bush, the former Governor of Texas. Since the end of 2009, polling companies such as Gallup have found Obama's approval ratings to be between 40 and 50 percent.[3][4] Analysts such as Larry Sabato have noted that Obama's approval ratings could impact the 2016 campaign, helping or hurting the Democratic candidate.[5][6] If Obama and Vice President Joe Biden serve out the remainder of their respective terms, the voters will elect the 45th President and 48th Vice President of the United States, respectively.

In the 2010 midterm elections, the Democratic Party suffered significant losses in Congress; the Republicans gained 63 seats in the House of Representatives (thus taking control of the chamber), and six seats in the Senate, though short of achieving a majority. As a result of the Republicans' recapture of the House, John Boehner became the 53rd Speaker of the House of Representatives. This made Obama the first President in 16 years to lose the House of Representatives in the first half of his first term, in an election that was characterized by the economy's slow recovery, and the rise of the Tea Party movement.[7] In the 2012 presidential election, incumbent President Barack Obama defeated former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, with 51.1% of the popular vote and 332 (or 61.7%) of 538 electoral votes.[8] Meanwhile, Republicans retained their majority of seats in the House of Representatives despite minor losses, while Democrats increased their majority in the Senate.[2] Speculation about the 2016 campaign began almost immediately following the 2012 campaign, with New York magazine declaring the race had begun in an article published on November 8, 2012, two days after the 2012 election.[9] On the same day, Politico released an article predicting the 2016 general election may be between Hillary Clinton and Jeb Bush, while a New York Times article named Chris Christie and Cory Booker as potential candidates.[10][11] In the 2014 midterm elections, voter turnout was the lowest seen in 70 years, with only 34.4% of eligible voters voting.[12] As a result of the election, the Republicans retained control of the House of Representatives, increasing their majority to its largest level since 1928. Republicans also gained a majority in the Senate.

Primary elections

Green Party

The Green Party of Ohio participated in the March 15 primaries in Ohio, though they did not hold their presidential primary during the event.[13] Instead, delegates to the Green National Convention were awarded based on presidential preference through a nominating convention in Columbus on April 3. Members of the Green Party of Ohio were able to vote in the convention.[14][15]

Ohio Green Party presidential convention, April 3, 2016[16]
Candidate Votes Percentage National delegates
Jill Stein - 61% 6
William Kreml - 19% 2
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry - 12% 1
Darryl Cherney - 5% -
Kent Mesplay - 3% -
Total - 100.00% 9

Democratic primary

Ohio Democratic primary, 2016
Ohio
March 15, 2016
 
Candidate Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders
Home state New York Vermont

County results

The Democratic Party's presidential primaries in Ohio are being held on March 15, 2016, concurrently with primaries in Florida, Illinois, Missouri and North Carolina. The state's 143 pledged delegates to the 2016 Democratic National Convention will be rewarded proportionally according to the statewide vote total. Three candidates appear on the ballot for the primary โ€“ former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, Senator Bernie Sanders and businessman Rocky De La Fuente.

Background

By the time Ohio holds its primaries, voters from 21 states and two territories would have already cast their vote for the presidential nomination of the Democratic Party. As of the March 12 elections, Hillary Clinton was projected to have earned 775 pledged delegates to Bernie Sanders' 552.[17] Clinton gained significant victories in the Southern United States, often described as her "firewall",[18] including landslide victories in Mississippi and Alabama and Georgia.[19][20] In contrast, Bernie Sanders managed to gain victories in the Midwestern United States,[21] where Ohio resides, including an upset victory in neighboring Michigan on March 8.[22][23] After the fact, Sanders' campaign took advantage of the momentum gained from the Michigan win, by targeting Illinois, Missouri and Ohio in the March 15 elections, hoping to repeat the same result. Sanders stated that "Not only is Michigan the gateway to the rest of the industrial Midwest, the results there show that we are a national campaign."[24]

Before the Michigan primaries, Clinton and Sanders had debated over economic policies relating to the industrial midwest states and the so-called "rust belt". The disagreements centered around trade deals, including the Trans-Pacific Partnership and Clinton's past support of the North American Free Trade Agreement, and its effect on economies such as Michigan and Ohio.[25][26]

Controversy

Ohio is defined as one of at least seventeen states that has laws allowing voters who are 17 years of age, but will be 18 by the time of the general election, to vote in the presidential primaries.[27] However, Ohio Secretary of State Jon A. Husted had announced in December 2015 that 17 year olds would be outright barred from participating in the 2016 primaries. The rationale for the decision was based on an interpretation of the law in which 17 year olds could "nominate" officials for office, but not "elect". In the case of the presidential primaries, by definition, voters would be electing officials - delegates to each party's presidential nominating convention.[28] The decision was met with criticism by the public, after it was brought to mainstream attention by Representative Kathleen Clyde, after she condemned the rule in a statement released on March 5. Clyde described it as a "underhanded, backroom attack" against young voters.[29] Nine teenagers filed a lawsuit with the Ohio Courts of Common Pleas in Franklin County over the decision, stating that the decision contradicted state law and a decision by the Supreme Court of the United States that allowed 17 year olds turning 18 by the general election to vote.[30]

Bernie Sanders' campaign, whose voter base includes the majority of young voters,[31][32] also filed a lawsuit against the decision, accusing Husted of "arbitrarily" and "unconsititutionally" discriminating against young African-American and Latino voters, citing data from the 2010 United States Census that shows younger voters in Ohio where mostly African-American and Latino.[33][34] Husted, in response to Sanders' lawsuit, said in a public statement that he welcomed the lawsuit, further stating that "I am very happy to be sued on this issue because the law is crystal clear",[33] though, he later spoke out negatively against the lawsuit, claiming that it was a "a last-minute political act", designed to "draw attention to his campaign."[35] Many Ohio officials, past and present, such as former Ohio Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner, came out in support of Sanders' lawsuit,[36] and had attracted protests by not only Bernie Sanders supporters, but also Donald Trump supporters as well.[37] In a decision handed down on March 11, an Ohio state judge ruled in favour of both lawsuits by the teenage group and the Sanders campaign, effectively lifting the ban on 17 year olds from voting in the Ohio presidential primaries.[38] Husted initially announced that he would appeal the ruling,[39] however, after learning that such an appeal wouldn't be heard by the court until the day before the primaries, he retracted his intent to appeal.[40]

Debates and Forums

March 13, 2016 โ€“ Columbus, Ohio

The ninth forum was held at 8:00 pm EDT on March 13, 2016, at the campus of Ohio State University in Columbus, Ohio, and aired on CNN.[41]

March 14, 2016 โ€“ Columbus, Ohio and Springfield, Illinois

The tenth forum was held at 6:00 pm EDT on March 14, 2016, at the campus of Ohio State University in Columbus, Ohio, and at the Old State Capitol State Historic Site (Illinois) in Springfield, Illinois. It aired on MSNBC. The first section of the town hall with Bernie Sanders was moderated by Chuck Todd; the second section of the town hall with Hillary Clinton was moderated by Chris Matthews.

Results

Ohio Democratic primary, March 15, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 696,681 56.12% 81 14 95
Bernie Sanders 535,395 43.13% 62 1 63
Rocky De La Fuente 9,402 0.76%
Uncommitted N/A 2 2
Total 1,241,478 100% 143 17 160
Source: The Green Papers
Ohio Democratic primary, March 15, 2016
District Delegates available Votes Delegates
Clinton Sanders De La Fuente Total Qualified total Clinton Sanders
1 4 42,600 29,747 272 72,619 72,347 2 2
2 4 39,061 30,597 483 70,141 69,658 2 2
3 12 59,740 43,898 302 103,940 103,638 7 5
4 4 29,317 25,831 677 55,825 55,148 2 2
5 4 32,068 32,279 544 64,891 64,347 2 2
6 4 32,611 27,413 1,545 61,569 60,024 2 2
7 4 33,596 27,823 745 62,164 61,419 2 2
8 4 26,463 21,879 413 48,755 48,342 2 2
9 8 55,401 42,141 680 98,222 97,542 5 3
10 4 41,641 31,089 350 73,080 72,730 2 2
11 17 91,235 43,124 382 134,741 134,359 12 5
12 4 38,046 34,109 352 72,507 72,155 2 2
13 8 56,933 45,981 1,055 103,969 102,914 4 4
14 4 43,317 33,627 537 77,481 76,944 2 2
15 4 33,764 32,516 516 66,796 66,280 2 2
16 4 40,888 33,341 549 74,778 74,229 2 2
Total 93 696,681 535,395 9,402 1,241,478 1,232,076 52 41
PLEO 19 11 8
At Large 31 18 13
Gr. Total 143 81 62
Total vote 56.12% 43.13% 0.76% 100.00% 99.24%
Source: Ohio Secretary of State Presidential Preference Primary Precinct Level Official Results (Democrat)

Republican primary

Ohio Republican primary, 2016
Ohio
March 15, 2016
 
Candidate John Kasich Donald Trump
Home state Ohio New York
Delegate count 66 0

County results

Results

Ohio Republican primary, March 15, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
John Kasich 933,886 46.95% 66 0 66
Donald Trump 713,404 35.87% 0 0 0
Ted Cruz 264,640 13.31% 0 0 0
Marco Rubio 46,478 2.34% 0 0 0
Ben Carson (withdrawn) 14,351 0.72% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 5,398 0.27% 0 0 0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) 4,941 0.25% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 2,430 0.12% 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) 2,112 0.11% 0 0 0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn) 1,320 0.07% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 1,988,960 100.00% 66 0 66
Source: The Green Papers

See also

References

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  2. 1 2 "Federal elections 2008" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. Retrieved March 7, 2016.
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  5. โ†‘ Sabato, Larry J. (March 7, 2016). "Clintonโ€™s Real Opponent: Barack Obama". Politico. Retrieved May 11, 2015.
  6. โ†‘ Cohn, Nate (January 16, 2015). "What a Rise in Obamaโ€™s Approval Rating Means for 2016". The New York Times (The New York Times Company). Retrieved March 7, 2016.
  7. โ†‘ "Mid-term Elections 2010: Democrats lose the House in Republican tsunami". Daily Mail. Retrieved March 7, 2016.
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  14. โ†‘ "Ohio Green Party Announces 2016 candidates and Presidential Nominating Convention date". Ohio Green Party. 2016-01-05. Retrieved 2016-02-20.
  15. โ†‘ "Ohio Green Party Presidential Nominating Convention (Columbus)". Ohio Green Party. 2016-01-05. Retrieved 2016-02-20.
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  29. โ†‘ Naymik, Mark (March 8, 2016). "Ohio 17-year-olds' presidential picks in Tuesday's primary won't count but pressure building to change the rule". Cleveland.com (The Plain Dealer). Advance Publications / Newhouse Newspapers. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
  30. โ†‘ O'Brien, Brendan (March 8, 2016). "Ohio 17-year-olds sue state for right to vote in primary". Reuters. Thomson Reuters. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
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  33. 1 2 Alcindor, Yamiche (March 8, 2016). "Bernie Sanders Sues Over Ohio Rule Barring 17-Year-Olds From Primary". The New York Times. The New York Times Company. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
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  38. โ†‘ Atkinson, Khorri (March 12, 2016). "Sanders campaign praises Ohio ruling that allows 17-year-olds to vote". MSNBC. NBCUniversal. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
  39. โ†‘ Palmer, Kim (March 11, 2016). "17-Year-Olds Should Be Allowed To Vote In Ohio Primary, Judge Rules". The Huffington Post. AOL. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
  40. โ†‘ LoBianco, Tom (March 12, 2016). "In victory for Sanders, Ohio judge says 17-year-olds can vote in primary". CNN. Turner Broadcasting System (Time Warner). Retrieved March 13, 2016.
  41. โ†‘ "CNN, TV One to host presidential town hall". CNN. March 13, 2016. Retrieved March 13, 2016.

External links

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