Valencian parliamentary election, 2011

Valencian parliamentary election, 2011

22 May 2011

All 99 seats in the Valencian Courts 50 seats needed for a majority Opinion polls Registered 3,549,687 1.7% Turnout 2,491,588 (70.2%) 0.1 pp   First party Second party   Leader Francisco Camps Jorge Alarte Party PP PSOE Leader since 10 July 2002 28 September 2008 Last election 54 seats, 52.5% 38 seats, 34.5% Seats won 55 33 Seat change 1 5 Popular vote 1,211,112 687,141 Percentage 49.4% 28.0% Swing 3.1 pp 6.5 pp   Third party Fourth party   Leader Enric Morera Marga Sanz Party Compromís IU Leader since 25 January 2010 8 March 2009 Last election Did not contest 7 seats, 8.0%[lower-alpha 1] Seats won 6 5 Seat change 6 2 Popular vote 176,213 144,703 Percentage 7.2% 5.9% Swing New party 2.1 pp

President before election Francisco Camps PP Elected President Francisco Camps PP

The 2011 Valencian parliamentary election was held on Sunday, 22 May, to elect the 8th democratically-elected Valencian Courts, the regional legislature of the Spanish autonomous community of Valencia. At stake were all 99 seats in the Courts, determining the President of the Valencian Government.

The election was won by the People's Party (PP), which increased its majority despite a drop in its vote share. The Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) continued its long term decline in the area and, in line with what happened in other regions, obtained one of its worst electoral results since the autonomous community's inception. On the other hand, the electoral alliance between United Left of the Valencian Country (EUPV) and the Valencian Nationalist Bloc (BNV) which stood in the 2007 election had dissolved, with both parties entering the legislature much at the expense of the declining PSOE.

As a result of the election, Francisco Camps was elected President for a third term in office. However, he resigned just two months into his term in July 2011, being succeeded by Alberto Fabra, who would remain in the post for the remainder of the legislature.

Electoral system

The number of seats in the Valencian Courts was set to a fixed-number of 99. All Courts members were elected in 3 multi-member districts, corresponding to the Valencian Community's three provinces, using the D'Hondt method and a closed-list proportional representation system. Each district was entitled to an initial minimum of 20 seats, with the remaining 39 seats allocated among the three provinces in proportion to their populations, on the required condition that the number of inhabitants per seat in each district did not exceed 3 times those of any other. For the 2011 election, seats were distributed as follows: Alicante (35), Castellon (24) and Valencia (40).

Voting was on the basis of universal suffrage in a secret ballot. Only lists polling above 5% of valid votes in all of the community (which include blank ballots—for none of the above) were entitled to enter the seat distribution. This meant that in the case a list polled above 5% in one or more of the districts but below 5% in the community totals, it would remain outside of the seat apportionment.^[1]

Opinion polls

Vote

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

Date	Polling Firm/Source	PP	PSPV	EUPV	C	UPyD	Oth.	Lead
22 May 2011	Regional Election	49.4	28.0	5.9	7.2	2.5	7.0	21.4
22 May	Ipsos-Eco	49.9	27.6	6.6	6.4		9.5	22.3
Exit polls
10–11 May	TNS-Demoscopia	51.3	29.2	8.3	4.4		6.8	23.1
9–10 May	Metroscopia[lower-alpha 2]	50.8	28.3	7.0	4.1		9.8	22.5
26 Apr–3 May	GAD[lower-alpha 2]	53.3	30.7	7.1	3.8		5.1	22.6
19–26 Apr	Ikerfel	52.6	30.1	6.0	3.2	1.6	6.5	22.5
13–20 Apr	Celeste-Tel[lower-alpha 2]	50.5	28.5	6.3	5.7		9.0	22.0
17 Mar–17 Apr	CIS	53.1	28.8	7.1	2.7	1.7	6.6	24.3
13–14 Apr	GAD[lower-alpha 2]	53.3	31.1	6.6	3.6		5.4	22.2
11–14 Apr	Sigma-2	52.3	32.6	6.4	3.5		5.2	19.7
4–7 Apr	Obradoiro	50.4	32.6	5.7	5.7		5.6	17.8
30 Mar–5 Apr	Inmerco	53.4	29.9	7.7	3.1		5.9	23.5
7–15 Mar	GAD[lower-alpha 2]	54.3	30.1	6.6	3.6		5.4	24.2
2011
17–21 Dec	Sigma-2	56.7	27.3	5.6	3.0		7.4	29.4
5–15 Oct	PSPV[lower-alpha 2]	55.3	29.5	5.2	4.0		6.0	25.8
5–6 Oct	Metroscopia[lower-alpha 2]	50.4	28.9	6.6	3.5		10.6	21.5
20 Sep–6 Oct	PP[lower-alpha 2]	54.0	30.6	8.4			7.0	23.4
6–10 Sep	AC	53.4	31.7	6.4	3.5		5.0	21.7
19–23 Jul	PP[lower-alpha 2]	53.9	30.8	7.7			7.6	23.1
24–27 May	Sigma-2	55.8	30.7	6.4	2.5		4.6	25.1
26–30 Apr	Inmerco	51.9	34.5	3.5	4.1		6.0	17.4
6–29 Apr	PP[lower-alpha 2]	54.1	31.9	7.1			6.9	22.2
6–16 Apr	PSPV	54.0	31.6	5.5	4.5		4.4	22.4
4 Apr	Obradoiro	51.0	31.2	8.0			9.8	19.8
2010
10–16 Dec	PP[lower-alpha 2]	54.3	32.3	6.9			6.5	22.0
6–16 Oct	PSPV	51.2	35.6	5.8	3.6		3.8	15.6
9 Oct	Metroscopia[lower-alpha 2]	52.6	31.7	5.2	3.9		6.6	20.9
1–12 Sep	PP[lower-alpha 2]	53.3	32.4	7.4			6.9	20.9
7 Jun 2009	EP Election	52.2	37.6	2.8	1.0	2.1	4.3	14.6
10 May	PSPV	52.1	32.7					19.4
2009
9 Mar 2008	General Election	51.6	41.0	2.7	1.1	0.7	2.9	10.6
2008
27 May 2007	Regional Election	52.5	34.5	8.0	w.EUPV		4.1	18.0

Seat projections

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 50 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Valencian Courts.

50 seats needed for majority

Date	Polling Firm/Source	PP	PSPV	EUPV	C	UPyD	Others
22 May 2011	Regional Election	55	33	5	6	0	0
22 May	Ipsos-Eco	56−59	29−32	5−6	5−6	0	0
Exit polls
10–11 May	TNS-Demoscopia	56−58	32−34	9	0	0	0
9–10 May	Metroscopia	59	33	7	0	0	0
26 Apr–3 May	GAD	58	35	6	0	0	0
19–26 Apr	Ikerfel	58−60	34−36	3−5	0	0	0
13–20 Apr	Celeste-Tel	57	33	5	4	0	0
17 Mar–17 Apr	CIS	60	33	6	0	0	0
13–14 Apr	GAD	57−59	33−35	6−7	0	0	0
11–14 Apr	Sigma-2	56−59	36−39	4	0	0	0
4–7 Apr	Obradoiro	55	35	5	4	0	0
7–15 Mar	GAD	60	33	6	0	0	0
2011
17–21 Dec	Sigma-2	63−65	29−32	4−5	0	0	0
5–15 Oct	PSPV	60	35	4	0	0	0
5–6 Oct	Metroscopia	60	33	6	0	0	0
20 Sep–6 Oct	PP	57−58	33−34	8	0	0	0
6–10 Sep	AC	57	36	6	0	0	0
19–23 Jul	PP	57−58	34−35	7	0	0	0
24–27 May	Sigma-2	59−64	30−33	4−6	0	0	0
21 May	PSPV	58	35	6	0	0	0
6–29 Apr	PP	57−58	35−36	6	0	0	0
4 Apr	Obradoiro	57−58	35−36	6	0	0	0
2010
10–16 Dec	PP	57	36	6	0	0	0
9 Oct	Metroscopia	61	36	2	0	0	0
1–12 Sep	PP	57	36	6	0	0	0
10 May	PSPV	57	38	4	0	0	0
2009
2008
27 May 2007	Regional Election	54	38	7	w.EUPV		0

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 22 May 2011 Valencian Courts election results →

Party		Vote			Seats
		Votes	%	±pp	Won	+/−
	People's Party (PP)	1,211,112	49.42	3.10	55	1
	Socialist Party of the Valencian Country (PSPV-PSOE)	687,141	28.04	6.45	33	5
	Commitment Coalition (Compromís)	176,213	7.19	New	6	6
	United Left of the Valencian Country (EUPV)[lower-alpha 1]	144,703	5.90	2.12	5	2
	Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD)	60,859	2.48	New	0	±0
	Greens and Ecopacifists (VyE)	31,808	1.30	New	0	±0
	Spain 2000 (E-2000)	12,191	0.50	0.26	0	±0
	Republican Left of the Valencian Country (ERPV)	11,129	0.45	0.03	0	±0
	Anti-Bullfighting Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA)	9,306	0.38	New	0	±0
	Valencian Coalition (CVa)	9,183	0.37	0.34	0	±0
	Liberal Democratic Centre (CDL)	8,203	0.33	0.30	0	±0
	Citizens for Blank Votes (CenB)	4,222	0.17	New	0	±0
	United for Valencia (UxV)	3,637	0.15	0.04	0	±0
	Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE)	3,456	0.14	0.03	0	±0
	Humanist Party (PH)	2,566	0.10	0.02	0	±0
	Renewal Liberal Centre (CLR)	2,463	0.10	0.04	0	±0

Parties with less than 0.1% of the vote		12,010	0.49	–	0	±0
	National Democracy (DN)	2,151	0.09	0.06	0	±0
	Communist Unification of Spain (UCE)	1,719	0.07	New	0	±0
	Authentic Falange (FA)	1,627	0.07	0.03	0	±0
	People's Unity Movement-Republicans (MUP-R)	1,440	0.06	±0.00	0	±0
	Family and Life Party (PFyV)	1,412	0.06	New	0	±0
	Spanish Falange of the JONS (FE-JONS)	1,156	0.05	0.01	0	±0
	The Republic (La República)	735	0.03	New	0	±0
	Valencian Nationalist Left (ENV-RVPVE)	677	0.03	New	0	±0
	Spanish Patriotic Social Party (SPES)	585	0.02	New	0	±0
	Foreigners' Party (PdEx)	508	0.02	New	0	±0

	Blank ballots	60,670	2.48	1.07
Total		2,450,872	100.00		99	±0
Valid votes		2,450,872	98.37	0.96
Invalid votes		40,716	1.63	0.96
Votes cast / turnout		2,491,588	70.19	0.05
Abstentions		1,058,099	29.81	0.05
Registered voters		3,549,687
Source(s): Valencian Courts Argos Information Portal

Vote share
PP			49.42%
PSPV-PSOE			28.04%
Compromís			7.19%
EUPV			5.90%
UPyD			2.48%
VyE			1.30%
Others			3.19%
Blank ballots			2.48%

Parliamentary seats
PP			55.56%
PSPV-PSOE			33.33%
Compromís			6.06%
EUPV			5.05%

Results by province

Election results by province.

Notes

1. United Left results are compared to the Commitment for the Valencian Country totals in the 2007 election.
2. This survey shows its poll results projected over candidacy votes (that is, votes going for political parties, excluding blank ballots). The vote percentage in the official election is calculated including blank ballots into the estimation. In order to obtain data comparable to both the official results as well as those of other surveys, a rule of three has been applied to the survey projections, with the results of the calculation being shown instead.

References

1. "Law 1/1987, of 31 March, Valencian electoral".