Finnish parliamentary election, 2019

Finnish parliamentary election, 2019
Finland
2019
All 200 seats to the Parliament
101 seats needed for a majority
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Juha Sipilä Timo Soini Alexander Stubb
Party Centre Finns National Coalition
Leader since 2012 1997 2014
Last election 49 seats, 21.1% 38 seats, 17.7% 37 seats, 18.2%
  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
Leader Antti Rinne Ville Niinistö Paavo Arhinmäki
Party Social Democratic Green League Left Alliance
Leader since 2014 2011 2009
Last election 34 seats, 16.5% 15 seats, 8.5% 12 seats, 7.1%
  Seventh party Eighth party
 
Leader Carl Haglund Sari Essayah[1]
Party Swedish People's Christian Democrat
Leader since 2012 2015
Last election 9 seats, 4.9% 5 seats, 3.5%
Prime Minister before election

Juha Sipilä
Centre

 Elected Prime Minister

TBD

The 2019 Finnish parliamentary election is scheduled for April 2019.[2]

Background

The incumbent government was formed by a three party coalition, composed of the Centre Party, Finns Party and National Coalition Party.[3] On 28 May 2015, the parliament elected Juha Sipilä as prime minister by a vote of 128–62.[4]

Electoral system

Electoral districts in the 2015 election

The 200 members of the Eduskunta are elected using proportional representation in 13 multi-member constituencies, with seats allocated according to the d'Hondt method. The number of elected representatives is proportional to the population in the district six months prior to the elections. Åland has single member electoral district and its own party system.[5]

Electoral district Seats
01 Helsinki 22
02 Uusimaa 35
03 Finland Proper 17
04 Satakunta 8
05 Åland 1
06 Tavastia 14
07 Pirkanmaa 19
08 South-East Finland 17
09 Savonia-Karelia 16
10 Vaasa 16
11 Central Finland 10
12 Oulu 18
13 Lapland 7

Opinion polls

Graphical summary

Poll results

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The table uses the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if that date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

The Sipilä Cabinet is composed of the top three parties from the previous election: Centre (Kesk), National Coalition (Kok) and Finns (PS) parties.

Date Polling Firm KESK KOK PS SDP VIHR VAS SFP KD Others Lead Govt-Opposition
4 Apr–3 May Taloustutkimus 20.4 17.0 8.5 21.5 13.5 8.5 4.5 3.6 2.5 1.1 45.9 – 51.6
14 Mar–11 Apr TNS Gallup 20.6 17.1 9.7 21.7 11.7 8.7 4.4 3.7 2.4 1.1 47.4 – 50.2
7–30 Mar Taloustutkimus 21.7 17.1 9.5 20.3 12.5 8.3 4.7 3.6 2.3 1.4 48.3 – 49.4
15 Feb–11 Mar TNS Gallup 21.5 17.4 10.2 21.4 10.9 8.3 4.5 3.5 2.3 0.1 49.1 – 48.6
3 Feb–1 Mar Taloustutkimus 20.7 16.9 9.0 22.9 10.7 8.9 4.5 3.9 2.5 2.2 46.6 – 50.9
18 Jan–14 Feb TNS Gallup 21.4 18.0 9.9 21.2 10.8 8.5 4.3 3.7 2.2 0.2 49.3 – 48.5
11 Jan–2 Feb Taloustutkimus 20.9 17.3 9.8 21.5 12.3 8.6 4.1 3.4 2.1 0.6 48.0 – 49.9
14 Dec–14 Jan TNS Gallup 19.7 17.9 9.6 22.8 11.1 7.9 4.5 4.2 2.3 3.1 47.2 – 50.5
2016
7–29 Dec Taloustutkimus 21.4 18.7 8.9 22.7 11.7 7.3 3.9 3.4 2.0 1.3 49.0 – 49.0
16 Nov–10 Dec TNS Gallup 20.9 17.7 10.8 21.1 11.3 8.4 4.3 3.5 2.0 0.2 49.4 – 48.6
9 Nov–1 Dec Taloustutkimus 21.6 18.3 8.9 21.0 12.6 8.1 4.6 3.5 1.4 0.6 48.8 – 49.8
19 Oct–12 Nov TNS Gallup 21.6 18.4 11.0 19.6 11.6 8.0 4.3 3.5 2.0 2.0 51.0 – 47.0
12 Oct–3 Nov Taloustutkimus 21.7 18.3 9.8 20.7 12.2 7.4 4.4 3.4 2.1 1.0 49.8 – 48.1
14 Sep–16 Oct TNS Gallup 22.2 17.7 11.4 18.3 11.5 8.6 4.4 3.9 2.0 3.9 51.3 – 46.7
7 Sep–6 Oct Taloustutkimus 21.7 18.0 10.7 18.3 12.7 8.3 4.8 4.0 1.5 3.7 50.4 – 48.1
10 Aug–10 Sep TNS Gallup 22.3 18.0 15.6 15.0 11.1 7.8 4.8 3.5 1.9 4.3 55.9 – 42.2
10 Aug–1 Sep Taloustutkimus 23.0 18.9 15.0 14.4 12.4 7.6 4.2 2.9 1.6 4.1 56.9 – 41.5
13 Jul–7 Aug TNS Gallup 23.2 17.6 16.7 14.2 11.4 7.2 4.7 3.1 1.9 5.6 57.5 – 40.6
7 Jul–4 Aug Taloustutkimus 23.1 18.2 15.6 14.5 12.7 7.8 3.9 2.7 1.5 4.9 56.9 – 41.6
15 Jun–9 Jul TNS Gallup 21.9 18.2 17.6 14.7 9.8 7.9 4.5 3.3 2.1 3.7 57.7 – 40.2
3 Jun–1 Jul Taloustutkimus 22.7 17.3 15.6 14.6 11.5 8.4 4.5 3.4 2.0 5.4 55.6 – 42.4
18 May–11 Jun TNS Gallup 21.0 18.5 18.0 14.8 10.0 7.8 4.5 3.2 2.2 2.5 57.5 – 40.4
4 May–2 Jun Taloustutkimus 23.1 16.7 17.5 15.0 10.5 7.5 4.5 3.1 2.1 5.6 57.3 – 40.6
20 Apr–15 May TNS Gallup 21.1 18.0 19.2 15.1 9.3 6.8 4.6 3.4 2.5 1.9 58.3 – 39.2
19 Apr 2015 Election Results 21.1 18.2 17.7 16.5 8.5 7.1 4.9 3.5 2.5 2.9 57.0 – 40.5

References

  1. ↑ "Kristillisdemokraattien uusi puheenjohtaja on Sari Essayah – haluaa malliksi Saksan sisarpuolue CDU:n". Helsingin Sanomat. 28 August 2015. Retrieved 29 August 2015.
  2. ↑ Upcoming Elections 2015-2030, Vaalit.fi, accessed 3 June 2015.
  3. ↑ Sipilä opts for right-leaning government, YLE News 7 May 2015, accessed 3 June 2015.
  4. ↑ "Juha Sipilä valittiin äänin 128-62 pääministeriksi". Verkkouutiset. 2016-05-28. Retrieved 2016-03-03.
  5. ↑ Electoral Districts, Vaalit.fi, accessed 3 June 2015.
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