Nevada Democratic caucuses, 2016
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The 2016 Nevada Democratic caucuses took place on February 20 in the U.S. state of Nevada, traditionally marking the Democratic Party's third nominating contest in their series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.
The Republican Party held its South Carolina primary on the same day, while their own Nevada caucuses would only take place three days later on February 23.
With all other candidates having dropped out of the race ahead of the Nevada caucuses, the two remaining candidates were Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton.[1]
A majority of participants at the February caucuses supported Hillary Clinton. However, the county conventions on April 2, 2016 resulted in more Sanders delegates than Clinton delegates being sent to the state convention in May.
Process
Of the total number of 43 delegates the Nevada Democratic Party may send to the 2016 Democratic National Convention, 35 are pledged and 8 are unpledged.
The delegate selection process is a system with three levels:
- The first step in the delegate selection process were the precinct caucuses on February 20, which elected about 12,000 delegates to the county conventions.
- At the county conventions on April 2, the county delegates selected about 4,000 delegates to the state convention.
- At the state convention on May 14–15, the final 35 pledged delegates to the National Convention will be selected. 23 of them are allocated proportionally based on congressional district results, whereas the remaining 12 are allocated based on the state convention as a whole.
Debates and forums
October 2015 debate in Las Vegas
On October 13, 2015, the Democratic Party's very first debate was held at the Wynn Hotel in Las Vegas. Hosted by Anderson Cooper, it aired on CNN and was broadcast on radio by Westwood One. Participants were the candidates Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, Jim Webb, Martin O'Malley, and Lincoln Chafee. It was the first and only debate appearance of Chafee and Webb, who ended their campaigns on October 23 and October 20, respectively.
February 2016 forum in Las Vegas
On February 18, MSNBC and Telemundo hosted a forum in Las Vegas.
Opinion polling
Delegate count: 35 Pledged, 8 Unpledged
- Winner
-
Hillary Clinton - Caucus date
- February 20, 2016
| Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caucus results | February 20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 52.6% |
Bernie Sanders 47.3% |
Other 0.1% |
| Gravis Marketing[2]
Margin of error: ± 4.0
|
February 14–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 53% |
Bernie Sanders 47% |
|
| CNN/ORC[3]
Margin of error: ± 6.0
|
February 10–15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 48% |
Bernie Sanders 47% |
Others / Undecided 6% |
| Washington Free Beacon/TPC Research[4]
Margin of error: ± 2.9
|
February 8–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 45% |
Bernie Sanders 45% |
Undecided 9% |
| Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing
Margin of error: ± 5%
|
December 23–27, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 50% |
Bernie Sanders 27% |
Martin O'Malley 1% |
Unsure 16% |
| CNN/ORC[5]
Margin of error: ± 6%
|
October 3–10, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 50% |
Bernie Sanders 34% |
Joe Biden 12% |
|
| Gravis Marketing
Margin of error: ± 5%
|
July 12–13, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 55% |
Bernie Sanders 18% |
Elizabeth Warren 8% |
Joe Biden 5%, Lincoln Chafee 1%, Jim Webb 1%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Unsure 12% |
| Gravis Marketing[6]
Margin of error: ± 6%
|
March 27, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 61% |
Elizabeth Warren 15% |
Bernie Sanders 7% |
Joe Biden 3%, Al Gore 3%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Jim Webb 0%, Unsure 10% |
| Gravis Marketing
Margin of error: ± 6%
|
February 21–22, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 58% |
Elizabeth Warren 20% |
Joe Biden 8% |
Bernie Sanders 4%, Jim Webb 3%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Undecided 7% |
Results
Primary date: February 20, 2016
County conventions: April 2, 2016
State convention: May 14 - May 15, 2016 (presumably)
National delegates: 43
| Nevada Democratic caucuses, February 20, 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | County delegates | Estimated delegates | |||
| Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
| Hillary Clinton | 6,440 | 52.64% | 20 | 4 | 24 |
| Bernie Sanders | 5,785 | 47.29% | 15 | 1 | 16 |
| Uncommitted | 8 | 0.07% | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Total | 12,233 | 100% | 35 | 8 | 43 |
| Source: The Green Papers | |||||
| Nevada Democratic county conventions, April 2, 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | State delegates | Estimated delegates | |||
| Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
| Bernie Sanders | 2,124 | 55.23% | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| Hillary Clinton | 1,722 | 44.77% | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Uncommitted | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Total | 100% | 12 | 8 | 20 | |
| Source: The Moderate Voice[7] | |||||
References
- ↑ http://nvdems.com/caucus/candidates/
- ↑ "Nevada Polling Results". Retrieved 2016-02-18.
- ↑ "Nevada primary: CNN/ORC poll full results" (PDF). Retrieved 2016-02-17.
- ↑ "Nevada Democratic Caucus Poll" (PDF).
- ↑ "South Carolina, Nevada CNN polls find Clinton far ahead". Retrieved 2015-10-12.
- ↑ "Nevada poll: Sandoval early favorite to succeed Reid; Cruz surges to lead pack with Walker". Gravismarketing.com. Retrieved 2015-07-09.
- ↑ Gill, Kathy (3 April 2016). "What just happened in Nevada? Did Sanders suddenly beat Clinton?". The Moderate Voice. Retrieved 5 April 2016.