Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election

In the run up to the next United Kingdom general election, various organisations are expected to carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.

The date range for these opinion polls is from after the previous general election, held on 7 May 2015, to the present day. Under fixed-term legislation, the next general election is scheduled to be held on 7 May 2020.

Most opinion polls cover only Great Britain.

Graphical summary

UK Opinion Polling for the 2020 election including polls which started on or before 25th April 2016 (moving average is calculated from the last ten polls)

  Conservative

  Labour

  UKIP

  Liberal Democrats

  SNP

  Greens

Poll results

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order.^[1] The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. The "Lead" column shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. In the instance of a tie, no figure is shaded but both are displayed in bold. Poll results are generally rounded to the nearest percentage point (where a result is less than 0.5%, but more than zero, it is indicated by '*').

The six parties with the largest numbers of votes in the 2015 general election are listed here. Other parties are listed in the "Other" column.

  Conservative Party

  Labour Party

  UK Independence Party

  Liberal Democrats

  Scottish National Party

  Green parties (Green Party of England and Wales and Scottish Green Party)

2016

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	UKIP	Lib Dem	SNP	Green	Others	Lead
5 May	United Kingdom local elections, 2016; Ogmore and Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough by-elections
26-29 Apr	Opinium	2,005	38%	30%	15%	5%	5%	5%	1%	8%
25–26 Apr	YouGov/The Times	1,650	30%	33%	20%	6%	8%[lower-alpha 1]	3%	-	3%
16–18 Apr	Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard	1,026	38%	35%	11%	6%	6%	3%	1%	3%
15–17 Apr	ICM/Guardian	1,003	38%	33%	13%	7%	5%	3%	1%	5%
15–17 Apr	ICM/Guardian	2,008	36%	31%	16%	7%	4%	4%	2%	5%
13–14 Apr	ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday	2,036	35%	30%	16%	8%	5%	4%	1%	5%
11–12 Apr	YouGov/The Times	1,639	31%	34%	17%	8%	7%[lower-alpha 1]	3%	-	3%
29 Mar–1 Apr	Opinium/Observer	1,966	33%	32%	17%	5%	6%	4%	2%	1%
24–29 Mar	BMG Research	1,298	36%	31%	16%	7%	5%	5%	2%	5%
19–22 Mar	Ipsos MORI	1,023	36%	34%	11%	10%	5%	3%	2%	2%
18–20 Mar	ComRes/Daily Mail	1,002	37%	35%	9%	7%	5%	4%	2%	2%
16–17 Mar	YouGov/The Times	1,691	33%	34%	16%	6%	6%[lower-alpha 1]	3%	2%	1%
16 Mar	George Osborne delivers the 2016 United Kingdom budget
11–13 Mar	ICM/The Guardian	1,001	36%	36%	11%	8%	3%	3%	1%	Tie
9–10 Mar	ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday	2,059	38%	29%	16%	7%	4%	4%	1%	9%
21–23 Feb	YouGov/The Times	3,482	37%	30%	16%	8%	6%[lower-alpha 1]	3%	-	7%
17–23 Feb	BMG Research	1,268	38%	30%	16%	5%	5%	5%	2%	8%
19–22 Feb	ComRes/Daily Mail	1,000	38%	31%	12%	8%	4%	3%	3%	7%
13–16 Feb	Ipsos MORI	1,001	39%	33%	12%	6%	6%	3%	2%	6%
12–14 Feb	ICM/The Guardian	1,004	39%	32%	11%	7%	4%	4%	3%	7%
10–12 Feb	ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday	2,018	41%	27%	15%	9%	5%	3%	1%	14%
3–4 Feb	YouGov/The Times	1,675	39%	29%	18%	6%	4%[lower-alpha 1]	3%	1%	10%
27–28 Jan	YouGov	1,735	39%	30%	17%	6%	4%[lower-alpha 1]	3%	1%	9%
23–25 Jan	Ipsos MORI	1,027	40%	31%	11%	7%	5%	4%	1%	9%
22–24 Jan	ComRes/Daily Mail	1,006	37%	32%	12%	6%	4%	4%	4%	5%
15–17 Jan	ICM/The Guardian	1,001	40%	35%	10%	6%	4%	3%	2%	5%
15–16 Jan	Survation/Mail on Sunday	1,017	37%	30%	16%	7%	5%	3%	3%	7%
13–15 Jan	ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday	2,004	40%	29%	16%	7%	4%	3%	1%	11%
8–14 Jan	Panelbase/Sunday Times	2,087	39%	31%	14%	6%	5%	5%	-	8%

2015

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	UKIP	Lib Dem	SNP	Green	Others	Lead
18–20 Dec	ICM/The Guardian	1,003	39%	34%	10%	7%	4%	3%	3%	5%
17–18 Dec	YouGov/The Times	1,598	39%	29%	17%	6%	5%[lower-alpha 1]	3%	1%	10%
15–18 Dec	Opinium/Observer	1,936	38%	30%	16%	5%	6%	5%	2%	8%
12–14 Dec	Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard	1,040	38%	31%	9%	9%	5%	6%	2%	7%
11–13 Dec	ComRes/Daily Mail	1,001	37%	33%	11%	7%	4%	5%	2%	4%
9–11 Dec	ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror	2,049	40%	29%	16%	7%	4%	3%	1%	11%
3 Dec	Oldham West and Royton by-election
30 Nov–1 Dec	YouGov/The Times	1,657	41%	30%	16%	6%	4%[lower-alpha 1]	3%	1%	11%
20–24 Nov	YouGov	4,317	38%	29%	17%	6%	5%[lower-alpha 1]	3%	1%	9%
20–22 Nov	ComRes/Daily Mail	1,000	40%	29%	11%	8%	4%	3%	4%	11%
18–20 Nov	ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror	2,067	42%	27%	15%	7%	5%	3%	1%	15%
16–17 Nov	Survation/Leave.EU[lower-alpha 2]	1,546	37%	30%	16%	6%	5%	3%	3%	7%
14–17 Nov	Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard	1,021	41%	34%	7%	7%	6%	4%	-	7%
11–17 Nov	BMG Research	1,334	37%	30%	15%	7%	4%	4%	2%	7%
13–15 Nov	ICM/The Guardian	1,006	39%	33%	12%	7%	5%	3%	1%	6%
9–11 Nov	Survation/Leave.EU[lower-alpha 2]	2,007	36%	30%	15%	7%	5%	3%	3%	6%
22–27 Oct	BMG Research	1,467	37%	31%	15%	6%	4%	5%	2%	6%
23–25 Oct	ComRes/Daily Mail	1,002	38%	33%	10%	8%	3%	3%	4%	5%
17–19 Oct	Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard	1,021	36%	32%	12%	10%	5%	3%	2%	4%
13–16 Oct	Opinium	1,934	37%	32%	15%	5%	6%	4%	2%	5%
14–15 Oct	ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror	2,051	42%	29%	13%	7%	5%	3%	1%	13%
9–11 Oct	ICM/The Guardian	1,002	38%	34%	11%	7%	5%	3%	3%	4%
29–30 Sep	YouGov/The Sun	2,064	37%	31%	17%	7%	5%[lower-alpha 1]	2%	1%	6%
26–28 Sep	ComRes/Daily Mail	1,009	39%	30%	12%	9%	4%	4%	3%	9%
21–22 Sep	Survation/Huffington Post	1,008	37%	32%	13%	9%	5%	3%	1%	5%
19–22 Sep	Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard	1,255	39%	34%	7%	9%	5%	4%	1%	5%
17–18 Sep	YouGov/Sunday Times	1,601	39%	31%	16%	6%	5%[lower-alpha 1]	3%	1%	8%
15–18 Sep	Opinium	1,942	37%	32%	14%	6%	5%	4%	1%	5%
16–17 Sep	ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror	2,015	42%	30%	13%	7%	5%	3%	1%	12%
11–13 Sep	ICM/The Guardian	1,006	38%	32%	13%	8%	5%	3%	2%	6%
12 Sep	Jeremy Corbyn is elected leader of the Labour Party and appointed Leader of the Opposition
3–4 Sep	Survation/Mail on Sunday	1,004	38%	32%	13%	6%	5%	4%	2%	6%
21–23 Aug	ComRes/Daily Mail	1,001	42%	28%	9%	8%	5%	6%	3%	14%
12–13 Aug	ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror	2,035	40%	29%	13%	8%	5%	4%	1%	11%
12–13 Aug	Survation/TSSA	1,007	38%	33%	15%	6%	5%	3%	1%	5%
7–9 Aug	ICM/The Guardian	1,000	40%	31%	10%	7%	5%	4%	2%	9%
24–26 Jul	ComRes/Daily Mail	1,001	40%	28%	10%	7%	5%	5%	4%	12%
18–20 Jul	Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard	1,026	37%	31%	9%	10%	5%	8%	1%	6%
16 Jul	Tim Farron is elected leader of the Liberal Democrats
10–12 Jul	ICM/The Guardian	1,005	38%	34%	13%	6%	4%	4%	1%	4%
26–28 Jun	ComRes/Daily Mail	1,002	39%	27%	11%	9%	5%	6%	3%	12%
14–16 Jun	Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard	1,005	39%	30%	8%	9%	5%	6%	2%	9%
12–14 Jun	ICM/The Guardian	1,004	37%	31%	13%	8%	5%	5%	1%	6%
29–31 May	ComRes/Daily Mail	1,000	41%	29%	10%	8%	5%	5%	3%	12%
25–26 May	YouGov/The Sun	1,709	41%	30%	13%	7%	4%[lower-alpha 1]	4%	1%	11%
8–9 May	Survation/Mail on Sunday	1,027	40%	31%	12%	6%	5%	3%	2%	9%
7 May	General Election results (GB only)[2][3]	29,980,107	37.8%	31.2%	12.9%	8.1%	4.9%	3.8%	1.4%	6.6%

1. Includes those expressing a voting intention for Plaid Cymru.
2. This survey included respondents from Northern Ireland.

Sub-national polling

England

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Con	Lab	UKIP	Lib Dem	Green	Others	Lead
5 May	United Kingdom local elections, Ogmore by-election and Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough by-election
13–15 Jan 2016	ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror	1,468	42%	31%	17%	6%	3%	1%	11%
11–13 Dec 2015	ComRes/Daily Mail	670	39%	33%	12%	7%	5%	2%	6%
9–11 Dec 2015	ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror	1522	43%	30%	17%	7%	3%	-	13%
12–13 Nov 2015	Survation/Mail on Sunday	1,015	38%	34%	18%	6%	4%	1%	4%
7 May 2015	General Election results	25,571,204	41.0%	31.6%	14.1%	8.2%	4.2%	0.9%	9.4%

Scotland

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	SNP	Lab	Con	Lib Dem	UKIP	Green	Others	Lead
5 May	Scottish Parliament election
7–10 Sep 2015	Survation/Scottish Daily Mail	1,010	52%	21%	16%	6%	2%	3%	-	31%
15 Aug 2015	Kezia Dugdale is elected leader of the Scottish Labour Party
3–7 Jul 2015	Survation/Scottish Daily Mail	1,084	51%	21%	17%	7%	2%	2%	-	30%
7 May 2015	General Election results	2,910,465	50.0%	24.3%	14.9%	7.5%	1.6%	1.3%	0.3%	25.7%

Wales

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	UKIP	Plaid	Lib Dem	Green	Others	Lead
5 May	Welsh Assembly election and United Kingdom local elections
19–22 Apr 2016	YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer	1,001	37%	23%	17%	13%	7%	2%	1%	14%
7–11 Apr 2016	YouGov/ITV Wales	1,011	38%	22%	18%	13%	6%	2%	4%	16%
7–18 March 2016	Economic and Social Research Council/Welsh Election Study	3,272	36%	25%	16%	14%	6%	N/A	3%[4]	11%
9–11 Feb 2016	YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer	1,024	37%	27%	18%	13%	4%	1%	-	10%
30 Nov–4 Dec 2015	YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer	1,005	37%	27%	17%	12%	4%	2%	-	10%
21–24 Sep 2015	YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer	1,151	42%	26%	16%	10%	5%	2%	-	16%
24–26 Jun 2015	YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer	1,151	37%	28%	15%	12%	4%	3%	1%	9%
7 May 2015	General Election results	1,498,433	36.9%	27.2%	13.6%	12.1%	6.5%	2.6%	1.0%	9.7%

Northern Ireland

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	DUP	SF	UUP	SDLP	Alliance	UKIP	TUV	Others	Lead
5 May	Northern Ireland Assembly election
7 May 2015	General Election Results	718,103	25.7%	24.5%	16.0%	13.9%	8.6%	2.6%	2.3%	6.6%	1.2%

London

Date(s) conducted	Polling organisation/client	Sample size	Lab	Con	UKIP	Lib Dem	Green	Others	Lead
5 May	London Assembly and Mayoral elections and United Kingdom local elections
4–6 Jan 2016	YouGov/LBC	1,156	44%	37%	11%	4%	2%	2%	7%
8 Jun–12 Aug 2015	YouGov/LBC	3,436	42%	38%	9%	5%	4%	1%	4%
7 May 2015	General Election results	3,536,251	43.7%	34.9%	8.1%	7.7%	4.9%	0.8%	8.8%

See also

• Opinion polling for the United Kingdom European Union membership referendum
• Opinion polling for the 2015 United Kingdom general election
• Opinion polling for the Scottish Parliament election, 2016
• Next United Kingdom general election
• European Parliament election, 2019 (United Kingdom)
• Scottish Parliament election, 2016
• National Assembly for Wales election, 2016
• Northern Ireland Assembly election, 2016
• London mayoral election, 2016

References

1. "Westminster Voting Intention". UK Opinion Bee. Retrieved 31 January 2015.
2. "Election 2015: Results - National". BBC. Retrieved 9 May 2015.
3. "Election 2015: Results - Northern Ireland". BBC. Retrieved 9 May 2015.
4. including Green

External links

• Britain Elects - summary of new polls
• Elections in Wales: analysis of Wales-only polling.