North Carolina gubernatorial election, 2016

November 8, 2016



Nominee	Pat McCrory	Roy Cooper
Party	Republican	Democratic

Incumbent Governor

Pat McCrory
Republican

Elections in North Carolina

Federal government Presidential elections 1824 1828 1832 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 United States Senate elections 1960 1962 1966 1968 1972 1974 1978 1980 1984 1986 1990 1992 1996 1998 2002 2004 2008 2010 2014 2016 United States House elections 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 (1st) 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 (12th) 2016
State executive Gubernatorial elections 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 Lieutenant Governor elections 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 Attorney General elections 2008 2012 2016 Council of State elections 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016
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Ballot measures 2012: Amendment 1
Mayoral elections Charlotte mayoral elections 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 Raleigh mayoral elections 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015

The 2016 North Carolina gubernatorial election will take place on November 8, 2016, to elect the Governor of North Carolina, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Primary elections were held March 15.^[1]

Incumbent Republican Governor Pat McCrory is running for re-election to a second term in office.^[2] Roy Cooper, the incumbent Attorney General of the state (and the second-longest-serving Attorney General in North Carolina history), is the Democratic nominee. North Carolina is considered a purple state. The gubernatorial race is expected to be among the most competitive in the country in 2016.^[3]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Pat McCrory, incumbent Governor^[2]^[4]
Robert Brawley, former State Representative^[5]
Charles Moss, preacher, former Randolph County Soil & Water Conservation Board member, Democratic State Senate candidate in 2004, and candidate for Governor in 2012^[6]

Declined

Greg Brannon, physician, Tea Party activist and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014 (running for U.S. Senate)^[7]^[8]
Dan Forest, Lieutenant Governor of North Carolina (running for re-election)^[9]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Pat McCrory	Charles Moss	Robert Brawley	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	March 11–13, 2016	749	± 3.6%	70%	7%	6%	17%
High Point University	March 9–10, 2016	734	± 2.5%	73%	6%	8%	13%
SurveyUSA	March 4–7, 2016	688	± 3.6%	66%	6%	9%	19%
SurveyUSA	February 14–16, 2016	437	± 4.5%	67%	–	17%	16%
Public Policy Polling	February 14–16, 2016	597	± 4.0%	69%	4%	5%	22%
High Point University	January 30–February 4, 2016	477	± 4.5%	75%	3%	2%	20%
Public Policy Polling	January 18–19, 2016	433	± 3.2%	68%	6%	4%	22%

Hypothetical polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Pat McCrory	Dan Forest	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	August 12–16, 2015	406	± 4.9%	60%	20%	20%

Results

Republican primary results ^[10]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Pat McCrory	869,114	82%
	Republican	Robert Brawley	112,624	11%
	Republican	Charles Moss	81,315	7%
Total votes			1,063,053	100%

Democratic primary

Results by county:

Roy Cooper

Ken Spaulding

Candidates

Declared

Roy Cooper, North Carolina Attorney General^[11]
Kenneth Spaulding, former State Representative and candidate for North Carolina's 2nd congressional district in 1984^[12]

Withdrawn

James Protzman, businessman and former Chapel Hill town council member^[12]^[13]

Declined

Janet Cowell, North Carolina State Treasurer (not seeking re-election or running for any other office)^[12]^[14]
Anthony Foxx, United States Secretary of Transportation and former Mayor of Charlotte^[15]
Kay Hagan, former U.S. Senator, and former State Senator^[12]^[14]
Charles Meeker, former Mayor of Raleigh (running for Labor Commissioner)^[12]^[16]
Heath Shuler, former U.S. Representative^[17]
Josh Stein, State Senator and former Deputy Attorney General of North Carolina (running for Attorney General)^[12]^[14]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Roy Cooper	Kenneth Spaulding	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	March 11–13, 2016	746	± 3.6%	53%	17%	—	30%
High Point University	March 9–10, 2016	669	± 2.5%	64%	18%	—	19%
SurveyUSA	March 4–7, 2016	687	± 3.8%	51%	19%	—	30%
SurveyUSA	February 14–16, 2016	449	± 4.7%	50%	21%	—	29%
Public Policy Polling	February 14–16, 2016	575	± 4.1%	55%	12%	—	33%
High Point University	January 30–February 4, 2016	478	± 4.5%	49%	11%	—	40%
Public Policy Polling	January 18–19, 2016	461	± 3.2%	55%	10%	—	35%
Public Policy Polling	December 5–7, 2015	555	± 2.8%	54%	10%	—	36%
Public Policy Polling	October 23–25, 2015	421	± 4.8%	58%	13%	—	29%

Hypothetical polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Roy Cooper	Anthony Foxx	Kay Hagan	Charles Meeker	Kenneth Spaulding	Other/ Undecided
Civitas Institute	March 20–23, 2015	400	± 5%	31%	7%	43%	3%	4%	12%

Results

Democratic primary results^[18]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Roy Cooper	703,141	69%
	Democratic	Ken Spaulding	319,381	31%
Total votes			1,022,522	100%

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Lon Cecil, retired engineer and nominee for NC-12 in 2010^[19]

Withdrawn

Ken Fortenberry, newspaper publisher, author, journalist and Republican candidate for North Carolina's 10th congressional district in 2012^[20]^[21]

Declined

Sean Haugh, pizza delivery man and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2002 and 2014 (running for U.S. Senate)^[22]^[23]

Write-In candidates

Declared

Daniel Orr, Navy veteran^[24]

General election

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Pat McCrory (R)	Roy Cooper (D)	Lon Cecil (L)	Other	Undecided
RABA (Red America, Blue America)	April 27–28, 2016	688	± 3.7%	36%	41%	6%	—	17%
Civitas Institute	April 23–25, 2016	600	± 4.0%	39%	48%	5%	—	8%
Public Policy Polling	April 22–24, 2016	960	± 3.2%	42%	43%	4%	—	11%
Elon University Poll	April 10–15, 2016	621	± 3.9%	42%	48%	—	6%	5%
SurveyUSA	April 8–11, 2016	701	± 3.8%	43%	47%	2%	—	8%
Public Policy Polling	March 18–20, 2016	843	± 3.4%	42%	40%	6%	—	12%
High Point University	March 9–10, 2016	1,576	± 2.5%	47%	45%	—	—	8%
Elon University Poll	February 15–19, 2016	1,530	± 2.5%	40%	42%	—	3%	15%
Public Policy Polling	February 14–16, 2016	1,291	± 2.7%	43%	41%	—	—	16%
SurveyUSA	February 14–16, 2016	1,250	± 2.8%	45%	42%	—	—	12%
Public Policy Polling	January 18–19, 2016	948	± 3.2%	40%	43%	—	—	17%
Public Policy Polling	December 5–7, 2015	1,214	± 2.8%	44%	42%	—	—	14%
Elon University Poll	October 29–November 2, 2015	1,040	± 3.0%	40%	45%	—	3%	13%
Public Policy Polling	October 23–25, 2015	893	± 3.3%	43%	44%	—	—	13%
Public Policy Polling	September 24–27, 2015	1,268	± 2.8%	44%	41%	—	—	15%
Elon University Poll	September 17–21, 2015	1,258	± 2.99%	43.4%	42.4%	—	2.8%	11.4%
Public Policy Polling	August 12–16, 2015	957	± 3.2%	39%	42%	—	—	18%
Civitas Institute	August 10–12, 2015	400		32%	34%	—	—	33%
Public Policy Polling	July 2–6, 2015	529	± 4.3%	41%	43%	—	—	16%
Civitas Institute	June 23–25, 2015	600	± 4.0%	43%	38%	—	—	17%
Public Policy Polling	May 28–31, 2015	561	± 4.1%	41%	44%	—	—	15%
Elon University Poll	April 20–24, 2015	677	± 3.77%	44.6%	43.1%	—	4.1%	8.1%
Public Policy Polling	April 2–5, 2015	751	± 3.6%	44%	41%	—	—	15%
Public Policy Polling	February 24–26, 2015	849	± 3.4%	43%	41%	—	—	16%
Diversified Research	February 2–3, 2015	800	± 3.46%	43.8%	42.1%	—	—	14.1%
Public Policy Polling	January 29–31, 2015	845	± 3.4%	44%	39%	—	—	17%
Meeting Street Research	January 21–22, 2015	500	± 4.38%	47%	44%	—	—	9%
Public Policy Polling	December 4–7, 2014	823	± 3.4%	46%	39%	—	—	15%
Gravis Marketing	October 29–30, 2014	1,006	± 3%	47%	45%	—	—	8%
Gravis Marketing	October 16–18, 2014	1,022	± 3%	49%	41%	—	—	9%
Gravis Marketing	September 22–23, 2014	860	± 3%	45%	42%	—	—	12%
Public Policy Polling	September 11–14, 2014	1,266	± 2.8%	44%	41%	—	—	15%
Public Policy Polling	August 14–17, 2014	856	± 3.4%	44%	43%	—	—	14%
Gravis Marketing	July 22–27, 2014	1,380	± 3%	44%	46%	—	—	10%
Public Policy Polling	June 12–15, 2014	1,076	± 3%	44%	42%	—	—	14%
Public Policy Polling	May 9–11, 2014	877	± 3.3%	43%	42%	—	—	15%
Public Policy Polling	April 3–6, 2014	740	± 3.6%	43%	43%	—	—	15%
Public Policy Polling	February 6–9, 2014	708	± 3.7%	43%	41%	—	—	15%
Public Policy Polling	September 6–9, 2013	600	± 4%	42%	48%	—	—	11%

Hypothetical polling

With McCrory

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Pat McCrory (R)	Kenneth Spaulding (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	February 14–16, 2016	1,291	± 2.7%	44%	32%	—	24%
SurveyUSA	February 14–16, 2016	1,250	± 2.8%	48%	38%	—	15%
Public Policy Polling	January 18–19, 2016	948	± 3.2%	43%	34%	—	22%
Public Policy Polling	December 5–7, 2015	1,214	± 2.8%	47%	32%	—	21%
Public Policy Polling	October 23–25, 2015	893	± 3.3%	46%	31%	—	23%
Public Policy Polling	September 24–27, 2015	1,268	± 2.8%	46%	34%	—	21%
Public Policy Polling	August 12–16, 2015	957	± 3.2%	40%	35%	—	25%
Public Policy Polling	July 2–6, 2015	529	± 4.3%	43%	33%	—	24%
Public Policy Polling	May 28–31, 2015	561	± 4.1%	43%	32%	—	25%
Public Policy Polling	April 2–5, 2015	751	± 3.6%	46%	33%	—	21%
Public Policy Polling	February 24–26, 2015	849	± 3.4%	44%	35%	—	21%
Public Policy Polling	January 29–31, 2015	845	± 3.4%	47%	36%	—	17%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Pat McCrory (R)	Janet Cowell (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	December 4–7, 2014	823	± 3.4%	47%	36%	16%
Public Policy Polling	September 6–9, 2013	600	± 4%	43%	47%	10%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Pat McCrory (R)	Anthony Foxx (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	December 4–7, 2014	823	± 3.4%	48%	34%	18%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Pat McCrory (R)	Kay Hagan (D)	Undecided
Meeting Street Research	January 21–22, 2015	500	± 4.38%	50%	42%	8%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Pat McCrory (R)	Charles Meeker (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	April 3–6, 2014	740	± 3.6%	45%	38%	17%
Public Policy Polling	September 6–9, 2013	600	± 4%	42%	45%	13%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Pat McCrory (R)	Josh Stein (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	September 6–9, 2013	600	± 4%	42%	44%	14%

With Berger

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Phil Berger (R)	Roy Cooper (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	December 4–7, 2014	823	± 3.4%	35%	41%	24%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Phil Berger (R)	Janet Cowell (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	December 4–7, 2014	823	± 3.4%	37%	38%	25%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Phil Berger (R)	Anthony Foxx (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	December 4–7, 2014	823	± 3.4%	39%	36%	25%

With Forest

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Dan Forest (R)	Roy Cooper (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	August 12–16, 2015	957	± 3.2%	33%	42%	25%

References

↑ WRAL: North Carolina primaries officially on March 15 with signing
1 2 "Gov. Pat McCrory launches 2016 campaign". The News & Observer. December 2, 2014. Retrieved December 5, 2014.
↑ Politico: Top 10 governors races of 2016
↑ "McCrory: Election wins no mandate for GOP". WRAL.com. November 5, 2014. Retrieved November 7, 2014.
↑ Campbell, Colin (December 9, 2015). "Gov. Pat McCroy gets a challenger in Republican primary". The News & Observer. Retrieved December 10, 2015.
↑ "Candidate Listing" (PDF). North Carolina State Board of Elections. Retrieved December 21, 2015.
↑ Campbell, Colin (October 7, 2015). "Former GOP Senate candidate Greg Brannon to make ‘big announcement’ Thursday". The News & Observer. Retrieved October 8, 2015.
↑ Brannon, Greg (December 21, 2015). "WATCH as I officially file as a Republican candidate for the United States Senate!". Facebook. Retrieved December 21, 2015.
↑ Leslie, Laura (February 18, 2015). "Coleman, Forest to run again for lieutenant governor". WRAL-TV. Retrieved February 18, 2015.
↑ State Board of Elections
↑ "Attorney General Announces Candidacy For Governor". Charlotte Observer. November 6, 2014. Retrieved November 7, 2014.
1 2 3 4 5 6 Reid Wilson (September 6, 2013). "Three years out, Democrats eye McCrory’s seat". The Washington Post. Retrieved September 9, 2013.
↑ "Protzman drops out of governor’s race after 7 months". The News & Observer. October 17, 2013. Retrieved November 28, 2013.
1 2 3 Knopf, Taylor (September 21, 2015). "State Sen. Josh Stein makes formal announcement for attorney general". The News & Observer. Retrieved October 13, 2015.
↑ Matt Vasilogambros (April 29, 2013). "What You Need to Know About Obama Transportation Pick Anthony Foxx". National Journal. Retrieved September 9, 2013.
↑ Campbell, Colin (July 8, 2015). "Former Raleigh Mayor Charles Meeker to run for labor commissioner". The News & Observer. Retrieved August 11, 2015.
↑ Brinson, Will (July 23, 2015). "Ex-Skins QB Heath Shuler says he won't run for NC Governor". CBS Sports. Retrieved August 11, 2015.
↑ State Board of Elections
↑ News & Observer: Libertarians file for governor, US Senate, lieutenant governor
↑ Lynn Bonner (December 31, 2014). "Libertarian candidate for NC governor announces". News & Observer. Retrieved January 5, 2015.
↑ Frankel, Paul (August 8, 2015). "Fortenberry withdraws from NC governor’s race". Independent Political Report. Retrieved August 11, 2015.
↑ Craig Jarvis (January 5, 2015). "Sean Haugh considers another Libertarian bid". News & Observer. Retrieved January 5, 2015.
↑ Ziggler, Jed (October 7, 2015). "Sean Haugh: “I Intend to Run for U.S. Senate as a Libertarian in North Carolina in 2016”". Independent Political Report. Retrieved October 13, 2015.
↑ "Richmond County Daily Journal".

External links

(2015 ←) 2016 United States elections (→ 2017)

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