Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2016

This article is a collection of statewide polls for the United States presidential election, 2016. The polls listed here provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Democratic candidate against a possible Republican candidate. Not all states will conduct polling for the election due to various factors, while others that are considered swing states usually put out more polls.

Note: All polls are two way races unless otherwise specified

AlaskaAlaska

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–38%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Alaska Dispatch News/Ivan Moore Research[1] January, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44.1% Donald Trump 49.3% 5.2 651 ?
Hillary Clinton 37.5% Ted Cruz 56.9% 19.4
Hillary Clinton 37.9% Marco Rubio 56.7% 18.8

ArizonaArizona

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Behavior Research Center April 4–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 35% 7 564 ± 4.2%
Hillary Clinton 38% Ted Cruz 43% 5
Hillary Clinton 32% John Kasich 44% 12
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 33% 21
Bernie Sanders 48% Ted Cruz 34% 14
Bernie Sanders 47% John Kasich 33% 14
Merrill Poll/WestGroup March 7–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 38% Tied 701 ± 3.7%
Hillary Clinton 35% Ted Cruz 41% 6
Bernie Sanders 39% Donald Trump 36% 3

ArkansasArkansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–39%
(Republican in 2012) 61%–37%

No polls yet


CaliforniaCalifornia

55 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 60%–37%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
KABC/SurveyUSA April 27–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 56% Donald Trump 34% 22 1,683 ± 2.4%
Hillary Clinton 57% Ted Cruz 29% 28
Hillary Clinton 53% John Kasich 34% 19
SurveyUSA March 30–April 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 60% Donald Trump 26% 34 1,507 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 57% Ted Cruz 32% 25
Hillary Clinton 56% John Kasich 33% 23
Bernie Sanders 63% Donald Trump 24% 39
Bernie Sanders 61% Ted Cruz 26% 35
Bernie Sanders 57% John Kasich 28% 29
Field March 24–April 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 59% Donald Trump 31% 28 1,400 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 55% Ted Cruz 32% 23
USC-LAT March 16–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 59% Donald Trump 28% 31
Hillary Clinton 59% Ted Cruz 31% 28
Hillary Clinton 54% John Kasich 35% 19

ColoradoColorado

9 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–46%

No polls yet


ConnecticutConnecticut

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Emerson College April 10–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 40% 8 1,043 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 52% Ted Cruz 31% 21
Hillary Clinton 38% John Kasich 49% 11
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 40% 9
Bernie Sanders 55% Ted Cruz 30% 25
Bernie Sanders 40% John Kasich 48% 8

FloridaFlorida

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%
(Democratic in 2012) 50%–49%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Associated Industries of Florida April 25–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 36% 13 604 ± 5%
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 39% 9
Marist March 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 41% 8 2,422 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 43% 5
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 46% 1
Bernie Sanders 50% Donald Trump 42% 8
Bernie Sanders 48% Ted Cruz 41% 7
CNN/ORC March 2–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 43% 7 854 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 48% 4
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 47% 1
SurveyUSA/Bay News 9/News 13[2] March 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 45% 1 1961 2.3%
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 44% 1
Public Policy Polling[3] February 24–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 46% 2 1012 3.1%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 39% 8
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 43% 2
Bernie Sanders 44% Donald Trump 47% 3
Bernie Sanders 46% Ted Cruz 39% 7
Bernie Sanders 44% Marco Rubio 42% 2
Florida Southern College Center January 30–February 6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44.56% Donald Trump 37.56% 7 608 4%
Hillary Clinton 42.67% Marco Rubio 45.17% 2.5
Hillary Clinton 44.9% Ted Cruz 41.69% 3.21
Hillary Clinton 41.68% Jeb Bush 44.97% 3.29
Bernie Sanders 47.99% Donald Trump 38.78% 9.21
Bernie Sanders 44.27% Marco Rubio 43% 1.27
Bernie Sanders 46.07% Ted Cruz 36.73% 9.34
Bernie Sanders 45.21% Jeb Bush 40.77% 4.44
Florida Atlantic University[4] January 15–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 45% 3 1008 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 47% 3
Bernie Sanders 42% Donald Trump 47% 5
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 46% Tied
Bernie Sanders 42% Marco Rubio 47% 5
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 42% 5
Bernie Sanders 43% Ted Cruz 43% Tied

Georgia (U.S. state)Georgia

16 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 52%–47%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Lake Research March 31–April 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 37% 13 400 ± 4.9%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 40% 7
SurveyUSA February 22–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 50% 9 1,261 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 50% 7
Hillary Clinton 42% Ted Cruz 49% 7
Bernie Sanders 41% Donald Trump 49% 8
Bernie Sanders 41% Marco Rubio 49% 8
Bernie Sanders 42% Ted Cruz 48% 6

IdahoIdaho

4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 61%–36%
(Republican in 2012) 64%–32%

No polls yet


IllinoisIllinois

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Marist March 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 57% Donald Trump 32% 25 1,968 ± 2.2%
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 40% 11
Bernie Sanders 60% Donald Trump 30% 30
Bernie Sanders 55% Ted Cruz 35% 20

IndianaIndiana

11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 54%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
NBC/WSJ/Marist April 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 48% 7 2,149 ± 2.1%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 50% 7
Hillary Clinton 37% John Kasich 56% 19
Bernie Sanders 46% Donald Trump 47% 1
Bernie Sanders 48% Ted Cruz 45% 3
Bernie Sanders 46% John Kasich 47% 1
Howey April 18–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 47% 8 500 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 36% Ted Cruz 53% 17

IowaIowa

6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Poling January 8–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Jeb Bush 43% 3 1,901 ± 2.3%
Hillary Clinton 42% Ben Carson 46% 4
Hillary Clinton 42% Ted Cruz 45% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 46% 5
Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 42% Tied
Bernie Sanders 47% Jeb Bush 39% 8
Bernie Sanders 44% Ben Carson 40% 4
Bernie Sanders 45% Ted Cruz 42% 3
Bernie Sanders 43% Marco Rubio 42% 1
Bernie Sanders 47% Donald Trump 42% 5
NBC/WSJ/Marist January 2–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 40% 8 1,470 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 47% 4
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 47% 5
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 38% 13
Bernie Sanders 47% Ted Cruz 42% 5
Bernie Sanders 44% Marco Rubio 44% Tied

KansasKansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Fort Hays State University February 19–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 46% 10 440 ± 5%
Hillary Clinton 35% Ted Cruz 49% 14
Hillary Clinton 32% Marco Rubio 51% 19
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 42% 1
Bernie Sanders 38% Ted Cruz 44% 6
Bernie Sanders 36% Marco Rubio 46% 10

KentuckyKentucky

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 57%–41%
(Republican in 2012) 60%–38%

No polls yet


LouisianaLouisiana

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 59%–40%
(Republican in 2012) 58%–41%

No polls yet


MaineMaine

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%

No polls yet


MarylandMaryland

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 62%–36%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling April 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 61% Donald Trump 28% 33 879 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 58% Ted Cruz 24% 34
Hillary Clinton 54% John Kasich 33% 21
Bernie Sanders 60% Donald Trump 29% 31
Bernie Sanders 62% Ted Cruz 24% 38
Bernie Sanders 52% John Kasich 32% 20
NBC4/Marist April 5–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 63% Donald Trump 27% 36 2,563 ± 1.9%
Hillary Clinton 60% Ted Cruz 31% 29
Hillary Clinton 55% John Kasich 38% 17
Bernie Sanders 65% Donald Trump 26% 39
Bernie Sanders 63% Ted Cruz 28% 35
Bernie Sanders 55% John Kasich 36% 19
Washington Post/University of Maryland[5] March 30 - April 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 63% Donald Trump 28% 35 1,503 ± N/A%

MassachusettsMassachusetts

11 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 61%–38%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Western New England University April 1–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 62% Donald Trump 26% 36 497 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 63% Ted Cruz 30% 33
Bernie Sanders 70% Donald Trump 23% 47
Bernie Sanders 71% Ted Cruz 24% 47

MichiganMichigan

16 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
SurveyUSA March 23–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 38% 11 904 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 39% 10
Hillary Clinton 41% John Kasich 46% 5
Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 36% 19
Bernie Sanders 56% Ted Cruz 35% 21
Bernie Sanders 47% John Kasich 42% 5
Hillary Clinton 48% Mitt Romney 35% 13
Hillary Clinton 48% Paul Ryan 38% 10
EPIC-MRA March 19–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 37% 10 600 ± 4%
NBC/WSJ/Marist March 1–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 36% 16 2,229 ± 2.1%
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 41% 7
Bernie Sanders 56% Donald Trump 34% 22
Bernie Sanders 54% Ted Cruz 36% 18
Marketing Resource Group February 22–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 39% 5 600 ± 4.0%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 39% 5
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 43% 2%
EPIC-MRA January 23–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 41% 2 600 ± 4%

MinnesotaMinnesota

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–45%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Star Tribune April 25–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 35% 13 800 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 49% Ted Cruz 40% 9
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 38% 15
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 36% 14
Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon[6] January 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 38% 5 800 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 45% 2
Hillary Clinton 40% Marco Rubio 49% 9
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 37% 16

MississippiMississippi

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin Sample size Margin of error
Mason-Dixon March 28-30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 46% 3 625 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 40% Ted Cruz 51% 11
Hillary Clinton 37% John Kasich 52% 15

Three Way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Mason-Dixon March 28-30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 39% "Third party candidate" 13% Tied 625 ± 4%

MissouriMissouri

10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 49.4%–49.2%
(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin Sample size Margin of error
DFM Research March 17–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 40% 2 674 ± 3.8%
Fort Hayes State University[7] March 3-10, 2016 Bernie Sanders 37% Marco Rubio 43% 6 475 ?
Hillary Clinton 31% Marco Rubio 49% 18
Bernie Sanders 36% Ted Cruz 45% 9
Hillary Clinton 34% Ted Cruz 51% 17
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 40% 3
Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 43% 5

MontanaMontana

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 49%–47%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–42%

No polls yet


NevadaNevada

6 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

No polls yet


New HampshireNew Hampshire

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–46%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
WMUR April 7–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 31% 19 553 ± 4.2%
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 34% 14
Hillary Clinton 36% John Kasich 50% 14
Bernie Sanders 58% Donald Trump 31% 27
Bernie Sanders 61% Ted Cruz 30% 31
Bernie Sanders 50% John Kasich 44% 6
WMUR February 20–28, 2016 Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 34% 21 628 ± 3.9%
Bernie Sanders 60% Ted Cruz 28% 32
Bernie Sanders 54% Marco Rubio 35% 19
Bernie Sanders 48% John Kasich 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 39% 8
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 35% 11
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 43% 2
Hillary Clinton 37% John Kasich 47% 10
UMass Lowell/7News February 5–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 40% 5 1,411 ± 2.99%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 40% 5
Hillary Clinton 40% Marco Rubio 44% 4
Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 34% 21
Bernie Sanders 56% Ted Cruz 31% 25
Bernie Sanders 54% Marco Rubio 34% 20
UMass Lowell/7News February 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 39% 6 1,413 ± 2.97%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 39% 6
Hillary Clinton 40% Marco Rubio 45% 5
Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 33% 22
Bernie Sanders 57% Ted Cruz 30% 27
Bernie Sanders 55% Marco Rubio 35% 20
UMass Lowell/7News February 3–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 39% 7 1,421 ± 2.90%
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 39% 7
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 43% 1
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 34% 20
Bernie Sanders 57% Ted Cruz 30% 27
Bernie Sanders 54% Marco Rubio 35% 19
UMass Lowell/7News February 2–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 40% 4 1,417 ± 2.89%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 41% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 44% 3
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 34% 20
Bernie Sanders 54% Ted Cruz 33% 21
Bernie Sanders 51% Marco Rubio 37% 14
CNN/WMUR January 13–18, 2016 Bernie Sanders 57% Donald Trump 34% 23 903 ± 3.4%
Bernie Sanders 56% Ted Cruz 33% 23
Bernie Sanders 55% Marco Rubio 37% 18
Bernie Sanders 57% Chris Christie 34% 23
Bernie Sanders 54% John Kasich 33% 21
Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 39% 9
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 41% 6
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 45% Chris Christie 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% John Kasich 43% Tied
NBC/WSJ/Marist January 2–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 44% 1 957 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 48% 4
Hillary Clinton 40% Marco Rubio 52% 12
Bernie Sanders 56% Donald Trump 37% 19
Bernie Sanders 55% Ted Cruz 36% 19
Bernie Sanders 50% Marco Rubio 41% 9
Public Policy Polling January 4-6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 40% 6 1,036 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 50% Ben Carson 39% 11
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 40% 8
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 36% 14
Bernie Sanders 50% Jeb Bush 38% 12
Bernie Sanders 53% Ben Carson 34% 19
Bernie Sanders 55% Ted Cruz 35% 20
Bernie Sanders 51% Marco Rubio 37% 14
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 34% 20

Three Way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
WMUR April 7–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 22% Donald Trump 19% 22 553 ± 4.2%
Public Policy Poling January 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 28% Donald Trump 18% 19 1,036 ± 3%
Public Policy Poling January 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 29% Donald Trump 20% 14 1,036 ± 3%

New JerseyNew Jersey

14 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Rutgers April 1–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 36% 14 738 ± 4.0%
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 35% 15
Hillary Clinton 43% John Kasich 43% Tied
Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 34% 21
Fairleigh Dickinson February 24–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 36% 16 694 ± 3.9%
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 36% 15

New MexicoNew Mexico

5 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–43%

No polls yet


New YorkNew York

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 63%–35%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Siena College April 24–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 56% Donald Trump 30% 26 802 ± 4.1%
Emerson College April 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 55% Donald Trump 36% 19 1,047 ± 2.95%
Hillary Clinton 59% Ted Cruz 28% 31
Hillary Clinton 49% John Kasich 39% 10
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 37% 14
Bernie Sanders 58% Ted Cruz 27% 31
Public Policy Polling April 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 55% Donald Trump 35% 20 1,403 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 56% Ted Cruz 30% 26
Hillary Clinton 50% John Kasich 36% 14
Bernie Sanders 58% Donald Trump 33% 25
Bernie Sanders 59% Ted Cruz 27% 32
Bernie Sanders 54% John Kasich 35% 19
NBC/WSJ/Marist April 6–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 61% Donald Trump 32% 29 1,987 ± 2.2%
Hillary Clinton 61% Ted Cruz 31% 30
Hillary Clinton 53% John Kasich 38% 15
Bernie Sanders 64% Donald Trump 31% 33
Bernie Sanders 65% Ted Cruz 28% 37
Bernie Sanders 57% John Kasich 35% 22
NY1 April 5–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 35% 16 1,306 ± 2.9%
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 32% 22
Emerson College April 6–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 36% 18 864 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 58% Ted Cruz 30% 28
Hillary Clinton 48% John Kasich 41% 7
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 38% 13
Bernie Sanders 56% Ted Cruz 29% 27
Fox News Poll April 4–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 37% 16 1,403 ± 2.5%
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 35% 19
Quinnipiac University March 22–29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 33% 20 1,667 ± 2.4%
Hillary Clinton 53% Ted Cruz 32% 21
Hillary Clinton 46% John Kasich 41% 5
Bernie Sanders 56% Donald Trump 32% 24
Bernie Sanders 56% Ted Cruz 28% 28
Bernie Sanders 47% John Kasich 37% 10
Emerson College March 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 55% Donald Trump 36% 19 768 ± 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 61% Ted Cruz 30% 31
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 36% 17
Siena College February 28–March 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 56% Marco Rubio 35% 21 800 ± 4.1%
Hillary Clinton 58% Ted Cruz 33% 25
Hillary Clinton 57% Donald Trump 34% 23
Hillary Clinton 49% John Kasich 42% 7
Bernie Sanders 58% Marco Rubio 32% 26
Bernie Sanders 63% Ted Cruz 26% 37
Bernie Sanders 57% Donald Trump 33% 24
Bernie Sanders 54% John Kasich 35% 19
Siena College[8] January 31–February 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Marco Rubio 37% 17 930 ± 3.8%
Hillary Clinton 57% Ted Cruz 34% 23
Hillary Clinton 57% Donald Trump 32% 25
Hillary Clinton 57% Jeb Bush 33% 24
Hillary Clinton 57% John Kasich 31% 26
Hillary Clinton 55% Chris Christie 36% 19
Bernie Sanders 56% Marco Rubio 34% 22
Bernie Sanders 60% Ted Cruz 30% 30
Bernie Sanders 63% Donald Trump 30% 33
Bernie Sanders 61% Jeb Bush 30% 31
Bernie Sanders 59% John Kasich 29% 30
Bernie Sanders 58% Chris Christie 35% 23

Three Way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Siena College February 28–March 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Michael Bloomberg 26% Donald Trump 25% 16 800 ± 4.1%
Siena College February 28–March 3, 2016 Bernie Sanders 42% Michael Bloomberg 28% Donald Trump 24% 14 800 ± 4.1%

North CarolinaNorth Carolina

15 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 50%–48%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Civitas April 23-26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 37% 12 600 4.0%
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 35% 19
Public Policy Polling April 22-24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied 960 3.2
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 40% 5
Hillary Clinton 39% John Kasich 46% 7
Bernie Sanders 46% Donald Trump 43% 3
Bernie Sanders 46% Ted Cruz 38% 8
Bernie Sanders 41% John Kasich 43% 2
Elon University April 10–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 39% 6 621 3.96
Hillary Clinton 41% Ted Cruz 44% 3
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 38% 13
Bernie Sanders 49% Ted Cruz 39% 10
Public Policy Polling March 18-20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% 2 843 3.4
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% John Kasich 49% 8
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 41% 7
Bernie Sanders 45% Ted Cruz 42% 3
Bernie Sanders 41% John Kasich 44% 3
Elon University February 15–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 41% 6 1,530 2.51
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 46% Tied
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 48% 3
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 40% 8
Bernie Sanders 47% Ted Cruz 43% 4
Bernie Sanders 43% Marco Rubio 46% 3
SurveyUSA February 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 45% 2 1,250 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 48% 5
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 49% 7
Bernie Sanders 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied
Bernie Sanders 46% Ted Cruz 42% 4
Bernie Sanders 45% Marco Rubio 44% 1
Public Policy Polling February 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 44% 2 1,291 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 46% 3
Hillary Clinton 40% Marco Rubio 49% 9
Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 44% 1
Bernie Sanders 43% Jeb Bush 42% 1
Bernie Sanders 43% Ted Cruz 43% Tied
Bernie Sanders 41% Marco Rubio 45% 4
Bernie Sanders 44% Donald Trump 42% 2
Public Policy Polling January 18–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 45% 2 948 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ben Carson 47% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 46% 3
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 47% 5
Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 45% 2
Bernie Sanders 41% Jeb Bush 42% 1
Bernie Sanders 40% Ben Carson 44% 4
Bernie Sanders 38% Ted Cruz 43% 5
Bernie Sanders 39% Marco Rubio 43% 4
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 44% 1

Three Way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling February 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 39% Michael Bloomberg 14% 2 1,291 ± 2.7%
Public Policy Polling February 14–16, 2016 Bernie Sanders 34% Donald Trump 40% Michael Bloomberg 16% 6 1,291 ± 2.7%
Public Policy Polling January 18–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 41% Michael Bloomberg 10% 1 948 3.2%
Public Policy Polling January 18–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 42% Jim Webb 7% 2 948 3.2%

OhioOhio

18 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–48%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling April 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 42% 3 799 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 35% 9
Hillary Clinton 41% John Kasich 43% 2
Bernie Sanders 45% Donald Trump 41% 4
Bernie Sanders 44% Ted Cruz 35% 9
Bernie Sanders 37% John Kasich 47% 10
Marist March 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 42% 6 2,052 ± 2.2%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 47% 2
Hillary Clinton 36% John Kasich 57% 21
Bernie Sanders 50% Donald Trump 41% 9
Bernie Sanders 45% Ted Cruz 44% 1
Public Policy Polling March 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 40% 5 1,248 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 37% John Kasich 52% 15
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 41% 3
Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 40% 5
Bernie Sanders 44% Ted Cruz 38% 6
Bernie Sanders 34% John Kasich 54% 20
Bernie Sanders 42% Marco Rubio 38% 4
Bernie Sanders 44% Donald Trump 40% 4
CNN/ORC March 2–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 43% 7 884 3.5%
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 46% 2
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 42% 9
Quinnipiac University[9] February 16-20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 46% 3 1,539 2.5%
Hillary Clinton 37% John Kasich 54% 17
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 47% 5
Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 44% 2
Bernie Sanders 44% Ted Cruz 42% 2
Bernie Sanders 35% John Kasich 54% 19
Bernie Sanders 42% Marco Rubio 44% 2
Bernie Sanders 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied

Three Way race

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Independent/

Third-party candidate

% Lead margin Sample size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling March 4–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 37% Michael Bloomberg 15% Tied 1,248 ± 2.8%
Public Policy Polling March 4–6, 2016 Bernie Sanders 38% Donald Trump 37% Michael Bloomberg 13% 1 1,248 ± 2.8%
Quinnipiac

University[9]

February 16-20, 2016 Bernie Sanders 37% Ted Cruz 37% Michael Bloomberg 11% Tied 1,539 2.5%
Quinnipiac

University[9]

February 16-20, 2016 Bernie Sanders 35% Donald Trump 38% Michael Bloomberg 13% 3 1,539 2.5%

OklahomaOklahoma

7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 66%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 67%–33%

No polls yet

OregonOregon

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–42%

No polls yet


PennsylvaniaPennsylvania

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–47%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
NBC/WSJ/Marist April 18–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 39% 15 2,606 ± 1.9%
Hillary Clinton 52% Ted Cruz 41% 11
Hillary Clinton 45% John Kasich 48% 3
Bernie Sanders 57% Donald Trump 37% 20
Bernie Sanders 58% Ted Cruz 36% 22
Bernie Sanders 50% John Kasich 44% 6
Fox News Poll April 4–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 44% Tied 1,607 ± 2.5%
Quinnipiac University March 30–April 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 42% 3 1,737 ± 2.4%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 43% Tied
Hillary Clinton 35% John Kasich 51% 16
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 40% 8
Bernie Sanders 46% Ted Cruz 38% 8
Bernie Sanders 40% John Kasich 46% 6
Franklin & Marshall College March 14–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 33% 13 828 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 35% 10
Mercyhurst University March 1–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 35% 8 421 ± 4.8%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 36% John Kasich 49% 13
Hillary Clinton 39% Marco Rubio 47% 8
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 37% 12
Bernie Sanders 48% Ted Cruz 40% 8
Bernie Sanders 42% John Kasich 46% 4
Bernie Sanders 41% Marco Rubio 46% 5
Harper Polling March 1–2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 40% 5 662 ± 3.75%
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 40% 6
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 37% 11

South CarolinaSouth Carolina

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%

No polls yet


TexasTexas

38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2012) 57%–41%

No polls yet


UtahUtah

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 73%–25%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Dan Jones & Associates March 23–April 5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 38% Tied 600 ± 4.0%
Hillary Clinton 26% Ted Cruz 67% 41
Hillary Clinton 23% John Kasich 68% 45
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 35% 14
Bernie Sanders 32% Ted Cruz 63% 31
Bernie Sanders 30% John Kasich 64% 34
Dan Jones & Associates March 8–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 36% 2 500 ± 4.38%
Hillary Clinton 32% Ted Cruz 60% 28
Hillary Clinton 29% John Kasich 59% 30
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 37% 11
Bernie Sanders 39% Ted Cruz 53% 14
Bernie Sanders 35% John Kasich 54% 19

VirginiaVirginia

13 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–47%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Christopher Newport University March 23–April 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 35% 9 1,167 ± 3.1%
Roanoke College January 18–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 35% 17 524 ± 4.3%
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 41% 4
Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 33% 22
Bernie Sanders 48% Marco Rubio 38% 10
Bernie Sanders 49% Ted Cruz 37% 12

Washington (state)Washington

12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%

No polls yet


West VirginiaWest Virginia

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 62%–36%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
Public Policy Polling April 29–May 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 30% Donald Trump 57% 27 1,201 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 31% Ted Cruz 44% 13
Hillary Clinton 27% John Kasich 52% 25
Bernie Sanders 35% Donald Trump 56% 21
Bernie Sanders 39% Ted Cruz 40% 1
Bernie Sanders 31% John Kasich 48% 17

WisconsinWisconsin

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–46%

Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample Size Margin of error
St. Norbert College/WPR/WPT April 12–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 34% 12 616 ± 4%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 44% 1
Bernie Sanders 52% Donald Trump 33% 19
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 40% 10
Emerson March 30–April 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 37% 10 1,198 ± 2.8%
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 43% 3
Hillary Clinton 38% John Kasich 52% 14
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 37% 14
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 41% 9
FOX News March 28–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 35% 14 1,602 ± 2.5%
Marquette University March 24–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 37% 10 1,405 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 44% Tied
Hillary Clinton 39% John Kasich 48% 9
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 35% 19
Bernie Sanders 52% Ted Cruz 39% 13
Bernie Sanders 46% John Kasich 44% 2
Emerson March 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 38% 9 922 ± 3.2%
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 45% 1
Bernie Sanders 47% Donald Trump 39% 9
Marquette University February 18–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 37% 10 802 ± 4.5%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 43% Tied
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 43% 1
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 34% 20
Bernie Sanders 53% Ted Cruz 35% 18
Bernie Sanders 53% Marco Rubio 35% 18
Marquette University January 21–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 38% 9 806 ± 4.0%
Hillary Clinton 45% Marco Rubio 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 44% 1
Bernie Sanders 52% Donald Trump 34% 18
Bernie Sanders 49% Marco Rubio 38% 11
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 38% 12

WyomingWyoming

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 65%–33%
(Republican in 2012) 69%–28%

No polls yet


See also

General election polling
Democratic primary polling
Republican primary polling
Older polling

References

  1. "ADN poll: Alaskans like Trump, Sanders for president".
  2. "Exclusive Florida Decides Poll: Trump, Clinton lead Florida's presidential primaries". Fallon Silcox / Caitlyn Jones / Caitlin Constantine, Team Coverage. Retrieved 9 March 2016.
  3. "Trump Leads Rubio in Florida- Even Head to Head" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. February 28, 2016.
  4. "January 2016". Florida Atlantic University. January 21, 2016.
  5. "Poll: Clinton, Trump lead in Maryland". Retrieved 2016-04-06.
  6. "Minnesota Poll Results: Presidential race". Star Tribune. January 23, 2016.
  7. "Missouri Poll Results". Fort Hayes State University. Retrieved 12 March 2016.
  8. "Siena College Research Institute" (PDF). www.siena.edu. Retrieved 2016-02-08.
  9. 1 2 3 "February 24, 2016 - Gov. Kasich Is Number One In Ohio Presidential Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Clinton Ties Or Trails All Republicans".
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