Western Australian state election, 2017
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The 2017 Western Australian state election will be held on Saturday 11 March 2017 to elect 59 members to the Legislative Assembly and 36 members to the Legislative Council.
Date of election
On 3 November 2011, the Government of Western Australia introduced fixed four-year terms.[1][2]
Seats held
Lower house
At the 2013 election, Labor won 21 seats, the Liberals won 31 seats and the Nationals won 7 seats. No seats were won by independents.
Upper house
At the 2013 election, the Liberals won 17 seats, Labor won 11 seats, the Nationals won five seats, the Greens won two seats and the Shooters and Fishers won one seat.
Retiring MPs
Members who have announced they will not re-nominate at the 2017 election:
Liberal
- Kim Hames MLA (Dawesville) – announced 2 August 2014[3]
National
- Terry Waldron MLA (Wagin) – announced 25 November 2014[4]
- Wendy Duncan MLA (Kalgoorlie) – announced 4 December 2015[5]
2013 pendulum
The following Mackerras Pendulum works by lining up all of the seats according to the percentage point margin post-election on a two-candidate-preferred basis.[6]
| Labor seats | |||
| Midland | Michelle Roberts | ALP | 0.1% |
| Collie-Preston | Mick Murray | ALP | 0.1% |
| Butler | John Quigley | ALP | 1.8% |
| West Swan | Rita Saffioti | ALP | 1.9% |
| Albany | Peter Watson | ALP | 2.0% |
| Cannington | Bill Johnston | ALP | 2.1% |
| Girrawheen | Margaret Quirk | ALP | 2.4% |
| Kwinana | Roger Cook | ALP | 2.6% v IND |
| Gosnells | Chris Tallentire | ALP | 2.9% |
| Maylands | Lisa Baker | ALP | 3.1% |
| Victoria Park | Ben Wyatt | ALP | 4.1% |
| Cockburn | Fran Logan | ALP | 4.1% |
| Mirrabooka | Janine Freeman | ALP | 4.6% |
| Kimberley | Josie Farrer | ALP | 5.1% |
| Bassendean | Dave Kelly | ALP | 5.1% |
| Mandurah | David Templeman | ALP | 7.7% |
| Fremantle | Simone McGurk | ALP | 7.9% |
| Warnbro | Paul Papalia | ALP | 8.8% |
| Armadale | Tony Buti | ALP | 9.6% |
| Willagee | Peter Tinley | ALP | 10.6% |
| Rockingham | Mark McGowan | ALP | 13.2% |
Polling
| Date | Firm | Primary vote | TPP vote | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lib | Nat | ALP | Grn | Oth | Lib/Nat | ALP | ||
| 17 Mar 2016 | ReachTEL[7] | 37% | 5% | 39% | 13% | 5% | 44% | 56% |
| Oct–Dec 2015 | Newspoll[8] | 37% | 5% | 42% | 10% | 6% | 47% | 53% |
| 9–15 Oct 2015 | Morgan[9] | 37.5% | 4.5% | 32% | 13% | 13% | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| 28–31 Aug 2015 | Morgan | 35% | 7% | 34% | 15% | 9% | 50% | 50% |
| Apr–Jun 2015 | Newspoll | 33% | 7% | 33% | 14% | 13% | 48% | 52% |
| Jan–Mar 2015 | Newspoll | 34% | 6% | 35% | 14% | 11% | 48% | 52% |
| Oct–Dec 2014 | Newspoll | 34% | 8% | 33% | 15% | 10% | 50% | 50% |
| Jul–Sep 2014 | Newspoll | 35% | 6% | 31% | 15% | 13% | 50% | 50% |
| Apr–Jun 2014 | Newspoll | 34% | 6% | 27% | 17% | 16% | 50% | 50% |
| Oct–Dec 2013 | Newspoll | 36% | 8% | 33% | 13% | 10% | 51% | 49% |
| 2013 election | 47.1% | 6.1% | 33.1% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 57.3% | 42.7% | |
| 4–7 Mar 2013 | Newspoll | 48% | 6% | 32% | 8% | 6% | 59.5% | 40.5% |
| Liberal Barnett |
Labor McGowan | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar 2016 - ReachTEL[7] | 39% | 61% |
| Oct–Dec 2015[8] | 36% | 41% |
| Apr–Jun 2015 | 37% | 43% |
| Jan–Mar 2015 | 38% | 44% |
| Oct–Dec 2014 | 39% | 40% |
| Jul–Sep 2014 | 38% | 41% |
| Apr–Jun 2014 | 36% | 43% |
| Oct–Dec 2013 | 37% | 43% |
| 2013 election | – | – |
| 4–7 Mar 2013 | 52% | 31% |
| Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian. ^ Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader. | ||
| Barnett | McGowan | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | |
| Oct–Dec 2015[8] | 33% | 54% | 47% | 32% |
| Apr–Jun 2015 | 36% | 57% | 49% | 33% |
| Jan–Mar 2015 | 38% | 53% | 53% | 28% |
| Oct–Dec 2014 | 37% | 49% | 48% | 27% |
| Jul–Sep 2014 | 32% | 56% | 47% | 29% |
| Apr–Jun 2014 | 34% | 56% | 49% | 31% |
| Oct–Dec 2013 | 34% | 54% | 51% | 22% |
| 2013 election | – | – | – | – |
| 4–7 Mar 2013 | 51% | 36% | 49% | 29% |
| Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian. ^Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader. | ||||
References
- ↑ "New laws fix state election dates". Abc.net.au. Retrieved 26 January 2012.
- ↑ Antony Green (8 February 2011). "Future election dates". Blogs.abc.net.au. Retrieved 26 January 2012.
- ↑ "Joe Spagnolo: Hunt for WA Liberal leader to replace Colin Barnett after deputy Kim Hames confirms he will not contest next state election". Perth Now. 2 August 2014. Retrieved 9 August 2014.
- ↑ "Waldron to retire from politics". The West Australian. 25 November 2014. Retrieved 25 November 2014.
- ↑ "MP Wendy Duncan reflects on career as prospective candidates circle in Kalgoorlie". Australian Broadcasting Corporation. 7 December 2015. Retrieved 7 December 2015.
- ↑ Antony Green (23 April 2013). "2013 WA Election – Final results and New Pendulum". Retrieved 3 August 2013.
- 1 2 Barnett and Liberals take big hit in poll with McGowan now preferred leader: The West Australian 19 March 2016 - using undedided excluded at ReachTEL: 56-44 to Labor in WA - The Poll Bludger 19 March 2016
- 1 2 3 Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor in Western Australia – The Poll Bludger 4 January 2016
- ↑ "Popular Premiers Mike Baird & Daniel Andrews have large leads in NSW & Victoria while other States are close". Roy Morgan Research. Roy Morgan Research. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
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