United States presidential election in Rhode Island, 2004

United States presidential election in Rhode Island, 2004

November 2, 2004

Nominee John Kerry George W. Bush Party Democratic Republican Home state Massachusetts Texas Running mate John Edwards Dick Cheney Electoral vote 4 0 Popular vote 259,760 169,046 Percentage 59.42% 38.67%

County Results   Kerry—60-70%   Kerry—50-60%

President before election George W. Bush Republican Elected President George W. Bush Republican

The 2004 United States presidential election in Rhode Island took place on November 2, 2004 throughout all 50 states and D.C., which was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 4 representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for President and Vice President.

Rhode Island was won by Democratic nominee John Kerry by a 20.8% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Kerry would win, or otherwise considered as a safe blue state. Even though President George W. Bush fared better than in 2000, he was overwhelmingly defeated in a traditional Democratic stronghold, winning only 39% of the vote to 59% for Kerry.

Primaries

• Rhode Island Democratic primary, 2004

Campaign

Predictions

There were 12 news organizations who made state by state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.^[1]

1. D.C. Political Report: Solid Democrat
2. Associated Press: Solid Kerry
3. CNN: Kerry
4. Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat
5. Newsweek: Solid Kerry
6. New York Times: Solid Kerry
7. Rasmussen Reports: Kerry
8. Research 2000: Solid Kerry
9. Washington Post: Kerry
10. Washington Times: Solid Kerry
11. Zogby International: Kerry
12. Washington Dispatch: Kerry

Polling

Kerry won every single pre-election poll, each with a double digit margin and with at least 49% of the vote. The final 3 poll average showed Kerry leading 55% to 38%.^[2]

Fundraising

Bush raised $282,237.^[3] Kerry raised $977,390.^[4]

Advertising and visits

Neither campaign advertised or visited here in the fall campaign.^[5][6]

Analysis

Federally, Rhode Island is one of the most reliably Democratic states during presidential elections, regularly giving the Democratic nominees one of their best showings. In 1980, Rhode Island was one of only six states to vote against Ronald Reagan. Reagan did carry Rhode Island in his 49-state victory in 1984, but the state was the second weakest of the states Reagan won. Rhode Island was the Democrats' leading state in 1988 and 2000, and second-best in 1996 and 2004.

Historically, the state was devoted to Republicans until 1908, but has only strayed from the Democrats seven times in the 24 elections that have followed. In 2004, Rhode Island gave John Kerry more than a 20-percentage-point margin of victory (the third-highest of any state), with 59.4% of its vote. All but three of Rhode Island's 39 cities and towns voted for the Democratic candidate. The only exceptions were East Greenwich, West Greenwich and Scituate.

Having some of the highest taxes in the nation, Rhode Island is considered to be a liberal bastion. In addition, Rhode Island has abolished capital punishment, making it one of 15 states that have done so. Rhode Island abolished the death penalty very early, just after Michigan (the first state to abolish it), and carried out its last execution in the 1840s. Rhode Island is one of two states in which prostitution is legal, provided it takes place indoors, though there have been recent efforts to change this.

Results

United States presidential election in RI, 2004
Party		Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Electoral votes
	Democratic	John Kerry	259,760	59.42%	4
	Republican	George W. Bush (Inc.)	169,046	38.67%	0
	Independent	Ralph Nader	4,651	1.06%	0
	Green	David Cobb	1,333	0.30%	0
	Libertarian	Michael Badnarik	907	0.2%	0
	Independent	Write Ins	845	0.21%	0
	Constitutiion	Michael Peroutka	339	0.08%	0
	Workers World	John Parker	253	0.06%	0

Results breakdown

By county

County	Kerry%	Kerry#	Bush%	Bush#	Others%	Others#
Providence	62.6%	144,811	35.6%	82,337	1.8%	4,176
Bristol	58.4%	14,448	39.8%	9,855	1.7%	429
Newport	56.9%	22,992	41.1%	16,622	2.0%	812
Washington	55.4%	34,679	42.4%	26,533	2.3%	1,422
Kent	54.9%	42,830	43.2%	33,699	1.9%	1,489

By congressional district

Kerry won both congressional districts.

District	Bush	Kerry	Representative
1st	36%	62%	Patrick J. Kennedy
2nd	41%	57%	James Langevin

Electors

Technically the voters of RI cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. RI is allocated 4 electors because it has 2 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 4 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 4 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for President and Vice President. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004 to cast their votes for President and Vice President. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 4 were pledged for Kerry/Edwards.

1. Teresa Paiva-Weed
2. Elizabeth Dennigan
3. John C. Lynch
4. Mark Weiner

References

1. http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm#NW
2. http://uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?fips=44
3. http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/george_w_bush.asp?cycle=04
4. http://www.campaignmoney.com/political/campaigns/john_f_kerry.asp?cycle=04
5. http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/tracking/10.11.html
6. http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/president/campaign.ads/

See also