Valencian parliamentary election, 2007

Valencian parliamentary election, 2007

27 May 2007

All 99 seats in the Valencian Courts 50 seats needed for a majority Opinion polls Registered 3,491,365 2.0% Turnout 2,448,830 (70.1%) 1.4 pp   First party Second party Third party   Leader Francisco Camps Joan Ignasi Pla Glòria Marcos Party PP PSPV-PSOE CPV Leader since 10 July 2002 24 September 2000 26 January 2007 Last election 48 seats, 47.2% 35 seats, 35.9% 6 seats, 11.0%[lower-alpha 1] Seats won 54 38 7 Seat change 6 3 1 Popular vote 1,277,458 838,987 195,116 Percentage 52.5% 34.5% 8.0% Swing 5.3 pp 1.4 pp 3.0 pp

President before election Francisco Camps PP Elected President Francisco Camps PP

The 2007 Valencian parliamentary election was held on Sunday, 27 May 2007, to elect the 7th democratically-elected Valencian Courts, the regional legislature of the Spanish autonomous community of Valencia. At stake were all seats in the Courts, determining the President of the Valencian Government. The number of members increased from 89 to 99 compared to the 2003 election.

As in the three previous elections, the People's Party (PP) won with an increased absolute majority of seats, as well as winning an absolute majority of votes - the first time since 1983 that this had been achieved. The PP increased its vote share by more than 5% and gained 6 of the additional 10 seats.

The Valencian Nationalist Bloc (BNV) which in the previous election had remained 0.3% short of the 5% threshold, formed an electoral alliance with United Left (IU) under the name Commitment for the Valencian Country (CPV). This combined list, which also included smaller Green and left-wing groups, saw BNV gain its first seat representation in the Courts, though the combined vote for both IU and BNV was considerably lesser than both had polled separately in 2003, with the coalition only gaining one seat overall. The Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSPV-PSOE) gained 3 seats despite decreasing its vote share by 1 point.

Electoral system

The number of seats in the Valencian Courts was set to a fixed-number of 99. All Courts members were elected in 3 multi-member districts, corresponding to the Valencian Community's three provinces, using the D'Hondt method and a closed-list proportional representation system. Each district was entitled to an initial minimum of 20 seats, with the remaining 39 seats allocated among the three provinces in proportion to their populations, on the required condition that the number of inhabitants per seat in each district did not exceed 3 times those of any other. For the 2007 election, seats were distributed as follows: Alicante (35), Castellon (24) and Valencia (40).

Voting was on the basis of universal suffrage in a secret ballot. Only lists polling above 5% of valid votes in all of the community (which include blank ballots—for none of the above) were entitled to enter the seat distribution. This meant that in the case a list polled above 5% in one or more of the districts but below 5% in the community totals, it would remain outside of the seat apportionment.^[1]

Opinion polls

Vote

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

Date	Polling Firm/Source	PP	PSPV	EUPV	BNV	UV	CPV	Oth.	Lead
27 May 2007	Regional Election	52.5	34.5	w.CPV	w.CPV	0.9	8.0	4.1	18.0
Exit polls
20 May	Opina	50.0	38.0	w.CPV	w.CPV		9.5	2.5	12.0
10–16 May	Grup Marest	44.5	37.6	w.CPV	w.CPV	2.2	11.5	4.2	6.9
13 May	Opina	51.6	37.5	w.CPV	w.CPV		8.6	2.3	14.1
27 Apr–8 May	Sigma-2	49.4	36.8	w.CPV	w.CPV		8.9	4.9	12.6
2–7 May	Noxa	50.5	35.1	w.CPV	w.CPV	2.2	10.4	1.8	15.4
9 Apr–6 May	CIS	49.8	36.0	w.CPV	w.CPV	3.3	8.2	2.7	13.8
28 Mar–5 Apr	Grup Marest	45.2	37.4	w.CPV	w.CPV	2.0	12.2	3.2	7.8
21 Jan	Grup Marest	44.7	38.3	w.CPV	w.CPV	1.5	12.6	2.9	6.4
12–20 Jan	PP	50.2	34.9	w.CPV	w.CPV		10.6	4.3	15.3
2007
16–24 Nov	Sigma-2	49.1	35.3	6.6	4.1			4.9	13.8
2–3 Oct	Opina	49.3	36.4	7.0	4.5			2.8	12.9
18–25 Sep	PSPV	46.6	40.5	w.CPV	w.CPV		8.6	4.3	6.1
5 Jun	Grup Marest	45.4	38.9	6.4	4.9	1.4		3.0	6.5
24 Apr–10 May	Opimarco	46.6	39.6	5.5	4.6	1.6		2.1	7.0
2006
9 Oct	Opina	48.0	36.6	6.5	3.2	1.5		4.2	11.4
2005
13 Jun 2004	EP Election	49.7	42.2	3.3	1.1	0.5		3.1	7.5
14 Mar 2004	General Election	46.8	42.4	4.7	1.5	N/A		4.6	4.4
2004
25 May 2003	Regional Election	47.2	35.9	6.4	4.7	3.0		2.9	11.3

Seat projections

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 50 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Valencian Courts.

50 seats needed for majority (11/04/2006–27/05/2007)

45 seats needed for majority (25/05/2003–11/04/2006)

Date	Polling Firm/Source	PP	PSPV	EUPV	BNV	UV	CPV	Others
27 May 2007	Regional Election	54	38	w.CPV	w.CPV	0	7	0
Exit polls
20 May	Opina	51−52	39	w.CPV	w.CPV	0	8−9	0
19 May	UVLC	45−49	41−45	w.CPV	w.CPV	0	8−10	0
13 May	Opina	54	38	w.CPV	w.CPV	0	7	0
10–16 May	Grup Marest	48	40	w.CPV	w.CPV	0	11	0
27 Apr–8 May	Sigma-2	50−53	38−41	w.CPV	w.CPV	0	8	0
2–7 May	Noxa	52−54	35−37	w.CPV	w.CPV	0	9−11	0
9 Apr–6 May	CIS	53	38	w.CPV	w.CPV	0	8	0
28 Mar–5 Apr	Grup Marest	49	39	w.CPV	w.CPV	0	11	0
21 Jan	Grup Marest	46−47	40−41	w.CPV	w.CPV	0	12	0
12–20 Jan	PP	55	36	w.CPV	w.CPV	0	8	0
2007
16–24 Nov	Sigma-2	53−56	37−40	6	0	0	0	0
16–24 Nov	Sigma-2	48−50	34−36	5	0	0	0	0
18–25 Sep	PSPV	47−48	42−44	w.CPV	w.CPV	0	8−9	0
18–25 Sep	PSPV	49−50	44−45	5	0	0	0	0
5 Jun	Grup Marest	50	43	6	0	0	0	0
24 Apr–10 May	Opimarco	49	41	w.CPV	w.CPV	0	9	0
24 Apr–10 May	Opimarco	50−51	41−43	4−5	0−4	0	0	0
2006
13 Mar	PP	49	36	4	0	0		0
2005
2004
25 May 2003	Regional Election	48	35	6	0	0		0

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 27 May 2007 Valencian Courts election results →

Party		Vote			Seats
		Votes	%	±pp	Won	+/−
	People's Party (PP)	1,277,458	52.52	5.37	54	6
	Socialist Party of the Valencian Country (PSPV-PSOE)	838,987	34.49	1.46	38	3
	Commitment for the Valencian Country (CPV)[lower-alpha 1]	195,116	8.02	3.02	7	1
	Valencian Union-The Greens Ecopacifists (UV-LVE)	22,789	0.94	2.04	0	±0
	Valencian Coalition (CVa)	17,331	0.71	New	0	±0
	Republican Left of the Valencian Country (ERPV)	11,686	0.48	0.17	0	±0
	Social Democratic Party (PSD)	10,187	0.42	New	0	±0
	Spain 2000 (E-2000)	5,934	0.24	0.13	0	±0
	Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE)	4,088	0.17	0.01	0	±0
	United for Valencia (UxV)	2,559	0.11	New	0	±0
	Authentic Falange (FA)	2,493	0.10	±0.00	0	±0

Parties with less than 0.1% of the vote		9,478	0.39	–	0	±0
	Humanist Party (PH)	2,039	0.08	0.03	0	±0
	People's Unity Movement-Republicans (MUP-R)	1,531	0.06	New	0	±0
	Liberal Centre (CL)	1,511	0.06	New	0	±0
	Renewal Liberal Centre (CLR)	1,461	0.06	New	0	±0
	Spanish Falange of the JONS (FE-JONS)	1,018	0.04	New	0	±0
	Liberal Democratic Centre (CDL)	785	0.03	New	0	±0
	National Democracy (DN)	706	0.03	±0.00	0	±0
	Liberal Centrist Union (UCL)	427	0.02	New	0	±0

	Blank ballots	34,348	1.41	0.14
Total		2,432,454	100.00		99	10
Valid votes		2,432,454	99.33	0.02
Invalid votes		16,376	0.67	0.02
Votes cast / turnout		2,448,830	70.14	1.37
Abstentions		1,042,535	29.86	1.37
Registered voters		3,491,365
Source(s): Valencian Courts Argos Information Portal

Vote share
PP			52.52%
PSPV-PSOE			34.49%
CPV			8.02%
Others			3.56%
Blank ballots			1.41%

Parliamentary seats
PP			54.54%
PSPV-PSOE			38.38%
CPV			7.07%

Results by province

Election results by province.

Notes

1. Commitment for the Valencian Country results are compared to the United Left of the Valencian Country and Valencian Nationalist Bloc totals in the 2003 election.

References

1. "Law 1/1987, of 31 March, Valencian electoral".