Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2016
2016 U.S. presidential election |
---|
Democratic Party |
Republican Party |
Minor parties |
This article is a collection of statewide polls for the United States presidential election, 2016. The polls listed here provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Democratic candidate against a possible Republican candidate. Not all states will conduct polling for the election due to various factors, while others that are considered swing states usually put out more polls.
Note: All polls are two way races unless otherwise specified
Alaska
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–38%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–41%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alaska Dispatch News/Ivan Moore Research[1] | January, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44.1% | Donald Trump | 49.3% | 5.2 | 651 | ? |
Hillary Clinton | 37.5% | Ted Cruz | 56.9% | 19.4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 37.9% | Marco Rubio | 56.7% | 18.8 |
Arizona
11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Behavior Research Center | April 4–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 35% | 7 | 564 | ± 4.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 38% | Ted Cruz | 43% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 32% | John Kasich | 44% | 12 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 54% | Donald Trump | 33% | 21 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 48% | Ted Cruz | 34% | 14 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 47% | John Kasich | 33% | 14 | ||||
Merrill Poll/WestGroup | March 7–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 38% | Tied | 701 | ± 3.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 35% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Donald Trump | 36% | 3 |
Arkansas
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2012) 61%–37%
No polls yet
California
55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 60%–37%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KABC/SurveyUSA | April 27–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 56% | Donald Trump | 34% | 22 | 1,683 | ± 2.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 57% | Ted Cruz | 29% | 28 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | John Kasich | 34% | 19 | ||||
SurveyUSA | March 30–April 3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 60% | Donald Trump | 26% | 34 | 1,507 | ± 2.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 57% | Ted Cruz | 32% | 25 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 56% | John Kasich | 33% | 23 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 63% | Donald Trump | 24% | 39 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 61% | Ted Cruz | 26% | 35 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 57% | John Kasich | 28% | 29 | ||||
Field | March 24–April 4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 59% | Donald Trump | 31% | 28 | 1,400 | ± 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Ted Cruz | 32% | 23 | ||||
USC-LAT | March 16–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 59% | Donald Trump | 28% | 31 | ||
Hillary Clinton | 59% | Ted Cruz | 31% | 28 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | John Kasich | 35% | 19 |
Colorado
9 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–46%
No polls yet
Connecticut
7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | April 10–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 40% | 8 | 1,043 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Ted Cruz | 31% | 21 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 38% | John Kasich | 49% | 11 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 49% | Donald Trump | 40% | 9 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 55% | Ted Cruz | 30% | 25 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 40% | John Kasich | 48% | 8 |
Florida
29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2012) 50%–49%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Associated Industries of Florida | April 25–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 36% | 13 | 604 | ± 5% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 9 | ||||
Marist | March 4–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 41% | 8 | 2,422 | ± 2.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 43% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 50% | Donald Trump | 42% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 48% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 7 | ||||
CNN/ORC | March 2–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 43% | 7 | 854 | 3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Marco Rubio | 48% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 47% | 1 | ||||
SurveyUSA/Bay News 9/News 13[2] | March 4–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 45% | 1 | 1961 | 2.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 1 | ||||
Public Policy Polling[3] | February 24–25, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 46% | 2 | 1012 | 3.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Donald Trump | 47% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 46% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 7 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 2 | ||||
Florida Southern College Center | January 30–February 6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44.56% | Donald Trump | 37.56% | 7 | 608 | 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 42.67% | Marco Rubio | 45.17% | 2.5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44.9% | Ted Cruz | 41.69% | 3.21 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41.68% | Jeb Bush | 44.97% | 3.29 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 47.99% | Donald Trump | 38.78% | 9.21 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44.27% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 1.27 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 46.07% | Ted Cruz | 36.73% | 9.34 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 45.21% | Jeb Bush | 40.77% | 4.44 | ||||
Florida Atlantic University[4] | January 15–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 3 | 1008 | 3.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 47% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 42% | Donald Trump | 47% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 46% | Tied | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 42% | Marco Rubio | 47% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 43% | Ted Cruz | 43% | Tied | ||||
Georgia
16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–45%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lake Research | March 31–April 3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 37% | 13 | 400 | ± 4.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 7 | ||||
SurveyUSA | February 22–23, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 50% | 9 | 1,261 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 50% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Ted Cruz | 49% | 7 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 41% | Donald Trump | 49% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 41% | Marco Rubio | 49% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 42% | Ted Cruz | 48% | 6 |
Idaho
4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 61%–36%
(Republican in 2012) 64%–32%
No polls yet
Illinois
20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marist | March 4–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 57% | Donald Trump | 32% | 25 | 1,968 | ± 2.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 11 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 60% | Donald Trump | 30% | 30 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 55% | Ted Cruz | 35% | 20 |
Indiana
11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 54%–44%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NBC/WSJ/Marist | April 26–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 41% | Donald Trump | 48% | 7 | 2,149 | ± 2.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 50% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 37% | John Kasich | 56% | 19 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 46% | Donald Trump | 47% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 48% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 46% | John Kasich | 47% | 1 | ||||
Howey | April 18–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 47% | 8 | 500 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 36% | Ted Cruz | 53% | 17 |
Iowa
6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Poling | January 8–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Jeb Bush | 43% | 3 | 1,901 | ± 2.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Ben Carson | 46% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 42% | Tied | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 47% | Jeb Bush | 39% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Ben Carson | 40% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 45% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 43% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 47% | Donald Trump | 42% | 5 | ||||
NBC/WSJ/Marist | January 2–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 40% | 8 | 1,470 | ± 2.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 47% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Marco Rubio | 47% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 51% | Donald Trump | 38% | 13 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 47% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Marco Rubio | 44% | Tied |
Kansas
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fort Hays State University | February 19–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 36% | Donald Trump | 46% | 10 | 440 | ± 5% |
Hillary Clinton | 35% | Ted Cruz | 49% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 32% | Marco Rubio | 51% | 19 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 43% | Donald Trump | 42% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 38% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 36% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 10 |
Kentucky
8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 57%–41%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%
No polls yet
Louisiana
8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–40%
(Republican in 2012) 58%–41%
No polls yet
Maine
4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%
No polls yet
Maryland
10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 62%–36%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | April 15–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 61% | Donald Trump | 28% | 33 | 879 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Ted Cruz | 24% | 34 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 54% | John Kasich | 33% | 21 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 60% | Donald Trump | 29% | 31 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 62% | Ted Cruz | 24% | 38 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 52% | John Kasich | 32% | 20 | ||||
NBC4/Marist | April 5–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 63% | Donald Trump | 27% | 36 | 2,563 | ± 1.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 60% | Ted Cruz | 31% | 29 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | John Kasich | 38% | 17 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 65% | Donald Trump | 26% | 39 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 63% | Ted Cruz | 28% | 35 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 55% | John Kasich | 36% | 19 | ||||
Washington Post/University of Maryland[5] | March 30 - April 4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 63% | Donald Trump | 28% | 35 | 1,503 | ± N/A% |
Massachusetts
11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 61%–38%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Western New England University | April 1–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 62% | Donald Trump | 26% | 36 | 497 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 63% | Ted Cruz | 30% | 33 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 70% | Donald Trump | 23% | 47 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 71% | Ted Cruz | 24% | 47 |
Michigan
16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–45%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | March 23–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 38% | 11 | 904 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 10 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | John Kasich | 46% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 55% | Donald Trump | 36% | 19 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 56% | Ted Cruz | 35% | 21 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 47% | John Kasich | 42% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Mitt Romney | 35% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Paul Ryan | 38% | 10 | ||||
EPIC-MRA | March 19–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 37% | 10 | 600 | ± 4% |
NBC/WSJ/Marist | March 1–3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Donald Trump | 36% | 16 | 2,229 | ± 2.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 7 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 56% | Donald Trump | 34% | 22 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 54% | Ted Cruz | 36% | 18 | ||||
Marketing Resource Group | February 22–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 39% | 5 | 600 | ± 4.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 2% | ||||
EPIC-MRA | January 23–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 41% | 2 | 600 | ± 4% |
Minnesota
10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–45%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Star Tribune | April 25–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 35% | 13 | 800 | ± 3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 49% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 9 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 53% | Donald Trump | 38% | 15 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 50% | Ted Cruz | 36% | 14 | ||||
Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon[6] | January 18–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 38% | 5 | 800 | ± 3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Marco Rubio | 49% | 9 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 53% | Donald Trump | 37% | 16 |
Mississippi
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon | March 28-30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 46% | 3 | 625 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Ted Cruz | 51% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 37% | John Kasich | 52% | 15 |
Three Way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Independent/
Third-party candidate |
% | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon | March 28-30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 39% | Donald Trump | 39% | "Third party candidate" | 13% | Tied | 625 | ± 4% |
Missouri
10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 49.4%–49.2%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead Margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DFM Research | March 17–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 40% | 2 | 674 | ± 3.8% |
Fort Hayes State University[7] | March 3-10, 2016 | Bernie Sanders | 37% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 6 | 475 | ? |
Hillary Clinton | 31% | Marco Rubio | 49% | 18 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 36% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 34% | Ted Cruz | 51% | 17 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 43% | Donald Trump | 40% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 43% | 5 |
Montana
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 49%–47%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–42%
No polls yet
Nevada
6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%
No polls yet
New Hampshire
4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WMUR | April 7–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 31% | 19 | 553 | ± 4.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 34% | 14 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 36% | John Kasich | 50% | 14 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 58% | Donald Trump | 31% | 27 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 61% | Ted Cruz | 30% | 31 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 50% | John Kasich | 44% | 6 | ||||
WMUR | February 20–28, 2016 | Bernie Sanders | 55% | Donald Trump | 34% | 21 | 628 | ± 3.9% |
Bernie Sanders | 60% | Ted Cruz | 28% | 32 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 54% | Marco Rubio | 35% | 19 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 48% | John Kasich | 40% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 39% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 35% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 37% | John Kasich | 47% | 10 | ||||
UMass Lowell/7News | February 5–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 40% | 5 | 1,411 | ± 2.99% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 55% | Donald Trump | 34% | 21 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 56% | Ted Cruz | 31% | 25 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 54% | Marco Rubio | 34% | 20 | ||||
UMass Lowell/7News | February 4–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 39% | 6 | 1,413 | ± 2.97% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 55% | Donald Trump | 33% | 22 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 57% | Ted Cruz | 30% | 27 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 55% | Marco Rubio | 35% | 20 | ||||
UMass Lowell/7News | February 3–5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 39% | 7 | 1,421 | ± 2.90% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 7 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 54% | Donald Trump | 34% | 20 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 57% | Ted Cruz | 30% | 27 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 54% | Marco Rubio | 35% | 19 | ||||
UMass Lowell/7News | February 2–4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 40% | 4 | 1,417 | ± 2.89% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 54% | Donald Trump | 34% | 20 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 54% | Ted Cruz | 33% | 21 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 51% | Marco Rubio | 37% | 14 | ||||
CNN/WMUR | January 13–18, 2016 | Bernie Sanders | 57% | Donald Trump | 34% | 23 | 903 | ± 3.4% |
Bernie Sanders | 56% | Ted Cruz | 33% | 23 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 55% | Marco Rubio | 37% | 18 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 57% | Chris Christie | 34% | 23 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 54% | John Kasich | 33% | 21 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 39% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Chris Christie | 42% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | John Kasich | 43% | Tied | ||||
NBC/WSJ/Marist | January 2–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 44% | 1 | 957 | ± 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 48% | 4 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Marco Rubio | 52% | 12 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 56% | Donald Trump | 37% | 19 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 55% | Ted Cruz | 36% | 19 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 50% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 9 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | January 4-6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Jeb Bush | 40% | 6 | 1,036 | ± 3% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ben Carson | 39% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 8 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 42% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 36% | 14 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 50% | Jeb Bush | 38% | 12 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 53% | Ben Carson | 34% | 19 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 55% | Ted Cruz | 35% | 20 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 51% | Marco Rubio | 37% | 14 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 54% | Donald Trump | 34% | 20 |
Three Way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Independent/
Third-party candidate |
% | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WMUR | April 7–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 22% | Donald Trump | 19% | 22 | 553 | ± 4.2% |
Public Policy Poling | January 4–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Ted Cruz | 28% | Donald Trump | 18% | 19 | 1,036 | ± 3% |
Public Policy Poling | January 4–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Marco Rubio | 29% | Donald Trump | 20% | 14 | 1,036 | ± 3% |
New Jersey
14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rutgers | April 1–8, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 36% | 14 | 738 | ± 4.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 50% | Ted Cruz | 35% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | John Kasich | 43% | Tied | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 55% | Donald Trump | 34% | 21 | ||||
Fairleigh Dickinson | February 24–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Donald Trump | 36% | 16 | 694 | ± 3.9% |
Bernie Sanders | 51% | Donald Trump | 36% | 15 |
New Mexico
5 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–43%
No polls yet
New York
29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 63%–35%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siena College | April 24–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 56% | Donald Trump | 30% | 26 | 802 | ± 4.1% |
Emerson College | April 15–17, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 55% | Donald Trump | 36% | 19 | 1,047 | ± 2.95% |
Hillary Clinton | 59% | Ted Cruz | 28% | 31 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | John Kasich | 39% | 10 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 51% | Donald Trump | 37% | 14 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 58% | Ted Cruz | 27% | 31 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | April 7–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 55% | Donald Trump | 35% | 20 | 1,403 | ± 2.6% |
Hillary Clinton | 56% | Ted Cruz | 30% | 26 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 50% | John Kasich | 36% | 14 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 58% | Donald Trump | 33% | 25 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 59% | Ted Cruz | 27% | 32 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 54% | John Kasich | 35% | 19 | ||||
NBC/WSJ/Marist | April 6–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 61% | Donald Trump | 32% | 29 | 1,987 | ± 2.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 61% | Ted Cruz | 31% | 30 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 53% | John Kasich | 38% | 15 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 64% | Donald Trump | 31% | 33 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 65% | Ted Cruz | 28% | 37 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 57% | John Kasich | 35% | 22 | ||||
NY1 | April 5–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 51% | Donald Trump | 35% | 16 | 1,306 | ± 2.9% |
Bernie Sanders | 54% | Donald Trump | 32% | 22 | ||||
Emerson College | April 6–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 54% | Donald Trump | 36% | 18 | 864 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Ted Cruz | 30% | 28 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | John Kasich | 41% | 7 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 51% | Donald Trump | 38% | 13 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 56% | Ted Cruz | 29% | 27 | ||||
Fox News Poll | April 4–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Donald Trump | 37% | 16 | 1,403 | ± 2.5% |
Bernie Sanders | 54% | Donald Trump | 35% | 19 | ||||
Quinnipiac University | March 22–29, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 53% | Donald Trump | 33% | 20 | 1,667 | ± 2.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 53% | Ted Cruz | 32% | 21 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 46% | John Kasich | 41% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 56% | Donald Trump | 32% | 24 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 56% | Ted Cruz | 28% | 28 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 47% | John Kasich | 37% | 10 | ||||
Emerson College | March 14–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 55% | Donald Trump | 36% | 19 | 768 | ± 3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 61% | Ted Cruz | 30% | 31 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 53% | Donald Trump | 36% | 17 | ||||
Siena College | February 28–March 3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 56% | Marco Rubio | 35% | 21 | 800 | ± 4.1% |
Hillary Clinton | 58% | Ted Cruz | 33% | 25 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 57% | Donald Trump | 34% | 23 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 49% | John Kasich | 42% | 7 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 58% | Marco Rubio | 32% | 26 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 63% | Ted Cruz | 26% | 37 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 57% | Donald Trump | 33% | 24 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 54% | John Kasich | 35% | 19 | ||||
Siena College[8] | January 31–February 3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 54% | Marco Rubio | 37% | 17 | 930 | ± 3.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 57% | Ted Cruz | 34% | 23 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 57% | Donald Trump | 32% | 25 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 57% | Jeb Bush | 33% | 24 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 57% | John Kasich | 31% | 26 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 55% | Chris Christie | 36% | 19 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 56% | Marco Rubio | 34% | 22 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 60% | Ted Cruz | 30% | 30 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 63% | Donald Trump | 30% | 33 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 61% | Jeb Bush | 30% | 31 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 59% | John Kasich | 29% | 30 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 58% | Chris Christie | 35% | 23 |
Three Way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Independent/
Third-party candidate |
% | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siena College | February 28–March 3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Michael Bloomberg | 26% | Donald Trump | 25% | 16 | 800 | ± 4.1% |
Siena College | February 28–March 3, 2016 | Bernie Sanders | 42% | Michael Bloomberg | 28% | Donald Trump | 24% | 14 | 800 | ± 4.1% |
North Carolina
15 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 50%–48%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Civitas | April 23-26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 37% | 12 | 600 | 4.0% |
Bernie Sanders | 54% | Donald Trump | 35% | 19 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | April 22-24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 44% | Tied | 960 | 3.2 |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | John Kasich | 46% | 7 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 46% | Donald Trump | 43% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 46% | Ted Cruz | 38% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 41% | John Kasich | 43% | 2 | ||||
Elon University | April 10–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 39% | 6 | 621 | 3.96 |
Hillary Clinton | 41% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 51% | Donald Trump | 38% | 13 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 49% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 10 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | March 18-20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 42% | 2 | 843 | 3.4 |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | John Kasich | 49% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 48% | Donald Trump | 41% | 7 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 45% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 41% | John Kasich | 44% | 3 | ||||
Elon University | February 15–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 41% | 6 | 1,530 | 2.51 |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 46% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 48% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 48% | Donald Trump | 40% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 47% | Ted Cruz | 43% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 43% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 3 | ||||
SurveyUSA | February 14–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 45% | 2 | 1,250 | 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 48% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Marco Rubio | 49% | 7 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Donald Trump | 44% | Tied | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 46% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 45% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 1 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | February 14–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 42% | Jeb Bush | 44% | 2 | 1,291 | 2.7% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 46% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 40% | Marco Rubio | 49% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 44% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 43% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 43% | Ted Cruz | 43% | Tied | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 41% | Marco Rubio | 45% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Donald Trump | 42% | 2 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | January 18–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Jeb Bush | 45% | 2 | 948 | 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ben Carson | 47% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 46% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Marco Rubio | 47% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 45% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 41% | Jeb Bush | 42% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 40% | Ben Carson | 44% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 38% | Ted Cruz | 43% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 43% | Donald Trump | 44% | 1 |
Three Way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Independent/
Third-party candidate |
% | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | February 14–16, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 39% | Michael Bloomberg | 14% | 2 | 1,291 | ± 2.7% |
Public Policy Polling | February 14–16, 2016 | Bernie Sanders | 34% | Donald Trump | 40% | Michael Bloomberg | 16% | 6 | 1,291 | ± 2.7% |
Public Policy Polling | January 18–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 41% | Michael Bloomberg | 10% | 1 | 948 | 3.2% |
Public Policy Polling | January 18–19, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 40% | Donald Trump | 42% | Jim Webb | 7% | 2 | 948 | 3.2% |
Ohio
18 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–48%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | April 26–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 42% | 3 | 799 | 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 35% | 9 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 41% | John Kasich | 43% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 45% | Donald Trump | 41% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Ted Cruz | 35% | 9 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 37% | John Kasich | 47% | 10 | ||||
Marist | March 4–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48% | Donald Trump | 42% | 6 | 2,052 | ± 2.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 47% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 36% | John Kasich | 57% | 21 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 50% | Donald Trump | 41% | 9 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 45% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 1 | ||||
Public Policy Polling | March 4–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 5 | 1,248 | 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 37% | John Kasich | 52% | 15 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Marco Rubio | 41% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 40% | 5 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Ted Cruz | 38% | 6 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 34% | John Kasich | 54% | 20 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 42% | Marco Rubio | 38% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Donald Trump | 40% | 4 | ||||
CNN/ORC | March 2–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 50% | Donald Trump | 43% | 7 | 884 | 3.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 2 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 51% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 9 | ||||
Quinnipiac University[9] | February 16-20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 46% | 3 | 1,539 | 2.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 37% | John Kasich | 54% | 17 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Marco Rubio | 47% | 5 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 42% | Donald Trump | 44% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 35% | John Kasich | 54% | 19 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 42% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 2 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 44% | Donald Trump | 44% | Tied |
Three Way race
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Independent/
Third-party candidate |
% | Lead margin | Sample size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | March 4–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 37% | Donald Trump | 37% | Michael Bloomberg | 15% | Tied | 1,248 | ± 2.8% |
Public Policy Polling | March 4–6, 2016 | Bernie Sanders | 38% | Donald Trump | 37% | Michael Bloomberg | 13% | 1 | 1,248 | ± 2.8% |
Quinnipiac
University[9] |
February 16-20, 2016 | Bernie Sanders | 37% | Ted Cruz | 37% | Michael Bloomberg | 11% | Tied | 1,539 | 2.5% |
Quinnipiac
University[9] |
February 16-20, 2016 | Bernie Sanders | 35% | Donald Trump | 38% | Michael Bloomberg | 13% | 3 | 1,539 | 2.5% |
Oklahoma
7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 66%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 67%–33%
No polls yet
Oregon
7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–42%
No polls yet
Pennsylvania
20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–47%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NBC/WSJ/Marist | April 18–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 54% | Donald Trump | 39% | 15 | 2,606 | ± 1.9% |
Hillary Clinton | 52% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 11 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | John Kasich | 48% | 3 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 57% | Donald Trump | 37% | 20 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 58% | Ted Cruz | 36% | 22 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 50% | John Kasich | 44% | 6 | ||||
Fox News Poll | April 4–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 44% | Tied | 1,607 | ± 2.5% |
Quinnipiac University | March 30–April 4, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 42% | 3 | 1,737 | ± 2.4% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 43% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 35% | John Kasich | 51% | 16 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 48% | Donald Trump | 40% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 46% | Ted Cruz | 38% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 40% | John Kasich | 46% | 6 | ||||
Franklin & Marshall College | March 14–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 33% | 13 | 828 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 35% | 10 | ||||
Mercyhurst University | March 1–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 43% | Donald Trump | 35% | 8 | 421 | ± 4.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 42% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 36% | John Kasich | 49% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | Marco Rubio | 47% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 49% | Donald Trump | 37% | 12 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 48% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 8 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 42% | John Kasich | 46% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 41% | Marco Rubio | 46% | 5 | ||||
Harper Polling | March 1–2, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 45% | Donald Trump | 40% | 5 | 662 | ± 3.75% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 40% | 6 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 48% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 11 |
South Carolina
9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%
No polls yet
Texas
38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2012) 57%–41%
No polls yet
Utah
6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 73%–25%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dan Jones & Associates | March 23–April 5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 38% | Tied | 600 | ± 4.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 26% | Ted Cruz | 67% | 41 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 23% | John Kasich | 68% | 45 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 49% | Donald Trump | 35% | 14 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 32% | Ted Cruz | 63% | 31 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 30% | John Kasich | 64% | 34 | ||||
Dan Jones & Associates | March 8–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 38% | Donald Trump | 36% | 2 | 500 | ± 4.38% |
Hillary Clinton | 32% | Ted Cruz | 60% | 28 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 29% | John Kasich | 59% | 30 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 48% | Donald Trump | 37% | 11 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Ted Cruz | 53% | 14 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 35% | John Kasich | 54% | 19 |
Virginia
13 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–47%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Christopher Newport University | March 23–April 3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 44% | Donald Trump | 35% | 9 | 1,167 | ± 3.1% |
Roanoke College | January 18–26, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 52% | Donald Trump | 35% | 17 | 524 | ± 4.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 4 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 55% | Donald Trump | 33% | 22 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 48% | Marco Rubio | 38% | 10 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 49% | Ted Cruz | 37% | 12 |
Washington
12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%
No polls yet
West Virginia
5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 62%–36%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | April 29–May 1, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 30% | Donald Trump | 57% | 27 | 1,201 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 31% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 13 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 27% | John Kasich | 52% | 25 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 35% | Donald Trump | 56% | 21 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 39% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 31% | John Kasich | 48% | 17 |
Wisconsin
10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–46%
Poll source | Date administered | Democrat | % | Republican | % | Lead margin | Sample Size | Margin of error |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Norbert College/WPR/WPT | April 12–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 46% | Donald Trump | 34% | 12 | 616 | ± 4% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 52% | Donald Trump | 33% | 19 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 50% | Ted Cruz | 40% | 10 | ||||
Emerson | March 30–April 3, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 37% | 10 | 1,198 | ± 2.8% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 43% | 3 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 38% | John Kasich | 52% | 14 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 51% | Donald Trump | 37% | 14 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 50% | Ted Cruz | 41% | 9 | ||||
FOX News | March 28–30, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 49% | Donald Trump | 35% | 14 | 1,602 | ± 2.5% |
Marquette University | March 24–28, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 37% | 10 | 1,405 | ± 3.3% |
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Ted Cruz | 44% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 39% | John Kasich | 48% | 9 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 54% | Donald Trump | 35% | 19 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 52% | Ted Cruz | 39% | 13 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 46% | John Kasich | 44% | 2 | ||||
Emerson | March 20–22, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 38% | 9 | 922 | ± 3.2% |
Hillary Clinton | 46% | Ted Cruz | 45% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 47% | Donald Trump | 39% | 9 | ||||
Marquette University | February 18–21, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 37% | 10 | 802 | ± 4.5% |
Hillary Clinton | 43% | Ted Cruz | 43% | Tied | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 44% | Marco Rubio | 43% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 54% | Donald Trump | 34% | 20 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 53% | Ted Cruz | 35% | 18 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 53% | Marco Rubio | 35% | 18 | ||||
Marquette University | January 21–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 47% | Donald Trump | 38% | 9 | 806 | ± 4.0% |
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Marco Rubio | 44% | 1 | ||||
Hillary Clinton | 45% | Ted Cruz | 44% | 1 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 52% | Donald Trump | 34% | 18 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 49% | Marco Rubio | 38% | 11 | ||||
Bernie Sanders | 50% | Ted Cruz | 38% | 12 |
Wyoming
3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 65%–33%
(Republican in 2012) 69%–28%
No polls yet
See also
- General election polling
- Democratic primary polling
- Nationwide opinion polling for the Democratic Party 2016 presidential primaries
- Statewide opinion polling for the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016
- Republican primary polling
- Nationwide opinion polling for the Republican Party 2016 presidential primaries
- Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primaries, 2016
- Older polling
References
- ↑ "ADN poll: Alaskans like Trump, Sanders for president".
- ↑ "Exclusive Florida Decides Poll: Trump, Clinton lead Florida's presidential primaries". Fallon Silcox / Caitlyn Jones / Caitlin Constantine, Team Coverage. Retrieved 9 March 2016.
- ↑ "Trump Leads Rubio in Florida- Even Head to Head" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. February 28, 2016.
- ↑ "January 2016". Florida Atlantic University. January 21, 2016.
- ↑ "Poll: Clinton, Trump lead in Maryland". Retrieved 2016-04-06.
- ↑ "Minnesota Poll Results: Presidential race". Star Tribune. January 23, 2016.
- ↑ "Missouri Poll Results". Fort Hayes State University. Retrieved 12 March 2016.
- ↑ "Siena College Research Institute" (PDF). www.siena.edu. Retrieved 2016-02-08.
- 1 2 3 "February 24, 2016 - Gov. Kasich Is Number One In Ohio Presidential Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Clinton Ties Or Trails All Republicans".