United States Senate election in New York, 2010
For the special election to fill the seat vacated by Hillary Rodham Clinton, see United States Senate special election in New York, 2010.
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The 2010 United States Senate election in New York took place as scheduled on November 2, 2010 along with elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Chuck Schumer won re-election to a third term.[1]
Background
In the 2004 U.S. Senate election, Schumer had defeated Republican Assemblyman Howard Mills by a 71 to 24 percent margin. Schumer is highly popular in New York, so it was believed that any Republican contender would likely not fare well against him in 2010.[2] Schumer was heavily favored to retain his seat.[3]
In addition to this regular election, there was also a special election to fill the Senate seat vacated by Hillary Rodham Clinton, who became the United States Secretary of State on January 21, 2009. In addition, there was the New York gubernatorial election. The existence of two other top-level statewide races, one with a vulnerable Democratic incumbent and the other an open race, respectively,[4] was believed to lead major New York Republicans to gravitate towards them rather than challenge the popular Schumer.[2][5] As it happened, however, the Republican Party had difficulty in drawing top-tier candidates to any of the three races.
Republican nomination
Convention
Candidates
- Gary Berntsen, retired CIA officer, received the party's endorsement on the second round of balloting[6]
- Martin Chicon, candidate for New York Senate in 2008[7] and New York Republican State Committee member from upper Manhattan.
- George Maragos, Nassau County Comptroller [8]
- James Staudenraus, Long Island resident and 2008 state assembly candidate[9]
- Jay Townsend, Republican strategist (finished second and also qualified for the primary)[6]
Results
Only two candidates, Berntsen and Townsend, obtained at least 25% of the vote at the New York State Republican Convention on June 1, 2010. Bernsen came in first, but still needed to win the primary in order to win the Republican nomination.
Primary
Candidates
Results
| Republican primary results[10] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Republican | Jay Townsend | 234,440 | 55.41 | |
| Republican | Gary Berntsen | 188,628 | 44.59 | |
| Total votes | 423,068 | 100 | ||
General election
Candidates
- Anti-Prohibition Party: Randy Credico
- Conservative Party of New York: Jay Townsend
- Democratic Party: Chuck Schumer
- Green Party: Colia Clark
- Libertarian Party: Randy Credico
- Republican Party: Jay Townsend
- Taxpayers Party: Gary Berntsen
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report | Solid D[11] | October 12, 2010 |
| Rothenberg | Safe D[12] | October 8, 2010 |
| RealClearPolitics | Safe D[13] | |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe D[14] | September 30, 2010 |
| CQ Politics | Safe D[15] | October 12, 2010 |
| Election Projection | Solid D hold[16] | October 12, 2010 |
Fundraising
| Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Schumer (D) | $17,302,006 | $11,824,587 | $16,048,482 | $0 |
| Jay Townsend (R) | $197,365 | $180,693 | $16,671 | $105,854 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[17] | ||||
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chuck Schumer (D) |
Jay Townsend (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College | October 27–30, 2010 | 603 | ± 4.0% | 64% | 32% | — | 2% |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | October 28–29, 2010 | 541 | ± 4.2% | 61% | 35% | 4% | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 19, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 59% | 31% | 5% | 5% |
| Angus Reid Public Opinion | October 7, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 63% | 27% | 6% | — |
| Survey USA | September 20, 2010 | 1,000 | ± 4.2% | 54% | 33% | 10% | 3% |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 16, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 58% | 36% | 3% | 4% |
| Siena College | July 12, 2010 | 808 | ± 3.4% | 63% | 26% | — | 13% |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 16, 2010 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 54% | 33% | 6% | 6% |
| Siena College | June 7–9, 2010 | 808 | ± 3.4% | 60% | 26% | — | 14% |
| Siena College | May 17–20, 2010 | 808 | ± 3.4% | 63% | 24% | — | 13% |
Results
| General election results[18] | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
| Democratic | Chuck Schumer (inc.) | 2,710,735 | 65.4 | ||
| Republican | Jay Townsend | 1,365,439 | 33.0 | ||
| Green | Colia Clark | 39,815 | 1.0 | ||
| Libertarian | Randy Credico | 25,975 | 0.6 | ||
Aftermath
Credico sued the New York State Board of Elections under the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment because of this unfair treatment regarding ballot access. Despite being nominated by both the Libertarian Party and the Anti-Prohibition Party, in most jurisdictions, he only appeared on the ballot once. On June 19, 2013, the Federal District Court for the Eastern District of New York ruled in favor of Credico.[19] The New York State Board of Elections did not appeal this decision.[20]
References
- ↑ Richberg, Keith B. (2008-12-02). "A Rush for Clinton's Senate Seat". The Washington Post. Retrieved 2008-12-18.
- 1 2 Saltonsall, David (2009-02-01). "Sen. Chuck Schumer unlikely to see competition in 2010 reelection bid". New York Daily News. Retrieved 2009-02-02.
- ↑ Silver, Nate (2008-12-08). "2010 Senate Rankings, Revised and Extended". FiveThirtyEight.com. Retrieved 2009-01-24.
- ↑ Lovett, Kenneth (2009-03-23). "New Siena Poll finds Gov. David Paterson's approval rating at just 19%". New York: Nydailynews.com. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ↑ "Senate Races 2010". VoteFromAbroad.org. Retrieved 2008-12-18.
- 1 2 McKenna, Chris (June 2, 2010). "Townsend trails Berntsen at state GOP convention". Times Herald-Record.
- ↑ "Martin Chicon NY-US Senator 2010 Republican Candidate NYC Sat 10/3/09 - AOL Video". Video.aol.co.uk. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ↑ "Nassau Comptroller Eyeing Schumer Challenge". Capitaltonight.com. 2010-04-15. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ↑ "Latest count on U.S. Senate candidates: 22 | Politics on the Hudson". Polhudson.lohudblogs.com. 2010-05-12. Retrieved 2010-06-14.
- ↑ "New York, Class 3 Senate Primary Results". Politico. September 14, 2010. Retrieved September 14, 2010.
- ↑ "Senate". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 12, 2010.
- ↑ "Senate Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 12, 2010.
- ↑ "Battle for the Senate". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 12, 2010.
- ↑ "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 12, 2010.
- ↑ "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". CQ Politics. Retrieved October 12, 2010.
- ↑ "The Battle for Capitol Hill - 2010 Senate". ElectionProjection.com. Retrieved October 12, 2010.
- ↑ "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for New York". fec.gov. Retrieved July 25, 2010.
- ↑ "New York Election Results". The New York Times.
- ↑ http://www.ballot-access.org/?p=34517
- ↑ http://www.ballot-access.org/?p=34854
External links
- New York State Board of Elections
- U.S. Congress candidates for New York at Project Vote Smart
- New York U.S. Senate 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign contributions from Open Secrets
- New York Polls graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: New York Senate from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 New York Senate Race from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 New York Senate Race from CQ Politics
- Race profile from The New York Times
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