United States gubernatorial elections, 2016

United States gubernatorial elections, 2016
United States
November 8, 2016
12 state governorships; 2 territorial governorships

  Democratic incumbent eligible for re-election
  Term-limited or retiring Democrat
  Republican incumbent eligible for re-election
  Term-limited or retiring Republican
  No election

The United States gubernatorial elections of 2016 will be held on November 8, 2016 in the states of Delaware, Indiana, Missouri, Montana, New Hampshire, North Carolina, North Dakota, Oregon, Utah, Vermont, Washington, and West Virginia. The US territories of Puerto Rico and American Samoa will also hold gubernatorial elections. In addition, special elections may take place (depending on state law) if other gubernatorial seats are vacated. The last regular gubernatorial elections for nine of the twelve states took place in 2012. The last gubernatorial elections for New Hampshire, Oregon, and Vermont took place in 2014, as Oregon is holding a special election due to the resignation of governor John Kitzhaber, and the governors of New Hampshire and Vermont both serve two-year terms. The 2016 gubernatorial elections will take place concurrently with several other federal, state, and local elections, including the 2016 presidential election.

Election predictions

State CPVI Incumbent[1] Last
race		 Cook
May 6,
2016[2]		 DKE
Oct 14,
2015[3]		 Roth.
Nov 6,
2015[4]		 Sab.
April 6,
2016[5]		 RCP Median Winner
Delaware D+8 (Jack Markell) (D) 69.3% D Safe D Likely D Safe D Safe D Safe D TBD
Indiana R+5 Mike Pence (R) 49.4% R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R TBD
Missouri R+5 (Jay Nixon) (D) 54.6% D Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup Tossup TBD
Montana R+7 Steve Bullock (D) 48.9% D Likely D Lean D Lean D Lean D Lean D TBD
New Hampshire D+1 (Maggie Hassan) (D) 52.6% D Tossup Tossup Tilt D Tossup Tossup TBD
North Carolina R+3 Pat McCrory (R) 54.7% R Tossup Tossup Tilt R Tossup Tossup TBD
North Dakota R+10 (Jack Dalrymple) (R) 63.1% R Likely R Likely R Safe R Safe R Likely R TBD
Oregon D+5 Kate Brown (D) 49.5% D Safe D Likely D Safe D Safe D Safe D TBD
Utah R+22 Gary Herbert (R) 68.3% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R TBD
Vermont D+18 (Peter Shumlin) (D) 46.4% D Likely D Tossup Safe D Lean D Likely D TBD
Washington D+5 Jay Inslee (D) 51.5% D Likely D Lean D Safe D Likely D Likely D TBD
West Virginia R+13 (Earl Ray Tomblin) (D) 50.4% D Tossup Lean R Tossup Lean R Tilt R TBD

Race Summary

States

State Incumbent This race
State PVI Governor Party First
elected		 Incumbent Status Candidates
Delaware D+8 Jack Markell Democratic 2008 Term limited Colin Bonini (Republican)[6]
John Carney (Democratic)[7]
Lacey Lafferty (Republican)[8]
Indiana R+5 Mike Pence Republican 2012 Running John Gregg (Democratic)[9]
Mike Pence (Republican)[10]
Missouri R+5 Jay Nixon Democratic 2008 Term limited John Brunner (Republican)[11]
Eric Greitens (Republican)[12]
Catherine Hanaway (Republican)[13]
Peter Kinder (Republican)[14]
Chris Koster (Democratic)[15]
Eric Morrison (Democratic)[16]
Leonard Steinman (Democratic)[17]
Charles Wheeler (Democratic)[18]
Montana R+7 Steve Bullock Democratic 2012 Running Steve Bullock (Democratic)[19]
Bill McChesney (Democratic)[20]
Greg Gianforte (Republican)[21]
Terry Nelson (Republican)[22]
New Hampshire D+1 Maggie Hassan Democratic 2012 Retiring Mark Connolly (Democratic)[23]
Steve Marchand (Democratic)[24]
Colin Van Ostern (Democratic)[25]
Frank Edelblut (Republican)[26]
Jeanie Forrester (Republican)[27]
Ted Gatsas (Republican)[28]
Jon Lavoie (Republican)
Chris Sununu (Republican)[29]
North Carolina R+3 Pat McCrory Republican 2012 Running Roy Cooper (Democratic)[30]
Pat McCrory (Republican)[31]
North Dakota R+10 Jack Dalrymple Republican 2012 Retiring Doug Burgum (Republican)[32]
Wayne Stenehjem (Republican)[33]
Paul Sorum (Republican)[34]
Marvin Nelson (Democratic)[35]
Oregon D+5 Kate Brown Democratic 2015[36] Running Julian Bell (Democratic)[37]
Kate Brown (Democratic)[38]
Chet Chance (Democratic)[39]
Kevin Forsythe (Democratic)[40]
Steve Johnson (Democratic)[41]
Dave Stauffer (Democratic)[42]
Allen Alley (Republican)[43]
Bruce Cuff (Republican)[44]
Bob Forthan (Republican)[45]
Bob Niemeyer (Republican)[46]
Bud Pierce (Republican)[47]
Utah R+22 Gary Herbert Republican 2010 Running Gary Herbert (Republican)[48]
Nate Jensen (Republican)[49]
Jonathan Johnson (Republican)[50]
Carlos Tavares (Republican)[51]
Vaughn Cook (Democratic)[52]
Mike Weinholtz (Democratic)[53]
Vermont D+18 Peter Shumlin Democratic 2010 Retiring Matt Dunne (Democratic)[54]
Bruce Lisman (Republican)
Sue Minter (Democratic)[55]
Phil Scott (Republican)[56]
Washington D+5 Jay Inslee Democratic 2012 Running Bill Bryant (Republican)[57]
Jay Inslee (Democratic)[58]
West Virginia R+13 Earl Ray Tomblin Democratic 2011 Term limited Bill Cole (Republican)[59]
Booth Goodwin (Democratic)[60]
Jim Justice (Democratic)[61]
Jeff Kessler (Democratic)[62]

Territories

State Incumbent Party First elected Incumbent Status Candidates
American Samoa Lolo Matalasi Moliga Democratic 2012 Unknown
Puerto Rico Alejandro García Padilla PPD/Democratic 2012Retiring David Bernier (PPD/Democratic)
Pedro Pierluisi (PNP/Democratic)
Ricky Rosselló (PNP/Democratic)
María de Lourdes Santiago (PIP)
Rafael Bernabe (PPT)
Alexandra Lúgaro (Independent)
Manuel Cidre (Independent)

Retiring and term-limited Democratic incumbents

Jack Markell (Delaware)

Two-term incumbent Governor Jack Markell is term-limited in 2016.[63] Former Democratic Delaware Attorney General Beau Biden, the son of Vice President Joe Biden, announced his intention to run and was seen as the front-runner in the Democratic primary and general election but died of brain cancer at the age of 46 on May 30, 2015.[64][65] Congressman John Carney, a former Lieutenant Governor of Delaware who ran for governor in 2008, is seeking the Democratic nomination.[66] State Representative Michael Ramone is a possible candidate for the Republicans.[67]

Jay Nixon (Missouri)

Two-term incumbent Governor Jay Nixon is term-limited in 2016.[68]

Missouri Attorney General Chris Koster is running for the Democratic nomination.[69] Former Lieutenant Governor of Missouri Joe Maxwell is a potential Democratic candidate,[70][71] while U.S. Senator and 2004 gubernatorial nominee Claire McCaskill[72] and State Treasurer Clint Zweifel declined to run for governor.[73]

Former Speaker of the Missouri House of Representatives Catherine Hanaway, businessman John Brunner, State Senator Bob Dixon, former Navy SEAL Eric Greitens, and Lieutenant Governor Peter Kinder are running for the Republican nomination.[74] State Representative Bart Korman and U.S. Representative Blaine Luetkemeyer[75][76][77] declined to run for governor. Former Missouri Auditor Tom Schweich had been a candidate for governor before he committed suicide in February 2015.[78]

Maggie Hassan (New Hampshire)

Two-term incumbent Governor Maggie Hassan is running for the U.S. Senate. She won a second term in 2014 with 53% of the vote against Republican businessman Walt Havenstein.

Executive Councilor Colin Van Ostern and former Deputy Secretary of State and Director of Securities Regulation Mark Connolly are running for the Democratic nomination. State Senator Donna Soucy is a possible Democratic candidate.[79]

Executive Councilor Christopher Sununu, State Representative and entrepreneur Frank Edelblut, and Jon Lavoie are running for the Republican nomination.[80] Nashua Mayor Donnalee Lozeau may also run for the Republican nomination.[81]

Alejandro García Padilla (Puerto Rico)

One-term incumbent Governor Alejandro García Padilla was eligible to run for re-election, but has chosen to retire.[82] García Padilla is a member of the Popular Democratic Party of Puerto Rico as well as the Democratic Party.[83] García Padilla was elected in 2012 with 47.73% of the vote.

David Bernier, former Secretary of State of Puerto Rico and former President of the Puerto Rico Olympic Committee, will be seeking the PDP nomination for governor.[84]

Resident Commissioner of Puerto Rico Pedro Pierluisi, who is affiliated with the New Progressive Party and the Democratic Party[85] and activist, political commentator and son of former governor Pedro Rosselló, Ricky Rosselló are seeking the NPP nomination for governor.

Peter Shumlin (Vermont)

Three-term incumbent Governor Peter Shumlin declined to seek re-election.[86] He was re-elected with 46.4% of the vote in 2014. As he did not receive a majority of the vote, the Vermont General Assembly was required to choose the winner. The Vermont Assembly chose Shumlin over Republican nominee Scott Milne by 110 votes to 69.[87]

Sue Minter, and former state senator Matt Dunne are running for the Democratic nomination for governor.[88] House Speaker Shap Smith ran, but withdrew. Former lieutenant governor Doug Racine declined to run for governor.[89][90]

Lieutenant Governor Phil Scott is running for the Republican nomination.[88] Former state senator and former Vermont Auditor of Accounts Randy Brock and 2014 Republican nominee Scott Milne declined to run for governor. Former Libertarian gubernatorial candidate Dan Feliciano is a potential candidate.[89][90]

State Senator, 2000 Progressive gubernatorial nominee, and former Independent gubernatorial candidate Anthony Pollina is running for the Progressive nomination.

Earl Ray Tomblin (West Virginia)

Governor Earl Ray Tomblin is term-limited in 2016.[91] Tomblin was first elected in a 2011 special election after Joe Manchin resigned after being elected to the United States Senate. Tomblin then won election to a full term in 2012.

Possible Democratic candidates include former U.S. Senator Carte Goodwin, former Speaker of the West Virginia House of Delegates Rick Thompson, West Virginia State Treasurer John Perdue, State Senator Mike Green and State Delegates Doug Reynolds and Doug Skaff.[92][93][94] West Virginia Secretary of State Natalie Tennant had been considered a potential Democratic candidate, but instead chose to run for re-election.

President of the Senate Bill Cole, college student and former candidate for Mayor of Pineville Andrew Utterback, and former Bramwell Police Chief and former Democratic candidate for House of Delegates Edwin Vanover are running for the Republican nomination. U.S. Representatives David McKinley and Evan Jenkins declined to run for governor. West Virginia Attorney General Patrick Morrisey had been considered a potential Republican candidate, but instead chose to run for re-election. Potential Republican candidates are State Delegate Erikka Storch and Olympic gymnast Mary Lou Retton.[94]

Retiring Republican incumbents

Jack Dalrymple (North Dakota)

One-term incumbent Governor Jack Dalrymple declined to seek re-election.[95] Dalrymple was elected to his first full term with 63.1% of the vote in 2012, after first taking the seat in 2010 after John Hoeven resigned to become a U.S. Senator. Dalrymple was previously Lieutenant Governor of North Dakota from 2000 to 2010.

Republican candidates include Attorney General Wayne Stenehjem,[96] and State Representative and plastic surgeon Rick Becker.

Potential Democratic candidates include former Congressman Earl Pomeroy, state Senator George B. Sinner and state Senate Minority Leader Mac Schneider.[96] Former Agriculture Commissioner Sarah Vogel formed an exploratory a campaign but announced on Jan. 28, 2016 that she will not run for governor. Senator Heidi Heitkamp declined to run for governor.[97]

Democratic incumbents running for re-election

Kate Brown (Oregon)

Governor John Kitzhaber, who won reelection in 2014 with 49.9% of the vote, announced his pending resignation on February 13, 2015, amid controversy surrounding his fiancee's consulting contracts and work within his administration.[98] Kate Brown, Oregon's Secretary of State, was sworn in as Governor on February 18, 2015 upon Kitzhaber's resignation. In accordance with the Constitution of Oregon, a special election will be held in 2016 for the remainder of the term to which Kitzhaber was elected in 2014. Brown is running for election to complete the full term.[99] Allen Alley, businessman 2008 Republican nominee for Oregon State Treasurer is running for the Republican nomination, along with four other candidates.[100]

Steve Bullock (Montana)

One-term incumbent Governor Steve Bullock is running for re-election. Bullock was elected in 2012 with 48.9% of the vote. He previously served as Attorney General of Montana from 2009 to 2013.

Former Secretary of State Brad Johnson and businessman Mark Perea are running for the Republican nomination.[101] Montana Attorney General Tim Fox had been speculated as a potential candidate, but instead chose to run for re-election.[102]

Jay Inslee (Washington)

One-term incumbent Governor Jay Inslee is running for re-election. Inslee was elected in 2012 with 51.54% of the vote against Republican Attorney General Rob McKenna. Inslee previously served as a U.S. Representative from 1993 to 1995 and from 1999 to 2012. Seattle Port Commissioner Bill Bryant[103] is running for the Republican nomination. Potential Republican candidates include U.S. Representatives Jaime Herrera Beutler and Cathy McMorris Rodgers, State Senator Michael Baumgartner, and former State Representative Cathy Dahlquist.[103][104][105]

Lolo Letalu Matalasi Moliga (American Samoa)

One-term incumbent Governor Lolo Letalu Matalasi Moliga is eligible to run for re-election.[106] Moliga was elected in 2012 with 52.9% of the vote in the second round, after taking 33.5% of the vote in the first round. American Samoa requires a second round of voting if no candidate takes a majority of the vote in the first round.

Republican incumbents running for re-election

Pat McCrory (North Carolina)

One-term incumbent Governor Pat McCrory is running for re-election.[107] McCrory was elected in 2012 with 54.7% of the vote. McCrory previously served as Mayor of Charlotte from 1995 to 2009.

For the Democrats, North Carolina Attorney General Roy Cooper[108] and former State Representative Kenneth Spaulding are declared candidates.[109] James Protzman, a former Chapel Hill town council member, had declared his candidacy, but later withdrew from the race.[109][110] United States Secretary of Transportation Anthony Foxx declined to run for governor.

Gary Herbert (Utah)

Incumbent Governor Gary Herbert is running for re-election.[111] He was the Lieutenant Governor of Utah from 2005 to 2009 and became Governor after Jon Huntsman, Jr. resigned to become United States Ambassador to China. He won the seat in a 2010 special election and was elected to his first full term with 68.4% of the vote in 2012.

Other Republican candidate, businessman Jonathan Johnson is running for governor.[111] Former Democratic U.S. Representative Jim Matheson may run.[112]

Mike Pence (Indiana)

One-term incumbent Governor Mike Pence is running for re-election. Pence won in 2012 with 49.6% of the vote. Pence previously served as a U.S. Representative from 2001 to 2013 and was Chairman of the House Republican Conference from 2009 to 2011. Pence had expressed interest in running for President of the United States in the 2016 presidential election, but declined.

The 2012 Democratic nominee, former State House Speaker John R. Gregg, is running for the Democratic nomination.[113] State Representative Karen Tallian and Indiana Superintendent of Public Instruction Glenda Ritz both withdrew their candidacies.[114][115] State Representative Terri Austin, South Bend Mayor Peter Buttigieg, former Lieutenant Governor Kathy Davis, Kokomo Mayor Greg Goodnight, Lafayette Mayor Tony Roswarski, and House Minority Leader Scott Pelath declined to run for governor. Potential Democratic candidates include former United States Attorney for the Southern District of Indiana and former Secretary of State of Indiana Joe Hogsett, President and CEO of the Biocrossroads Initiative and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2000 David Johnson, Hammond Mayor Thomas McDermott, Jr., physician, former Commissioner for the Indiana State Department of Health and candidate for Indiana's 7th congressional district in 2008, Woody Myers, former State Senate Minority Leader and nominee for Lieutenant Governor in 2012 Vi Simpson, U.S. Representative Pete Visclosky and former Evansville Mayor Jonathan Weinzapfel.[116][117][118][119][120][121] Former Governor and Senator Evan Bayh had considered running,[116] but decided against it.[118]

References

  1. ↑ Parentheses around an incumbent's name indicates that the incumbent is retiring, possibly due to term limits.
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  110. ↑ "Protzman drops out of governor's race after 7 months". The News & Observer. October 17, 2013. Retrieved November 28, 2013.
  111. 1 2 "Governor Herbert says he will run for re-election in 2016". The Salt Lake Tribune. June 25, 2014. Retrieved August 22, 2014.
  112. ↑ "Is a run for governor or Senate in Matheson's future?". The Salt Lake Tribune. December 23, 2013. Retrieved December 24, 2013.
  113. ↑ LoBianco, Tom (April 30, 2015). "Source: Democrat John Gregg set to announce governor bid". The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved April 30, 2015.
  114. ↑ Cook, Tony; Schneider, Chelsea (August 7, 2015). "Glenda Ritz drops out of governor's race". The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved August 7, 2015.
  115. ↑ Carden, Dan (August 17, 2015). "Tallian drops out of governor's race". The Times of Northwest Indiana. Retrieved August 17, 2015.
  116. 1 2 Livingston, Abby (June 19, 2013). "Ambitious Hoosiers Wait for Future Statewide Races | Farm Team". Roll Call. Retrieved April 3, 2014.
  117. ↑ Norman Cox (October 23, 2013). "Dem. John Gregg drops out of 2016 Indiana governor's race". The Indy Channel. Retrieved October 24, 2013.
  118. 1 2 "Bayh not running for governor in 2016". nwi.com. September 13, 2014. Retrieved October 26, 2014.
  119. ↑ "Dave Kitchell: Gauging a potential 2016 Democrat ticket". Howey Politics Indiana. November 4, 2013. Retrieved October 26, 2014.
  120. ↑ "Indiana Democrats searching for gubernatorial candidates". IndyStar.com. February 21, 2014. Retrieved October 26, 2014.
  121. ↑ "Evan Bayh won't run in 2016; Gregg, McDermott assess". Howey Politics. September 15, 2014. Retrieved September 12, 2014.

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