Next Queensland state election

Next Queensland state election

All 93 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Queensland 47 seats needed for a majority   Leader Annastacia Palaszczuk Tim Nicholls Party Labor Liberal National Leader since 28 March 2012 6 May 2016 Leader's seat Inala Clayfield Last election 44 seats 42 seats Current seats 42 seats 42 seats Seats needed 5 5 TPP @ 2015 51.1% 48.9% TPP Polling 49% 51% Preferred Premier 59.5% 40.5%

Incumbent Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk Labor

The next Queensland state election is scheduled to be held in 2019 to elect all 93 members to the unicameral Legislative Assembly of Queensland. The first-term Labor government, currently led by Premier of Queensland Annastacia Palaszczuk, will attempt to win a second term. The Liberal National opposition is currently led by Opposition Leader Tim Nicholls.

Labor is governing as a minority government in a hung parliament with confidence and supply support while retaining the right to vote on conscience from crossbench independent MP Peter Wellington as well as the support of the independent member for Cook, Billy Gordon, who was expelled from the Parliamentary Labor Party over a failure to disclose criminal history, and the independent member for Cairns, Rob Pyne, who resigned from the Labor Party in March 2016.^[1][2]

Successful amendments to the electoral act through legislation and a referendum in early 2016 include adding an additional four parliamentary seats from 89 to 93, changing from optional preferential voting to full-preferential voting, and moving from unfixed three-year terms to fixed four-year terms.^[3]

Previous election

At the 2015 election, Labor won 44 seats, the most of all parties, but short by one of commanding a majority in the Legislative Assembly. The Liberal National Party, despite winning a record majority of 78 at the previous election, won 42 seats. Katter's Australian Party won two seats, and the independent member for Nicklin, Wellington, retained his seat.^[4]

Wellington gave confidence and supply support to Labor to form government, giving it the majority of 45 out of 89 seats in parliament, and consequently the previous Liberal National government under the leadership of Campbell Newman, who lost his seat of Ashgrove, lost office after one term.

Polling

Legislative Assembly polling

Date	Firm	Primary vote				TPP vote
		ALP	LNP	Green	Other	ALP	LNP
10–11 February 2016	Galaxy[5]	43%	37%	9%	11%	48%	52%
December 2015	Newspoll[6]	41%	39%	8%	12%	52%	48%
17–18 November 2015	Galaxy[5]	42%	37%	9%	12%	49%	51%
16 Oct 2015	Morgan[7]	34.5%	42%	11.5%	12%	49%	51%
Sep 2015	Newspoll[8]	41%	38%	9%	12%	53%	47%
28–31 Aug 2015	Morgan[9]	38.5%	41.5%	12%	8%	52%	48%
19–20 Aug 2015	Galaxy[10]	40%	39%	10%	11%	52%	48%
19–21 Jun 2015	Morgan[11]	39.5%	42%	9.5%	9%	51.5%	48.5%
22–24 May 2015	Morgan[12]	34%	44%	11%	1%	48%	52%
22 May 2015	ReachTEL[13]	37.6%	45.6%	9.4%	7.4%	48%	52%
19–20 May 2015	Galaxy[14]	40%	39%	9%	12%	52%	47%
10–12 Apr 2015	Morgan[15]	40%	40.5%	9.5%	10%	52.5%	47.5%
8–9 Apr 2015	Galaxy[14]	39%	42%	7%	12%	50%	50%
31 Jan 2015 election		37.5%	41.3%	8.4%	12.8%	51.1%	48.9%
26–29 Jan 2015	Newspoll[16]	37%	41%	6%	14%	48%	52%
9–26 Jan 2015	Essential[17]	38%	39%	7%	16%	50%	50%
16–18 Jan 2015	Morgan[18]	37%	39.5%	10%	13.5%	49.5%	50.5%

See also

• Politics of Queensland

References

1. "Billy Gordon: Queensland Labor thrown into turmoil after Cook MP admits to undisclosed criminal history". ABC News. 29 March 2015.
2. "Rob Pyne quits Queensland Labor Party; Palaszczuk Government now even with LNP at 42 seats". ABC News. 7 March 2016. Retrieved 7 March 2016.
3. Electoral Law Ructions in the Queensland Parliament: Antony Green 21 April 2016
4. "2015 Election Results Summary". Electoral Commission of Queensland. Retrieved 15 February 2015.
5. "DISSATISFACTION WITH LEADERS ON THE RISE". Galaxy Research. 13 February 2016.
6. William Bowe (24 December 2015). "Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor in Queensland". Poll Bludger. Crikey.
7. "Popular Premiers Mike Baird & Daniel Andrews have large leads in NSW & Victoria while other States are close". Roy Morgan Research. Roy Morgan Research. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
8. "Newspoll". News Corp. 28 September 2015. Archived from the original on 28 September 2015.
9. "Popular Premiers Mike Baird & Daniel Andrews have large leads in NSW & Victoria while other States except Tasmania are close". Roy Morgan Research. 3 September 2015. Retrieved 3 September 2015.
10. "LABOR MAINTAINS LEAD IN QUEENSLAND". Galaxy Research. 24 August 2015.
11. "Mike Baird & Daniel Andrews have large leads in NSW & Victoria while Annastacia Palaszczuk regains lead in Queensland". Roy Morgan Research. 25 June 2015.
12. "Honeymoons continue for NSW Premier Baird & Victorian Premier Andrews while the honeymoon is over for Queensland Premier Palaszczuk". Roy Morgan Research. 27 May 2015.
13. "Queensland Poll". 22 May 2015.
14. "Voters warming to Palaszczuk government". 23 May 2015.
15. "NSW Premier Mike Baird enjoys clear honeymoon lead; Voters in Queensland back Premier Palaszczuk after strong stance on Billy Gordon". Roy Morgan Research. 15 April 2015.
16. "26–29 Jan 2015 QLD state Newspoll" (PDF). Newspoll. 31 January 2015.
17. "7 The Essential Report – Queensland State Election" (PDF). news.com.au. 29 January 2015. Retrieved 29 January 2015.
18. "Queensland State Election too close to call with only a week to go but Mike Baird set to be re-elected Premier in NSW". Roy Morgan Research. 22 January 2015. Retrieved 25 January 2015.