United States presidential election in North Dakota, 2004

United States presidential election in North Dakota, 2004
North Dakota
November 2, 2004
 
Nominee George W. Bush John Kerry
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Texas Massachusetts
Running mate Dick Cheney John Edwards
Electoral vote 3 0
Popular vote 196,651 111,052
Percentage 62.9% 35.5%

County Results
  Kerry—70-80%
  Kerry—60-70%
  Kerry—50-60%
  Bush—50-60%
  Bush—60-70%
  Bush—70-80%
President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

 Elected President

George W. Bush
Republican

The 2004 United States presidential election in North Dakota took place on November 2, 2004 throughout all 50 states and D.C., which was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 3 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for President and Vice President.

North Dakota was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 27.4% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state.The state has voted Republican in 24 of the last 29 elections. In 2004, George W. Bush defeated John Kerry with 63% of the vote. The state’s population of about 650,000 is little changed from what it was 80 years ago, as ND is one of seven states with the minimum three electoral votes.

Caucuses

Campaign

Predictions

There were 12 news organizations who made state by state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[1]

  1. D.C. Political Report: Solid Republican
  2. Associated Press: Solid Bush
  3. CNN: Bush
  4. Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
  5. Newsweek: Solid Bush
  6. New York Times: Solid Bush
  7. Rasmussen Reports: Bush
  8. Research 2000: Solid Bush
  9. Washington Post: Bush
  10. Washington Times: Solid Bush
  11. Zogby International: Bush
  12. Washington Dispatch: Bush

Polling

Bush won both pre-election polls with a double digit margin.[2]

Fundraising

Bush raised $135,493.[3] Kerry raised $36,600.[4]

Advertising and visits

Neither campaign visited or advertised in this state during the fall campaign.[5][6]

Analysis

In 2000, Al Gore won two counties, compared to Kerry who won four counties in the state, including his best performance in Sioux County, North Dakota, where he won with 70% of the vote. Overall, Bush dominated the state, winning a wide majority of the state's counties, and with large margins. In just two counties did Bush obtain less than 40% of the vote.[7]

Results

[8]
2004 United States presidential election in ND[9]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican George W. Bush (incumbent) 196,651 62.86%
Democratic John Kerry 111,052 35.50%
Independent Ralph Nader 3,756 1.20%
Libertarian Michael Badnarik 851 0.27%
Constitution Michael Peroutka 514 0.2%
Write In - 9 0.0%
Majority
Turnout 64.2%

Results breakdown

By county

County Bush Votes Kerry Votes Others Votes Total
Adams County, North Dakota 910 70.87% 351 27.34% 23 1.79% 1,284
Barnes County, North Dakota 3,519 60.88% 2,175 37.63% 86 1.49% 5,780
Benson County, North Dakota 1,000 44.58% 1,195 53.28% 48 2.14% 2,243
Billings County, North Dakota 449 79.61% 99 17.55% 16 2.84% 564
Bottineau County, North Dakota 2,457 67.02% 1,163 31.72% 46 1.25% 3,666
Bowman County, North Dakota 1,280 74.64% 397 23.15% 38 2.22% 1,715
Burke County, North Dakota 807 69.45% 334 28.74% 21 1.81% 1,162
Burleigh County, North Dakota 26,370 68.52% 11,511 29.91% 604 1.57% 38,485
Cass County, North Dakota 39,517 59.41% 25,927 38.98% 1,077 1.62% 66,521
Cavalier County, North Dakota 662 62.51% 373 35.22% 24 2.27% 1,059
Dickey County, North Dakota 1,889 67.03% 881 31.26% 48 1.70% 2,818
Divide County, North Dakota 748 59.37% 483 38.33% 29 2.30% 1,260
Dunn County, North Dakota 1,176 66.44% 569 32.15% 25 1.41% 1,770
Eddy County, North Dakota 653 53.97% 533 44.05% 24 1.98% 1,210
Emmons County, North Dakota 777 67.98% 342 29.92% 24 2.10% 1,143
Foster County, North Dakota 1,215 68.96% 518 29.40% 29 1.65% 1,762
Golden Valley County, North Dakota 715 77.55% 194 21.04% 13 1.41% 922
Grand Forks County, North Dakota 17,255 56.78% 12,611 41.50% 525 1.73% 30,391
Grant County, North Dakota 950 76.61% 264 21.29% 26 2.10% 1,240
Griggs County, North Dakota 903 62.97% 504 35.15% 27 1.88% 1,434
Hettinger County, North Dakota 1,042 69.93% 403 27.05% 45 3.02% 1,490
Kidder County, North Dakota 901 65.86% 433 31.65% 34 2.49% 1,368
LaMoure County, North Dakota 1,589 68.14% 712 30.53% 31 1.33% 2,332
Logan County, North Dakota 844 74.96% 261 23.18% 21 1.87% 1,126
McHenry County, North Dakota 1,743 61.87% 1,028 36.49% 46 1.63% 2,817
McIntosh County, North Dakota 1,253 72.76% 437 25.38% 32 1.86% 1,722
McKenzie County, North Dakota 1,884 68.73% 840 30.65% 17 0.62% 2,741
McLean County, North Dakota 2,995 63.49% 1,651 35.00% 71 1.51% 4,717
Mercer County, North Dakota 3,277 71.15% 1,243 26.99% 86 1.87% 4,606
Morton County, North Dakota 8,279 65.94% 4,041 32.19% 235 1.87% 12,555
Mountrail County, North Dakota 1,520 50.31% 1,463 48.43% 38 1.26% 3,021
Nelson County, North Dakota 1,107 57.60% 778 40.48% 37 1.93% 1,922
Oliver County, North Dakota 789 70.64% 309 27.66% 19 1.70% 1,117
Pembina County, North Dakota 2,461 63.92% 1,320 34.29% 69 1.79% 3,850
Pierce County, North Dakota 1,466 67.12% 684 31.32% 34 1.56% 2,184
Ramsey County, North Dakota 2,941 60.06% 1,884 38.47% 72 1.47% 4,897
Ransom County, North Dakota 1,351 51.98% 1,197 46.06% 51 1.96% 2,599
Renville County, North Dakota 944 64.79% 494 33.91% 19 1.30% 1,457
Richland County, North Dakota 5,255 64.05% 2,820 34.37% 130 1.58% 8,205
Rolette County, North Dakota 1,391 34.45% 2,559 63.37% 88 2.18% 4,038
Sargent County, North Dakota 1,145 52.19% 1,017 46.35% 32 1.46% 2,194
Sheridan County, North Dakota 725 77.05% 199 21.15% 17 1.81% 941
Sioux County, North Dakota 318 27.99% 801 70.51% 17 1.50% 1,136
Slope County, North Dakota 345 78.23% 89 20.18% 7 1.59% 441
Stark County, North Dakota 7,195 69.43% 3,001 28.96% 167 1.61% 10,363
Steele County, North Dakota 584 48.30% 614 50.79% 11 0.91% 1,209
Stutsman County, North Dakota 6,495 64.38% 3,429 33.99% 165 1.64% 10,089
Towner County, North Dakota 754 54.21% 606 43.57% 31 2.23% 1,391
Traill County, North Dakota 2,539 59.84% 1,650 38.89% 54 1.27% 4,243
Walsh County, North Dakota 3,189 61.55% 1,905 36.77% 87 1.68% 5,181
Ward County, North Dakota 16,970 66.39% 8,223 32.17% 367 1.44% 25,560
Wells County, North Dakota 1,651 64.59% 858 33.57% 47 1.84% 2,556
Williams County, North Dakota 5,099 70.89% 1,975 27.46% 119 1.65% 7,193

By congressional district

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district, called the At-Large district, because it covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.

District Bush Kerry Representative
At-large 62.9% 35.5% Earl Pomeroy

Electors

Technically the voters of ND cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. ND is allocated 3 electors because it has 1 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 3 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 3 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for President and Vice President. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004 to cast their votes for President and Vice President. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All were pledged to and voted for Bush and Cheney:[10]

  1. Betsy Dalrymple (wife of Jack Dalrymple)
  2. Ben Clayburgh
  3. Jackie Williams

References

  1. ↑ http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm#NW
  2. ↑ http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=38
  3. ↑ http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/george_w_bush.asp?cycle=04
  4. ↑ http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/john_f_kerry.asp?cycle=04
  5. ↑ "CNN.com Specials". CNN.
  6. ↑ "CNN.com Specials". CNN.
  7. ↑ http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/
  8. ↑ http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2004/2004pres.pdf
  9. ↑ "2004 Presidential General Election Results - North Dakota". David Leip. Retrieved 2014-03-25.
  10. ↑ http://www.grandforks.com/mld/grandforks/10408798.htm

See also

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