Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2016

This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election between prospective Democratic and Republican candidates. The two major party candidates will be chosen at the Democratic National Convention and Republican National Convention in July 2016. The general election is on Tuesday, November 8, 2016.

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of May 6, 2016.

Poll model Democratic
candidate
% Republican
candidate
% Leading by %
Real Clear Politics Hillary Clinton 46.7% Donald Trump 40.5% 6.2
Bernie Sanders 51.6% Donald Trump 38.0% 13.6
HuffPost Pollster Hillary Clinton 46.6% Donald Trump 39.9% 6.5
Bernie Sanders 51.1% Donald Trump 37.6% 13.5

Individual polls

Two-way race

Poll source Date Democratic
candidate
% Republican
candidate
% Leading by % Sample
size
Margin of error
Ipsos/Reuters[1] April 30 – May 5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 36% 9 1,277 ± 3.1%
Morning consult[2] April 29 – May 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 40% 5 1,976 ± 2.0%
CNN/ORC[3] April 28 – May 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 41% 13 1,001 ± 3.5%
Rasmussen Reports[4] April 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 41% 2 1,000 ± 3.0%
Rasmussen Reports[5] April 25–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 38% Tied 1,000 ± 3.0%
GWU/Battleground[6] April 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 43% 3 1,000 ± 3.1%
Bernie Sanders 51% Donald Trump 40% 11
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[7] April 10–14, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 39% 11 1,000 ± 3.1%
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 39% John Kasich 51% 12
Bernie Sanders 52% Ted Cruz 40% 12
Fox News[8] April 11–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 41% 7 1,021 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 40% John Kasich 49% 9
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 39% 14
Bernie Sanders 51% Ted Cruz 39% 12
Bernie Sanders 47% John Kasich 43% 4
CBS News[9] April 8–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 40% 10 1,098 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% John Kasich 47% 6
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 36% 17
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 38% 12
Bernie Sanders 46% John Kasich 41% 5
IBD-TIPP[10] March 28 – April 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 35% 12 902 ± 3.3%
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 39% 5
Hillary Clinton 38% John Kasich 45% 7
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 36% 17
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 38% 12
Bernie Sanders 45% John Kasich 42% 3
McClatchy-Marist[11] March 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 41% 9 1,297 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 47% Tied
Hillary Clinton 42% John Kasich 51% 9
Bernie Sanders 57% Donald Trump 37% 20
Bernie Sanders 53% Ted Cruz 41% 12
Bernie Sanders 52% John Kasich 41% 11
Public Policy Polling[12] March 24–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 41% 7 1,083 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% John Kasich 45% 4
Hillary Clinton 44% Paul Ryan 39% 5
Hillary Clinton 45% Mitt Romney 32% 13
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 40% 8
Bernie Sanders 48% Ted Cruz 41% 7
Bernie Sanders 41% John Kasich 44% 3
Bernie Sanders 45% Paul Ryan 38% 7
Bernie Sanders 48% Mitt Romney 31% 17
Bloomberg Politics[13] March 19–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 54% Donald Trump 36% 18 815 ± 5.1%
Hillary Clinton 51% Ted Cruz 42% 9
Hillary Clinton 43% John Kasich 47% 4
Quinnipiac University[14] March 16–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 40% 6 1,451 ± 2.6%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 42% 3
Hillary Clinton 39% John Kasich 47% 8
Bernie Sanders 52% Donald Trump 38% 14
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 39% 11
Bernie Sanders 44% John Kasich 45% 1
CBS News/New York Times[15] March 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 40% 10 1,058 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 44% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% John Kasich 47% 4
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 38% 15
CNN/ORC[16] March 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 41% 12 925 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 48% Tied
Hillary Clinton 45% John Kasich 51% 6
Bernie Sanders 58% Donald Trump 38% 20
Bernie Sanders 55% Ted Cruz 42% 13
Bernie Sanders 51% John Kasich 45% 6
Monmouth University[17] March 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 38% 10 848 ± 3.4%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 40% 5
Hillary Clinton 39% John Kasich 45% 6
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[18] March 3–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 38% 13 1,200 ± 2.83%
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 45% 2
Hillary Clinton 46% Marco Rubio 46% Tied
Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 37% 18
ABC/Washington Post[19] March 3–6, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 41% 9 864 ± 4%
Rasmussen Reports[20] February 29 – March 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 36% 5 1,000 ± 3%
CNN/ORC[21] February 24–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 44% 8 920 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 48% Ted Cruz 49% 1
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 50% 3
Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 43% 12
Bernie Sanders 57% Ted Cruz 40% 17
Bernie Sanders 53% Marco Rubio 45% 8
Fox News[22] February 15–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 42% 5 1,031 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 46% 1
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 48% 4
Hillary Clinton 44% John Kasich 47% 3
Hillary Clinton 45% Jeb Bush 46% 1
Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 38% 15
Suffolk University/USA Today[23] February 11–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 45% 2 1,000 ± 3%
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 48% 6
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 45% 1
Hillary Clinton 38% John Kasich 49% 11
Bernie Sanders 42% Marco Rubio 46% 4
Bernie Sanders 44% Ted Cruz 42% 2
Bernie Sanders 41% John Kasich 44% 3
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 44% 1
Quinnipiac University[24] February 10–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 43% 1 1,342 ± 2.7%
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 46% 3
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 48% 7
Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 44% 1
Hillary Clinton 39% John Kasich 47% 8
Bernie Sanders 48% Donald Trump 42% 6
Bernie Sanders 49% Ted Cruz 39% 10
Bernie Sanders 47% Marco Rubio 41% 6
Bernie Sanders 49% Jeb Bush 39% 10
Bernie Sanders 45% John Kasich 41% 4
Quinnipiac University[25] February 2–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 41% 5 1,125 ± 2.9%
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 48% 7
Hillary Clinton 45% Ted Cruz 45% Tied
Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 39% 10
Bernie Sanders 46% Ted Cruz 42% 4
Bernie Sanders 43% Marco Rubio 43% Tied
Public Policy Polling February 2–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Jeb Bush 39% 7 1,236
Hillary Clinton 47% Ben Carson 44% 3
Hillary Clinton 46% Ted Cruz 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 44% Marco Rubio 46% 2
Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 40% 7
Bernie Sanders 46% Jeb Bush 40% 6
Bernie Sanders 44% Ben Carson 44% Tied
Bernie Sanders 44% Ted Cruz 42% 2
Bernie Sanders 43% Marco Rubio 45% 2
Bernie Sanders 46% Donald Trump 42% 4
CNN/ORC[26] January 21–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 47% 1 1,002 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 47% Marco Rubio 50% 3
Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 50% 3
Bernie Sanders 50% Donald Trump 47% 3
Bernie Sanders 49% Marco Rubio 48% 1
Bernie Sanders 50% Ted Cruz 47% 3
Morning Consult[27] January 14–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 39% 4 4060 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 39% 4
Hillary Clinton 42% Ben Carson 42% Tied
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 41% 2
Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 42% 2
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 41% 2
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[28] January 9–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 51% Donald Trump 41% 10 800 ± 3.5%
Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 39% 15
Morning Consult[29] January 8–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 40% 3 2173 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 43% Chris Christie 39% 4
Hillary Clinton 42% Ben Carson 41% 1
Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 40% 3
Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 44% 2
Hillary Clinton 44% Ted Cruz 40% 4
Gravis Marketing/One America News Network[30] January 10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 51% 2 2416 ± 2.0%
Hillary Clinton 50% Jeb Bush 50% Tied
Hillary Clinton 48% Marco Rubio 52% 4
Hillary Clinton 49% Rand Paul 51% 2
Hillary Clinton 50% Ted Cruz 50% Tied
Hillary Clinton 49% Ben Carson 51% 2
Hillary Clinton 50% Carly Fiorina 50% Tied
Fox News[31] January 4–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 44% Tied 1006 ± 3.0%
Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 47% 3
Hillary Clinton 43% Ted Cruz 50% 7
Hillary Clinton 41% Marco Rubio 50% 9

Polls conducted in 2015

Polls conducted in 2014

Polls conducted in 2013

Three-way race

Poll source Date Democratic candidate % Republican candidate % Third party/independent candidate % Lead margin
Public Policy Polling[12]

Sample Size: 1,083
Margin of error ±3.0%

March 24–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 37% Deez Nuts 10% 5
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 37% Deez Nuts 8% 6
Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 35% Rick Perry 12% 9
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 34% Rick Perry 12% 9
Monmouth University[17]

Sample Size: 848
Margin of error ±3.4%

March 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 11% 8
Quinnipiac University[162]

Sample Size: 1,342
Margin of error ±2.7%

February 10–15, 2016 Bernie Sanders 38% Donald Trump 38% Michael Bloomberg 12% Tied
Bernie Sanders 39% Ted Cruz 33% Michael Bloomberg 14% 6
Suffolk University/USA Today[163]

Sample Size: 1,000
Margin of error ± 3%

February 11–15, 2016 Bernie Sanders 30% Donald Trump 37% Michael Bloomberg 16% 7
Quinnipiac University[25]

Sample Size: 1,125
Margin of error ±2.9%

February 2–4, 2016 Bernie Sanders 35% Donald Trump 36% Michael Bloomberg 15% 1
Bernie Sanders 37% Ted Cruz 36% Michael Bloomberg 15% 1
Public Policy Polling

Sample Size: 1,236
Margin of error

February 2–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 37% Michael Bloomberg 11% 4
Bernie Sanders 36% Donald Trump 39% Michael Bloomberg 13% 3
Luntz Global[164]

Sample Size: 900
Margin of error ±3.3%

January 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 33% Donald Trump 37% Michael Bloomberg 29% 4
Hillary Clinton 37% Ted Cruz 35% Michael Bloomberg 28% 2
Hillary Clinton 35% Marco Rubio 38% Michael Bloomberg 28% 3
Morning Consult[165]

Sample Size: 1,439
Margin of error ±3%

January 21–24, 2016 Bernie Sanders 35% Donald Trump 34% Michael Bloomberg 12% 1
Bernie Sanders 36% Ted Cruz 28% Michael Bloomberg 11% 8
Bernie Sanders 36% Marco Rubio 29% Michael Bloomberg 10% 7
Morning Consult [166]

Sample Size: 4,060
Margin of error ±2%

January 14–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Ted Cruz 34% Michael Bloomberg 11% 4
Hillary Clinton 38% Marco Rubio 33% Michael Bloomberg 10% 5
Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 37% Michael Bloomberg 13% 1
Saint Leo University Polling Institute[167] November 29 – December 3, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45.4% Ted Cruz 19.9% Donald Trump 26.1% 19.3
Hillary Clinton 44.8% Carly Fiorina 14.9% Donald Trump 29.6% 15.2
Hillary Clinton 44.0% Ben Carson 20.1% Donald Trump 25.7% 18.3
Hillary Clinton 43.3% Marco Rubio 21.8% Donald Trump 25.9% 17.4
Hillary Clinton 43.3% Jeb Bush 19.6% Donald Trump 29.5% 13.8
Saint Leo University Polling Institute[59]

Margin of error ±6.0%
Sample Size: 1005

October 17–22, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42.7% Jeb Bush 22.8% Donald Trump 24.2% 18.5
Hillary Clinton 43.7% Carly Fiorina 22.6% Donald Trump 23.8% 19.9
Hillary Clinton 43.1% Ben Carson 27.9% Donald Trump 20.2% 15.2
Hillary Clinton 43.7% Marco Rubio 24.6% Donald Trump 22.9% 19.1
Hillary Clinton 44.9% Ted Cruz 18.6% Donald Trump 24.1% 20.8
Public Policy Polling[75]
Margin of error: ±2.8%
Sample size: 1254
August 28–30, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 23% Donald Trump 27% 15
Fox News[76]

Sample Size: 1008

August 11–13, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42% Carly Fiorina 24% Donald Trump 25% 17
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 30% Donald Trump 22% 12
Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 29% Donald Trump 23% 13
McClatchy-Marist[79]
Margin of error: ±2.8%
Sample size: 964
July 22–28, 2015 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 29% Donald Trump 20% 15
Public Policy Polling[82]
Margin of error: ±4.0%
Sample size: 1,087
July 20–21, 2015 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 25% Donald Trump 23% 18
ABC News/Washington Post[83]
Margin of error: ±4.0%
Sample size: 815
July 16–19, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 30% Donald Trump 20% 17

See also

General election polling
Democratic primary polling
Republican primary polling

References

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  150. "2016? Christie (R) 39%, Biden (D) 35%".
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  160. "Clinton, Rubio lead primary contests" (PDF).
  161. "Purple Poll" (PDF).
  162. http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/us/us02182016_Urpfd42.pdf
  163. http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/2_17_2016_marginals.pdf
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  165. "Poll: Bloomberg vs. Sanders vs. Trump". Retrieved 29 January 2016.
  166. http://morningconsult.com/2016/01/new-poll-could-bloomberg-win/
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